"TIPS are worthless indicators as the CPI is bogus, and anyone really concerned about inflation knows this," says Peter Schiff in the ongoing SA live discussion. Which prompts the inevitable: Peter, what market data do you take seriously on inflation? His answer: "I prefer to look at commodity prices, gold prices, and dollars accumulated by foreign central banks and sovereign wealth funds."
But commodity prices, gold prices and dollars accumulated by foreign central banks and sovereign wealth funds are not direct measures of inflation, and can all be impacted by extraneous factors.
For example, if China decides to go on a commodity buying binge and drives up commodity prices, that's not an indicator of US inflation.
Ralph F: Once again SLV is up more than GLD, DIA and SPY, capping a massive year in which it outperformed most other asset classes.
10 minutes ago
David White: Average Analyst 1 yr. target for X is $44.56. Current price is $56.86. Major correction coming soon. No CEO's are saying steel is exploding.
11 minutes ago
David White: You can say X is integrated (has coal and iron ore interests), but CLF has those too. CLF's FY2010 PE=16.8. This is 3+ times better than X's
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For example, if China decides to go on a commodity buying binge and drives up commodity prices, that's not an indicator of US inflation.