Valuing The Carter's Growth Story
Mon, Nov. 28, 8:33 AM
- Black Friday weekend channel checks from investment firms are still pouring in. A few tidbits are posted below.
- Wells Fargo: Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) was a traffic outperformer, while Calvin Klein (NYSE:PVH) and Carter's (NYSE:CRI) held the line on pricing amid a promotional atmosphere.
- Wedbush: High-profile video games were discounted more than last year. Keep an eye out on GameStop (NYSE:GME), Activision Blizzard (NASDAQ:ATVI), Take-Two (NASDAQ:TTWO) and Electronic Arts (NASDAQ:EA).
- Fung Global Retail & Technology: Shoes (FL, FINL) were identified as a hot seller, while jewelry (NYSE:SIG) sales were down.
- Jefferies: Unexpected strength for the UGG brand (NASDAQ:DECK) and Gap was observed. Demand for Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) and Coach (NYSE:COH) handbags appeared soft.
- Previously: Black Friday wrap: Records fall, retail winners and losers (Nov. 25)
- Source: Bloomberg.
Fri, Nov. 25, 11:57 AM
- KeyBanc calls Amazon (AMZN -0.1%) and Wal-Mart (WMT +0.7%) early winners of the Black Friday shopping period based on channel checks.
- The investment firm confirms other reports that mall traffic is light. Within the mall sector, Lululemon (LULU +0.2%), Victoria's Secret (NYSE:LB) and Gaps (GPS -1.4%) are called outperformers - while concerns are raised over Buckle (BKE +0.6%) and Vera Bradley (VRA +0.8%).
- Cowen also sees Wal-Mart as a winner. Pink (LB) and American Eagle Outfitters (AEO +0.2%) are also doing wel, according to analyst Olivia Chen.
- MKM Partners has an eye on margins. The combination of "virtually all" retailers offering broad discounts on store assortment and a low level of inventory heading into the shopping period is striking.
- FBR Capital reiterates the broad theme that online sales are diluting Black Friday store traffic. Despite the overhang - Carter's (CRI +0.2%), Hanesbrands (HBI -0.3%), Chico's (CHS +0.7%) and Children's Place (PLCE +1.3%) are called out by FBR as standouts.
Mon, Nov. 14, 10:15 AM
- Clothing and footwear stocks are jetting higher as more analysts bump up expectations on consumer spending in Q4 and broadly forecast tax relief for the consumer goods sector (effective tax rates paid).
- Many of the names with the sharpest moves higher today are recovering from a pre-election slump.
- Gainers include Sequential Brands Group (SQBG +11.7%), Iconix Brand Group (ICON +5.1%), Carter's (CRI +4.6%), Vera Bradley (VRA +4.6%), Wolverine World Wide (WWW +4%), Crocs (CROX +4.3%), Caleres (CAL +4.6%), Ralph Lauren (RL +3.4%), Fossil (FOSL +5%), Perry Ellis (PERY +3%), Deckers Outdoor (DECK +3.5%), Skechers (SKX +3.2%) and Coach (COH +3.1%).
- Kate Spade (KATE +5.9%) is also rallying, but has news of an activist investor on the prowl also factoring in.
- Previously: Kate Spade hears from activist firm (Nov. 14)
- Previously: Investors see upside with apparel store stocks (Nov. 14)
Thu, Nov. 10, 4:49 PM
Thu, Oct. 27, 6:18 AM
Wed, Oct. 26, 5:30 PM
- ABB, ABMD, ACOR, AET, ALLE, ALV, ALXN, AMT, APD, ASPS, AUO, AVT, AXTA, BBW, BC, BCOR, BGCP, BMS, BMY, BWA, BX, CBG, CCMP, CELG, CFX, CHH, CL, CLF, CMC, CME, CMS, COLB, COP, COR, CRI, CRR, CRS, CVE, CVI, CVRR, CWT, CYS, DFT, DLX, DOW, DPS, EME, EPD, EQGP, EQM, EQT, EXLS, F, FCFS, FCN, FMS, GCI, GLOP, GNC, GOV, GTLS, HCA, HEES, I, IDA, IDCC, IP, IPGP, IRDM, IVZ, LANC, LAZ, LKQ, LLL, MD, MDP, MDXG, MHO, MJN, MO, MPC, MPLX, MSCI, MTH, MTRN, NEWM, NMR, NOK, NOV, NTCT, ODFL, ORI, PATK, PENN, PF, PJC, POT, PRLB, PTEN, PX, QSII, RDN, RGS, ROCK, RTN, SCG, SEE, SFE, SILC, SIRI, SMP, SQNS, SRPT, STM, SUP, SWK, TCK, TDC, TFX, THRM, TKR, TMO, TPH, TPX, TREE, TROW, TUES, TWTR, TZOO, UAN, UFS, UPS, UTHR, VC, VLP, WCC, WEX, WST, WWE, XEL, XRS, YNDX
Thu, Sep. 29, 10:17 AM
- CLSA issues new ratings updates up and down the retail sector.
- Coach (COH +2%) earns a Buy rating due to sales momentum.
- Tiffany (TIF +0.8%) looks appealing with expectations set low.
- Ralph Lauren (RL +1.7%) lands at Buy with it seen as being in the early stages of a turnaround.
- Catching Outperform ratings are Signet (SIG +0.1%), Oxford Industries (OXM +0.9%), Kate Spade (KATE +1.2%), and G-III Apparel Group (GIII +1.2%).
- A lack of drivers at Michael Kors (KORS -0.6%) brings a Sell rating down from CLSA.
- The investment firm starts off coverage on Carter's (CRI -1.7%) with an Underperform rating and sets a price target of $95 on the retailer.
Tue, Sep. 27, 12:01 PM
Tue, Sep. 27, 10:31 AM
Thu, Aug. 18, 4:37 PM
Mon, Aug. 8, 9:32 AM
Wed, Jul. 27, 12:00 PM
Wed, Jul. 27, 10:28 AM
- Carter's (CRI -9.2%) trades lower despite beating estimates on both lines of its Q2 report.
- Soft guidance seems to be the culprit. Carter's expects full year revenue growth of 5%-6% vs. 6%-7% prior and EPS growth of 10% vs. 10%-12% previous.
- Shares of Carter's are threatening to drop below $100 for the first time since May.
- Previously: Carter's beats by $0.06, beats on revenue (July 27)
Wed, Jul. 27, 6:17 AM
Tue, Jul. 26, 5:30 PM
- ANGI, ANTM, ARMH, AUO, AVX, BA, BAH, BOKF, CFR, CG, CMCSA, CRCM, CRI, DCIX, DHX, DPS, DX, DXYN, ENTG, ETM, EVR, FCAU, FCF, FDML, FLIR, FSV, GCI, GD, GIB, GIL, GLW, GRMN, GT, HES, HLT, HUN, I, IMS, IR, KO, LH, LL, LVLT, MDCO, MDLZ, MHO, MMYT, MO, NDAQ, NEE, NOC, NSC, NYCB, OC, PB, POL, Q, R, RES, ROK, ROL, RTIX, SALT, SEIC, SIX, SLAB, SLGN, SNAK, SO, SONS, SPG, STM, STRA, STT, SUP, SVU, TMUS, TPH, TYPE, UCBI, UFS, UMC, VLY, WCIC, WEC, WEX, WIX, WM, WOOF, WYN
Sat, May 14, 11:01 AM
- The retail sector stays in focus next week with Target (NYSE:TGT), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), TJX Companies (NYSE:TJX), and Ross Stores (NASDAQ:ROST) all due to report on Q1 earnings to follow on a week of dismal reports and guidance from the department store sector (Nordstrom, L Brands, Macy's, Kohl's). Home improvement chains Home Depot (NYSE:HD) and Lowe's (NYSE:LOW) are also due to spill numbers.
- The story from the Commerce Department's April read of retail sales (+3.0% Y/Y, +1.3% M/M) is one of a consumer spending on housing, entertainment, and personal care/fitness over apparel and general merchandise. The 10% Y/Y gain in the nonstore retailer category also tipped that the Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) Effect is magnifying.
- Amplify ETFs CEO Christian Magoon tells Seeking Alpha that the traditional retail model appears to be broken. Amplify's Online Retail ETF (NASDAQ:IBUY) is a bet on companies such as Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX), GrubHub (NYSE:GRUB), Blue Nile (NASDAQ:NILE), and Shopify (NYSE:SHOP) that are reeling in millennial dollars.
- Magoon on retail: "Traditional retailers face the headwinds of higher cost structures including the very real threat of increasing wages in the form of the $15 minimum wage campaign. Less flexible with inventory management, they also are more vulnerable to issues like weather and changing consumer preferences."
- Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, FXD, IYC, RHS, FDIS, PEJ, FSTA, PSL, SCC, RCD, UCC, PEZ, PMR, PSCC, UGE, PSCD, SZK, BITE.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, GIII, SQBG, HBI, VRA, ICON, SHOO, PERY, DXLG, BONT, GES, URBN, RL,GIL, NKE, OXM, HBI, VNCE, PERY, ICON, FL.