Allegiant Travel Company
 (ALGT)

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  • Jul. 29, 2015, 4:19 PM
    • Allegiant Travel Company (NASDAQ:ALGT): Q2 EPS of $3.18 beats by $0.05.
    • Revenue of $322.10M (+10.9% Y/Y) beats by $0.86M.
    • Shares +0.67%.
    | Jul. 29, 2015, 4:19 PM
  • Jul. 28, 2015, 5:35 PM
  • Jul. 25, 2015, 12:31 PM
    • Airlines stocks ended the week on a down note, despite record profits being reported by American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), and Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV).
    • Investors kept their sharp focus on key metric PRASM (passenger revenue per available seat mile) by turning skittish when American execs warned fare pressure will keep PRASM growth negative into 2016.
    • Fares fell in May and June on an unadjusted basis as reported by the BLS, but perhaps an even bigger eye-opener was the 19% drop reported by Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE) on average ticket revenue per flight segment - a sign of promotional pressure.
    • Regulatory pressure also continues to be a larger factor. The DOT is now probing Delta Airlines (NYSE:DAL), United Continental, Southwest Airlines, and Jetblue (NASDAQ:JBLU), for possible price-gouging following the Amtrak train crash in Philadelphia. That follows a broader DOJ investigation into capacity growth collusion.
    • Hedging: Though lower fuel costs continue to a major tailwind, some airlines were burned by increasing hedging activity too quickly. No-hedging American reported a 38.5% drop in fuel per available seat mile in Q2, while United Continental had to absorb a $118M hedging loss which lowered its consolidated fuel expense savings to 32% Y/Y. United said it's building up a small hedge heading into 2016 (UAL earnings call transcript).
    • Related stocks: HA, ALK, ALGT, VA, RJET.
    • Related ETF: JETS.
    | Jul. 25, 2015, 12:31 PM | 32 Comments
  • Jul. 22, 2015, 11:09 AM
    • Raymond James upgrades Allegiant Travel (ALGT +1.1%) to an Outperform rating from Market Perform.
    • The investment firm assigns a price target of $225 on the airline stock.
    • Allegiant reported a load factor of 88.7% in June and 86.7% for Q2 as it remains one of the more cautious companies in the sector on capacity growth.
    | Jul. 22, 2015, 11:09 AM
  • Jul. 17, 2015, 8:48 AM
    • Airline fares rose 2.0% Y/Y in June on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
    • The average fare was 1.3% lower than the level from a year ago on an unadjusted basis.
    • The increase in fares for the month follows a 5.7% jump in May.
    • There's a bit of a balancing act with fares for airlines amid a DOJ probe on collusion. Though heavyweight industry execs are looking for fare stabilization and controlled capacity increases, they are very likely to keep a tight rein on their public comments. Most analysts don't think there is a smoking gun on collusion similar to the infamous taped conversations between Braniff and American execs in the 1980s.
    • Related stocks: LUV, UAL, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, VA, SKYW.
    • Related ETF: JETS.
    • BLS CPI data
    | Jul. 17, 2015, 8:48 AM | 19 Comments
  • Jul. 14, 2015, 11:04 AM
    • It's a topsy-turvy day for the airline sector with JetBlue (JBLU +1.5%) impressing with its June traffic numbers and Spirit Airlines (SAVE -8.5%) disappointing with guidance.
    • The bigger story might be the forecast on oil prices after the Iran nuclear deal was hammered out.
    • Though oil prices haven't moved off dramatically with the timing of excess supply on the market unknown, the development is a long-term consideration for airlines which are looking for a sustained period of lower jet fuel prices.
    • Also on the radar, capacity concerns have been dialed back a bit over the last week, while a report yesterday on booming ancillary revenue in the sector painted a bright picture.
    • Trading is mixed on Delta Air Lines (DAL +0.2%), American Airlines Group (AAL -0.8%), United Continental (UAL -0.5%), Virgin America (VA -0.4%), Allegiant Trading (ALGT -0.8%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -0.5%), Alaska Airl Group (ALK +0.4%), Republic Airway (RJET -1.9%), and Southwest Airlines (LUV -0.4%).
    • There's always the U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSEARCA:JETS) for a broad sector play.
    • Previously: Load factor impresses at JetBlue (Jul. 14 2015)
    • Previously: Spirit Airlines cuts 2015 op. margin guidance; shares -4.8% (Jul. 13 2015)
    | Jul. 14, 2015, 11:04 AM | 17 Comments
  • Jul. 13, 2015, 2:33 PM
    • Ancillary revenue in the airline industry rose 21% last year, according to analysis from IdeaWorks and CarTrawler.
    • Low-cost carriers saw a 33% jump in extra fees, while the U.S. majors realized a 19% increase.
    • Ancillary revenue at United Continental (NYSE:UAL) was $5.681B to lead all airlines.
    • Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE), Allegiant (NASDAQ:ALGT), and Ryanair (NASDAQ:RYAAY) all showed +24% gains in ancillary revenue.
    • Jet2.com (OTC:DRTGF) , Spirit, and Qnatas Airways (OTCPK:QUBSF, OTCQX:QABSY) all made more than $50 per passenger.
    • Though bags fly free at Southwest (NYSE:LUV), the carrier still saw a 16% rise in ancillary revenue to $1.885B due in part to the popularity of its Rapid Rewards program.
    | Jul. 13, 2015, 2:33 PM | 6 Comments
  • Jul. 9, 2015, 11:20 AM
    | Jul. 9, 2015, 11:20 AM | 34 Comments
  • Jun. 20, 2015, 2:45 PM
    • Airlines stocks are poised for a breakout as the reality of improved profits overrides concerns on capacity growth, reasons Barron's Jack Hough.
    • The publication mirrors the view of many SA commenters that there's a disconnect between valuations in the sector and the degree to which lower jet fuel prices continue to prime operating earnings.
    • Take for example no-hedging American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL) which is estimated to save $4B a year from the lower level of jet fuel prices. Other airlines are peeling off some hedges to reap a bigger fuel benefit each quarter.
    • Efficiency for U.S. airlines is still solid with a majority of airlines reporting load factors of 80% or higher, although increased competition in some markets has pushed key metric RASM lower. The most recent read on fares came in positive.
    • Also in the mix is the continued growth of service fees and consolidation benefits from mergers by legacy carriers.
    • P-E ratios of below 12 (based off of 2015 estimates) are common in the sector giving investors something of a value play. Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET) can be nabbed with a forward earnings multiple of 6.48. JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU) is up 27% YTD, but only trades with a 10.5 P-E collar.
    • Barron's identifies American Airlines Group, Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), and Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV) as four stocks that could rise 15% to 50% over the next year. If the view on the sector is spot-on - JetBlue, Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA), Hawaiian Holdings (NASDAQ:HA), Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE), Republic Airways, Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT), SkyWest (NASDAQ:SKYW),  and Alaska Airlines Group (NYSE:ALK) should also put in gains.
    • Related ETFs: JETS
    | Jun. 20, 2015, 2:45 PM | 37 Comments
  • Jun. 18, 2015, 5:36 PM
    | Jun. 18, 2015, 5:36 PM | 4 Comments
  • Jun. 18, 2015, 9:06 AM
    • Airline fares rose 5.7% in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
    • The average fare was still down 6.6% from last year on an unadjusted basis after the sector ran off a string of months with decreases.
    • Fares fell 1.3% in April and 1.7% in March.
    • If the bump in fares extends it could alleviate some concerns in the industry over capacity growth.
    • Related stocks: LUV, UAL, DAL, AAL, JBLU, ALK, HA, SAVE, ALGT, RJET, VA, SKYW.
    • BLS CPI data
    | Jun. 18, 2015, 9:06 AM | 14 Comments
  • Jun. 9, 2015, 10:58 AM
    • The jittery airline sector is having a volatile day once again.
    • Capacity concerns have been the major focus of sellers, although the strong move higher of oil prices today is also in the background.
    • American Airlines Group reported a drop in its load factor earlier as capacity growth came in ahead of revenue passenger miles.
    • Though Raymond James issued a biting downgrade on American, United Continental, and Delta yesterday - some analysts such as Sterne Agee CRT's Michael Derchin think the pessimism is overdone.
    • Q2 conference calls could calm fears on capacity running hot, reasons the analyst.
    • A higher level of buybacks in the sector and reasonable valuations based on earnings projections are also factors.
    • Sector watch: Alaska Air Group (ALK -6.4%), Southwest Airlines (LUV -5.8%), SkyWest (SKYW -3.4%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -4.7%), Spirit Airline (SAVE -4.4%), Delta Air Lines (DAL -3.7%), Allegiant Travel (ALGT -3.6%), Republic Airways (RJET -2.9%), Virgin America (VA -2.6%), United Continental (UAL -1.8%), American Airlines Group (AAL -2%), JetBlue (JBLU -1.9%).
    • The U.S. Global Jets ETF (NYSE:JETS) is down 2.96% on the day.
    • Previously: American Airlines Group's capacity up 2% in May
    | Jun. 9, 2015, 10:58 AM | 19 Comments
  • Jun. 8, 2015, 3:33 PM
    • Allegiant Travel (ALGT -3.2%) wins a court battle in Nevada when an appeals court reversed a ruling from a lower court that limited the airline company from making changes to work rules amid contract negotiations with a Teamsters union.
    • A three-judge panel determined Allegiant can begin collective bargaining agreement negotiations again with the case out of appeal.
    | Jun. 8, 2015, 3:33 PM
  • May 30, 2015, 10:43 AM
    • The airline sector has been rattled this month by an indication from Southwest Airlines of a slight increase in capacity and some RevPAR tallies below expectations.
    • Concerns on pricing and capacity have held back some analysts from setting higher price targets on the group for the next year.
    • Over the last year, most airline stocks have showed a high degree of correlation with oil prices despite all the other factors that impact profits in the sector.
    • Southwest Airlines (NYSE:LUV), United Continental (NYSE:UAL), Alaska Airlines Group (NYSE:ALK), and Allegiant Travel (NASDAQ:ALGT) all had a correlation coefficient of -0.90 or lower between their daily closing share price and the level of oil. A mark of -1.0 indicates perfect negative correlation - while 0.0 indicates no correlation and +1.0 is perfect positive correlation.
    • American Airlines Group (NASDAQ:AAL), Delta Air Lines (NYSE:DAL), JetBlue (NASDAQ:JBLU), Republic Airways (NASDAQ:RJET), and Hawaiian Airlines (NASDAQ:HA) were all at -0.80 or lower.
    • Over a shorter period due to its IPO launch, the correlation coefficient on Virgin America (NASDAQ:VA) vs. oil came in at -0.733.
    • The U.S. carriers marching with the most independence from oil prices were Spirit Airlines (NASDAQ:SAVE) at -0.622 and SkyWest (NASDAQ:SKYW) at -0.701.
    • Pricing data and correlation coefficients
    | May 30, 2015, 10:43 AM | 16 Comments
  • May 22, 2015, 9:02 AM
    | May 22, 2015, 9:02 AM | 14 Comments
  • May 20, 2015, 10:42 AM
    • Airline stocks are making a strong move lower after oil prices react to supply data out of the U.S. and Japan along with renewed tension in Yemen.
    • Some sector analysts have noted the swings in airline share prices (up/down) are outsized compared to the impact on jet fuel prices of daily developments in the crude oil market.
    • Platts has a breakdown of how supply and demand forces in the jet fuel market bring other factors into play.
    • Leading airline decliners: Southwest Airlines (LUV -6.8%), American Airlines Group (AAL -6.1%), JetBlue (JBLU -6.3%), United Continental (UAL -6%), Spirit Airline (SAVE -5.3%), Delta Air Lines (DAL -4.9%), Alaska Air Group (ALK -3.9%), Hawaiian Holdings (HA -4.6%), Republic Airways (RJET -3.5%), Allegiant Travel (ALGT -3.8%).
    • Related ETFs: JETS.
    | May 20, 2015, 10:42 AM | 60 Comments
Company Description
Allegiant Travel Co LLC a leisure travel company, engaged in transporting travelers in small cities to leisure destinations. The Company provides air-related services and products along with air transportation.
Sector: Services
Country: United States