Thu, Aug. 20, 2:29 PM
- Alongside interest rate sensitive names, the gold miners are well-bid as the major averages tumble.
- The yellow metal itself is higher by 2.15% to $1,152 per ounce.
- Gold Fields (GFI +15.1%), AngloGold Ashanti (AU +11.2%), Sibanye Gold (SBGL +11.3%), Alamos Gold (AGI +9.7%), IAMGOLD (IAG +6.1%), Randgold (GOLD +5.6%), Barrick (ABX +4.9%), Newmont (NEM +3.7%), Kincross (KGC +2.6%), Goldcorp (GG +3.2%).
Wed, Aug. 19, 9:50 AM
Wed, Aug. 12, 6:06 AM
Fri, Jul. 24, 3:58 PM
- Alamos Gold (AGI +7.6%) is upgraded to Outperfrom from Market Perform at Raymond James on valuation, but the firm cuts its price target to $6 from $8, which would still imply a near double from current levels.
- After AGI closed its merger with AuRico Gold in early July, the firm believed investors would be better off to stay on the sidelines; AGI has since fallen an "unjustifiable" 46% in two weeks vs. gold at 7%, so the firm believes investors now would benefit in adding to positions as the risk/reward profile has swung in their favor.
Mon, Jul. 20, 10:39 AM
- Several gold miner stocks strike new 52-week lows in early trading, as gold prices plunge below $1,100/oz. overnight and adding pressure to a sector that already faces razor-thin margins.
- Investors have turned sharply negative on gold as the U.S. dollar rises ahead of a likely rise in interest rates, and a report out of China shows lower than expected holdings of the metal.
- While most senior gold miners can generate decent margins at $1,100 gold, many small and mid-tier producers are underwater at the price, and some of the seniors are struggling with heavy debt.
- Hitting new 52-week lows today: ABX -9.3%, GG -7.7%, GFI -10.7%, KGC -9.4%, AGI -6.6%, AU -9.7%, SBGL -7.8%, BTG -9.3%, EGO -2.9%, NGD -8%, AUY -8.8%, RGLD -8.2%, FNV -6.8%, SLW -5%.
- Also lower: NEM -9.4%, AEM -7.9%, NG -7%, GOLD -4.8%, IAG -5.1%, HL -5.4%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GDXJ, GGN, DUST, SIL, JNUG, GLDX, JDST, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, SILJ, RING, JUNR, PSAU, TGLDX, GDJJ, GDXS, GDXX, GDJS
Fri, Jul. 17, 2:58 PM
- Barrick Gold (ABX -4.9%) sinks to 24-year lows in Toronto trading, leading a rout among bullion miners as the yellow metal extends its selloff to five-year lows.
- ABX is under particular pressure, as the fall in gold casts doubt on the company’s strategy of shedding assets to pay down its $12.9B debt, as it "becomes harder and harder to sell those assets at any kind of reasonable value if metal prices are unwinding," Macquarie analyst Ron Stewart says.
- ABX reportedly is nearing a deal to sell its Zaldivar copper mine in Chile, and is looking for buyers for its 50% stake in its Kalgoorlie mine, among other properties.
- NEM -2.6%, GG -5.7%, GFI -1.1%, KGC -5.2%, AEM -5.1%, NG -2.2%, AGI -6.6%, AU -5.7%, GOLD -2.5%, SBGL -4.2%, BTG -6.4%, IAG -7.6%, EGO -7.6%, HL -3.5%, NGD -8.4%, AUY -2.9%, RGLD -2.9%, FNV -3.6%, SLW -3.3%.
- ETFs: GDX, NUGT, GGN, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SGDM, ASA, SLVP, RING, PSAU, TGLDX, GDXS, GDXX
Fri, Jul. 10, 2:37 PM
- Alamos Gold (AGI +0.6%) is upgraded to Buy from Hold with a C$9 price target, up from C$8.50, at Canaccord, reflecting recent weakness that has created the opportunity for a 39% upside.
- With the completion of the merger with AuRico Gold, the firm now views AGI as a “higher-quality intermediate gold producer, combining Alamos' strong balance sheet, AuRico's attractive asset base (underpinned by the Young-Davidson mine in Ontario) and Alamos' current growth pipeline.”
- The firm sees potential for long-term growth via a successful overhaul at the San Carlos underground operation and concession of the forestry and operating permits necessary for Turkish assets to operate.
Mon, Jul. 6, 6:43 PM
- Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) completed its acquisition of AuRico Gold (NYSE:AUQ) last week, a deal that gives it much greater scale that should help it withstand a difficult gold price environment, but TD Securities analysts Steven Green says the combined company still faces numerous challenges.
- Most significant is AGI's relatively high operating costs, with estimated all-in sustaining costs of more than US$1K/oz. in 2016 - above most mid-tier peers - and Green expects AGI's Young-Davidson and Mulatos mines will operate at close to breakeven at current metal prices.
- Young-Davidson is AGI's biggest catalyst, and the miner expects to complete the production ramp-up by 2017, but Green thinks there is still plenty of execution risk.
- Green maintains his Hold rating but cuts his stock price target to $8.50 from $9.
Tue, Jun. 2, 10:49 AM
- Alamos Gold (AGI +2.5%) says a Turkish court overturned a lower court ruling and has reinstated the company’s environmental impact assessment for the Kiralzi gold project.
- AGI says the ruling follows a number of positive developments in Turkey this year, including the dismissal of the injunction against its environmental impact assessment for the Agi Dagi project, the passing of a new progressive mining law, and a reduction in forestry fees.
- The ruling removes a key permitting hurdle for AGI’s Turkish portfolio, National Bank analysts say.
Thu, May 7, 6:05 AM
Tue, Apr. 28, 10:11 AM
- Alamos Gold (AGI +2.9%) says a Turkish court has dismissed the injunction order that had been granted against the environmental impact assessment for the company’s Agi Dagi gold project, meaning the Turkish Ministry of Environment’s approval of the EIA has been "returned to good standing.”
- AGI says it is looking forward to resuming work on the project.
Mon, Apr. 27, 6:45 PM
- Gold surged above $1,200/oz. today in its best day since January, as U.S. June gold futures settled up 2.4% to $1,203.20/oz. in its best percentage jump since Jan. 15, amid reports Friday that Venezuela's central bank had converted 1.4M oz. of its gold reserves into at least $1B in cash through a swap with Citibank.
- "That was a huge potential seller taken out of the market. It's not an overhang anymore," Dennis Gartman said of the Venezuela deal.
- Other gold watchers say the bigger factor driving prices was the expiration of May options and short covering; an increase of 13K shorts in the market is a positive since those traders could be forced to buy gold when they cover, says Kevin Grady of Phoenix Futures and Options.
- ETFs: GLD, IAU, SGOL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, GLDI, OUNZ, DGL, DGZ, DGLD, AGOL, TBAR, GEUR, UBG, GYEN, BAR
- Miners finished mostly higher: NEM +2.4%, ABX +2.2%, AU +2.6%, GOLD -0.4%, GFI +5.3%, GG +0.9%, SBGL +3%, NGD +3.1%, EGO +1.7%, AUY +1.8%, KGC flat, IAG +4.2%, BTG +1.9%, HL +1.9%, RGLD -0.8%, FNV +0.8%, AGI +1.3%, AUQ +2.3%.
Fri, Apr. 24, 6:50 PM
- In another day of broad losses among in precious metals miners, Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) enjoyed a 6.5% surge following strong Q1 results that included impressive cost reductions in gold and copper production.
- J.P. Morgan analysts especially liked the strong first quarter at Batu Hijau and Yanacocha and the deferral of some capex that allowed NEM to generate $344M in free cash flows and pay down $200M in debt; the firm says full-year guidance could be raised if cost reductions can be maintained in Q2.
- Otherwise, it was not a good day for mining equities, following another drop in gold futures which tumbled to their lowest level in more than a month.
- NEM CEO Gary Goldberg expects gold prices to gain ~25% to $1,500/oz. by 2020 on rising demand from China and a weaker dollar; for now, Goldberg says the strong U.S. dollar is “definitely having an adverse effect” on gold prices, and he expects the dollar will “eventually come back off of its highs in the next couple of years."
- In today's trade: ABX -0.9%, AU -4.2%, GG -2.6%, SBGL -7.7%, GOLD -2%, AUY -2.5%, NGD -1.9%, GFI -4.4%, SLW -1%, PAAS -1.6%, EGO -4.1%, RGLD -2.7%, FNV -2.1%, KGC -0.4%, IAG -1.4%, BTG -1.9%, HL -1.9%, AGI -1.6%, AUQ -3.1%.
Wed, Apr. 22, 6:36 PM
- Gold tumbled today to its sharpest single session loss in more than six weeks, after the strong U.S. existing home sales report that raised expectations for a Fed interest rate hike in June.
- U.S. gold futures for June delivery fell $16.20 (-1.4%) to settle at $1,186.90/oz., while silver fell 1.3% to $15.77.
- Among precious metals miners today: ABX -3.4%, AU -4%, GG -2.8%, SBGL -6.8%, GOLD -1.5%, AUY -3.7%, NG -1.9%, GFI -5%, SLW -2.1%, PAAS -3.5%, NEM -3.1%, EGO -1.4%, RGLD -2.1%, FNV -3.4%, KGC -1.7%, IAG -4.1%, BTG -2.5%, HL -3.8%, AGI -5.4%, AUQ -4.4%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, NUGT, IAU, AGQ, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, SGDM, DSLV, OUNZ, SLVP, DGL, DBS, DGZ, RING, DGLD, AGOL, PSAU, USV, TBAR, GEUR, UBG, GYEN, BAR, GDXX
Tue, Apr. 21, 4:32 PM
Tue, Apr. 14, 6:57 PM
- The merger of equals between Alamos Gold (NYSE:AGI) and AuRico Gold (NYSE:AUQ) makes no sense for AGI shareholders, as the deal "effectively rescues" AUQ from its balance sheet troubles and provides AGI no premium in exchange, says TD Securities analyst Steven Green.
- The deal's enterprise value of $392 for AGI vs. AUQ's EV of a bit more than $1B means the merger undervalues AGI, Green says in downgrading AGI to Hold from Buy and cuts his stock price target to $9 from $11.
- The deal effectively puts both miners into M&A play, Green says, speculating that Agnico Eagle Mines (NYSE:AEM), Kinross Gold (NYSE:KGC) and Iamgold (NYSE:IAG) could be interested in AGI.
AGI vs. ETF Alternatives
Alamos Gold Inc is engaged in the exploration, mine development and extraction of precious metals. It owns and operates the Mulatos mine and holds the mineral rights to the Salamandra group of concessions in the State of Sonora, Mexico.
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