American Capital Agency Corp. (AGNC) - NASDAQ
  • Fri, Jun. 24, 10:30 AM
    • A sharp drop in long-term rates and vanquished expectations for even one rate hike this year has income players bidding up the prices of utility stocks (XLU +0.7%) and certain REITs even as the major average fall more than 2% post-Brexit.
    • A check of Fed Funds futures finds traders not fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike until 2018!
    • The mortgage REIT sector (REM +0.5%) welcomes the news, with players like Annaly (NLY +1.7%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.1%), Two Harbors (TWO +1.7%), and Chimera (CIM +1.3%) leading the way. Western Asset Mortgage (WMC -0.8%) is a laggard after slashing its dividend by more than 30% last night.
    • Equity REITs are decidedly mixed. Retail names like Realty Income (O +2.4%), National Retail (NNN +2%), and Vereit (VER +0.9%) are higher, as are healthcare players like HCP (HCP +1.2%) and Medical Properties Trust (MPW +0.1). Apartment REITs are mostly lower, as are mall operators like Simon Property (SPG -0.8%) and General Growth (GGP -0.7%).
    • The dollar is surging post-Brexit, however, and that's taking a chunk out of the hotel REITs: Hospitality Properties (HPT -1.5%), Sunstone Hotel (SHO -2.7%), LaSalle (LHO -3.8%), Pebblebrook (PEB -2.4%), RLJ Lodging (RLJ -2.5%).
    | Fri, Jun. 24, 10:30 AM | 43 Comments
  • Wed, Jun. 15, 3:20 PM
    • Fed Funds futures markets are pricing in just a 50% chance of a rate hike in 2016 after the FOMC stayed on hold in June and cut its expectations for future moves higher in interest rates.
    • The mREITs (REM +0.7%) are up just modestly, but all higher now than they were prior to the FOMC news.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +0.6%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.9%), Armour (ARR +1.4%), CYS Investments (CYS +1%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +1.4%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO +1.1%).
    | Wed, Jun. 15, 3:20 PM | 12 Comments
  • Mon, May 23, 3:37 PM
    • American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.4%) is upgraded to Buy from Hold at Wunderlich after the company agreed to buy its external manager from American Capital for $562M.
    • The $23 price target is 21% above the current level.
    • AGNC expects to save about $80M per year from the internalization of management.
    | Mon, May 23, 3:37 PM | 19 Comments
  • Mon, May 23, 8:58 AM
    • The company will pay American Capital $562M in cash to purchase American Capital Mortgage Management, LLC, the external manager of both AGNC and MTGE.
    • The deal is expected to close in Q3.
    • American Capital Management paid $27M in fees to ACMM in Q1, or $108M on an annualized basis. Internalization is expected to save about $80M per year.
    • Alongside the deal, five members of the AGNC board resigned, and Prue Larocca has been elected board chair.
    • The investment team, led by Gary Kain, remains intact.
    • Source: Press Release
    • Shares +3.1% premarket
    • Previously: Ares Capital buying American Capital; American Capital Agency internalizing manager (May 23)
    | Mon, May 23, 8:58 AM | 26 Comments
  • Mon, May 23, 7:52 AM
    • American Capital (NASDAQ:ACAS) owners will receive about $3.43B in cash and ARCC common stock consideration, or $14.95 per share.
    • In addition, American Capital is selling the manager of American Capital Agency (NASDAQ:AGNC) to American Capital Agency for $562M, or $2.45 per share. Ares Management (NYSE:ARES) will help finance the deal.
    • Together, American Capital shareholders are getting $17.40 in value for each share they own vs. Friday's close of $15.62.
    • A conference call is set for 8:30 ET.
    • Source: Press Release
    | Mon, May 23, 7:52 AM | 64 Comments
  • Wed, May 18, 2:25 PM
    • Having repriced over the past few months for a rates lower-for-longer environment, mREITs (REM -1.6%) may have to reprice again as the FOMC minutes more or less signal the central bank's intention to hike rates in June.
    • Yield-starved names like banks, insurers, and online brokers are soaring, but income producers like Annaly Capital (NLY -2.7%), American Capital Mortgage (AGNC -2.5%), Armour (ARR -3.1%), CYS Investments (CYS -3.4%), Capstead (CMO -2%), Western Asset (WMC -2.3%), Anworth (ANH -2.3%), and Ellington Residential (EARN -2.4%) are going the opposite way.
    | Wed, May 18, 2:25 PM | 107 Comments
  • Tue, Apr. 26, 2:38 PM
    • The company last night reported net spread and dollar roll income of just $0.52 per share - that's down from $0.54 in Q4 and stands against the dividend rate of $0.60. It has some speculation about a forthcoming cut in the payout.
    • Management isn't in the habit of giving dividend guidance, but CEO Gary Kain in the past has discussed the shortcomings of net spread income, and doesn't view it as expressing the "true earnings power of the portfolio."
    • He notes that buybacks done at discounts to book value boost earnings power as do narrowing mortgage spreads (which the company expects). Also funding costs are expected to improve.
    • There's also leverage, and while it rose to 7.3x from 6.8x during the quarter, the company sees the bias as towards a level closer to 8x, though don't expect to get there too quickly.
    • AGNC -2.3%
    • Now read: American Capital Agency's (AGNC) CEO Gary Kain on Q1 2016 Results - Earnings Call Transcript (April 26)
    | Tue, Apr. 26, 2:38 PM | 12 Comments
  • Mon, Apr. 11, 12:49 PM
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -1.1%) is lower following its agreement to purchase Hatteras Financial (HTS +10.2%) for $1.5B in cash and stock. The other sector giant, American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.1%) is in the red as well - makes sense considering these two players are acquirers (or at least potentially so), not targets.
    • With the deal, Annaly is adding a portfolio of variable rate mortgages to its books for about 85% of book value.
    • The rest of the sector has market caps of about $2.5B down to sub-$250M, making them digestible as well.
    • CYS Investments (CYS +1.3%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE +1.9%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +2.5%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH +1.2%), Dynex Capital (DX +0.9%), AG Mortgage (MITT +1.2%), Ellington Residential (EARN +1.2%), PennyMac (PMT +1%), Five Oaks (OAKS +1.6%).
    • Now read: Annaly: Boom Goes The Dynamite (April 11)
    | Mon, Apr. 11, 12:49 PM | 10 Comments
  • Tue, Mar. 29, 2:56 PM
    • A fast series of rate hikes wouldn't be good news for mortgage REITs, whose carry-trade business model breaks down with a flat or, worse, inverted yield curve.
    • Any worries about hawkish Fed action were considerably diminished today after Janet Yellen said caution on rate hikes is "especially warranted," and suggested there's more slack in the labor market than what the trim 4.9% headline UE rate would suggest.
    • Mostly lower earlier, the mREIT sector (REM +1.2%) has turned sharply higher.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +0.35), American Capital (AGNC +0.4%), Armour (ARR +1.2%), CYS Investments (CYS +2.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +3.2%), MFA Financial (MFA +1.4%), Western Asset (WMC +2.7%), Anworth (ANH +1.5%), Dynex (DX +2.1%), AG Mortgage (MITT +1.9%), Ellington Financial (EFC +1.2%).
    | Tue, Mar. 29, 2:56 PM | 15 Comments
  • Thu, Mar. 17, 1:31 PM
    • It's day two of advances for the mortgage REIT sector (REM +1.6%) after the Fed's dovish turn yesterday. The spread between two-year and ten-year U.S. Treasury yields is up to 102 basis points vs. an eight-year low of 95 bps just over a week ago. That spread, of course, is what mortgage REITs profit from, and bigger is better.
    • American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.8%), Two Harbors (TWO +2%), CYS Investments (CYS +1.8%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +5.3%), MFA Financial (MFA +1.2%), Dynex (DX +2.4%), Ellington (EARN +1.7%), Five Oaks (OAKS +2.9%)
    • Previously: Mortgage REITs in the green after dovish Fed (March 16)
    | Thu, Mar. 17, 1:31 PM | 12 Comments
  • Fri, Feb. 26, 10:07 AM
    • The mREITs (REM +1.3%) are higher across the board after Apollo Residential Mortgage (AMTG +31.3%) agrees to a sale at a hefty premium to last night's close, but still at a discount to book value.
    • The entire sector is trading at sizable discounts to book value, with some names at massive discounts. For its part, Apollo Residential yesterday could be purchased for about 60% of its end-of-year book value. And the assets on the books of these companies tend to be highly liquid and easily valued.
    • Running an mREIT may not be a terribly efficient exercise at the small market caps most of the sector sports. The companies depend on being able to issue stock with which to fund growth, but can't do so (without being wildly dilutive) when the shares are trading at such wide discounts.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY +0.6%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.2%) have market caps above $6B, and Two Harbors (TWO +0.8%), Chimera (CIM +1.1%), CYS Investments (CYS +1%), Invesco (IVR +3.5%), Hatteras (HTS +1.2%), MFA Financial (MFA +1%), and Capstead (CMO +1%) are all near or well over $1B.
    • Players in Apollo's league (sub-$500M market cap) include New York Mortgage (NYMT +1%), Western Asset (WMC +0.6%), Anworth (ANH +1.3%), Dynex (DX +1.4%), Arlington Asset (AI +4.6%), AG Mortgage (MITT +8.7%), The Ellingtons (EFC +1.9%), (EARN +1.1%), Javelin (JMI +2.8%), Orchid Island (ORC +1.5%), Five Oaks (OAKS +0.7%), ZAIS Financial (ZFC +1.3%)
    | Fri, Feb. 26, 10:07 AM | 32 Comments
  • Wed, Feb. 3, 3:01 PM
    • Today's gains are being led by Arlington Asset (AI +7.3%) (not a REIT, but in the business) after it posted its first quarterly increase in book value in six quarters last night.
    • American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.7%) reported earlier this week, and Nomura's Brock Vandervliet notes three positives from yesterday's earnings call (transcript): 1) More buybacks are coming; 2) Green shoots are apparent in the MBS market; 3) Book value should remain stable from here (it rose a bit in the year's final month, though dipped for the quarter).
    • He does slightly adjust downward his earnings estimates - by a penny in Q1 to $0.54 per share, and by two cents for the full year. He expects the $0.60 dividend is safe through H1, but there is some risk there.
    • Annaly (NLY +0.7%), Two Harbors (TWO +2.9%), CYS (CYS +2.6%), Hatteras (HTS +1.9%), Capstead (CMO +2.2%), Dynex (DX +2.2%)
    • Previously: Arlington Asset posts Q4 book value gain (Feb. 2)
    • Previously: American Capital Agency higher post-earnings (Feb. 2)
    | Wed, Feb. 3, 3:01 PM | 22 Comments
  • Tue, Feb. 2, 11:33 AM
    • "We believe the Fed will be forced to abandon its 'tightening bias' before the end of 2016," says American Capital Agency (AGNC +2.3%) , talking about the 2016 outlook in its earnings presentation. The statement is less bold than it seems given last week's dovish FOMC statement.
    • With "lower for longer" maybe about to emerge as the accepted rates theme, levered buyers of MBS today could be setting themselves for nice returns, says the company.
    • "We believe the mortgage REIT space is significantly mispriced as the fundamental value of underlying investments has improved."
    • Along with a more benign rate environment, other catalysts include a funding market which has already repriced to reflect new regulatory requirements, and now-wide spreads becoming less so.
    • Previously: American Capital Agency manages positive return in Q4 (Feb. 1)
    | Tue, Feb. 2, 11:33 AM
  • Wed, Jan. 20, 10:44 AM
    • The discounts to book values across the sector have grown to such high levels that one wonders whether it just makes more sense for many of these players to liquidate the portfolios and return the money to the shareholders.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY -4.9%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC -4.6%) are selling at 30% discounts to their most recent book value.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -8.3%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -7%), Hatteras Financial (HTS -5%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -9.5%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -6.4%), AG Mortgage (MITT -7.2%), Anworth (ANH -6.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -8.7%), and Five Oaks (OAKS -8%) are selling at greater than 40% discounts. Two Harbors (TWO -7.5%), CYS Investments (CYS -6.2%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -6%), Capstead (CMO -5.9%), Dynex (DX -7.2%), Western Asset (WMC -8%), Ellington Residential (EARN -7.2%), and Orchid Island (ORC -9.6%) are all nearing 40% discounts.
    • MFA Financial (MFA -6.4%) and Chimera Investment (CIM -8.1%) are both nearing 30% discounts to book.
    | Wed, Jan. 20, 10:44 AM | 249 Comments
  • Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is off eight basis points on the session at 2.10%, and now lower by about 20 basis points since the Fed Funds rate got hiked 25 basis points less than a month ago - probably not the best scenario for mREIT earnings going forward.
    • Other income favorites like equity REITs, BDCs, and utilities (XLU -0.8%) are also being aggressively sold today.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -1.8%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.7%), Armour Residential (ARR -2.4%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.9%), Invesco (IVR -2.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -2.3%), Hatteras (HTS -3.2%), Capstead (CMO -3.6%), Western Asset (WMC -2.9%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -3.6%), Dynex (DX -3.1%), Ellington Residential (EARN -3.5%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.2%), PennyMac (PMT -4.9%), FIve Oaks (OAKS -5.7%)
    | Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM | 24 Comments
  • Dec. 16, 2015, 2:24 PM
    • The about left-for-dead mortgage REIT sector (REM +2.4%) has been enjoying a big Fed rate hike day, and has added to gains since the news officially came down at 2 ET.
    • Credit-exposed names are leading the way higher: Chimera Investment (CIM +5.7%), Invesco (IVR +2.4%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +2.1%), Western Asset (WMC +5.6%), Anworth (ANH +2.7%), Arlington Asset (AI +4.7%), AG Mortgage (MITT +4.2%), Orchid Island (ORC +5%). MFA Financial (MFA +3.4%)
    • Others: Annaly (NLY +2.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.8%), CYS Investments, Capstead (CMO +1.6%)
    • Previously: Fed projections: 1.4% Fed Funds by the end of 2016 (Dec. 16)
    • Previously: Fed officially puts an end to ZIRP (Dec. 16)
    | Dec. 16, 2015, 2:24 PM | 35 Comments
Company Description
American Capital Agency Corp. is a real estate investment trust. It primarily invests in agency mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations. The company's investments consist of securities, for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by United States... More
Sector: Financial
Industry: REIT - Residential
Country: United States