Fri, Jun. 5, 8:49 AM
Thu, Jun. 4, 1:55 PM
- Same-store restaurant sales rose 1.1% in May, according to Black Box Intelligence.
- The mark was down 80 bps from the pace seen by the industry in April.
- Traffic was down 2.3% at comparable stores during the month.
- Higher menu prices sparked a 3.3% increase in average guest check.
- Pricing has been the major factor in same-store restaurant sales trending positive for 11 straight months.
- Restaurant stocks: CAKE, CBRL, CMG, DNKN, DPZ, DRI, EAT, JACK, MCD, PNRA, RRGB, RT, SBUX, SONC, WEN, BWLD, BDL, NATH, LUB, QSR, CHUY, BLMN, PZZA, TXRH, DENN, KKD, BBRG, DFRG, BOBE, RUTH, IRG, DIN, SHAK, HABT, NDLS, BOJA, PBPB, PLKI, FRSH, RAVE, LOCO, TACO, PZZA, KONA, BGR, BJRI, CHUY, FRS, CBRL, GTIM, TAST, ARKR,
Fri, May 29, 3:21 PM
- Chipotle (CMG -2.3%) spokesperson Chris Arnold says the company will start receiving pork carnitas from a new supplier within a few weeks.
- The development is expected to help keep stores fully stocked with the popular burrito option.
- Management estimated that a shortage of pork carnitas across the U.S. cut into same-store sales growth by one to two percentage points last quarter.
Thu, May 28, 6:52 AM| Thu, May 28, 6:52 AM | 3 Comments
Fri, May 1, 9:04 AM
- BMO Capital upgrades Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) to an Outperform rating after having a Neutral stance on the high-flyer.
- The investment firm's updated price target of $760 accounts for a new runway of growth it sees for the restaurant chain and the potential for cash to be returned to shareholders.
- BMO notes a deceleration in Chipotle's comp growth off the high teens marks of 2014 is widely expected and shouldn't create a disruption.
- CMG +0.8% premarket to $626.05.
Wed, Apr. 29, 1:22 PM
- Restaurants stocks are falling harder than broad market averages with disappointing reports from Buffalo Wild Wings and Panera Bread raising some concerns.
- Increasing labor and commodity costs are seen as a threat to margins across the group.
- Today's GDP report may also be a factor in the sector falling out of favor for the day.
- Decliners include Denny's (DENN -7%), Krispy Kreme Dougnuts (KKD -5.6%), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (RRGB -5.9%), Kona Grill (KONA -6.6%), Texas Roadhouse (TXRH -5.9%), Jack in the Box (JACK -4.6%), Bloomin' Brands (BLMN -4.7%), El Pollo Loco (LOCO -4.6%), and Cracker Barrel (CBRL -4.8%).
- Even momentum-fueled Chipotle (CMG -1.7%) and Habit Restaurants (HABT -1.7%) are peeling off some gains, while Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) is proving harder to knock down and is +0.2% on the day.
- Previously: Panera Bread -2% after sluggish earnings print (April 28)
- Previously: Buffalo Wild Wings slumps with chicken wing and labor costs a concern (April 28)
Mon, Apr. 27, 2:24 AM
- Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) has finished removing genetically engineered ingredients from its foods, becoming the first major restaurant chain to do so amid growing concerns about the agricultural technology.
- The company has been working for more than two years to eliminate ingredients made with GMOs, hoping to be done by the end of 2014, but the transition "took a little longer" than previously thought, a Chipotle spokesman said.
Wed, Apr. 22, 9:15 AM
Wed, Apr. 22, 9:08 AM
- Investment firms are weighing in on Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) following the company's Q1 report and 2015 guidance.
- Raymond James downgrades shares of the restaurant operator to Market Perform from Outperform.
- Credit Suisse takes its price target down to $770 from $785, while keeping the company rated at Outperform.
- Sterne Agee holds tight with a Buy rating and $766 price target.
- Previously: Chipotle -4.7% as comp growth slows (Apr. 21 2015)
- Previously: Chipotle tips new price hikes during earnings call (Apr. 21 2015)
- CMG -5.41% premarket to $655.06.
Tue, Apr. 21, 9:22 PM
- Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) would have put up an even stronger Q1 comp if the supply of carnitas didn't run short at a high percentage of its stores.
- Execs tipped off the during the earnings call that the company sees pushing through more menu price increases. Steak and barbacoa price hikes of 4% to 6% are expected by Q3.
- The fast-casual chain's strong run of double-digit comp growth is highlighted by management.
- They also noted that operating expenses as a percentage of sales fell 320 bps to 81.8% as sales leverage reduced the impact of some costs.
- Previously: Chipotle Mexican Grill beats by $0.22, misses on revenue (April 21)
- Previously: Chipotle -4.7% as comp growth slows (April 21)
- Chipotle earnings call webcast
- CMG -5.41% in the after-hours session to $655.05.
Tue, Apr. 21, 5:37 PM
Tue, Apr. 21, 4:08 PM
- Chipotle (CMG +0.9%) reports comparable-store sales rose 10.4% in Q1 vs. 11.6% expected and 16.1% in Q4.
- Higher menu prices were a factor during the quarter.
- Restaurant level operating margin +90 bps Q/Q and +160 bps Y/Y to 27.5%.
- Food cost ratio -60 bps to 33.9% as price hikes offset higher beef and tortilla costs.
- Store count +49 Q/Q to 1,831.
- Guidance: Chipotle's comp growth outlook for 2015 is for a low to mid-single digit rate increase. 190 to 205 new store openings expected.
- CMG -4.7% after-hours to $667.21.
Tue, Apr. 21, 4:03 PM
Mon, Apr. 20, 5:35 PM
Wed, Apr. 15, 11:00 AM
- Cowen Research initiates coverage on 8 different restaurant stocks.
- Starbucks (SBUX -0.1%) and Chipotle (CMG +0.7%) land Outperform ratings.
- Also of note, the high-flying pair ranked first and second in a Piper Jaffray poll of top restaurants brands with upper-income and average-income teenagers.
- Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD +0.6%) was the third stock set at Outperform by Cowen.
- Habit Restaurants (HABT -1.8%), McDonald's (MCD -0.3%), Restaurants Brands Group (QSR +0.2%), Panera Bread (PNRA +0.7%), and Yum Brands (YUM +0.8%) were given a rating of Market Perform by the investment firm.
- None of the restaurant stocks listed above trade with a forward P-E ratio below 20.
Sat, Apr. 11, 10:22 AM
- M&A activity in the restaurant sector is tracking below the level seen in the broad market, observes Nation's Restaurant News.
- Concerns on the high valuations of publicly-traded brands have limited merger activity to franchise-heavy companies or leveraged deals like the one slapped together by 3G Capital with Burger King and Tim Hortons to create Restaurant Brands International (NYSE:QSR).
- "Public company stocks are priced toward perfection," warns KeyBanc director Brad Swanson.
- The reluctance of large companies to snap up new concepts is part of the reason growth chains such as Habit Restaurants (NASDAQ:HABT), Zoe's Kitchen (NYSE:ZOES), El Pollo Loco (NASDAQ:LOCO), and Shake Shack (NYSE:SHAK) have gone down the IPO path, while Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) and Buffalo Wild Wings (NASDAQ:BWLD) are incubating their new concepts in-house.
- Bojangles' (BOJA), Smashburger, or Five Guys could be the next IPO high-flyer.
- There's a thought that the smart money is passing on the sector while individual investors are playing roulette looking for the next restaurant superstar.
- Numbers dive: The historical average for restaurant chains is an enterprise value multiple of 10X cash flow for quick-service chains and 7.9X cash flow for casual-dining chains vs. the current trading level of 14X EV for quick-service brands and 10X EV for casual-dining names.
- Buy-and-hold investors still have options on the menu. The restaurant stocks with the lowest 5-year P-E ratio (estimated) are McDonald's (NYSE:MCD), Ruby Tuesday (NYSE:RT), Red Robin Gourmet Burgers (NASDAQ:RRGB), Bob Evans Farms (NASDAQ:BOBE), and DineEquity (NYSE:DIN).
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