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Mon, Apr. 27, 12:17 PM
- Chinese Internet stocks are adding to their big recent gains following a 2.7% overnight rally in Shanghai, as investor sentiment towards Chinese equities continues improving following a string of stimulus moves. Today's gains come with the Nasdaq (took out its 2000 highs on Friday) down 0.2%.
- Baidu (BIDU +3%) is among the winners. Others include Youku (YOKU +10.7%), Vipshop (VIPS +4.1%), Dangdang (DANG +6.7%), 58.com (WUBA +3%), E-House (EJ +3.7%), 500.com (WBAI +4.3%), Sina (SINA +4.1%), Bitauto (BITA +3.1%), Autohome (ATHM +2.4%), Qunar (QUNR +3.5%), Xunlei (XNET +5.7%), and Renren (RENN +2.3%).
- Baidu's gains come ahead of its Wednesday Q1 report. Vipshop and 58.com have made fresh highs; the latter is up 61% since the first report emerged of a deal (later confirmed) with rival Ganji.com. Youku is up 53% from an April 2 post-earnings low of $12.31, and 500.com is up 47% since the company suspended all online lottery sales in early April, while stating it will work with regulators to restart sales. Renren is up 31% from its March 30 close, possibly aided by enthusiasm for its large and growing portfolio of online lending investments.
- JD.com and Sky-mobi are rallying today with the help of bullish analyst notes. Perfect World has received a lift from an improved buyout offer.
- ETFs: KWEB, CQQQ, QQQC
Fri, Apr. 17, 5:59 PM
- With Google's Android Wear platform handicapped in China by the blocking of many Google services, Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) has launched DuWear, an Android-based smartwatch OS that comes with versions of Baidu's voice search and mapping apps.
- Much like Android Wear and Apple Watch, mobile payments support, motion tracking, and heart rate monitoring are also included. Baidu promises a "major manufacturer" will launch a DuWear watch in June. In the meantime, it's releasing a ROM that lets users (if they're interested) install the OS on Android Wear devices such as the Moto 360, LG's G Watch, and Sony's SmartWatch 3.
- Baidu also claims DuWear supports some 3rd-party Android Wear apps that don't use Google's mobile services framework. The OS launch comes a month after Baidu ended support for its Cloud OS Android smartphone ROM (had seen limited uptake).
- Separately, Baidu has acquired Anquanbao, a provider of cloud-based software that protects sites against malware and DDoS attacks. The startup's clients include Tencent and major Chinese domain name service providers.
- Baidu plans to use Anquanbao's software to improve load times for its sites and protect them from security threats. Anquanbao founder/CEO Ma Jie will head Baidu's cloud security ops.
Wed, Apr. 8, 10:58 AM
- Following a big overnight rally in Hong Kong (followed a 3-day holiday during which Shanghai rallied), beaten-down Chinese Internet and mobile stocks have soared in U.S. trading.
- The biggest gainers include many names that are far below their 2014 highs: The group includes Qihoo (QIHU +10.5%), YY (YY +14.9%), Taomee (TAOM +14.3%), Sina (SINA +8.7%), and Weibo (WB +12.1%). Mobile game publishers Sky-mobi (MOBI +12.6%), China Mobile Games (CMGE +8%), and iDreamSky (DSKY +13.4%) are also sharply higher, as are online real estate plays SouFun (SFUN +13.1%), E-House (EJ +6.1%), and Leju (LEJU +9.8%).
- Giants Alibaba (BABA +3.4%) and Baidu (BIDU +4.1%) aren't being left out. Neither are Youku (YOKU +7.5%), 21Vianet (VNET +7.4%), Momo (MOMO +6.8%), Sohu (SOHU +7.7%), Changyou (CYOU +4.5%), Dangdang (DANG +7.3%), Vipshop (VIPS +4.8%), JD.com (JD +3.9%), Jumei (JMEI +6.6%), Sungy Mobile (GOMO +5.8%), China Techfaith (CNTF +7.1%), and KongZhong (KZ +5.5%).
- Alibaba has proposed an asset injection into its money-losing Alibaba Pictures (+36% in Hong Kong) film arm. Sky-mobi has seen Rosenblatt (Buy) hike its target to $11, while noting many Chinese mobile game developers have been bought out; it thinks Sky-mobi's investments in developers could be worth $140M. NetEase has been upgraded by CICC Research.
- Over in Hong Kong, software/cloud services provider Kingsoft (OTCPK:KSFTF) rose 24.2% to HKD$29.50. Messaging/gaming giant Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) rose 3.3% to HKD$154.80.
- ETFs: KWEB, CQQQ, QQQC
Fri, Mar. 27, 2:20 PM
- Qunar's (QUNR +6.3%) post-earnings rally has refused to let up. Shares are now up 41% since China's #2 online travel firm beat Q4 estimates and issued strong Q1 guidance on March 16.
- With Qunar now sporting a $4.9B market cap, shares go for nearly 10x a 2015 revenue consensus of $492.6M. Majority owner Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) has to be pleased with the jump in Qunar's equity value.
Wed, Mar. 25, 10:58 AM
- Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) and top search rival Qihoo (NYSE:QIHU) are selling off in early trading. The Nasdaq is down 0.6%, and the Shanghai exchange fell 0.8% overnight.
- Possibly hurting the companies: The health industry chamber of commerce for the city of Putian (a major healthcare services hub) has ordered its members to stop buying medical ads.
- Trader Marc Lehman observes 20% of Baidu's revenue comes from medical ads. HSBC reported last year Putian businessmen run at least 8K of the 10,877 private Chinese hospitals that existed nationwide as of Oct. '13 (per government data).
- Separately, Chinese tutoring services provider Xueda (XUE) has announced the creation of an online education JV with Qihoo. The JV, known as Sunshine Rabbit Technology, currently has less than $5M in registered capital.
- Last week, Bloomberg reported Sohu/Tencent's Sogou search unit is planning an IPO with a $3B+ valuation. That arguably reflects well on Qihoo, which had an estimated 17.3% Q4 search share to Sogou's 6.9% (Baidu was at 74.4%), and whose Web/mobile empire is assigned a total current market cap of $6.3B.
Fri, Mar. 20, 12:20 PM
- #3 Chinese search engine Sogou is planning an IPO that will feature a $3B+ valuation, Bloomberg reports. Sources add Sogou, which is controlled by Sohu (SOHU +3.7%), could see an offering in 2H15.
- Sogou has been easily outgrowing Sohu's portal and gaming ops: Its revenue rose 70% Y/Y in Q4 to $119M. It had an estimated 6.9% Q4 Chinese search share, trailing Baidu's (NASDAQ:BIDU) 74.4% and Qihoo's (NYSE:QIHU) 17.3%.
- Tencent (OTCPK:TCEHY) bought a 40.9% stake in Sogou in 2013 for $516M, and has integrated Sogou's services with its wildly popular WeChat mobile messaging platform (recently hit 500M MAUs). Aside from search, Sogou's services include a Web directory, games, and popular Chinese-language typing software (Sogou Pinyin).
Wed, Mar. 11, 6:48 PM
- Baidu Cloud OS, a custom Android ROM launched by the Chinese search giant in 2012 (and bundled with plenty of Baidu apps/services), is being shut down after seeing limited uptake. Its design team has been folded into a new (unnamed) Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) unit.
- Baidu's considerable success in driving the use of its apps/services on other versions of Android (as well as iOS) likely had much to do with its decision to abandon Cloud OS. Mobile accounted for 42% of the company's Q4 revenue, with mobile search traffic exceeding PC search traffic.
- Meanwhile, CEO Robin Li says Baidu might introduce an autonomous car later this year, and has been working with automakers on the project; details are scant on the car's features and test partners. Last year, Baidu announced an R&D partnership with China's BKW related to self-driving technology. Google has built multiple self-driving car prototypes, and is hoping to commercialize a model by 2020.
Fri, Feb. 13, 11:29 AM
- Shares of Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) have recovered entirely from their post-earnings decline as dip-buyers lift the stock +4.4%, to $213.61.
- A set of downgrades followed Baidu's light Q1 outlook: Stifel Nicolaus downgraded shares to Hold, and Brean Capital and Jefferies Group lowered price targets (to $250 and $253 respectively), but maintained Buy ratings.
- Volume on the shares has surpassed its daily average.
- More analyst outlooks
- Previously: Baidu tumbles below $200 on revenue miss, light Q1 outlook (Feb. 11 2015)
Thu, Feb. 12, 9:15 AM| Thu, Feb. 12, 9:15 AM | 5 Comments
Wed, Feb. 11, 5:36 PM
Wed, Feb. 11, 5:12 PM
- In addition to missing Q4 revenue estimates (while slightly beating on EPS), Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU) is guiding for Q1 revenue of RMB12.645B-RMB13.065B ($2.038B-$2.106B), below an RMB13.62B consensus. Guidance reflects "the combined impact of both the late timing of Chinese New Year this year and mobile's growing traffic contribution, which monetizes at a rate lower than that of PC."
- Mobile rose to 42% of revenue in Q4 from 36% in Q3. Online ad customers rose 16% Y/Y but just 1.4% Q/Q to 523K; revenue per online ad customer rose 26.3% Y/Y but just 1.9% Q/Q to $4,255.
- Traffic acquisition costs rose to 13.4% of revenue from 12.9% in Q3 and 12.3% a year ago (mobile, hao123 portal promotions, and contextual ads were responsible). SG&A spend soared 89.2% Y/Y to $568M, and R&D spend 69% to $344.2M.
- BIDU -8.1% AH to $197.26.
- Q4 results, PR
Wed, Feb. 11, 4:36 PM
Tue, Feb. 10, 5:35 PM
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Wed, Feb. 4, 1:22 PM
- China's Leiphone reports Baidu (BIDU +0.3%) is investing over $100M in Fancy Maker, a new Lenovo (OTCPK:LNVGY) brand (first announced in October) created to take on Xiaomi and Apple in the Chinese smartphone market.
- Like Xiaomi, Fancy Maker (begins operations in April) will rely on online sales and viral marketing. As Marbridge Consulting observes, Fancy Maker will likely agree to pre-install Baidu's mobile apps/services as part of a deal; Qihoo's recent $409M investment in a JV with Chinese Android OEM Coolpad features such terms.
- IDC estimates Xiaomi had a 5.3% Q3 global smartphone unit share (211% Y/Y unit growth), and Lenovo a 5.2% share (38% unit growth). With Motorola Mobility on the books, Lenovo estimates it had a 6.6% share in calendar Q4, with ~60% of its phone sales coming outside of China.
- Baidu's Q4 report arrives on Feb. 11.
Fri, Jan. 23, 12:15 PM
- Baidu's (BIDU +1.1%) Q4 report will arrive after the close on Wednesday, Feb. 11. CC at 8PM ET.
- Consensus is for revenue of RMB14.14B ($2.27B, +48.5% Y/Y) and EPS of RMB9.89 ($1.59). Shares +3% since the Chinese search giant provided mixed Q3 results, slightly soft guidance, and strong mobile metrics on Oct. 29.
- Deutsche recently offered positive pre-earnings commentary, and Brean did the same a few days later.
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