AngloGold Ashanti: 5 Reasons To Be Bullish
SomaBull • 15 Comments
SomaBull • 15 Comments
AngloGold Ashanti: The Restructuring Plan Could Fail
Jun. 9, 2015, 10:23 AM
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU +8.5%) surges at the open following the sale of its Cripple Creek & Victor mine to Newmont Mining (NEM -1.5%), ending speculation it would have to issue shares in its effort to cut $3.1B in debt.
- CEO Srinivasan Venkatakrishnan says the sale of the Colorado mine for $820M plus 2.5% of future gold production will reduce AU’s net debt to its target level of 1.5x earnings.
- Proceeds from the sale represent ~25% of AU’s market value, while the asset produced less than 5% of the company’s gold, the CEO says, adding that the sale will save $200M on capital spending in the next two years.
- The sale benefits NEM too, Sterne Agee analysts say, adding a large long-life mine to its U.S. profile with expansion potential, improving geographic mix, lowering NEM's overall all-in sustaining costs profile, and appearing accretive on a production per share basis.
- However, Jefferies says the fact that NEM is funding the acquisition with an equity issue may indicate that NEM shares are overvalued.
Jun. 9, 2015, 9:17 AM
Jun. 8, 2015, 4:36 PM
- Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) -1.5% AH after agreeing to acquire the Cripple Creek & Victor gold mine in Colorado from AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) for $820M in cash plus a 2.5% net smelter return royalty for gold production from potential future underground ore.
- NEM believes the deal will add 350K-400K oz./year of gold in 2016 and 2017 at all-in sustaining costs of between $825-$875/oz.
- To fund the deal, NEM plans to conduct a public offering of 29M common shares, with an underwriters option to purchase up to an additional 4.35M shares.
Jun. 8, 2015, 12:19 PM
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU -1%) and Acacia Mining (OTC:ABGLF) are the miners in Africa that should be best positioned for increased production growth, RBC says, adding that it also likes Asanko Gold (AKG +1.2%) and Aureus Mining (OTC:ARSMF).
- RBC says Acacia (formerly African Barrick Gold) has made significant progress, driving down all-in sustaining costs to below $1,100/oz. and increasing production guidance; for AU, the firm expects the combination of improved operating performance following the placing of the Obuasi mine on care and maintenance, and the likelihood of asset disposals to support a re-rating of the stock.
Jun. 2, 2015, 7:57 AM
- Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) is in exclusive talks with AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) as it moves closer toward clinching a deal to buy the latter's Cripple Creek & Victor gold mine in Colorado, Reuters reports.
- If AU agrees to a sale, the asset is likely to fetch a price in the $700M-$800M range, according to the report, which would be well below the $1B initially speculated by analysts.
- Others that may still re-enter the bidding if NEM fails to strike a deal are Canadian miners Iamgold (NYSE:IAG), Kinross (NYSE:KGC), Goldcorp (NYSE:GG) and Yamana (NYSE:AUY); Hecla Mining (NYSE:HL) has said it looked at the mine but decided against making a bid for it.
- AU said in April it was seeking a partner or buyer for the mine as it attempts to cut $3.1B in debt; Cripple Creek & Victor is an open pit mine that produced 211K oz. of gold and 110K oz. of silver in 2014.
May 13, 2015, 2:49 PM
- South Africa's Association of Mineworkers and Construction Union says it wants to more than double the basic pay for entry level workers in the gold mining industry, setting the stage for tough pay talks as the companies battle rising costs and falling profits.
- The country's top bullion producers, including AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU), Sibanye Gold (NYSE:SBGL) and Harmony Gold (NYSE:HMY), say high pay increases would lead to the decline of a struggling industry.
- AMCU also called for a doubling of wages in the platinum sector last year, sparking a long strike, before settling for raises of ~20%/year; platinum miner Lonmin (OTC:LNMIF) said last week it would cut 3,500 jobs at its South African mines.
- The rival the National Union of Mineworkers, vying for popularity with AMCU, secured a wage deal with Gold Fields (NYSE:GFI) in April, and is said to seek up to 75% wage hikes from the rest of the sector.
May 11, 2015, 8:39 AM
- In its Q1 results, AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) reported production totaled 969K oz., beating the company’s guidance of 900K-940K oz., while all-in sustaining costs fell 9% Y/Y to $926/oz.
- However, South African production fell 18% to 239K oz., partly as a result of safety-related interruptions, as well as a 12% rise in all-in sustaining costs.
- Expects Q2 production of 960K-1M oz., and says capex for the year remains unchanged at $1B-$1.1B.
- CEO Officer Srinivasan Venkatakrishnan says in the earnings call that the company will present a tradeoff between pay increases and job losses to South African unions when wage negotiations begin next month.
- Also says it is testing market interest for the sale of all or part of its Cripple Creek & Victor mine in the U.S., and is in talks to sell its stake in the Sadiola and Yatela mines in Mali, with the proceeds of any potential sales earmarked to reduce debt levels.
- AU +1.2% premarket.
May 11, 2015, 8:02 AM
- AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU): Q1 Adj. Earnings of $35M.
- Revenue of $1.12B (-17.6% Y/Y)
Apr. 27, 2015, 6:45 PM
- Gold surged above $1,200/oz. today in its best day since January, as U.S. June gold futures settled up 2.4% to $1,203.20/oz. in its best percentage jump since Jan. 15, amid reports Friday that Venezuela's central bank had converted 1.4M oz. of its gold reserves into at least $1B in cash through a swap with Citibank.
- "That was a huge potential seller taken out of the market. It's not an overhang anymore," Dennis Gartman said of the Venezuela deal.
- Other gold watchers say the bigger factor driving prices was the expiration of May options and short covering; an increase of 13K shorts in the market is a positive since those traders could be forced to buy gold when they cover, says Kevin Grady of Phoenix Futures and Options.
- ETFs: GLD, IAU, SGOL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, GLDI, OUNZ, DGL, DGZ, DGLD, AGOL, TBAR, GEUR, UBG, GYEN, BAR
- Miners finished mostly higher: NEM +2.4%, ABX +2.2%, AU +2.6%, GOLD -0.4%, GFI +5.3%, GG +0.9%, SBGL +3%, NGD +3.1%, EGO +1.7%, AUY +1.8%, KGC flat, IAG +4.2%, BTG +1.9%, HL +1.9%, RGLD -0.8%, FNV +0.8%, AGI +1.3%, AUQ +2.3%.
Apr. 24, 2015, 6:50 PM
- In another day of broad losses among in precious metals miners, Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) enjoyed a 6.5% surge following strong Q1 results that included impressive cost reductions in gold and copper production.
- J.P. Morgan analysts especially liked the strong first quarter at Batu Hijau and Yanacocha and the deferral of some capex that allowed NEM to generate $344M in free cash flows and pay down $200M in debt; the firm says full-year guidance could be raised if cost reductions can be maintained in Q2.
- Otherwise, it was not a good day for mining equities, following another drop in gold futures which tumbled to their lowest level in more than a month.
- NEM CEO Gary Goldberg expects gold prices to gain ~25% to $1,500/oz. by 2020 on rising demand from China and a weaker dollar; for now, Goldberg says the strong U.S. dollar is “definitely having an adverse effect” on gold prices, and he expects the dollar will “eventually come back off of its highs in the next couple of years."
- In today's trade: ABX -0.9%, AU -4.2%, GG -2.6%, SBGL -7.7%, GOLD -2%, AUY -2.5%, NGD -1.9%, GFI -4.4%, SLW -1%, PAAS -1.6%, EGO -4.1%, RGLD -2.7%, FNV -2.1%, KGC -0.4%, IAG -1.4%, BTG -1.9%, HL -1.9%, AGI -1.6%, AUQ -3.1%.
Apr. 22, 2015, 6:36 PM
- Gold tumbled today to its sharpest single session loss in more than six weeks, after the strong U.S. existing home sales report that raised expectations for a Fed interest rate hike in June.
- U.S. gold futures for June delivery fell $16.20 (-1.4%) to settle at $1,186.90/oz., while silver fell 1.3% to $15.77.
- Among precious metals miners today: ABX -3.4%, AU -4%, GG -2.8%, SBGL -6.8%, GOLD -1.5%, AUY -3.7%, NG -1.9%, GFI -5%, SLW -2.1%, PAAS -3.5%, NEM -3.1%, EGO -1.4%, RGLD -2.1%, FNV -3.4%, KGC -1.7%, IAG -4.1%, BTG -2.5%, HL -3.8%, AGI -5.4%, AUQ -4.4%.
- ETFs: GLD, SLV, GDX, NUGT, IAU, AGQ, DUST, SIL, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, GLDX, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, SGDM, DSLV, OUNZ, SLVP, DGL, DBS, DGZ, RING, DGLD, AGOL, PSAU, USV, TBAR, GEUR, UBG, GYEN, BAR, GDXX
Apr. 13, 2015, 7:00 AM
- AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU) is entering second-round talks with Newmont Mining (NYSE:NEM) and Kinross Gold (NYSE:KGC) for its Cripple Creek & Victor mine in the U.S., FT reports.
- Iamgold (NYSE:IAG) and Goldcorp (NYSE:GG) have also expressed interest for part or all of Cripple Creek.
- AngloGold says the sale is part of an "objective to simplify and improve the overall quality of its portfolio." It could also raise up to $1B and help the South African group cut its debt after a plan for a rights issue failed last year.
- AU -1.4% premarket
Apr. 10, 2015, 12:58 PM
- Gold Fields (GFI +4.4%) says it has reached a three-year wage agreement with trade unions at its South Deep mine in South Africa, will result in average annual wage increases of 10% over the three-year period of the deal.
- In explaining the increase, GFI says South Deep is the only fully mechanized gold mining operation in South Africa, with a different operating model and labor profile vs. labor-intensive gold mining undertaken by other companies.
- AngloGold Ashanti (NYSE:AU), Sibanye Gold (NYSE:SBGL) and Harmony Gold (NYSE:HMY) are thus not likely to see the deal as a precursor to similar wage increases at the other gold mines.
Mar. 31, 2015, 10:35 AM
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU +1.9%) says it received an approach for the purchase of stakes in two of its mines in Mali.
- AU says a potential buyer that meets its criteria has approached it about its 41% stake in the Sadiola mine in Mali and 40% holding in the Yatela mine, and has asked the buyer for a binding bid.
- AU also says it is seeking a partner or buyer for the Cripple Creek & Victor mine, its only U.S. operation; Barclays has said a sale of the mine could raise $800M.
- The miner is seeking to sell mines or share capital costs with partners in a bid to cut its $3B of debt, partly accumulated during the decade-long bull run in gold to 2011.
Mar. 6, 2015, 2:42 PM
- Precious metals miners are bludgeoned as April Comex gold tumbles 2.7% to $1,164.30/oz. for its lowest settlement of the year so far.
- The culprit was the upbeat February jobs report, which sparked fears that the improving economy will prompt the Fed to hike interest rates sooner rather than later.
- ABX -6%, GG -6.6%, NEM -7.9%, AU -6.1%, AUY -6.6%, KGC -7.8%, SLW -3.4%, GOLD -5.4%, EGO -5%, GFI -7.9%, HL -10.4%, RGLD -8.6%, FNV -3.2%, NG -4.3%, SBGL -6.4%, PAAS -4.3%,BTG -6.5%, IAG -6.2%, AUQ -5.6%, AGI -2.8%.
- Precious metals ETFs: GLD, SLV, AGQ, IAU, USLV, SIVR, SGOL, ZSL, UGL, DGP, GLL, UGLD, DZZ, SLVO, GLDI, DSLV, OUNZ, DGL, DBS, GLTR, DGZ, DGLD, AGOL, DBP, WITE, TBAR, USV, UBG, JJP, BAR, GYEN, GEUR, BARS, RGRP, BLNG
- Precious metals mining ETFs: GDX, NUGT, DUST, SIL, GLDX, SLVP, RING, SGDM, PSAU, GDXX
Feb. 19, 2015, 3:15 PM
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU -3.3%) has hired banks to seek buyers or partners for its assets in the Americas in a bid to reduce billions of dollars of debt, WSJ reports.
- AU is said to be discussing potential deals that would include copper and gold development projects in Colombia and a working gold mine in Colorado.
- The miner said last week at an industry conference that it was looking for partnerships for its La Colosa gold deposit and the Nuevo Chaquiro copper and gold deposit in Colombia, in order to share future project risk and cost.
AngloGold Ashanti Ltd. is a gold mining and exploration company. Its main business includes gold exploration, mining and production of gold, manufacturing, marketing and selling of gold products. AngloGold Ashanti was founded in 1944 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa.
Sector: Basic Materials
Country: South Africa
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