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Spill settlement lifts major overhang for BP, but next move far from certain

Jul. 02, 2015 7:30 PM ETBP p.l.c. (BP) StockBPBy: Carl Surran, SA News Editor22 Comments
  • BP "can now focus on future growth and moving on," CFO Brian Gilvary said after news of the $18.7B deal to settle all federal and state claims from the 2010 Gulf of Mexico oil spill.
  • "This settlement brings clarity and certainty for the future payments, so that is sort of a relief," said an analyst at Liberum brokerage, a relief that sparked a 5% rally in the stock today.
  • The $18.7B is considerably less than the worst-case scenario, and BP used lower oil prices - which cut its ability to pay a huge fine - to win a payout plan that stretches out over several years.
  • The settlement also puts BP on solid ground that will allow it to increase its dividend and expand, says Morningstar's Stephen Simko.
  • But BP is a much different company than it was before the disaster - it sold about a third of its assets to pay liabilities and its production slumped by ~1M bbl/day - and it is a difficult time for a repositioning in a time of low oil prices.
  • BP could become an acquisition target since one of its major liabilities is now addressed, but with a market cap still at ~$120B, will keep away all but a select few potential suitors.

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