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Dec. 29, 2015, 5:28 PM
- Coffee prices continue to fall as strong El Nino rains in Brazil help to boost crop yields. The next harvest in the nation is forecast to be up 20% Y/Y at 58M bags.
- Even with Arabica prices down 28% this year, analysts see another swing lower for coffee in 2016 due to the oversupply situation.
- Weak currencies in South America are also providing a strong incentive to local producers to sell as much as they can.
- The trend toward low coffee prices is helping to lift margins for many coffee sellers with U.S. retail prices only down 4% to 5% this year. Companies light on hedging positions are seeing the biggest benefit.
- Most execs play coy over the bottom line benefit of lower coffee commodity prices, but even Starbucks CFO Scott Maw had to concede that pricing looked a "little bit favorable" during the firm's last earnings call (transcript).
- Coffee futures chart
- Related stocks and ETFs: KHC, GMCR, DNKN, OTCPK:RBGLY, OTCPK:RBGPF, SBUX, OTCQB:JAMN, SJM, MCD, JO, CAFE, THS, KKD, OTCPK:NSRGY, OTCPK:NSRGF.
Dec. 9, 2015, 3:15 AM
- The steady drip of additions to JAB Holding's coffee empire, most recently Keurig Green Mountain, is threatening to leave a bitter taste for traders who supply its growing network of roasters with beans.
- After being purchased by JAB, many roasters have increased their net financing terms to 120 days or more, up from an industry standard of 30 days, meaning that middlemen have to wait at least four months before being paid.
- Such a move poses problems and gives importers a choice between paying more in interest payments on the additional credit, or losing the roaster as a customer.
- ETFs: JO, CAFE
Apr. 29, 2014, 7:15 PM
- U.S. government forecasters predict a more than 65% chance for an El Niño weather phenomenon by the end of the year, a development that threatens to drive up prices for food and other staples.
- El Niño has a reputation for triggering sharp run-ups for prices in markets as diverse as nickel, coffee and soybeans, and commodities investors, traders and analysts are bracing for impact at a time when global supplies of many raw materials already are stretched.
- Global food prices - which at the start of 2014 were expected to be largely flat this year - could easily climb 15% to record highs in as a little as three months after an El Niño occurs, says World Bank economist James Baffes.
- But Société Générale analysts say it is miners, not farmers, who have the most to worry about; since 1991, nickel prices rose the most (13.9%) during El Niño years among commodities the bank tracks.
- ETFs: DBA, CORN, DBC, JO, JJC, RJA, JJG, WEAT, SOYB, DJP, SGG, DBB, COW, NIB, GSG, RJI, CAFE, BAL, GCC, DAG, USCI, JJA, GRU, CHOC, CANE, JJN, RGRA, AGA, JJT, RGRC, CPER, AGF, GSP, BOM, RJZ, JJU, GSC, LSC, FUD, DJCI, USAG, BOS, SGAR, JJM, DEE, BDD, UCI, LD, WEET, UAG, DYY, DIRT, BCM, CMD, DDP, NINI, JJS, CTNN, TAGS, UBC, CUPM, FOIL, UCD, ADZ, RGRI, LEDD, UBM, CMDT, BDG, SBV, USMI, DPU, LSTK, CSCB, GRWN, HEVY, CSCR
Jun. 12, 2013, 4:10 PMIs your coffee getting cold? Coffee ETFs (JO -4.63%, CAFE -4.15%) fell today after robusta coffee fell in London to its lowest level in 17 months. Also today came a report in Wired U.K. that coffee rust is again epidemic in South America, threatening more than half of the October harvest. | Jun. 12, 2013, 4:10 PM | 1 Comment
The iPath® Pure Beta Coffee ETN is linked to the Barclays Capital Coffee Pure Beta TR Index (the "Index"). The Index is intended to reflect the returns that are potentially available through an unleveraged investment in the futures contracts in the Coffee markets.
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