Seeking Alpha
  • Today - Sunday, October 26, 2014

  • 2:01 AM
    • Stonegate Bank (NASDAQ:SGBK): Q3 EPS of $0.34
    • Revenue of $15M (+50.8% Y/Y).
    • Press Release
    | Comment!
  • Saturday, October 25, 2014

  • 9:27 PM
    • The Transportation Department will conduct an internal review of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration in response to a series of recent safety failures, including this week's 7.8M vehicle recall, Reuters reports.
    • The House of Representatives' Energy and Commerce Committee is to hold an initial briefing with U.S. safety regulators next week to learn the details of the regional recalls affecting 10 automakers - Toyota (NYSE:TM), Honda (NYSE:HMC), Mazda (OTCPK:MZDAY), BMW (OTCPK:BAMXY), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Mitsubishi (OTC:MMTOY), Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY), Chrysler (NYSE:FCAU), Ford (NYSE:F) and General Motors (NYSE:GM).
    • It was reported on Friday that the Obama administration will likely nominate a permanent chief of the NHTSA within two weeks.
    | 1 Comment
  • 5:56 PM
    • Kuwaiti Finance Minister Anas al-Saleh says Gulf Arab oil exporters will have to reform their state spending because of weak oil prices.
    • "This must be undertaken through strengthening of efforts to diversify away from oil and decrease dependence on oil revenue, which is now inevitable," he says.
    • Oil prices tumbled to four-year lows below $83/barrel this month.
    • The IMF has estimated Saudi Arabia will need an average oil price of $90.70 a barrel in 2015 to balance its budget.
    • Source: Reuters
  • 5:50 PM
    • In Walt Bettinger's six years at the helm of Schwab (SCHW +0.6%), total client assets have doubled to $2.4T, surpassing what once was the world's largest retail broker - Merrill Lynch Wealth Management. Maybe more importantly, he has transformed Schwab from its roots as a discount broker making money on trades to one in the business of offering fee-based financial advice and wealth management.
    • Transactional fees make up just 13% of revenue today, down from 24% in 2009. That's lower than not just traditional rivals like E*Trade and TD Ameritrade, but also full-service shops like UBS and Edward Jones. Bettinger now sees Schwab's main competitors as the Morgan Stanleys, BlackRocks, and Wells Fargos of the world.
    • Schwab has a long history of disrupting financial services, and next up could be the 401(k) market dominated by Fidelity with $1.1T in 401(k) AUM (Schwab is ranked #15 with $115B in assets). The fact that 84% of the $3.7T in defined-contribution assets are in high-cost mutual funds gets Bettinger's blood up as most won't beat or even keep up with lower-cost index funds. "This idea of beating the market does not need to be a part of 401(k) plans."
    | 1 Comment
  • 5:47 PM
    • India will buy Israel's Spike anti-tank guided missile, rejecting a rival U.S. offer of Javelin missiles that Washington lobbied hard to win.
    • The deal for at least 8,000 Spike missiles and more than 300 launchers is worth $525M.
    • Spike, a "fire and forget" anti-tank missile, locks on to targets before shooting. It is produced by Israel's Rafael Advanced Defence Systems.
    • The rival U.S. system is built by Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Raytheon (NYSE:RTN). Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel pitched Javelin to India PM Narendra Modi during his September visit to Washington.
    • Source: Reuters
  • 5:37 PM
    • Funai will reportedly buy the unit's TV business by early next year, Nikkei says.
    • The sale is part of an effort to turn around Panasonic's TV ops.
    • Sanyo is struggling in North America because of fierce price competition from Chinese rivals.
    • Sanyo's annual North America TV sales are about $275M. They account for ~10% of Panasonic's global TV sales in volume.
    • Funai sells Philips-brand, Emerson-brand and other LCD TVs in North America through Wal-Mart. North America accounts for 70% of Funai's TV sales.
    | Comment!
  • 4:58 PM
    • Shares, -28% YTD, don't look like a good deal yet, Barron's says.
    • With investor sentiment waning, shares could trade according to fundamentals over the next year, and those could continue to disappoint.
    • Q3 sales hit the "midpoint" of guidance. Under normal circumstances, that wouldn't trigger a selloff, but for Amazon - a stock that trades mostly on revenue growth - "that's terrible."
    • Also see: Part Of's Core Is Dying (Paulo Santos, Oct. 24)
    • Also see: No One Wants To Hear Anything Good About Amazon, But... (Dana Blankenhorn, Oct. 24)
  • 3:24 PM
    • YELP has acquired Restaurant-kritik, a leading German restaurant reviews site, for an undisclosed sum. Restaurant-kritik claims 330K+ reviews for 94K+ restaurants.
    • Meanwhile, the parent company of popular Japanese restaurant review/guide site Tabelog has disclosed Yelp offered to buy Tabelog, and was turned down. Tabelog claims 5.82M reviews of nearly 790K Japanese restaurants.
    • News of both moves come in the wake of a post-earnings selloff caused by light Q4 guidance and slowing unique visitor growth. On its Q3 CC (transcript), Yelp noted international growth was affected by softer Google traffic, and suggested (when asked about slowing unique growth) the mobile shift was affecting PC traffic.
    • International monthly uniques totaled 30M in Q3, +40% Y/Y but -3% Q/Q. U.S. uniques totaled 109M, +22% Y/Y and +2% Q/Q. Mobile uniques still rose 46% Y/Y to 73M.
    • "Google obviously continues to make changes on their side both competitively and algorithmically," observed CEO Jeremy Stoppelman. Yelp has been one of several firms to harshly criticize Google's integration of its own content within search results, as well as an EU settlement that requires Google to prominently show content from rival sites, but doesn't stop it from also showing its own content. Eric Schmidt recently defended Google's policies.
  • 12:34 PM
    • Labor issues and a shortage of trucking equipment at the critical port complex in the Long Beach, California region threaten to disrupt shipments of holiday products to retailers.
    • Delays are running up to two or three weeks, according to port officials.
    • What to watch: Retailers potentially impacted by the port turmoil include Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), Macy's (NYSE:M), Kohl's (NYSE:KSS), J.C. Penney (NYSE:JCP), Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL), American Eagle Outfitter (NYSE:AEO), Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN), and Carter's (NYSE:CRI).
  • Friday, October 24, 2014

  • 6:58 PM
    • Thanks in large part to a 41% increase in taxes, America Movil's (AMX -0.9%) Q3 net income fell 39% Y/Y to 10.1B pesos ($746M). EBITDA (adjusted for the Telekom Austria deal) rose 0.4% to 69.2B pesos ($5.1B).
    • On an adjusted basis, service revenue rose 3.8% to 198.6B pesos ($14.6B), a slight improvement from Q2's 3.6% growth. Equipment revenue rose 6.2% to 22.2B pesos ($1.6B), and costs/expenses 5.8% to 151.7B pesos ($11.2B).
    • Total wireless lines +0.1% Q/Q and +0.5% Y/Y to 286.8M. Mexican lines fell 1.1% Q/Q to 70.5M amid regulatory pressure, but Brazilian lines rose 1.3% to 69.6M, and U.S. lines (via TracFone's prepaid services)1.5% to 25.9M.
    • Wireline revenue-generating units (RGUs) rose 1.8% Q/Q and 6.8% Y/Y to 77.6M. Mexican RGUs fell 0.1% Q/Q to 22.2M, while Brazilian RGUs rose 3.1% to 35.6M (~46% of total RGUs).
    • Net debt fell by $2.3B during the quarter to $36.2B.
    • AMX used its Q3 CC to state its isn't currently talking to anyone about a T-Mobile USA (TMUS +1.3%) acquisition. A German magazine speculated yesterday (while reporting Deutsche Telekom is still open to a T-Mobile sale) AMX could bid for T-Mobile.
    • Earnings Release (.pdf)
  • 6:18 PM
    • Re/code reports Larry Page has signed off on a reorg that puts respected Android/Chrome/Google Apps chief Sundar Pichai in charge of Google's (NASDAQ:GOOG) core products.
    • Pichai will reportedly "have purview over research, search, maps, Google+, commerce and ads and infrastructure," in addition to his current responsibilities. The six execs responsible for the aforementioned product areas will now report to Pichai instead of Page. However, YouTube chief Susan Wojcicki will keep reporting to Page.
    • Page's decision is said to be driven by a wish to spend more time on the "bigger picture," and by concerns Google will become less innovative/agile as it ages. The co-founder/CEO will still be directly in charge of business and operations, as well as Nest, Calico, Google X, and a few other areas.
    • It was only last year that Pichai replaced Andy Rubin as Google's Android chief.
    • Update: A Google spokesman has confirmed the reorg.
  • 6:00 PM
    • S&P +0.74%.
    • 10-yr +0.02%.
    • Euro +0.17% vs. dollar.
    • Crude -0.96% to $81.30.
    • Gold +0.15% to $1,230.90.
    | Comment!
  • 5:52 PM
    • "Investor pessimism doesn’t seem to dampen [Jeff] Bezos’s appetite for risk. Employees unsettled by Amazon’s (AMZN -8.2%) steadily depreciating stock price are probably the only thing that can force Bezos to slow down," writes BloombergBusinessweek's Brad Stone in the wake of Amazon's Q3 miss and soft guidance.
    • Stone, who wrote a popular book on Bezos and Amazon, notes declining employee stock grant values caused by investor angst over Amazon's losses could increase employee turnover, something management is unlikely to ignore. Thus, curbing spending (with the goal of boosting Amazon's shares) could go hand-in-hand with keeping needed employees happy.
    • How much could lower spending boost profits? In a much-discussed September post, Benedict Evans estimated Amazon's trailing free cash flow would be around $4B (rather than a current $1.08B) if its capex/sales ratio remained at 2009 levels.
    • Nonetheless, Evans defended Bezos' strategy: "Amazon has perhaps 1% of the US retail market by value ... Jeff Bezos’s view is pretty clear: keep investing, because to take profit out of the business would be to waste the opportunity ... The question to ask isn’t whether Amazon is some profitless ponzi scheme, but whether you believe Bezos can capture the future."
    • The sell-side was in a less forgiving mood today: Two downgrades arrived (from Cowen and Janney), as did a slew of target cuts. Notably, analysts often expressed more concerns about Amazon's top-line growth slowdown (particularly for media and international sales) than its bottom-line pressures.
    • Prior Amazon earnings coverage
  • 5:40 PM
    • DST Systems (NYSE:DST) declares $0.30/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
    • Forward yield 1.35%
    • Payable Dec. 12; for shareholders of record Nov. 26; ex-div Nov. 24.
    | Comment!
  • 5:37 PM
    • Top gainers, as of 5:15 p.m.: NGD +4.4%. LAKE +2.4%. RGLS +2.1%. FBR +1.3%. MLNX +1.1%.
    • Top losers, as of 5:15 p.m.: PX -7.2%. HTCH -2.6%. VSR -2.3%. CIG -2.2%. OCR -2.2%.
    | 1 Comment
  • 5:16 PM
    • A Brazilian site has reported acquisition-hungry Alibaba (BABA +1.4%) is looking for local M&A targets. Latin American e-commerce giant MercadoLibre (MELI +4.4%), which gets a large chunk of its revenue from Brazil, rallied today.
    • Alibaba already has a sizable Brazilian presence courtesy of its AliExpress site, which sells Chinese goods at wholesale prices to non-Chinese consumers. An estimated 12M+ Brazilians visited AliExpress (available in Portuguese) in July. Steep local prices for various consumer goods has boosted Alibaba's appeal.
    • Altogether, Alibaba's international commerce revenue rose 31% Y/Y in calendar Q2 to $237M, and made up 9% of total revenue.
    • Earlier: Alibaba thinking of buying 37% stake in Lion's Gate
  • 5:00 PM
    • S&P +0.71%.
    • 10-yr +0.02%.
    • Euro +0.19% vs. dollar.
    • Crude -0.96% to $81.30.
    • Gold +0.15% to $1,230.90.
    | Comment!
  • 4:46 PM
    • Roku is working with BofA/Merrill and Citi on an IPO that could raise up to $150M, the WSJ reports. No word yet on the ETA, or the valuation Roku is seeking.
    • Bloomberg reported in February Roku was mulling an IPO. The Web streaming set-top vendor has held its own in a market that also features Apple, Amazon, and TiVo.
    • CEO Anthony Wood recently stated Roku had 2013 sales of $190M, and is nearing profitability. The company added a $50 HDMI streaming stick to its lineup this spring.
  • 4:42 PM
    • GNC Holdings (NYSE:GNC) declares $0.16/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
    • Forward yield 1.62%
    • Payable Dec. 26; for shareholders of record Dec. 12; ex-div Dec. 10.
    | Comment!
  • 4:39 PM
    • Emclaire Financial (NASDAQ:EMCF): Q3 EPS of $0.56
    • Revenue of $5.1M (+1.2% Y/Y).
    • Press Release
    | Comment!
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