Bank Of America: Diamonds Are Forever
Fairlight Capital • 107 Comments
Fairlight Capital • 107 Comments
Jan. 22, 2015, 12:35 PM
- Mercilessly sold since the year turned, banks are putting in a rare session of outperformance, helped along by some earnings beats from regional lenders and the return of animal spirits in M&A with RBC's purchase of City National (CYN +18.6%) for $5.4B.
- The XLF +1.4% vs. the S&P's 0.6% gain today, and the regional bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is higher by 3.1%.
- Among today's reporters putting in big gains are KeyCorp (KEY +5.5%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), and Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +2.6%), though Flagstar Bancorp (FBC -4.8%) missed estimates.
- Others: Regions Financial (RF +3.9%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.6%), Synovus (SNV +3.2%), M&T Bank (MTB +3%), Hudson City (HCBK +3.1%), First Horizon (FHN +2.7%), and First Republic (FRC +4.9%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
- Among the TBTFs, Citigroup (C +2.7%) and Bank of America (BAC +2.5%) are leading the way.
Jan. 15, 2015, 9:51 AM
- With Bank of America (BAC -3.1%) getting battered again (now off 13.8% YTD) after this morning's mixed earnings report, let's get a bull's take:
- EPS was about inline despite the revenue miss, says Evercore ISI's Glen Schorr, and the bank still has a good story to tell on expenses (off 8%, ex-litigation), capital, leverage, and credit. Consumer & business banking, wealth management, and global banking are all performing well and are why investors will be patient on BAC as a U.S. economy/higher interest rate play.
- "Our gut is investors will be bummed about the revenue decline but stick with the stock as story hasn’t changed and valuation is a lot more palatable post the recent drop.”
- Previously: BofA earnings call: There's good volatility and bad volatility (Jan. 15)
- Previously: BofA off 2% after Q4 results (Jan. 15)
Jan. 15, 2015, 9:19 AM
- "FICC trading tends to do best in a rising rate environment when activity levels rise as rates rise," says Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) CFO Bruce Thompson on the earnings call. In other words, volatility for its own sake isn't necessarily good for FICC as new issuance slips when credit markets back off. "That's what I would characterize as bad volatility."
- Webcast and presenation
- Earlier, the bank reported FICC revenue of $1.5B in Q4, down from $1.9B from last year's already weak level.
- In the meantime, Bank of America remains a cost-cutting play, and CEO Brian Moynihan's "New BAC" had the bank cutting another 300 branches in 2014 to 4,855, and another 18.4K employees to 223.7K. Helping is mobile, with the number of mobile customers up 15% Y/Y, and 12% of deposits done with mobile vs. 9% a year ago.
- Shares -2.9% premarket and now off nearly 15% YTD.
- Previously: BofA off 2% after Q4 results (Jan. 15)
- Previously: Bank of America EPS of $0.25 (Jan. 15)
Dec. 11, 2014, 9:20 AM
- SolarCity (NASDAQ:SCTY) has partnered with BofA Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) to form a new investment program for financing an estimated $400M in solar power projects in 2014 and 2015.
- The new residential program follows BofA Merrill's prior commitment to finance more than $200M in commercial solar power projects with SolarCity, and is part of BofA's current 10-year, $50B environmental business goal to advance lower-carbon economic solutions.
- SCTY +0.5%, BAC +0.6% premarket
Dec. 9, 2014, 8:47 AM
- Already under pressure amid a sizable global selloff, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is now lower by 2.7% premarket after CEO Brian Moynihan, presenting at the Goldman Sachs financial services conference - warns Q4 trading revenue will fall both from Q3 and versus one year ago.
- There's been a lot of talk about higher interest rates, but they remain low, and Moynihan reminds of that negative impact to NII.
- Presentation slides
Dec. 5, 2014, 10:06 AM
- Among those counting on higher interest rates to boost profits are banks, insurers, and online brokers, and all are outliers to the upside in today's session after a strong November jobs report has rate hike expectations on the rise. The XLF is up 1%.
- TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +2.1%), Citigroup (C +1.8%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.2%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.2%)
- Regionals (KRE +1.9%): Regions Financial (RF +2.6%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.3%), Huntington (HBAN +1.5%), BB&T (BBT +1.6%), Zions (ZION +4%)
- Custodials: BNY Mellon (BNY), State Street (STT +1.6%), Northern Trust (NTRS +1.8%)
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +2.1%), Prudential (PRU +2.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +2.3%)
- Online brokers: Schwab (SCHW +3.8%), E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2.7%)
- Previously: Short end of yield curve on the move after jobs number (Dec. 5, 2014)
- Previously: Bonds and dollar higher, gold slumps after strong jobs report (Dec. 5, 2014)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Oct. 16, 2014, 7:08 AM
- "Given drastically reduced litigation expenses going forward, we think the core earnings power of the company should begin to accrete to existing shareholders, allowing book value growth at a company that has struggled to grow TBV since the crisis," says FBR's Paul Miller, upgrading Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) to Outperform, with price target lifted to $20 from $18.
- On target cost savings, he says, has proven management's ability to execute its strategy to improve shareholder returns, and he sees the possibility for 2015 EPS to exceed his $1.60 estimate.
- Previous earnings coverage
- Shares -1.8% premarket as broad markets are set for another tough day.
Oct. 15, 2014, 7:22 AM
- Net income of $168M includes a $5.3B or $0.43 per share pre-tax legal charge for global mortgage settlement. Earnings one year ago were $2.5B, or $0.20 per share.
- Net interest income of $10.4B flat from a year ago.
- Noninterest income gained 2% Y/Y, when excluding DVA adjustments. Net charge-offs of $1B fell 38%. Net charge-off ratio of 0.46 compares to 0.73 one year ago.
- Noninterest expense of $19.7B vs. $16.4B a year ago. Excluding litigation expense, noninterest expense of $14.2B fell 7% Y/Y, thanks to sizable personnel cutbacks (mostly in legacy mortgage).
- Consumer and Business Banking net income of $1.856B vs. $1.787B a year ago. Average deposit balances up 4%. Mobile banking customers up 15% to 16.1M - 11% of deposits were made via mobile vs. 8% a year ago.
- Consumer Real Estate Services net loss of $5.184B vs. loss of $990M a year ago, thanks to the mortgage settlement. $11.7B of mortgages originated and $3.2B of home-equity loans vs. $22.6B and $1.8B a year ago.
- Global Wealth and Investment Management net income of $813M vs. $720M a year ago.
- Global Banking net income of $1.414B vs. $1.137B a year ago.
- Global Markets net income of $769M vs. a loss of $875M a year ago. FICC revenue of $2.2B gains 11% Y/Y, driven by currencies as volatility returned late in the quarter.
- Tangible book value per share of $14.13 vs. $13.62 one year ago.
- Conference call at 8:30 ET
- Previously: Bank of America beats by $0.08, beats on revenue
- BAC +1.2% premarket
Oct. 2, 2014, 7:28 AM
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is boosted to a Buy with price target raised to $20 from $16.80, while JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) is cut to a Neutral with $64 price target.
- BofA's deposit profile means it will be under less pressure than peers to pass along Fed rate boosts to depositors, says UBS. JPMorgan, on the other hand, has a smaller amount of "core deposits" than its peers, says UBS, and could see outflows when rates rise.
- BAC +1%, JPM -1% premarket
Sep. 25, 2014, 3:09 PM
- Today's resignation of Attorney General Eric Holder could mark the beginning of the end of the Justice Department’s push to hold big banks accountable for their conduct leading up to the financial crisis.
- Several big banks, including Goldman Sachs (GS -2.1%) and Wells Fargo (WFC -1.1%), are still under investigations by the Justice Department for their sale of flawed mortgage securities before 2008, but settlements in those cases are expected to be much smaller than the big sums extracted from Bank of America (BAC -1.8%), JPMorgan Chase (JPM -2%) and Citigroup (C -2.2%).
- Another sign that the big bank cases may be winding down: Tony West, who was Holder’s point man in the bank settlement talks, recently left the Justice Department to join PepsiCo as its general counsel.
Sep. 18, 2014, 12:53 PM
- Banks, insurers, brokerages and anything else starved for yield continue to gain following yesterday's FOMC news. Among the gainers are Bank of America (BAC +1.9%) - which breaks above $17 for the first time since April - Citigroup (C +2.7%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.1%), PNC (PNC +1.1%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.7%), SunTrust (STI +1.2%), Schwab (SCHW +2.3%), Prudential (PRU +2.5%), and Lincoln National (LNC +2.4%).
- The XLF +1.2%, KBE +1.5%, and KRE +2%.
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, RYF, KRS, FINZ
- Lit up bright red is the utility sector (XLU -1%), led by Southern Company (SO -1.1%), Dominion Resources (D -1.2%), Duke Energy (DUK -1.4%), and Pinnacle West (PNW -1.9%).
- Utility ETFs: XLU, IDU, VPU, UPW, RYU, FUTY, PUI, FXU, SDP, PSCU
Sep. 17, 2014, 3:16 PM
- Leading markets higher as the reality of higher interest rates gets nearer is the financial sector (XLF +0.9%). Whether its banks, brokerages, or insurers, a higher benchmark rate for some time has been considered a key bullish catalyst. An especially large move is being seen in the online brokerage names who have been forced to forego money market fees for years thanks to ZIRP: E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Schwab(SCHW +3.2%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2%).
- Morgan Stanley (MS +1.8%), Bank of America (BAC +1.2%), JPMorgan (JPM +0.9%)
- U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.1%), Regions Financial (RF +2%), New York Community Bank (NYCB +0.8%), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +1.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.3%)
- MetLife (MET +0.6%), Voya Financial (VOYA +0.7%).
- Chubb(CB +0.4%), AIG (AIG +1.1%), Hartford (HIG +0.8%)
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, KBWP, RYF, KBWI, KRS, FINZ
Sep. 9, 2014, 12:24 PM
- The Fed intends to impose a capital surcharge on banks tougher than the international standard, according to Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo's prepared remarks for the Senate Banking Committee. Those banks with heavier reliance on short-term funding like overnight loans - i.e. Goldman Sachs (GS -1%) and Morgan Stanley (MS -1.8%) - will likely face even more rigorous requirements.
- Officials haven't yet decided on a number, but reportedly are considering as much as 200 basis points more than the top range of 2.5% of risk-weighted assets agreed to by international regulators.
- What's not yet clear is who would need to raise capital to meet the new, tougher standard.
- Citigroup (C -1%), Bank of America (BAC -0.6%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC -0.4%), State Street (STT -1.1%), Bank of New York Mellon (BK -0.9%)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, KBWC, FINZ
Sep. 8, 2014, 8:41 AM
- "The major catalyst for shares in our opinion is the resolution of the bulk of Bank of America's (NYSE:BAC) legal issues with its AG settlement," says analyst Richard Ramsden, upgrading to a Buy with price target lifted to $19 from $17.
- "Legal costs have obscured much of the fundamental improvement at BAC."
- Shares +1.1% premarket
Aug. 21, 2014, 2:51 PM
- "We can start to see how [Brian Moynihan] can start running the company for shareholders and not litigants," says analyst Marty Mosby following Bank of America's (BAC +3.8%) $16.65B mortgage settlement with the government.
- The removal of the legal overhang is nice as is today's rally, says portfolio manager Dave Ellison (an owner of the stock), but higher interest rates are necessary for a sustained move upward in the shares.
- "We believe they have a wonderful franchise - the question now is, 'Do they,'" says fund manager Greg Donaldson. "If they do, their earnings will move sharply up because all of their energies will be poured into making their businesses better."
- And from The Oracle - whose 700M warrants struck at $7.14, if exercised, would make Berkshire Hathaway BofA's largest shareholder? "[Moynihan] is nurturing a huge and attractive underlying business that will endure long after today's problems are forgotten," he said in his annual letter in 2012.
- Previously: Bank of America confirms U.S. deal; +1.1% premarket
Aug. 21, 2014, 9:12 AM
- Previously tipped off as being about $17B, the $16.65B comprehensive mortgage-related settlement with the DOJ and six states' Attorneys General includes a $9.65B cash payment and about $7B of consumer relief.
- The deal is expected to reduce Q3 pretax earnings by $5.3B and EPS (after tax) by about $0.43 per share.
- BAC +1.1% premarket
- Previously: BofA reportedly settles mortgage claims for $17B
Bank of America Corp. operates as a bank holding and financial holding company. It operates through the following segments: Consumer Banking, Global Wealth & Investment Management, Global Banking, Global Markets, and Legacy Assets & Servicing. The Consumer Banking segment offers credit, banking... More
Industry: Regional - Mid-Atlantic Banks
Country: United States
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