Mon, Oct. 5, 10:32 AM
- The energy sector is an early leader in today's trading even after Standard & Poor's issued negative outlooks for Exxon Mobil (XOM +0.3%) and Chevron (CVX +1.9%) after Friday's close, citing high debt levels and low energy prices.
- XOM "has substantially more debt than during the last cyclical commodity price trough in 2009, while upstream production and costs are at similar levels,” S&P said, adding that “a sustained period of lower oil and gas prices will significantly reduce the company’s operating cash flow in 2015 and 2016 from 2014 levels, resulting in rising debt balances as the company sustains its capital investments and dividends.”
- The ratings agency anticipates CVX "will outspend internally generated cash flow to fund major project capital spending and dividends."
- While S&P stopped short of credit downgrades - it held CVX’s long-term credit rating at AA and XOM’s at AAA - it did downgrade 12 others: CHK, WLL, UPL, DNR, LINE, BBG, LGCY, TPLM, ARP, CWEI, MPO, EXXI.
- Outlooks also were lowered for NOG and EVEP.
- Ratings were affirmed for COP, WPX, WTI and CRK.
Tue, Sep. 29, 11:46 AM
- Bill Barrett (BBG +4.7%) is upgraded to Accumulate from Neutral with a $5 price target at Global Hunter following the stock's nearly 90% Y/Y drop and encouraging recent developments.
- The firm says BBG's liquidity remains strong as its $375M borrowing base was reaffirmed and as BBG took in $27M from the sale of 17.6K net acres in the Uinta; BBG also successfully renegotiated its covenants, which drastically reduces the chance of a technical default, assuming a modest recovery in commodity prices.
- Meaningful improvements in well costs and cycle times also are evident, which should enable BBG to deliver similar growth in FY 2016 with one rig vs. original guidance based on a two-rig program, the firm says.
Mon, Sep. 28, 4:57 PM
- Bill Barrett (NYSE:BBG) says its semi-annual borrowing base review has been completed, with its bank group reaffirming the $375M borrowing base related to its revolving credit facility maturing in April 2020.
- BBG also lowers its 2015 capex guidance to $315M-$325M from its earlier outlook for $320M-$350M, due to lower XRL well costs and increased drilling and completion efficiencies.
- BBG also says it has agreed to sell certain non-core Uinta Basin properties for ~$27M.
Fri, Sep. 18, 12:45 PM
Tue, Sep. 8, 2:56 PM
- Energy E&P companies could suffer ~50% downside to 2017 consensus estimates, Cowen analysts say as they downgrade two-third of their portfolio coverage in the sector amid a weak oil price environment.
- The firm cuts capital spending estimates for several names in the sector, which in turn cuts production and cash flow estimates, the firm says as it lowers its 2016 production and operating cash flow estimates by a respective 4% and 35% below consensus view; by 2017, it sees 10% downside to consensus production estimates and 51% downside to consensus cash flow estimates.
- Downgraded to Underperform from Market Perform: BBG, BCEI, CWEI, DNR, NOG.
- Downgraded to Market Perform from Outperform: CPE, FANG, PDCE, PE, SYRG.
- Maintained at Market perform: AXAS, EGN
- Maintained at Outperform: OAS, QEP, WLL
Fri, Aug. 14, 12:47 PM
- The Obama administration will allow limited sales of crude oil to Mexico for the first time, Reuters reports, citing a senior administration official who says the U.S. Commerce Department is "acting favorably on a number of applications" to export U.S. crude in exchange for imported Mexican oil.
- The shipments, likely to be lighter, high-quality shale oil, would help Mexico's aging refineries produce more premium fuels, while U.S. refiners would continue to get Mexican heavy oil, a better match for them than the light oil coming from Texas and North Dakota.
- Although limited in scope, the move toward freeing up trade will please U.S. oil producers such as Pioneer Natural Resources (NYSE:PXD) and ConocoPhillips (NYSE:COP), which say the restrictions force them to sell oil at below global market rates, and may add momentum to efforts mostly to repeal what advocates see as a relic of the 1970s.
- Among relevant oil stocks: XOM, CVX, BP, RDS.A, RDS.B, OAS, NOG, CLR, WLL, EOX, SM, SFY, PVA, GST, SN, CRK, BBG, CWEI
- Relevant refining stocks: VLO, HFC, MPC, TSO, WNR, ALJ, PSX, PBF, DK, NTI, ALDW
- ETFs: XLE, XOP, XES, IEO, IEZ, PXE, NDP
Thu, Aug. 6, 4:46 PM
Wed, Aug. 5, 5:35 PM
- ABTL, ACAD, AHT, AIRM, AL, ALEX, ALNY, AMBR, AMRN, AMRS, ANAC, ANAD, ANET, ASEI, ASYS, ATHX, BBG, BEAT, BIO, BITA, BOJA, BRKS, BRS, CECO, CENX, CERS, CLVS, CPST, CSOD, CUB, CUBE, CVT, CYTX, DIOD, DMD, DRYS, EAC, ED, EFC, EGN, EGOV, EGY, ELON, EOG, ERII, ESPR, EVC, FLDM, FLTX, FPRX, FXCM, FXEN, GALE, GEOS, GNMK, GSBD, GXP, HNSN, HTGC, HUBS, IMI, IMPV, INWK, IRG, JMBA, KTOS, LGF, MAIN, MDVN, MHK, MNST, NDLS, NEWR, NFG, NPTN, NUAN, NUS, NVDA, OLED, ONTY, ORIG, OSTK, OUT, PACD, PETX, PLNR, PODD, POST, PRO, RBA, RBCN, RIGP, RJET, RMAX, RPTP, RRMS, SAAS, SEM, SEMG, SFM, SHO, SKUL, SPPI, SRC, SREV, SSRI, STMP, SWIR, TCRD, TCX, TEAR, TNGO, TPC, TRMR, TRUE, TRXC, TSRO, TWOU, UBNT, VRNS, VSAT, WAIR, WIFI, WING, XOMA, XOXO, ZNGA
Fri, Jul. 24, 5:40 PM
Tue, Jun. 23, 12:46 PM
Wed, Jun. 10, 6:22 PM
- Bill Barrett (NYSE:BBG) -3.2% AH after saying it plans to sell up to $100M in common stock through an equity distribution agreement with Goldman Sachs.
- BBG raises its 2015 production guidance to 6M-6.4M boe and its planned capital spending to $320M-$350M associated with accelerated development of its Denver-Julesburg Basin properties; it plans to use the proceeds from any stock sale for general corporate purposes, including the additional capital spending.
- BBG expects the increased development activity will contribute only slightly to 2015 production due to the timing of completions associated with multi-well pad drilling, but should have a greater impact in 2016.
Thu, Jun. 4, 3:49 PM
- Deutsche Bank says it enters H2 with a neutral outlook for the energy E&P sector and a cautious medium-term view on the commodities as valuations are still above past early cycle multiples.
- Although early 2015 trends of firming WTI crude prices, improved well productivity, and greater and faster than expected cost reductions provide support for the next cycle, DB sees these factors largely priced into E&P's.
- But the firm sees selective opportunities in the group, upgrading Whiting Petroleum (WLL -3%) and Bill Barrett (BBG +0.6%) to Buy from Hold, and naming Newfield Exploration (NFX -0.3%) and Energen (EGN -1.9%) as Top Picks.
- The firm downgrades WPX Energy (WPX -3.5%), which it says faces the challenge of meeting 2016 oil growth expectations against a backdrop of declining H2 volumes as Bakken completions slow and lower cash flow in 2016, and Cimarex Energy (XEC -1.4%) on lower volume growth and FY 2016 cash margins than peers with no support from hedges.
Fri, May 8, 8:07 AM
Thu, May 7, 5:30 PM
Wed, Apr. 29, 12:45 PM
Tue, Apr. 14, 5:36 PM
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