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Lockhart still expects 2015 rate hike to start 'gradual' normalization

Aug. 24, 2015 4:24 PM ETQQQ, SPY, DIA, SHY, IVV, RSP, QQEW, PSQ, SH, DOG, QLD, SSO, DDM, DXD, QID, SDS, SHV, QQXT, EPS, BIL, RWL-OLD, SPXL, TUZ, UPRO, VGSH, TQQQ, SQQQ, UDOW, SDOW, SCHO, STPP, FLAT, DTUL, DTUS, VOO, SFLA-OLD, QQQE, SPTS, SPLX, SPUU, OTPIX, RYARX, UDPIX, VFINX, SPXUBy: Jason Aycock, SA News Editor16 Comments
  • On an atypically interesting day for Fedspeak -- to say the least -- Atlanta Fed chief Dennis Lockhart says he's still expecting the central bank to raise rates in 2015, though he's dropped "September" from expectations he had just two weeks ago.
  • In a speech in Berkeley, Calif., Lockhart said he expected "normalization" to start this year after nearly a decade of near-zero policy, and to "proceed gradually, the implication being an environment of low rates for quite some time."
  • He seems "complicating factors" in predicting growth as being the strong dollar (and devaluation of the yuan) and a continuing decline in oil prices.
  • His own forecast for GDP growth, he says, can't help but be influenced by recent history -- 2.1% average annual growth since 2009, "slow growth" -- and he says Atlanta Fed's baseline forecast is for "moderate growth with continuing employment gains and a gradually rising rate of inflation."
  • Treasury ETFs: SHY, BIL, VGSH, STPP, SHV, FLAT, SCHO, DTUS, DTUL, SST, TUZ
  • Index ETFs: SPY, QQQ, DIA, SH, SSO, SDS, VOO, IVV, UPRO, PSQ, SPXU, TQQQ, SPXL, RSP, QID, SQQQ, QLD, DOG, DXD, RWL, UDOW, EPS, SDOW, DDM, VFINX, QQEW, QQQE, SPLX, SFLA, QQXT, SPUU, UDPIX, OTPIX, RYARX

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