Chimera Investment CorporationNYSE
Fri, Dec. 2, 7:31 AM
- The risk/reward on AGNC Investment (NASDAQ:AGNC) is no longer compelling at current levels," says Douglas Harter, downgrading to Neutral from Outperform, and cutting the price target to $19.50 from $21 (last night's close $18.09).
- He expects a whopping 7.8% decline in book value through November (to be announced on Dec. 12). This comes against his forecast of a 2.6% decrease in book value for the sector (NYSEARCA:REM) as a whole, and flat economic return (defined as the change in book value plus the dividend) for Q4.
- As far as AGNC's relative valuation at the moment, it trades for 91% of tangible book vs. just 84% for fellow sector giant Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY). The sector as a whole trades at 91% of book. He's also cutting Annaly's PT to $11 from $11.50, along with CYS Investment (NYSE:CYS) to $8.50 from $9. Chimera Investment (NYSE:CIM), however, gets its PT boosted to $17 from $15.50 to reflect strong incremental returns.
- Harter and team's top picks remain those names with less exposure to interest rate risk, better historical track records, and lower book value volatility: Two Harbors (NYSE:TWO), New Residential (NYSE:NRZ), PennyMac (NYSE:PMT), and Starwood (NYSE:STWD).
Tue, Nov. 29, 2:31 PM
- Though lagging the S&P 500 by about 100 basis points since the election (and the banks by a mile), the mortgage REITs are nevertheless higher since the election despite the sharp rise in interest rates.
- Mortgage REITs are carry players, of course, and can expect to see boosts to income if long rates rise faster than short rates (though book value could take a hit).
- The iShares FTSE Nareit Mortgage REIT ETF (REM +1.2%) today is outperforming the S&P 500's 0.35% advance. The 10-year Treasury yield is down five basis points to 2.30%.
- Annaly (NLY +1%), AGNC Investment (AGNC +1.7%), Two Harbors (TWO +2.9%), Chimera (CIM +2.1%), CYS Investments (CYS +2%), Invesco (IVR +1.5%), Capstead (CMO +1.5%), Western Asset (WMC +1.5%), AG Mortgage (MITT +2.7%)
- ETFs: MORT, MORL
Mon, Nov. 14, 1:22 PM
Wed, Nov. 2, 8:55 AM
- Q3 core earnings of $128.55M or $0.68 per share vs. $95.5M and $0.51 in Q2. Quarterly dividend is boosted to $0.50 per share from $0.48.
- Economic book value per share of $14.90 up from $14.65 ninety days earlier. Last night's close of $15.47 is about a 4% premium to book.
- Economic return for the quarter of $0.73 per share, or 20% annualized based on start-of-period book value.
- CEO Matthew Lambiase: "We are seeing the full impact of the three loan securitizations Chimera (NYSE:CIM) sponsored in Q2."
- Previously: Chimera Investment beats by $0.11, beats on revenue (Nov. 1)
- Shares flat premarket
Tue, Nov. 1, 5:43 PM
Tue, Nov. 1, 4:47 PM
Mon, Oct. 31, 5:35 PM
- ABCO, ACHC, AFG, AGII, AMSG, BFAM, BGFV, BIO, BLKB, BYD, CACC, CAI, CALD, CALX, CAVM, CERN, CHSP, CHUY, CIM, CNO, CSU, CUZ, CYH, DATA, DEI, DENN, DNB, DV, DVN, DXCM, EA, EIX, ELGX, ENLK, ENPH, ES, ESIO, ETSY, EXTR, FARO, FIVN, FLT, FRPT, FTAI, FTR, GHDX, GILD, HLF, HRZN, HURN, HWAY, HY, ICFI, ILMN, IPHI, JCOM, JIVE, KFRC, KS, LOCK, MOD, MTCH, MTDR, MTW, MXWL, MYGN, NBL, NFX, NVGS, NYMT, OCLR, OKE, OKS, OMED, OMI, PAYC, PBPB, PDM, PLT, PRMW, PRO, PRTA, PXD, QUAD, QUOT, REG, RGR, RIGL, RNR, RPAI, RPT, RSPP, SANM, SBAC, SHO, SM, SQ, TCO, TNAV, TNDM, TNET, TRMB, TRNC, TRUP, TSE, TSRA, TTOO, TXRH, ULTI, VECO, VIAV, VRSK, WBMD, WES, WGP, WING, WR, WSTC, WTR, WU, X, XCO, XXIA, Y, ZAGG, ZEN, ZG
Tue, Oct. 4, 4:29 PM
- Chatter of the ECB's plan to begin tapering monthly bond purchases sent interest rates sharply higher today, and REITs sharply lower.
- The 10-year Treasury yield gained 6.3 basis points to 1.688%.
- The mortgage REITs (REM -2.2%): Annaly (NLY -3.1%), Armour (ARR -1.2%), Two Harbors (TWO -2.9%), Chimera (CIM -3.9%), CYS (CYS -2.4%), Invesco (IVR -3%), Western Asset (WMC -2.8%), MFA Financial (MFA -2.7%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.1%)
- Equity REITs (VNQ -1.4%): Realty Income (O -2.6%), WellTower (HCN -2.6%), HCP (HCP -2%), Vereit (VER -2.3%), Equity Residential (EQR -0.9%), Simon Property (SPG -1.5%), Public Storage (PSA -1.8%), Government Properties (GOV -2.7%), Gramercy Property (GPT -2.2%), Stag Industrial (STAG -3%)
- ETFs: VNQ, IYR, MORL, REM, MORT, DRN, RQI, URE, SCHH, ICF, RWR, SRS, RNP, RFI, JRS, KBWY, NRO, DRV, RIT, RIF, REK, DRA, FRI, FTY, FREL, LRET, PSR, WREI, XLRE, IARAX
Wed, Sep. 21, 11:20 AM
- The SEC just charged Leon Cooperman with insider trading over Atlas Pipeline Partners, and Omega holdings such as Alitsource Portofolio, Navient, Aercap, and Tribune Media have knee-jerked sharply lower.
- A check of other top Omega holdings: First Data (FDC -1.3%), Allergan (AGN -0.9%), AIG (AIG +0.4%), Walgreens (WBA -0.6%), Dow Chemical (DOW), United Continental (UAL -0.7%), Ashland (ASH +0.3%), Chimera Investment (CIM -0.4%), Motorola (MSI +0.1%), HRG Group (HRG -1%), Microsoft (MSFT +1%), E*Trade (ETFC), New Residential (NRZ -1%), OneMain Holdings (OMF -2.3%), PVH (PVH +0.4%), UnitedHealth (UNH +0.7%), MGM Resorts (MGM -0.5%), New Media (NEWM -1.9%), Dish Network (DISH +0.5%), Synchrony Financial (SYF +1%), Eastman Chemical (EMN +0.3%).
- Previously: Cooperman holdings head south after insider trading charge (Sept. 21)
- Previously: Leon Cooperman charged with insider trading (Sept. 21)
Thu, Aug. 4, 7:43 AM
- Q2 core earnings of $95.5M or $0.51 per share vs. $109.5M and $0.58 in Q1. Dividend is $0.48.
- Economic book value per share of $14.65 vs. $14.46 three months earlier. Last night's close of $16.91 is a 15% premium to book value.
- Economic return of $0.67 for the quarter, or 18.5% annualized.
- Company significantly reduced interest rate exposure by cutting agency MBS holdings by $2.2B during quarter, with CEO Matthew Lambiase noting Chimera's (NYSE:CIM) edge is in mortgage credit.
- Previously: Chimera Investment misses by $0.02, beats on revenue (Aug. 3)
- CIM flat premarket
Wed, Aug. 3, 5:36 PM
Wed, Aug. 3, 4:08 PM
Tue, Aug. 2, 5:35 PM
- AEL, AGO, AGU, ALB, ALIM, ALL, ANDE, AREX, ATO, AWK, AWR, BBRG, BFAM, BGC, BIO, BKH, BNFT, BREW, BYD, CABO, CBPX, CCRN, CDI, CECO, CF, CHDN, CIM, CLR, CNAT, CODI, CPA, CSGS, CSII, CTL, CXW, DENN, DEPO, DK, DKL, DPM, ECR, EPE, EPR, EQIX, ERII, ETE, ETP, EVC, EVHC, EXAR, EXEL, EXTR, FIVN, FOXA, FRGI, FRSH, FSLR, G, GBDC, GDDY, GERN, GPOR, HABT, HASI, HI, HIL, HIVE, HLF, HOS, HR, HRTG, HUBS, IAG, IL, INOV, IO, IRG, ITRI, JACK, JCOM, JONE, JRVR, LGCY, LHCG, LNC, LPI, MASI, MC, MED, MET, MNR, MRO, MTDR, MUSA, MWA, NBIX, NKTR, NLY, NNBR, NP, NSIT, NSTG, OAS, OME, OSUR, PDM, PE, PEGA, PMT, PODD, PRA, PRU, PRXL, QLYS, QTWO, QUIK, REXR, RICE, RIG, RIGP, RLJ, RMP, RNG, RP, RST, RYN, SBY, SEMI, SGMO, SNCR, SQ, SQNM, SRC, SSS, STAA, STR, SUN, SWM, SXL, TCAP, TDOC, TEAR, TEP, TLLP, TRIP, TRNC, TROX, TS, TSLA, TSLX, TSO, TTEC, TWO, UHAL, VTAE, VVC, WCN, WGL, WMC, WPG, WPX, WU, XEC, XPO
Thu, Jun. 30, 12:07 PM
- Following a meeting with management this week, analyst Brock Vandervliet has increased conviction on Chimera (CIM +1%) and his Buy rating.
- "Given the post-Brexit interest rate environment, the stock should be in the front rank of financial services sector investments." The company's portfolio of highly interest rate insensitive seasoned subprime MBS and subordinated tranches, along with a growing GNMA project finance portfolio leave it "exceptionally well-positioned."
- The dividend, he says, is "more than sustainable." While not expecting an imminent increase, the path at least is flat to up, in contrast with a grind lower in earning and dividends for other mREITs.
Fri, Jun. 24, 10:30 AM
- A sharp drop in long-term rates and vanquished expectations for even one rate hike this year has income players bidding up the prices of utility stocks (XLU +0.7%) and certain REITs even as the major average fall more than 2% post-Brexit.
- A check of Fed Funds futures finds traders not fully pricing in a 25 basis point rate hike until 2018!
- The mortgage REIT sector (REM +0.5%) welcomes the news, with players like Annaly (NLY +1.7%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.1%), Two Harbors (TWO +1.7%), and Chimera (CIM +1.3%) leading the way. Western Asset Mortgage (WMC -0.8%) is a laggard after slashing its dividend by more than 30% last night.
- Equity REITs are decidedly mixed. Retail names like Realty Income (O +2.4%), National Retail (NNN +2%), and Vereit (VER +0.9%) are higher, as are healthcare players like HCP (HCP +1.2%) and Medical Properties Trust (MPW +0.1). Apartment REITs are mostly lower, as are mall operators like Simon Property (SPG -0.8%) and General Growth (GGP -0.7%).
- The dollar is surging post-Brexit, however, and that's taking a chunk out of the hotel REITs: Hospitality Properties (HPT -1.5%), Sunstone Hotel (SHO -2.7%), LaSalle (LHO -3.8%), Pebblebrook (PEB -2.4%), RLJ Lodging (RLJ -2.5%).
- ETFs: XLU, UTG, IDU, VPU, GUT, BUI, FUTY, RYU, UPW, FXU, PUI, SDP, PSCU, FUGAX, UTLF, JHMU, VNQ, IYR, DRN, RQI, URE, SCHH, ICF, RWR, SRS, RNP, RFI
Mon, Jun. 6, 11:27 AM
- "Due to its distinctive business model and predominantly credit rather than rate sensitivity, Chimera (CIM +1.1%) is well positioned for a wide range of economic outcomes," says Nomura, lifting the price target on the Buy-rated stock to $17 from $16 (current price is $15.36).
- Chimera, says the team, offers a mid-teen ROE, and a bank-line net interest spread without the burdens of bank-like regulation.