Unique Balance Sheet Assets Make Coach An Attractive Buyout Target
Paul Goncalves, CFA
Paul Goncalves, CFA
Thu, Dec. 1, 9:30 AM
- November monthly performance was: +5.57%
- 52-week performance vs. the S&P 500 is: +8%
- $0.19 in dividends were paid in November
- Top 10 Holdings as of 10/31/2016: ONEOK Inc (OKE): 2.86519%, Mattel Inc (MAT): 1.44508%, CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP): 1.35701%, Macquarie Infrastructure Corp (MIC): 1.03507%, Coach Inc (COH): 1.03167%, Frontier Communications Corp Class B (FTR): 1.00602%, Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP): 0.94734%, SCANA Corp (SCG): 0.92707%, CMS Energy Corp (CMS): 0.9082%, Helmerich & Payne Inc (HP): 0.84858%
Mon, Nov. 28, 8:33 AM
- Black Friday weekend channel checks from investment firms are still pouring in. A few tidbits are posted below.
- Wells Fargo: Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) was a traffic outperformer, while Calvin Klein (NYSE:PVH) and Carter's (NYSE:CRI) held the line on pricing amid a promotional atmosphere.
- Wedbush: High-profile video games were discounted more than last year. Keep an eye out on GameStop (NYSE:GME), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), Take-Two (NASDAQ:TTWO) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA).
- Fung Global Retail & Technology: Shoes (FL, FINL) were identified as a hot seller, while jewelry (NYSE:SIG) sales were down.
- Jefferies: Unexpected strength for the UGG brand (NASDAQ:DECK) and Gap was observed. Demand for Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) and Coach (NYSE:COH) handbags appeared soft.
- Previously: Black Friday wrap: Records fall, retail winners and losers (Nov. 25)
- Source: Bloomberg.
Tue, Nov. 15, 6:51 AM
Mon, Nov. 14, 10:15 AM
- Clothing and footwear stocks are jetting higher as more analysts bump up expectations on consumer spending in Q4 and broadly forecast tax relief for the consumer goods sector (effective tax rates paid).
- Many of the names with the sharpest moves higher today are recovering from a pre-election slump.
- Gainers include Sequential Brands Group (SQBG +11.7%), Iconix Brand Group (ICON +5.1%), Carter's (CRI +4.6%), Vera Bradley (VRA +4.6%), Wolverine World Wide (WWW +4%), Crocs (CROX +4.3%), Caleres (CAL +4.6%), Ralph Lauren (RL +3.4%), Fossil (FOSL +5%), Perry Ellis (PERY +3%), Deckers Outdoor (DECK +3.5%), Skechers (SKX +3.2%) and Coach (COH +3.1%).
- Kate Spade (KATE +5.9%) is also rallying, but has news of an activist investor on the prowl also factoring in.
- Previously: Kate Spade hears from activist firm (Nov. 14)
- Previously: Investors see upside with apparel store stocks (Nov. 14)
Thu, Nov. 3, 8:29 AM
- October monthly performance was: -2.36%
- 52-week performance vs. the S&P 500 is: +4%
- $0.17 in dividends were paid in October
- Top 10 Holdings as of 9/30/2016: ONEOK Inc (OKE): 2.9392%, Mattel Inc (MAT): 1.34299%, CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP): 1.33823%, Macquarie Infrastructure Corp (MIC): 1.02004%, Coach Inc (COH): 1.01792%, Frontier Communications Corp Class B (FTR): 1.00738%, Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP): 0.94194%, SCANA Corp (SCG): 0.88622%, CMS Energy Corp (CMS): 0.87714%, Helmerich & Payne Inc (HP): 0.87589%
Tue, Nov. 1, 8:10 AM
- Sales growth was mixed at Coach (NYSE:COH) after the company cut back on some promotional activity during FQ1. Total revenue increased 1% to $1.04B (-1% constant currency).
- North American Coach brand sales fell 3% during the quarter, while North American direct sales were flat.
- International Coach sales were up 7% to $395M (+3% constant currency). Greater China sales were flat (+5% constant currency).
- Gross margin fell 10 bps to 67.6% of sales on a non-GAAP basis.
- Operating margin improved 100 bps to 17.0% on a non-GAPP basis.
- The company maintains its FY17 outlook, seeing revenue growth in the low-to-mid single digits and double-digit EPS growth.
- Previously: Coach EPS in-line, misses on revenue (Nov. 1)
- COH +3.65% premarket to $37.20.
Tue, Nov. 1, 6:49 AM
Mon, Oct. 31, 5:30 PM
- ADPT, AEP, AHH, ALLT, AME, AMRC, ANGI, APLP, ARRY, AUDC, AVA, AYR, BKD, BP, CIE, CMI, CNX, COH, CRCM, DHX, DIN, DISCA, DX, ECL, EGL, EIGI, EMR, ETN, EVHC, FCH, FDP, FIS, FSS, GHM, GK, GLT, GWR, HCP, HRS, HSKA, HW, HZO, ICE, IDXX, INCY, IRM, K, KEM, LXRX, LYB, MCRN, MDC, MLM, MOS, MSM, NI, NSP, OSK, OXY, PBI, PES, PFE, PPL, PRTS, RDC, RDS.A, RDWR, RHP, SAH, SALE, SCAI, SHOO, SHPG, SNE, SPR, SUI, TAP, TRI, WCG, WLB, WNR, WNRL, XYL
Mon, Oct. 24, 2:47 PM
- Coach (COH +1.4%) is tracking higher again with the Betaville blog reporting that the company is working with Evercore on a $20B merger with Burberry (OTCPK:BURBY, OTCPK:BBRYF).
- Shares of Burberry spiked higher Friday amid merger speculation, but settled back when other media publications discounted the story.
Fri, Oct. 21, 9:38 AM
- Analysts are already weighing in on the impact of a merger between Coach (NYSE:COH) and Burberry (OTCPK:BURBY, OTCPK:BBRYF) -- even with the deal still only in the speculative stage.
- "A merger of Coach and Burberry would primarily be a merger of problems," notes Exane BNP Paribas analyst Luca Solca.
- "M&A history in luxury has shown that mergers don't obviously help in regaining brand traction and desirability, while cost efficiency in the face of declining brand momentum are often just a way to run in order to stand still," he adds.
- Coach is believed to be working with Evercore on the Burberry deal.
- Previously: Burberry and Coach higher amid merger speculation (Oct. 21)
- Burberry is now up only 3.2% in London.
Fri, Oct. 21, 8:24 AM| Fri, Oct. 21, 8:24 AM
Fri, Oct. 14, 2:54 PM
- Piper Jaffray is out with the results of its annual Taking Stock With Teens Survey. The top brands listed by the 10K teens included in the survey are posted below.
- Top clothing brands: Nike (NYSE:NKE) 29%, American Eagle Outfitters (NYSE:AEO) 9%, Forever 21 5%, Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) 4%, Urban Outfitters (NASDAQ:URBN) 3%.
- Top handbag brands: Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) 34%, Kate Spade (NYSE:KATE) 19%, Coach (NYSE:COH) 10%, Louis Vuitton (OTCPK:LVMHF) 5%, Longchamp Vera Bradley (NASDAQ:VRA) 3%.
- Top footwear brands: Nike 51%, Vans (NYSE:VFC) 9%, Converse 7%, Adidas (OTCQX:ADDYY) 6%, Steven Madden (NASDAQ:SHOO) 2%.
- Top restaurant chains: Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX) 14%, Chipotle (NYSE:CMG) 11%, Chick-fil-A 10%, Taco Bell (NYSE:YUM) 3%, Panera Bread (NASDAQ:PNRA) 3%, McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) 3%, Olive Garden (NYSE:DRI) 3%.
- Nothing earth-shattering in the tech results, dominating teen mindspace are Snapchat (Private:CHAT), YouTube, Instagram and Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX).
Mon, Oct. 3, 9:45 AM
- September monthly performance was: 0%
- 52-week performance vs. the S&P 500 is: +5%
- $0.30 in dividends were paid in September
- Top 10 Holdings as of 8/31/2016: ONEOK Inc (OKE): 2.65651%, Mattel Inc (MAT): 1.45713%, CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP): 1.28361%, Frontier Communications Corp Class B (FTR): 1.10651%, Coach Inc (COH): 1.05319%, Macquarie Infrastructure Corp (MIC): 0.97241%, Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP): 0.92968%, CMS Energy Corp (CMS): 0.8697%, SCANA Corp (SCG): 0.85871%, The Western Union Co (WU): 0.82708%
Thu, Sep. 29, 10:17 AM
- CLSA issues new ratings updates up and down the retail sector.
- Coach (COH +2%) earns a Buy rating due to sales momentum.
- Tiffany (TIF +0.8%) looks appealing with expectations set low.
- Ralph Lauren (RL +1.7%) lands at Buy with it seen as being in the early stages of a turnaround.
- Catching Outperform ratings are Signet (SIG +0.1%), Oxford Industries (OXM +0.9%), Kate Spade (KATE +1.2%), and G-III Apparel Group (GIII +1.2%).
- A lack of drivers at Michael Kors (KORS -0.6%) brings a Sell rating down from CLSA.
- The investment firm starts off coverage on Carter's (CRI -1.7%) with an Underperform rating and sets a price target of $95 on the retailer.
Wed, Sep. 14, 7:25 AM
- Morgan Stanley downgrades Coach (NYSE:COH) to an Underweight rating after having the stock set at Equalweight.
- Analyst Kimberly Greenberger raises concerns over the sharp drop in merchandise margins at the luxury chain due to a high level of promotional activity in the outlet channel.
- The investment firm lowers its price target to $32 vs. the 52-week Coach trading range of $27.22 to $43.71.
- COH -2.37% premarket to $35.43.
Thu, Sep. 8, 7:13 AM