Capstead Mortgage Corporation
 (CMO)

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  • Wed, Feb. 3, 3:01 PM
    • Today's gains are being led by Arlington Asset (AI +7.3%) (not a REIT, but in the business) after it posted its first quarterly increase in book value in six quarters last night.
    • American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.7%) reported earlier this week, and Nomura's Brock Vandervliet notes three positives from yesterday's earnings call (transcript): 1) More buybacks are coming; 2) Green shoots are apparent in the MBS market; 3) Book value should remain stable from here (it rose a bit in the year's final month, though dipped for the quarter).
    • He does slightly adjust downward his earnings estimates - by a penny in Q1 to $0.54 per share, and by two cents for the full year. He expects the $0.60 dividend is safe through H1, but there is some risk there.
    • Annaly (NLY +0.7%), Two Harbors (TWO +2.9%), CYS (CYS +2.6%), Hatteras (HTS +1.9%), Capstead (CMO +2.2%), Dynex (DX +2.2%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • Previously: Arlington Asset posts Q4 book value gain (Feb. 2)
    • Previously: American Capital Agency higher post-earnings (Feb. 2)
    | Wed, Feb. 3, 3:01 PM | 20 Comments
  • Thu, Jan. 28, 9:55 AM
    • The quarter didn't really impress, but the stock's trading at a near-30% discount to book value, so a lot of bad news has been priced in. Thus buybacks offer a pretty nice ROI, and management last night launched a whopper - $100M would be enough to repurchase more than 12% of the float at yesterday's closing price.
    • CMO +8.8% to $9.04.
    • Previously: Capstead Mortgage earns dividend, but book value drops (Jan. 27)
    | Thu, Jan. 28, 9:55 AM | 3 Comments
  • Wed, Jan. 20, 10:44 AM
    • The discounts to book values across the sector have grown to such high levels that one wonders whether it just makes more sense for many of these players to liquidate the portfolios and return the money to the shareholders.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY -4.9%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC -4.6%) are selling at 30% discounts to their most recent book value.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -8.3%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -7%), Hatteras Financial (HTS -5%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -9.5%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -6.4%), AG Mortgage (MITT -7.2%), Anworth (ANH -6.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -8.7%), and Five Oaks (OAKS -8%) are selling at greater than 40% discounts. Two Harbors (TWO -7.5%), CYS Investments (CYS -6.2%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -6%), Capstead (CMO -5.9%), Dynex (DX -7.2%), Western Asset (WMC -8%), Ellington Residential (EARN -7.2%), and Orchid Island (ORC -9.6%) are all nearing 40% discounts.
    • MFA Financial (MFA -6.4%) and Chimera Investment (CIM -8.1%) are both nearing 30% discounts to book.
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Wed, Jan. 20, 10:44 AM | 236 Comments
  • Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is off eight basis points on the session at 2.10%, and now lower by about 20 basis points since the Fed Funds rate got hiked 25 basis points less than a month ago - probably not the best scenario for mREIT earnings going forward.
    • Other income favorites like equity REITs, BDCs, and utilities (XLU -0.8%) are also being aggressively sold today.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -1.8%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.7%), Armour Residential (ARR -2.4%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.9%), Invesco (IVR -2.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -2.3%), Hatteras (HTS -3.2%), Capstead (CMO -3.6%), Western Asset (WMC -2.9%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -3.6%), Dynex (DX -3.1%), Ellington Residential (EARN -3.5%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.2%), PennyMac (PMT -4.9%), FIve Oaks (OAKS -5.7%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM | 24 Comments
  • Wed, Jan. 6, 3:28 PM
    • Trading at roughly a 25% discount to book value, there's plenty of value in the mortgage REIT sector, and now there's a catalyst with the broad-based averages and interest rates both in sharp decline to start the year.
    • The iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) is up 2.2% YTD after declining about 20% in 2015.
    • Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY) and American Capital Agency are each up about 2.5%.
    • Others in the green: Two Harbors (NYSE:TWO), Chimera (NYSE:CIM), CYS Investments (NYSE:CYS), Invesco (NYSE:IVR), New York Mortgage Trust (NASDAQ:NYMT), Hatteras (NYSE:HTS), Capstead (NYSE:CMO), MFA Financial (NYSE:MFA), Western Asset (NYSE:WMC), Anworth (NYSE:ANH).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Wed, Jan. 6, 3:28 PM | 35 Comments
  • Dec. 16, 2015, 2:24 PM
    • The about left-for-dead mortgage REIT sector (REM +2.4%) has been enjoying a big Fed rate hike day, and has added to gains since the news officially came down at 2 ET.
    • Credit-exposed names are leading the way higher: Chimera Investment (CIM +5.7%), Invesco (IVR +2.4%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +2.1%), Western Asset (WMC +5.6%), Anworth (ANH +2.7%), Arlington Asset (AI +4.7%), AG Mortgage (MITT +4.2%), Orchid Island (ORC +5%). MFA Financial (MFA +3.4%)
    • Others: Annaly (NLY +2.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.8%), CYS Investments, Capstead (CMO +1.6%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • Previously: Fed projections: 1.4% Fed Funds by the end of 2016 (Dec. 16)
    • Previously: Fed officially puts an end to ZIRP (Dec. 16)
    | Dec. 16, 2015, 2:24 PM | 35 Comments
  • Oct. 27, 2015, 3:34 PM
    | Oct. 27, 2015, 3:34 PM | 11 Comments
  • Aug. 21, 2015, 3:30 PM
    • These income favorites often catch a wave of buying when the major averages sell off and yields fall, but the panicky action today is taking down nearly all equities.
    • The iShares DJ U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR -1.7%) and the iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ETF (REM -1.6%), however, are outperforming the S&P 500's 2.7% decline.
    • Previously: Just a modest rally for Treasurys as stocks crumble (Aug. 21)
    • Leading the mREITs lower is Javelin Mortgage (JMI -5.9%), with SA contributor ColoradoWealthManagementFund noting the company has stopped buying back stock despite its wide discount to book value. The sector as a whole looks like it will continue to have to deal with widening spreads and rising prepayments, and still have a looming rate hike cycle on the horizon.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.8%), Annaly (NLY -1.2%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.8%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.4%), Orchid Island (ORC -2.5%), Dynex (DX -2%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -1.3%).
    • Equity REITs: Realty Income (O -0.7%), Vereit (VER -2.3%), Health Care REIT (HCN -1%), HCP (HCP -1.1%), Gramercy Property (GPT -3.1%), Equity Residential (EQY -1.6%), Simon Property (SPG -0.5%), Kimco (KIM -2.1%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.8%), Stag Industrial (STAG -1.4%), American Campus (ACC -1.1%), Public Storage (PSA -1%).
    | Aug. 21, 2015, 3:30 PM | 38 Comments
  • Aug. 11, 2015, 12:59 PM
    • The Fed may be determined to hike rates, but deflationary signals are everywhere, with Beijing the latest government to acknowledge such with its devaluation overnight.
    • Crude oil has taken out a new six-year low, tumbling another 4% to $43.15 per barrel, and copper's 3% decline has brought it to a fresh six-year low. The grains are all down by 2% or more, but gold is marginally higher.
    • The major U.S. averages are down more than 1%, and Europe fell 1.5% today.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is lower by a full ten basis points to 2.13%.
    • Leading the heavily discounted mREIT sector higher are Annaly Capital (NLY +1.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.3%), CYS Investments (CYS +1.2%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +1.6%), Hatteras Financial (HTS +1.3%), Capstead (CMO +1%), Anworth (ANH +1.4%), Dynex Capital (DX +2.6%), and AG Mortgage (MITT +1.6%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • In equity REITs: National Retail (NNN +1.2%), Equity Residential (EQR +1.5%), AvalonBay (AVB +1.2%), General Growth (GGP +1.9%), Kimco (KIM +1.4%), Whitestone REIT (WSR +2.9%), Washington Real Estate (WRE +1.2%), Hospitality Properties (HPT +2.3%), Chamber Street (CSG +1.1%).
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, IARAX
    | Aug. 11, 2015, 12:59 PM | 19 Comments
  • Jul. 24, 2015, 3:01 PM
    • Just a 1% decline in the major averages (which are being helped by some high-profile earnings moves) is masking far greater carnage in a number of other sectors, notably healthcare (XLV -2.5%) and energy (XLE -2%).
    • Business development companies and mortgage REITs are being socked again as well, suggesting the worry may go beyond interest rates and to credit in general, especially as commodity prices continue to tumble - to pick one, crude oil at $48.06 per barrel is at its lowest price in about four months.
    • Among BDCs: Hercules Technology Growth (HTGC -4.2%), Triangle Capital (TCAP -3.3%), PennantPark Investment (PNNT -5.4%), Prospect Capital (PSEC -1.4%), Main Street Capital (MAIN -2.8%), TICC Capital (TICC -2.4%), KCAP Financial (KCAP -2.6%), THL Credit (TCRD -2.7%), FS Investment (FSIC -1.8%).
    • Among mREITs: Armour Residential (ARR -3.1%), Two Harbors (TWO -0.9%), CYS Investments (CYS -2%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -1.5%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -1.2%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -2.6%), Arlington Asset (AI -3.7%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -0.9%), Orchid Island (ORC -5.8%).
    • MReit ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • BDC ETFs: BDCL, BDCS, BIZD, FGB
    | Jul. 24, 2015, 3:01 PM | 82 Comments
  • Jun. 26, 2015, 3:31 PM
    • Equity REITs are mostly being spared any punishment today, but mortgage REITs are hitting multi-year lows across the board as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbs seven basis points to 2.48%.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -4.7%) hasn't seen a price this low since Alan Greenspan was nearing the end of his rate hike cycle in 2000. American Capital Agency (AGNC -3.7%) is at its lowest price since the bottom of the financial crisis.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2.9%), Two Harbors (TWO -4.5%), Chimera Investment (CIM -4.8%), CYS Investments (CYS -3.7%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -5.4%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -4.5%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH -4.3%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.3%), Ellington Residential (EARN -5.3%), Orchid Island (ORC -3.9%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Jun. 26, 2015, 3:31 PM | 128 Comments
  • Jun. 5, 2015, 3:57 PM
    | Jun. 5, 2015, 3:57 PM | 89 Comments
  • Mar. 18, 2015, 2:30 PM
    • Worries about a sharply flatter yield curve abate just a bit as the FOMC drops "patient" from its policy statement - putting rate hikes on the table at subsequent meetings - but Fed economic projections send a dovish signal, with outlooks for economic growth, inflation, and the pace of rate hikes all cut from previous estimates.
    • Outperforming the averages: Annaly Capital (NLY +1.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.5%), Two Harbors (TWO +1.5%), CYS Investments (CYS +2%), Invesco (IVR +1.7%), Hatteras (HTS +1.7%), Capstead (CMO +2.1%), MFA Financial (MFA +1.7%), Anworth (ANH +2.2%), Dynex (DX +1.5%), Five Oaks (OAKS +3.3%).
    • ETFs: REM, MORT, MORL
    • Previously: FOMC drops "patient," but sends dovish signal (March 18)
    | Mar. 18, 2015, 2:30 PM | 9 Comments
  • Jan. 29, 2015, 12:55 PM
    • Responding to a question about what the level of the dividend may be going forward - it was $0.31 quarterly in 2013, $0.34 in 2014, but lower rates/higher prepayments could threaten that going forward - Capstead (CMO -2.5%) CEO Andrew Jacobs says management still have six weeks until making a Q1 declaration, and it'll have to see how things go.
    • Earnings call transcript
    • With rates taking a tumble this year, prepayments are the wild card, and Jacobs says each full percentage point gain in CPR costs Capstead about $1.5M (a bit less than a penny and half per share) quarterly in premium amortization.
    • For those who think falling long-term rates are unambiguously good for mREITs, here's CIO Robert Spears:  "A 1% 10-year and funds not moving is not good for any mortgage investor obviously."
    • Previously: Capstead Mortgage warns on prepayments (Jan. 28)
    • Previously: Capstead Mortgage misses by $0.02, beats on revenue (Jan. 28)
    | Jan. 29, 2015, 12:55 PM
  • Dec. 9, 2014, 12:57 PM
    • Unable to catch a bid for a few sessions, mortgage REITs (REM +1%) have turned higher in afternoon action, led by Annaly (NLY +0.7%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.5%).
    • Helping are jitters in the stock market (though U.S. averages are well off the lows), and a 10-year Treasury yield that's retreated all the way to 2.21% after hitting the mid-2.30s on the back of Friday's strong jobs number.
    • Armour (ARR +1.1%), Two Harbors (TWO +0.9%), CYS Investments (CYS +1.4%), Invesco (IVR +1.8%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE +1%), Hatteras Financial (HTS +2%), Capstead (CMO +2%).
    • Other ETFs: MORT, MORL
    • Also showing some green are the recently beaten-up BDCs, including Prospect Capital (PSEC +0.2%), Fifth Street Finance (FSC +0.2%), Ares Capital (ARCC +0.5%), FS Investment (FSIC), Triangle Capital (TCAP +1.7%).
    • ETFs: BDCL, BDCS, BIZD
    • Previously: Money flows back into fixed income (Dec. 9, 2014)
    | Dec. 9, 2014, 12:57 PM | 16 Comments
  • Nov. 19, 2014, 3:42 PM
    • A check of the mortgage REITs following FOMC minutes which shows the discussion moving a bit more seriously towards rate hikes finds the sector (REM -0.5%) modestly lower.
    • Individual names: Annaly (NLY -0.3%), American Capital Agency (AGNC), CYS Investments (CYS -0.3%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -0.9%), New York Mortgage Trust (NYMT -0.4%), Hatteras Financial (HTS -0.8%), MFA Financial (MFA -1%), Capsteam Mortgage (CMO -0.6%), Ellington Residential (EARN -0.4%).
    | Nov. 19, 2014, 3:42 PM | 8 Comments
Company Description
Capstead Mortgage Corp operates as a self-managed real estate investment trust. The Company together with its subsidiaries invests in leveraged portfolio of residential mortgage pass-through securities consisting of adjustable-rate mortgage securities.
Sector: Financial
Country: United States