Seeking Alpha

JDS dives amid carrier spending worries; CIEN, FN also off

  • B. Riley and Piper have downgraded JDS Uniphase (JDSU -8.9%) following its light Sep. quarter outlook. Each cites the impact of soft carrier spending.
  • B. Riley's Dave Kang (downgrade to Neutral) notes the AT&T/DirecTV deal has affected Ma Bell's spending (previous), and that industry demand is pressured by a transition to software-defined networking (SDN) architectures that's still in its early stages.
  • Kang: "In hindsight, we significantly under-estimated the potential impact of the SDN transition on the telecom equipment industry." He notes the transition is hurting JDS' test equipment/software sales (expected to fall to $160M-$175M in FQ1 from $199M in FQ4) more than its optical component sales. Optical component/laser division sales are expected to total $200M-$210M in FQ1 vs. $196.9M in FQ4.
  • On the CC (transcript), CEO Tom Waechter admitted North American carriers "have ratcheted down wireline spending" (echoes of Juniper), and that wireless investments "have been tepid due to rapid changes in network technology architectures." On the other hand, he states component demand "remains healthy with notable strength in Datacom, 100G modulators and China's infrastructure spend."
  • Ciena (CIEN -2.7%) and Fabrinet (FN -3%) have joined the ranks of companies following JDS lower. Cisco reports after the bell.

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