Based on weather forecast:
http://theweathercentre.blogspot.com/
To Summarize: - A warm start to December is expected (December 1-7). - A predominantly-cold weather event is anticipated in the middle portion of December (December 7-17). - A storm system (possibly more than one) could be seen in this December 7-17 time period. - Following a brief warm spell in the mid-late December period, things could turn stormy again in time for Christmas.
and:
and my model calculation.
Got weak signal for buy Natural gas.
3.658 USD on January futures
I'v done some PUT spread selling on the Strikes 3.6-3.4
and will add more spreads but ITM if we will decline below 3.6 area.
But this is quite risky, and do not recommend follow this trade. Price 3.5 will be much better for long positions.
Partially I load my tracked portfolio with UNG. But only 35%.
the price 18.65 per share.
