Seeking Alpha

CNBC: Tobacco dominoes about to fall

  • Shares of Lorillard (LO +4.6%) are higher after CNBC reports its sources indicate a merger of the company with Reynold American (RAI +1.6%) will be announced within weeks.
  • In the deal sidecar: Imperial Tobacco (ITYBY) is expected to buy some assets in order to make the deal palatable for regulators, while British American Tobacco (BTI) is tapped to be part of the festivities as an investor in Reynolds.
Comments (9)
  • maybenot
    , contributor
    Comments (4008) | Send Message
    wow. looks like a big "I'll scratch your back, you scratch mine" party going on.


    It's good to be king(s).


    Suppose once this gets done, then the Feds can come out with their updated menthol restrictions.


    What a business tobacco is. Helped build our infant slave-nation. It's good to be a winner.


    Long LO, MO, PM (and wish I had BTI)
    3 Jul, 11:17 AM Reply Like
  • garyc8710
    , contributor
    Comments (41) | Send Message
    I thought I was hallucinating when I checked my portfolio balance this morning.
    3 Jul, 02:07 PM Reply Like
  • Jimjiminy
    , contributor
    Comments (29) | Send Message
    This I like. Bought LO in Feb at $47, if it comes anywhere near $95 I'm selling half my holdings and taking my capital back. Yummy.
    3 Jul, 02:25 PM Reply Like
  • maybenot
    , contributor
    Comments (4008) | Send Message
    $95!?! -- Ye gods! -- I thought $80 was ridiculous when someone mentioned it a couple weeks ago. And now, I'm not so sure.


    But still, $95? Who knows.
    3 Jul, 02:34 PM Reply Like
  • Jimjiminy
    , contributor
    Comments (29) | Send Message
    To be honest, I think you're right - probably far wiser to sell 60% at $80, rather than hanging on for a peak which might never come. As Rothschild (allegedly) said, the real way to make money is “never buy at the bottom and always sell too soon.”
    3 Jul, 03:51 PM Reply Like
  • maybenot
    , contributor
    Comments (4008) | Send Message
    Some allegedly good words there.


    It will be interesting to see how this all works out. I'm still weighing my possible actions on LO and what is offered.


    We shall see.
    3 Jul, 04:02 PM Reply Like
  • jowalern
    , contributor
    Comments (8) | Send Message
    Best case scenario:
    1. RAI buys LO for cash and stock.
    2. BTI buy RAI for a ridiculous price.
    3. Reduced competition and BTI keeps going up.


    Anyway, I've got a 50% profit and it is growing.
    3 Jul, 06:17 PM Reply Like
  • joseph nanci
    , contributor
    Comments (37) | Send Message
    4 Jul, 05:22 PM Reply Like
  • Sunshine123
    , contributor
    Comments (669) | Send Message
    I agree with joseph nanci. We will soon know which way the dominos fall.
    9 Jul, 11:11 PM Reply Like
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