Surprisingly Strong Margins Bode Well For Cameron
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Cameron's Parting Shot Before The Deluge
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Dec. 17, 2015, 3:52 PM
- Cameron (CAM -1.9%) shareholders easily approve Schlumberger's (SLB -2.3%) takeover of the company in a deal worth ~$12.7B, paving the way for the transaction to close early next year.
- The U.S. Department of Justice cleared the deal last month without conditions, but the companies still await regulatory approval from the European Commission as well as other jurisdictions that have not been publicly identified in documents.
- Once finalized, CAM shareholders will receive 0.716 SLB shares for every share of CAM plus $14.44 in cash.
Nov. 30, 2015, 2:23 PM
- The "lower for longer" consensus on crude oil prices is overly conservative, and prices will begin bouncing back next year, Guggenheim analysts say as they upgrade the oil services sector to Buy and see plenty of upside for the major players given current market conditions.
- Guggenheim is calling for oil prices to return to $100/bbl by 2018, and sees 10% upside across the board for oil services stocks in the next year resulting from the group's unique exposure to crude prices.
- Within the group, the firm prefers Rowan (RDC +1.8%) and Atwood Oceanics (ATW +1.6%), as their backlogs should help reduce near-term risk, RDC has no newbuild commitments and ATW is finalizing a contract in Brazil for one of its two uncontracted rigs, utilization in the Middle East (NYSE:RDC) and Australia (NYSE:ATW) should be resilient on a relative basis, and both have fleets that make them more interesting M&A candidates.
- Upgraded to Buy from Neutral: CAM, RIG, NE, OII, PACD, DO, ESV, CLB, OIS, HP, NBR, CRR, NOV, DRQ, FI, PTEN, SSE, FTI, CJES, FET, SPN.
Aug. 28, 2015, 2:56 PM
- Schlumberger (SLB +2.7%) is offering more than $66 in cash and stock per share while takeover target Cameron International’s (CAM +2.5%) private market value may be only $63, according to Gabelli analysts who lower their recommendation on CAM to Hold from Buy.
- The firm says arbitrageurs can earn a respectable ~10% annualized return on the deal, assuming a successful close by the end of Q1 2016 and given the current $3.62 deal spread.
- However, the firm believes the deal makes strategic sense for both companies, combining SLB’s subsurface and wellbore expertise with the largest surface technology and second-largest subsea equipment manufacturer, and expects the deal will close with minimal regulatory scrutiny.
Aug. 28, 2015, 11:29 AM
- Traders willing to bet Halliburton's (HAL +1.4%) proposed deal for Baker Hughes (BHI +1.2%) can survive regulatory scrutiny stand to amass more than $3B in profit, and Schlumberger’s (SLB +1.9%) purchase of Cameron International (CAM +1.7%) could help their chances, according to a Bloomberg analysis.
- With SLB - already the world’s largest oilfield-services provider - getting even bigger, HAL and BHI could have a better argument that they need to merge to get stronger, and the deal could provide more incentive for contractors to bid on HAL and BHI assets as they seek to stay competitive; HAL and BHI have committed to divest as much as $7.5B in assets, and several buyers appear to be interested.
- HAL shares stand to drop sharply without a deal, it would not have the merger’s cost-cutting opportunities to shield it from the slump in oil prices and shrinking revenue, and it would have to pay a $3.5B breakup fee if the deal fails to gain regulatory approval.
Aug. 26, 2015, 3:25 PM
- Analysts say Schlumberger’s (SLB -4.2%) acquisition of Cameron International (CAM +41.7%) is not particularly surprising, given SLB's two years of experience working alongside CAM through their OneSubsea joint venture and track record of soaking up JV partners.
- The combination effectively allows the two companies to extract the type of cost savings found at OneSubsea across the rest of their businesses; SLB thinks it can find pretax benefits of $600M in the second year after the deal, most of which will come from cost-cutting.
- Citigroup says the deal will firmly establish SLB as the dominant and most diversified oilfield service provider, with total estimated revenues for the combined entity of $46B in 2015, a figure the prospective Halliburton (HAL +2.3%) and Baker Hughes (BHI +2.5%) combo cannot match.
- SLB is making a strategic bet on a recovery in deepwater drilling, even if not in 2016, Tudor Pickering says; with 7M-plus bbl/day of global oil production coming from deepwater reservoirs, it makes sense that offshore activity eventually will rebound.
- The deal is not likely to touch off an M&A wave in the oilfield services industry because the global crude slump has strained the finances of many companies, leaving few able to make such a move, says Edward Jones analyst Rob Desai.
- But several potential acquisition targets in the services industry are higher: OII +8.3%, DRQ +7.4%, FTI +6.5%, NOV +4.1%, FET +3%.
Aug. 26, 2015, 12:45 PM
Aug. 26, 2015, 9:14 AM
Jul. 27, 2015, 3:39 PM
- Cameron (CAM -0.8%) and Oceaneering (OII -1.9%) are upgraded to Buy from Accumulate, with respective $58 and $60 price targets, at Global Hunter, even as it downgrades land-based drilling services provider Patterson-UTI.
- The firm says its CAM upgrade is based on the company's margin resilience, boosting leadership and leverage to an eventual North American recovery, and expects margins to continue to hold up relatively well in its largest subsea and drilling segments due to CAM's focus on improving execution even prior to the downturn.
- OII shares have shed more than 30% since early April as WTI has drifted below $50/bbl, a level the firm believes is not sustainable; OII eventually should rally with oil prices, the firm says, preferring to be buyers when the screen is red.
Apr. 13, 2015, 11:24 AM
- "No one (including us) has a really good handle on energy industry earnings estimates over the next few years," says J. Marshall Adkins and team at Raymond James, downgrading Cameron International (CAM -1%), Nabors Industries (NBR -0.3%), Schlumberger (SLB -0.8%), FMC Technologies (FTI -1.5%), and Basic Energy Services (BAS -6.6%).
- Nevertheless, Adkins gives it his best shot and his numbers are well below the Street for 2015 and 2016. Then there's valuations, and the recent surge in prices has left them less than compelling.
- Noted is substantial pricing pressur and overcapacity in many business lines, a more prolonged downturn internationally, and offshore activity not expected to see even a moderate uptick for several years.
- Source: Barron's
- Previously: Schlumberger slips as Raymond James heads to the sidelines (April 13)
- Previously: Raymond James throws in the towel on oil services (April 13)
Jan. 30, 2015, 12:13 PM
- Cameron International (CAM +2.2%) is higher despite a downgrade from RBC to Sector Perform from Outperform, which includes a price target cut to $50 from $60.
- RBC believes CAM faces headwinds across all of its business segments in 2015, including immediate pressure in its short cycle businesses and declining backlogs in its longer cycle businesses, adding that Street estimates are too high.
- CAM CEO Jack Moore reassured investors yesterday that he expects the company will be able to sell more products to its key customers.
Dec. 1, 2014, 3:19 PM
- A bit late, Guggenheim analyst Darren Gacicia downgrades Seadrill (SDRL -5.5%), Transocean (RIG -4.5%) and Diamond Offshore (DO +3.3%) to Neutral from Buy, finally admitting that downward pressure on oil prices and a potential for capital markets to become shy to fund newbuild deliveries has undercut the tenets of his previous bull thesis.
- SDRL and RIG remain the most levered to deteriorating offshore market conditions, he says, believing SDRL shares may also suffer from an ownership transition from income to value investors and RIG perhaps sharing the same fate, with a 2015 dividend cut likely amid the potential for further asset writedowns.
- At DO, Gacicia sees risk of a dividend cut, rig retirements and deteriorating offshore market fundamentals as negative near-term catalysts; the firm also downgrades Seventy Seven Energy (SSE -16.2%), Cameron (CAM -2.8%), Frank's International (FI -0.1%) and FMC Tech (FTI -0.1%).
- In the space, the analyst prefers drillers with high-quality assets, solid contract coverage and a lack of funding needs, such as Noble Corp. (NE -0.2%) - which also has a buyback catalyst - Atwood Oceanics (ATW -0.1%) and Pacific Drilling (PACD -3.7%).
Nov. 14, 2014, 12:48 PM
- Oil services companies are mostly higher as Halliburton (HAL +1.7%) is indeed in talks to buy Baker Hughes (BHI +0.5%), a deal that would provide a jolt to oilfield services companies contending with falling oil prices: SLB +0.4%, OIS +1.2%, SPN +2.3%, CAM +0.2%, FTI -0.3%, NOV -0.6%.
- Sterne Agee analyst Stephen Gengaro calls a potential HAL-BHI combo a “HAL of a Frac-ing Deal," seeing several positives for HAL including strengthening its relatively weak position in artificial lift and production chemicals which are critical to enhancing HAL’s mature field strategy, enabling it to leverage its unparalleled U.S. pressure pumping logistics chain to enhance the efficiency of BHI’s operations, and providing the opportunity for significant cost savings which likely would total $600M-$750M or more.
- While antitrust concerns could force some divestitures, Gengaro does not believe it would prevent a deal from happening.
- Other potentially attractive M&A targets among oil services companies could include Dril-Quip (DRQ +0.7%), Frank’s International (FI +2.6%) and Oceaneering (OII -0.2%), Simmons & Co. says.
Oct. 17, 2014, 10:17 AM
- Oil services (OIH +4%) stocks rip higher at the open following a strong earnings report from Schlumberger (SLB +7.4%) and as oil prices stabilize.
- Tumbling crude prices haven’t shaken the faith of at least two of the top providers of drilling and production services: SLB CEO Paal Kibsgaard describes the drop as “fear of short-term oversupply” and says the company is not changing a long-term view that its earnings will almost double from last year’s level by 2017, while Baker Hughes (BHI +4.7%) CEO Martin Craighead says his company's customers don't believe crude prices will stay low.
- HAL +5.5%, SPN +5.2%, WFT +5.1%, CAM +2.1%, NOV +2%, FTI +1.8%, DRQ +1.4%.
Oct. 16, 2014, 7:55 AM
- Baker Hughes (NYSE:BHI) -10.8% premarket after Q3 earnings rose 10% Y/Y but missed estimates, as political tensions in Libya and Iraq plus a sharp fall in drilling activity in the Gulf of Mexico weighed on margins.
- Q3 pre-tax profit margins in its operations in Europe, Africa and the Russia Caspian region fell to 8% from 17% in the year-ago quarter.
- Revenue of the North American segment, BHI's largest geographic business by revenue, rose 11% to $3.2B, and climbed 6% in the Middle East and Asia Pacific region, 8% in the Europe, Africa and Russia Caspian segment, and 3% in Latin America.
- Oil services stocks (NYSEARCA:OIH) to watch: HAL, SLB. SPN, NOV, CAM, FTI, DRQ.
Aug. 7, 2014, 4:12 PM
- Dresser-Rand (DRC +8.6%) spiked into close following a Bloomberg report that it hired Morgan Stanley to prepare for possible takeover bids from companies including Siemens (OTCPK:SIEGY).
- While DRC isn’t actively pursuing a sale, the company is said to have retained Stanley after potential suitors expressed interest; the report says CEO Vincent Volpe Jr. may not even want a sale and is seeking defense advice from the banker.
- Siemens reportedly has been evaluating a bid for DRC since at least 2011; analysts also have mentioned GE, Cameron International (NYSE:CAM) and National Oilwell Varco (NYSE:NOV) as potential buyers in the past.
Apr. 28, 2014, 1:50 PM
- National Oilwell Varco (NOV -7.2%) is suffering its worst day in more than two years after reporting that Q1 orders for new offshore rig equipment fell 23% Y/Y to $2.33B and forecasting a continued slowdown in orders.
- Backlog for new rig technology equipment, which hit a record during Q1 at $16.4B, should fall to $14B-$15B by year-end, CEO Clay Williams said on today's earnings call.
- "The newbuild rig market is starting to show signs of shakiness," says Iberia Capital analyst Trey Stolz.
- Other energy equipment providers also are lower: SLB -1.1%, BHI -1.2%, CAM -1.4%, FTI -1.2%, DRQ -1.2%, FET -1%.
Cameron International Corp. designs, manufactures, markets and services equipment used by the oil and gas industry and industrial manufacturing companies. It provides flow equipment products, systems and services to worldwide oil, gas and process industries. The company operates through the... More
Sector: Basic Materials
Industry: Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Country: United States
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