- In what would be the longest winning streak in more than a decade, U.S. Treasury bonds are on pace for their fifth straight quarterly price gain, with the yield on the 10-year note of 1.95% comparing to 2.17% at the year's start.
- The last time the yield fell for five straight quarters was March 2001.
- Overall, the Treasury market has punched out a total return in Q1 of 1.48% following a return of 5.05% in 2014.
- The Fed is hellbent on tightening monetary policy, but - as good as long-term Treasurys have performed - the yield differential with the rest of the developed world continues to grow and continues to drive foreign money to U.S. shores. Ten-year Bunds are yielding 0.191%, 10-year Gilts 1.57%, and Spain and Italy 10-year paper yields less than 1.3%.
- The March employment report is set for release on Friday morning.
- Previously: Chicago PMI at the lowest level since 2009 (March 31)
- ETFs: TBT, TLT, TMV, IEF, TBF, EDV, TMF, PST, TTT, ZROZ, SBND, TLH, IEI, TYO, VGLT, DLBS, DTYS, UST, UBT, TLO, PLW, VGIT, GOVT, TBX, GSY, TENZ, SCHR, DTYL, TYD, LBND, ITE, TYBS, DLBL, DFVL, FIVZ, TBZ, DFVS, TYNS, TAPR, SYTL