Tue, Nov. 10, 6:21 PM
- As expected, both Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) and Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) shareholders have approved the companies' planned merger. Avago states over 99% of shareholder votes were cast in favor of the deal. (PRs: Avago, Broadcom)
- The deal is expected to close in late 2015 or early 2016, following (expected) regulatory approvals; EU regulators are reportedly set to sign off. As previously announced, Broadcom shareholders can elect to receive either $54.50/share in cash or 0.4378 shares (current value of $52.47), with half the total payout in cash and half in stock.
- Avago fell 5.3% and Broadcom fell 3.3% in regular trading following a Credit Suisse report stating Apple has cut iPhone component orders by up to 10%.
Tue, Nov. 10, 8:32 AM| Tue, Nov. 10, 8:32 AM | 16 Comments
Thu, Nov. 5, 4:32 PM
- Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) has risen to $124.00 after hours after Skyworks provided strong FQ1 guidance to go with FQ4 results that nearly matched its October outlook, and beaten-down Qorvo beat FQ2 estimates and offered mixed FQ3 guidance (below-consensus revenue, in-line EPS).
- Avago's FQ4 (October quarter) report typically arrives later this month.
Tue, Nov. 3, 6:19 AM
- EU antitrust regulators are set to unconditionally approve Avago Technologies' (NASDAQ:AVGO) proposed $37B takeover of Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM), according to Reuters.
- The acquisition is one in a series of global semiconductor deals this year, with consolidation driven by demand for cheaper chips and new products to power Internet-connected devices.
Thu, Oct. 29, 12:29 PM
- Down on Monday following Dialog Semi's Q3 report and up yesterday in the wake of Apple's results/guidance, chip stocks are selling off again (SOXX -2.5%) after leading microcontroller vendor NXP (NXPI -18.2%) posted mixed Q3 results and (more importantly) guided for Q4 revenue to be down by a "low to upper-teens" % Q/Q. The Nasdaq is down 0.3%.
- Also: 1) NXP rival and fellow European chipmaker STMicroelectronics (STM -5.8%) slightly missed Q3 revenue estimates and has guided for Q4 revenue to be down 6% (+/- 3.5%) Q/Q. 2) Network processor vendor Cavium (CAVM -5%) issued light Q4 guidance, while blaming a distribution model change at its biggest data center customer. 3) Microcontroller maker Atmel (ATML -2.4%, set to be acquired by Dialog) missed Q3 revenue estimates and guided for Q4 revenue of $266M-$286M, below a $296.1M consensus.
- On the bright side, Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic (CRUS -5.7%) beat FQ2 EPS estimates (revenue was in-line) and provided solid FQ3 guidance, and fellow Apple/Samsung supplier InvenSense (INVN +14.3%) beat FQ2 estimates and issued in-line FQ3 guidance. Cirrus is nonetheless selling off; the earnings call (transcript) was generally upbeat, with management talking up FY16/FY17 growth opportunities related to smart codec and boosted amplifier sales.
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -15.4%) is naturally seeing big losses. Other decliners include RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.1%), Avago (AVGO -6%), and Qorvo (QRVO -2.6%), analog/mixed-signal chipmakers Texas Instruments (TXN -3%), ON Semi (ON -5.9%), MagnaChip (MX -6.8%), Fairchild (FCS -4.3%), Maxim (MXIM -3.1%), and IDT (IDTI -5.2%), and smart TV SoC vendor/STMicro rival Sigma Designs (SIGM -3.2%).
- Like NXP, Cirrus, and InvenSense, Skyworks, Avago, Qorvo, TI, and Fairchild are Apple suppliers. Fairchild and Maxim have recently benefited from M&A reports (I, II).
- Both NXP and STMicro reported seeing conditions deteriorate as Q3 progressed. NXP added lower-than-expected chip sell-through led to higher channel inventories, and STMicro stated "lower consumer spending in China is impacting the dynamics of the distribution channel in the region and the industry more globally, particularly in automotive." NXP has added 20M shares to its buyback in an attempt to soften the blow.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Tue, Oct. 27, 7:48 PM
- Apple beat estimates with the help of ASP/margin strength and 99% Greater China growth, reported 48M iPhone sales (consensus was around 48.5M), and guided for FQ1 revenue of $75.5B-$77.5B vs. a $77.1B consensus. The numbers are good enough for chip suppliers hammered yesterday thanks to Dialog Semi's Q3 report to move higher.
- Cirrus Logic (NASDAQ:CRUS) is up 2% after hours ahead of tomorrow afternoon's FQ2 report. Skyworks (NASDAQ:SWKS) is up 1.7%, Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) is up 2%, InvenSense (INVN - reports tomorrow) is up 2.2%, NXP (NXPI - reports tomorrow) is up 1.3%, and Qorvo (NASDAQ:QRVO) is up 1%.
Mon, Oct. 26, 10:52 AM
- Apple suppliers Qualcomm (QCOM -2.9%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS -10.1%), Skyworks (SWKS -5.1%), Qorvo (QRVO -5%), Avago (AVGO -4.2%), Broadcom (BRCM -2.3%), NXP (NXPI -3.5%), InvenSense (INVN -2.1%), Synaptics (SYNA -4.4%), and Analog Devices (ADI -2.7%) are selling off after iPhone/iPad power management IC supplier Dialog Semi (down 18.8% in Frankfurt) reported 18% Y/Y Q3 revenue growth and guided for annual Q4 growth to be in a range of -1% to +6%. Both the Q3 sales and Q4 guidance missed consensus estimates.
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -2.9%) is also lower. As is Atmel (ATML -8.1%), which is set to merge with Dialog in a cash/stock deal. Atmel was originally due to receive over half its payout in Dialog shares, whose value has fallen considerably since the deal was announced in mid-September.
- Broadcom, set to merge with Avago, reports after the bell. Apple reports tomorrow, and Cirrus, NXP, and InvenSense on Wednesday. With the help of improving demand and ongoing M&A, chip stocks had bounced strongly from their August/September lows in recent weeks.
Mon, Oct. 19, 6:27 PM
- As of Nov. 2, Bryan Ingram will no longer be Avago's (NASDAQ:AVGO) COO, and instead serve as GM of its wireless chip unit. (8-K filing)
- Like many other companies, Avago has "decided to eliminate this position in order to simplify the operating structure of the Company." The company adds Ingram was "instrumental in growing the Company's Wireless business and has a deep expertise in this field."
- Avago's wireless ops accounted for 35% of its July quarter revenue. The unit's sales rose 69% Y/Y thanks to iPhone 6-related demand and broader share gains fueled by demand for Avago's FBAR filters within 4G phones. The Broadcom merger (brings with it Broadcom's market-leading Wi-Fi/Bluetooth combo chip business) will significantly increase the unit's size.
Tue, Oct. 6, 12:57 PM
- Skyworks (NASDAQ:SWKS) has tumbled towards $75 after announcing it's buying storage and telecom IC vendor PMC-Sierra (NASDAQ:PMCS) for $2B in cash on hand. (PR)
- Fellow RF chipmaker Avago (AVGO -6.7%), which (thanks to the LSI acquisition) competes against PMC-Sierra in the storage controller market, is also off, as is merger partner Broadcom (BRCM -3.2%), which competes against PMC to an extent in the telecom IC and network processor markets. RF peer Qorvo (QRVO -3.3%) is also getting hit. The Nasdaq is down 1.2%.
- Possibly hurting the group: Skyworks has used the PMC deal to announce it expects FQ4 (calendar Q3) revenue of $880M and EPS of $1.52. That's slightly above prior guidance of $875M and $1.51 and a consensus of $876M and $1.51, but expectations have been high following a long string of beat-and-raise quarters.
- The PMC acquisition expands Skyworks' reach to a slew of non-RF chip markets and enterprise/telecom infrastructure end-markets. It's expected to yield $75M in cost synergies within 12 months of closing (expected in 1H16), and subsequently boost Skyworks' annual EPS by $0.75. Assuming that target is hit, Skyworks is paying 14x forward EPS.
- Update (1:04PM ET): BofA/Merrill is defending Skyworks and Avago, arguing forward P/Es of less than 10 make shares very cheap.
- Update 2 (5:01PM ET): The group staged a comeback in afternoon trading. Skyworks closed down 1.4%, Avago 3.4%, Qorvo 1.1%, and Broadcom 1.6%. The Nasdaq closed down 0.7%.
Thu, Oct. 1, 2:01 PM
- After outperforming yesterday as markets rallied, chip stocks are doing the opposite today amid a selloff. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX -2.1%) is back below $80.
- Possibly hurting the group: Digitimes reports iPhone chip suppliers are worried Apple could cut its Q4 orders, and that one "major analog IC supplier" has disclosed a slight December order cut. At the same time, Digitimes states suppliers won't know if major order cuts will happen for at leas 1-2 months. iPhone suppliers seeing major losses include NXP (NXPI -4.2%), Avago (AVGO -3.8%), Qorvo (QRVO -4.5%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS -3.1%), Fairchild (FCS -4.9%), and Analog Devices (ADI -3.8%).
- However, it's worth noting several chipmakers lacking iPhone exposure are also down strongly. The list includes Himax (HIMX -3.5%), PMC-Sierra (PMCS -4.1%), InPhi (IPHI -4.6%), Semtech (SMTC -4.6%), and QuickLogic (QUIK -5.7%). Chip IP provider CEVA (CEVA -3.8%) and specialty foundry TowerJazz (TSEM -5%) are also selling off.
- Memory giant Micron reports after the bell.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Thu, Oct. 1, 10:58 AM
- Ahead of the Broadcom merger, Avago (AVGO -4%) is selling its optical module unit to contract manufacturing giant Foxconn for a yet-undisclosed sum. Over 900 Avago employees will join Foxconn.
- Avago will hold onto its optical component business, and serve as Foxconn's exclusive optical component supplier. The deal comes two years after Avago bought optical component maker CyOptics for $400M.
- Though its acquisitions (CyOptics, LSI, PLX, Emulex, and soon Broadcom) have received more attention, Avago hasn't been shy about selling assets along the way. Last year, the company sold its flash storage module/controller chip business to Seagate for $450M, and its Axxia network processor unit to Intel for $650M.
- Shares are selling off on a morning the Nasdaq is down 0.6%, and the Philadelphia Semi Index down 2.4%.
Mon, Sep. 28, 7:03 PM
- iFixit's teardown of the 4.7" iPhone 6S turned up two Skyworks (NASDAQ:SWKS) power amplifier modules, much like last year's teardown of the iPhone 6+. However, its teardown of the 5.5" iPhone 6S+ also uncovered a cellular/GPS receive low noise amplifier (LNA) and filter module.
- B. Riley's Craig Ellis thinks the teardowns point to dollar content improvements relative to the 6/6+. "[T]he 'power amplifier module’s (green) baseband-like size (orange) and larger footprint versus similar functional parts from AVGO (blue) /QRVO (yellow) suggest it packs multiple PA’s, filters and switches – we believe it alone is multiple dollars in content ... We believe the [receive module] win is for just the Plus so it’s a modest negative; it’s one of two devices but it’s an integrated component we believe worth over a dollar in content. Lastly, we believe SWKS retains [Wi-Fi power amplifier] parts in both devices channel count goes from one to two, doubling content."
- Meanwhile, Chipworks' 6S teardown turned up two Avago (NASDAQ:AVGO) power amplifier modules, even with the iPhone 6. Craig-Hallum thinks the company is getting $6.75 per 6S unit, up from $6.50 with the iPhone 6. Avago merger partner Broadcom (NASDAQ:BRCM) is still believed to be supplying a Wi-Fi/Bluetooth combo chip (housed inside a Wi-Fi module).
- Chipworks also found four Texas Instruments (NASDAQ:TXN) chips - a charger IC, a power management IC, a display driver, and an unidentified part labeled 6BB27. Last year's iFixit teardowns uncovered a TI touch transmitter IC.
Fri, Sep. 11, 5:16 PM
- "We remain bullish on AVGO and expect the stock to sustain its outperformance driven by multiple self-help levers, which could result in $15 in EPS by CY18 (25% growth, 70% self-help levers)," writes RBC's Amit Daryanani after talking with management. He reiterates an Outperform and $150 target.
- Daryanani: "Key takeaways: 1) Wireless growth is constrained by 100% capacity utilization as current/future customers want more allocation of FBAR [filters]; 2) While content is stable with large OEMs, it’s expected we see double digit (we think 20-30%+ conservatively) growth in next gen product (Fall-2016), 3) BRCM [acquisition] on schedule to close early 2016, keep an eye on MOFCOM deadlines in late-September; and 4) Positive [hard drive] comments on conference call were reflective of PCs & enterprise.”
- Strong iPhone 6-related demand and broader RF content share gains (fueled by FBAR-related sales for 4G phones) helped Avago's wireless revenue rise 69% Y/Y in the July quarter. With the iPhone 6 launch approaching its 1-year anniversary, Y/Y comps are set to get tougher.
- Avago rose 1.8% in regular trading; Broadcom rose 1.2%. Though down 13% from a spring high of $150.50 (hit amid Broadcom deal euphoria), Avago remains up 31% YTD, and has handily outperformed the Philadelphia Semi Index. Broadcom is up 23% YTD.
Tue, Sep. 8, 3:25 PM
- The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3.9%) has risen to its highest levels since mid-August on a day the Nasdaq is posting a 2.3% gain.
- Likely helping out: Microchip (MCHP +8.4%), still often seen as an industry bellwether (though its commentary accompanying last fall's warning sparked criticism), has adjusted its FQ2 (calendar Q3) revenue and EPS guidance to $545M-$563M ($554M midpoint) and $0.60-$0.66 from a prior $$532M-$569M ($550.5M midpoint) and $0.58-$0.66. The outlook comes after many chipmakers (Microchip included) offered below-consensus calendar Q3 guidance amid an inventory correction, weak PC demand, and slowing Chinese smartphone growth.
- Microchip's core ops are said to be tracking in-line with prior expectations, and recently-acquired Micrel's above expectations. The 8.6M shares issued in the Micrel deal have been repurchased.
- Also: Various Taiwanese chipmakers and supply chain firms have reported August sales. Chip packaging/testing firms ASE (ASX +5.9%) and Siliconware (SPIL +4.1%) respectively reported sales were up 5.8% and 5.7% M/M, and up 9.5% and down 4.2% Y/Y.
- Big gainers include Microchip peers NXP (NXPI +6.8%), Freescale (FSL +5.8%), Silicon Labs (SLAB +4.4%), and Cypress (CY +4.4%). Others include Avago (AVGO +5.8%), Xilinx (XLNX +5.7%), Cavium (CAVM +5.5%), Analog Devices (ADI +6.3%), Synaptics (SYNA +5.4%), Linear (LLTC +4.6%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +4.7%), IDT (IDTI +4.6%), Sigma Designs (SIGM +4.9%), and chip equipment maker Axcelis (ACLS +8%).
- SanDisk, ON Semi, and Silicon Motion are benefiting from upgrades/bullish coverage. Apple holds its iPhone event at 1PM ET tomorrow.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Thu, Sep. 3, 10:09 AM
Fri, Aug. 28, 11:10 AM
- There's plenty of precedent for the recent market action, says Morgan Stanley's Adam Parker, noting the market has dropped more than 5% 16 times since March 2009, and each time has moved on to new highs.
- His half-glass view is that the economy is in the middle of its longest expansion ever, and a less-active Fed, a nervous consumer maybe saving more, a lower oil price, and a flattish dollar all argue for continued expansion.
- Morgan's top ideas to buy on the pullback: AGN, AMZN, AAPL, AVGO, BAC, BKU, DAL, GILD, GOOG, GOOGL, HLT, JPM, KR, LEN, LMCK, MGA, MBLY, NWL, QCOM, SABR, CRM, SBAC, SBUX, BX, TMO, VRSK, WWAV, XL.
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