May 29, 2014, 3:15 PM
- At issue are charges BNP Paribas (BNPQY -4%) for years evaded U.S. sanctions against Iran and other sweetheart countries, and the $10B the WSJ reports as being sought by the DOJ would represent one of the largest-ever fines against a bank.
- BNP reportedly is looking to pay far less than that, and a figure of around $8B has been tossed about, but sources close to the bank deny offering an amount that high. Prosecutors also want a guilty plea and point to the muted market reaction over Credit Suisse doing so earlier this month.
- Another - maybe more important - sticking point in negotiations is whether BNP will temporarily lose the ability to move money in and out of the U.S. BNP executives note the bank has many businesses - including its investment bank and corporate-finance unit - which would suffer from this restriction, possibly destabilizing the overall bank.
May 21, 2014, 3:36 AM
- U.S. authorities want BNP Paribas (BNPQF) to pay over $5B in fines and plead guilty to settle federal and state probes into the French bank's dealings with sanctioned countries, including Sudan and Iran, Bloomberg reports.
- The figure is notably above the $3.5B that Bloomberg bandied about just last week and the more than $1.1B that BNP has set aside.
- A deal could be announced next month.
- Shares are -2.05% in Paris.
May 14, 2014, 1:31 PM
- It was about two weeks ago when BNP Paribas (BNPQF, BNPQY, BNPZY) warned the $1.1B it set aside for fines relating to violating sanctions wasn't going to be nearly enough, and Bloomberg today reports U.S. authorities want more than $3.5B (plus a guilty plea) to settle the charges.
- Initially down sharply on the news, BNP closed just marginally lower in Paris action as it appears management's guidance from late April prepped investors for the news.
May 6, 2014, 12:27 PM
- Germany's growth premium in comparison to Europe is shrinking, impacting 25% of Germany’s equity market revenues, says global equity strategist Andrew Garthwaite, moving to a benchmark weighting in German stocks from overweight.
- He also notes the country's competitiveness and funding-cost advantages are on decline, and it has three times more export exposure to China than Europe as a whole.
- German's DAX 30 Index closed -0.7% today.
- German ETFs: EWG, BUND, EWGS, DBGR, GERJ, DXGE, BUNL, FGM, BUNT, GGOV, HEWG
- France, on the other hand, is moved to overweight as a play on ECB launching QE. "Bond spreads are consistent with outperformance, and France stands to benefit more than Germany from any ECB easing," says Garthwaite.
- P/E valuations are 5% below average, and 75% of the companies in CAC 40 have restructuring potential, he says.
- Particularly cheap are the French banks: CRARY, SCGLY, BNPZY. Also looking good: Renault (RNSDF), AXA (AXAHY -1.6%), and Total (TOT -0.4%).
- The CAC 40 closed -0.8% today.
- French ETFs: FXE, EUO, ERO, DRR, EUFX, ULE, URR
May 5, 2014, 11:16 AM
- "It is fully possible to criminally sanction companies that have broken the law, no matter their size," says Attorney General Eric Holder in a video on the DOJ website, suggesting criminal charges for at least a couple of lenders are getting near (CS and BNPZY are the leading candidates).
- After 5-plus years of shying away from criminal action against banks on the apparent worry of ruffling the economy's feathers, Holder's feeling his oats now, and says the DOJ is working closely with regulators to assure criminal prosecutions don't affect banks' day-to-day operations.
- The change of heart was leaked to the NYT last week.
Apr. 30, 2014, 7:34 AM
- Confronting the belief that the big banks are too big to charge, federal prosecutors have met with regulators about how to criminally punish lenders without putting them out of business, reports the NYT.
- Credit Suisse (CS) and BNP Paribas (BNPQF, BNPQY) are looking like test cases, with prosectors seeking guilty pleas - from Credit Suisse on aiding tax evasion and from BNP for doing business with blacklisted sweethearts like Sudan.
- The new push comes after the outcry when HSBC two years ago somehow escaped criminal charges and paid just a relatively small fine over laundering money for years for drug gangs and terrorists.
- Earlier today, BNP said the $1.1B it has set aside for fines over sanction violations may not be nearly enough. It's lower by 3.9% in Paris.
Apr. 29, 2014, 9:39 AM
- Capital shortfalls will need to be covered within six months for those lenders failing under the EBA's baseline stress test scenario, while banks failing under the adverse scenario will have nine months to fix things.
- ECB Vice-President Constancio: "Banks should start to consider what private sources of capital could be raised as a result of this exercise and plan accordingly."
- Earlier: The EBA unveils stress test criteria. 124 banks from 28 EU states are subject to the exams. Among the larger ones: DB, BNPQF, BNPQY, SCGLY, SAN, BBVA, UNCFF, UNCFY, IRE, NBG, CRZBY, CRARY.
- European financial sector ETF: EUFN
Apr. 7, 2014, 1:13 PM
- Nine months ago, the European Commission accused 13 banks of blocking Deutshce Boerse (DBOEY) and CME from entering the lucrative CDS business between 2006-09, but the banks, reports Reuters, are set to fight those charges at a closed-door hearing next month.
- Should they lose, the banks could be subject to fines of up to 10% of their global CDS turnover - not a small amount given the size of the market.
- Those charged and expected to fight: C, GS, DB, BAC, BCS, BNPQY, CS, HSBC, JPM, MS, RBS, and UBS.
Mar. 6, 2014, 10:46 AM
- Another casualty in the probes over foreign-exchange trading mischief is Bob de Groot - the head of spot currency trading for BNP Paribas (BNPQF, BNPQY) - who has just been suspended from his position, reports the WSJ. More than twenty traders have been placed on leave, suspended, or fired by global banks since the investigations began, and the BoE suspended a staff member earlier this week, though it says it found no evidence of any wrongdoing as it pertains to manipulating rates.
Feb. 19, 2014, 7:08 AM
- State-owned Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS) de-risks a little bit more, offloading parts of its structured retail investor products and equity derivatives businesses, as well as related market-making activities to BNP Paribas (BNPQY) for an undisclosed amount, though RBS says the price is insignificant.
- Shares are off slightly in London action.
Jul. 17, 2013, 12:53 PM
Jul. 12, 2013, 3:07 PMThe usual suspects in the banking fraternity are the subject of another class-action suit over price-fixing in the CDS market, with the plaintiffs in this case being 4 Danish pension funds. The case was filed in federal court in Illinois, the same locale as a similar complaint logged in May by a labor union. Across the pond, the EU this month filed their own charges. Banks named: BAC, BCS, C, CS, DB, GS, HBC, JPM, MS, RBS, UBS, BNPQY.PK. | Jul. 12, 2013, 3:07 PM | 5 Comments
Jul. 1, 2013, 7:14 AMThe EU logs antitrust charges against Markit, the ISDA and 13 banks for blocking exchanges in the credit derivatives business. "The banks acted collectively to shut out exchanges from the market because they feared that exchange trading would have reduced their revenues." Banks charged: BAC, BCS, C, MS, CS, DB, GS, HBC, JPM, RBS, UBS, BNPQY.PK. | Jul. 1, 2013, 7:14 AM | 1 Comment
Jan. 18, 2013, 12:31 PMCrisis over? BNP Paribas and Societe Generale could begin repaying their ECB LTRO loans within weeks, reports Bloomberg. With the easing of financial pressure, the banks have been able to raise money the old-fashioned way at rates comparable to what the ECB charges. | Jan. 18, 2013, 12:31 PM | Comment!
Oct. 26, 2012, 8:36 AMParis is busily rebounding from S&P's negative rating actions on the French banks overnight. BNP Paribas (BNPQY.PK) was cut to A+ from AA-, while SocGen (SCGLY.PK) and Credit Agricole (CRARY.PK) were given a negative outlook. "The economic risks under which French banks operate have increased in our view." The CAC 40 +0.2% after a near 1% early decline. | Oct. 26, 2012, 8:36 AM | Comment!
Sep. 6, 2012, 6:40 PMIf shareholders crush the Glen-Xstrata merger tomorrow, the pain will be deep for the 10 investment banks that worked on the deal. BNP Paribas, which advised Glencore, would suffer the steepest fall in the global M&A adviser rankings, sliding from no. 14 to no. 23; BofA (BAC), which wasn’t on the deal, would benefit most, rising from no. 8 to no. 4. | Sep. 6, 2012, 6:40 PM | Comment!
BNP Paribas has a presence in 75 countries with more than 180,000 employees, including 140,000 in Europe. It ranks highly in its three core activities: Retail Banking, Investment Solutions and Corporate & Investment Banking. In Europe, the Group has four domestic markets (Belgium, France, Italy... More
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