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The 10-year Treasury yield's early move in 2013 to threaten 2% could be another fake-out, says...

The 10-year Treasury yield's early move in 2013 to threaten 2% could be another fake-out, says Bespoke. The quick jump higher looks like any number of other moves over the past year, and the higher yields have always brought in buyers (the Fed?) to quickly drive them back down.
Comments (5)
  • pishon
    , contributor
    Comments (35) | Send Message
     
    Good point. So far in my investing & trading, I have found it unprofitable to fight the fed. They seem to be holding all the Aces. At least so far.
    16 Jan 2013, 12:17 PM Reply Like
  • cabmaker
    , contributor
    Comments (140) | Send Message
     
    Rates would be above 2% if the Fed wouldn't buy up their own debt. When they stop the rate will double within 2 years.
    16 Jan 2013, 12:41 PM Reply Like
  • Hubert Biagi
    , contributor
    Comments (696) | Send Message
     
    Yeh, and so says all the gang. However, the TLT pattern looks like it's setting up a bearish head and shoulders, testing 110 in mid-2013, and then a fail at 125 towards the year end.
    16 Jan 2013, 12:49 PM Reply Like
  • tassey
    , contributor
    Comments (2) | Send Message
     
    (1) the rate on the 10-year has risen by a third in spite of Fed buying
    (2) Up moves follows by consolidations seem to be becoming stronger; that is, the consolidations are weaker
    (3) All one really needs to know is that the 10-year is not quite a third of its historical average, making shorting it about as certain an investment as one can find.
    16 Jan 2013, 05:44 PM Reply Like
  • DeepValueLover
    , contributor
    Comments (8526) | Send Message
     
    The Fed is committed to CRUSH all T-bond shorts.

     

    Sell the TBT short in 2013.
    22 Jan 2013, 09:23 PM Reply Like
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