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IDC now forecasts total mobile phone sales will rise just 1.4% Y/Y in 2012 to 1.7B - they rose...

IDC now forecasts total mobile phone sales will rise just 1.4% Y/Y in 2012 to 1.7B - they rose 2.4% in Q3.  Smartphone shipments are seen rising 45.1% to 717.5M after growing 45.3% in Q3. Android, which had an estimated 75% of the smartphone market in Q3, is expected to control 68.3% for the whole of 2012. iOS is seen having an 18.8% share, BlackBerry 4.7%, and Windows Phone 2.6%.
Comments (5)
  • "...IDC takes a fairly optimistic view on the prospects for Microsoft Windows Phone 8 platform, but is less bullish on the future of Research In Motion’s BlackBerry OS. Looking out to 2016, IDC sees Android with 63.8% of the market, down from 68.3% this year; the research firm sees iOS inching up to 19.1%, from 18.8%, with Windows Phone surging to 11.4%, from 2.6%, and BlackBerry OS falling to 4.1%, from 4.7%..."

     

    Long NOK
    4 Dec 2012, 05:53 PM Reply Like
  • My speculation is that worldwide Nokia is going to take over Apple. And inch towards Android by 2016. Asia, Europe and South America are long time Nokia fans.
    4 Dec 2012, 06:13 PM Reply Like
  • What is Symbian's percentage? Lower than BB? Hard to believe.
    4 Dec 2012, 06:24 PM Reply Like
  • Given the rate of change in this sector over the last 4 years I find it unlikely that anyone can forecast specific market share 4 years in the future.
    5 Dec 2012, 12:42 AM Reply Like
  • So mobile sales of 1.7 billion, smart phone sales of 224 million.

     

    13% of the total. 87% being non "smart" phones.

     

    If Nokia were to give their Asha phones all the features of a smart phone; touchscreen, web browser, facebook integration, twitter integration and so on, for ~$50 no subsidy.

     

    Why would carriers subsidize smart phones at all when they can supply an Asha and make more margin?

     

    When you have a market of 1.7 billion vs a couple of hundred million why would developers make "smart" phone apps when the non "smart" phone market is 6 times bigger?

     

    For Nokia stock holders, Asha is worth watching.
    5 Dec 2012, 04:55 AM Reply Like
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