AT&T slips following guidance; no wireless service growth in Q2


AT&T's (T -0.6%)  forecast for 2014 EPS growth to be at the low end of a prior mid-single digit growth is overshadowing its revenue guidance hike.

Also: AT&T says it expects no wireless service revenue growth in Q2, as a T-Mobile-fueled price war pressures its ARPU. Service revenue grew 2.2% Y/Y in Q1, and 4.8% in Q4.

Q2 wireless service EBITDA margin (already under pressure in Q1) to be dinged in Q2 by service revenue weakness and higher equipment sales; the latter stems from strong adoption of AT&T's Next smartphone upgrade plans. The margin is expected to be above 40% from Q2-Q4; it was at 45.4% in Q1.

One bright spot: Q2 wireless postpaid net adds are expected to top 800K, after coming in at 625K in Q1. Postpaid churn is expected to be at 0.95% or lower, down from 1.02% a year ago.

Next smartphone sales are expected to rise to 3.2M from Q1's 2.9M, and make up ~50% of total sales. Roughly half of all postpaid smartphone subs are now on subsidy-free Mobile Share Value plans, and ~2/3 are expected to be on one by year's end.

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Comments (3)
  • jstratt
    , contributor
    Comments (4018) | Send Message
     
    The truth is ATT revenue is up due to a change in accounting which is expected to add $4.4 billion to this years revenue and they are in a price war.
    3 Jun 2014, 03:01 PM Reply Like
  • Veritas1010
    , contributor
    Comments (3354) | Send Message
     
    A war they can win actually.

     

    Buy T on dips.

     

    ''Do your own due diligence''.

     

    disc.: my money is where my mouth, accumulating today.
    3 Jun 2014, 03:43 PM Reply Like
  • Fanebrb
    , contributor
    Comments (664) | Send Message
     
    Exactly! Everybody hates "T" as "T" is honest and moves ahead making money. So sell it already... and buy DRYS. Heh... heh... h...
    4 Jun 2014, 02:55 AM Reply Like
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