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Today’s big rally won’t provide any more help in forecasting the stock market's...

Today’s big rally won’t provide any more help in forecasting the stock market's performance in 2013 than a coin toss, as the first day of trading sets the tone for the rest of the year exactly 50% of the time. But as January goes, so goes the year: Stocks have risen in 54 Januarys since 1929, and finished those years up 43 times, good for an 80% clip.
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