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Wed, Feb. 10, 6:45 PM
- In addition to missing Q4 estimates, Cornerstone OnDemand (NASDAQ:CSOD) guided on its earnings call for Q1 revenue of $95M-$96.5M and 2016 revenue of $425M-$433M, below consensus estimates of $97.3M and $438.4M. 2016 EPS guidance of $0.02 is in-line.
- The cloud talent management software firm's bookings rose 24% Y/Y to $142M in seasonally strong Q4, after having grown 26% in Q3. The deferred revenue balance was $252.1M at quarter's end, up 32% Y/Y.
- Clients rose by ~200 Q/Q to 2,600, and end-users by 1.6M to over 23.8M. GAAP operating expenses rose 20% Y/Y to $80.6M (compares with 26% revenue growth).
- CSOD -3.6% after hours to $23.51.
- Cornerstone's Q4 results, earnings release
Wed, Feb. 10, 4:04 PM
Mon, Feb. 8, 2:37 PM
- Many tech stocks are seeing 6%+ losses as investors flee to safety yet again. The Nasdaq is down 3.4%, and the S&P 2.7%.
- As was the case on Friday following Tableau and LinkedIn's disappointing guidance, a slew of enterprise tech stocks are seeing big losses, with cloud software and security tech names well-represented on the casualty list.
- Also: Solar stocks are having another brutal day (TAN -6.7%) as energy stocks get routed amid fears Chesapeake Energy is close to bankruptcy. WTI crude oil is once more near $30/barrel.
- Enterprise software decliners: Adobe (ADBE -9.6%), Paylocity (PCTY -19.1%), Salesforce (CRM -9.9%), Workday (WDAY -12%), Guidewire (GWRE -12.5%), ServiceNow (NOW -11.5%), Zendesk (ZEN -13.8%), Paycom (PAYC -13.4%), Marin Software (MRIN -10.3%), Castlight (CSLT -8.4%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -12.1%), Atlassian (TEAM -13.2%), inContact (SAAS -9.6%), and Bazaarvoice (BV -14.5%).
- Enterprise security decliners: Palo Alto Networks (PANW -12.2%), FireEye (FEYE -9.8%), CyberArk (CYBR -11.5%), Proofpoint (PFPT -12.7%), Qualys (QLYS -8.9%), Imperva (IMPV -9.7%), Rapid7 (RPD -9.4%), and Barracuda (CUDA -8.4%).
- Solar decliners: SunEdison (SUNE -11.3%), SunPower (SPWR -8.8%), JinkoSolar (JKS -7.6%), SolarEdge (SEDG -7.9%), Yingli (YGE -7.1%), TerraForm Power (TERP -10.7%), and TerraForm Global (GLBL -9.2%).
- Other major decliners: Micron (MU -9.1%), Western Digital (WDC -10.5%), Arista (ANET -10.9%), Universal Display (OLED -10.6%), Rackspace (RAX -11.3%), Fitbit (FIT -8.7%), Nimble Storage (NMBL -11.3%), Sierra Wireless (SWIR -9.9%), Rocket Fuel (FUEL -9.8%), Knowles (KN -9%), Mitel (MITL -8.9%), and Alarm.com (ALRM -8.9%).
- Previously covered: Yelp, Cognizant, Tableau, Globant, Ambarella, European tech stocks
Fri, Feb. 5, 11:01 AM
- A long list of enterprise software and security tech names are off sharply after business intelligence/analytics software upstart Tableau (down 45.3%) reported slower-than-expected license revenue growth and issued below-consensus Q1/2016 guidance.
- Also possibly weighing: LinkedIn (down 39.6%), which derives a large % of its revenue from cloud-based recruiting and sales tools for enterprises, issued weak Q1/2016 guidance.
- Given the magnitude of the drops, margin calls and forced selling by funds could be playing a big role. The Nasdaq is down 2.2%.
- Tableau suggested its growth slowdown has to do with softening IT spend and a need to improve sales productivity, but analysts have raised questions about competition from the likes of Microsoft, Amazon, and Qlik. LinkedIn forecast a growth slowdown for its field sales hiring solutions business, while blaming European/Asian macro pressures. The company also noted its display ad business continues declining amid weak industry growth.
- Major enterprise software decliners include Splunk (SPLK -23.7%), Workday (WDAY -15.1%), Adobe (ADBE -7%), Zendesk (ZEN -15.2%), ServiceNow (NOW -13.6%), NetSuite (N -12.4%), Salesforce (CRM -11.2%), Paycom (PAYC -10.6%), Ellie Mae (ELLI -11.5%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -7.8%), Veeva (VEEV -7.7%), Ultimate Software (ULTI -9%), Luxoft (LXFT -7.5%), Manhattan Associates (MANH -8.5%), Box (BOX -6.6%), Guidewire (GWRE -13.6%), Demandware (DWRE -9.3%), Hortonworks (HDP -9.7%), and Tableau rival Qlik (QLIK -16.6%). The casualty list includes many cloud software firms, as well as several analytics software plays. Previously covered: New Relic, Atlassian.
- Major decliners among security tech firms: Palo Alto Networks (PANW -12%), FireEye (FEYE -8.9%), Rapid7 (RPD -8.6%), CyberArk (CYBR -8.3%), Proofpoint (PFPT -8%), Imperva (IMPV -8.3%), Fortinet (FTNT -6.9%), and Vasco (VDSI -5.1%). The selloff comes in spite of an FQ3 beat and in-line FQ4 guidance from Symantec, which has been losing share to various upstarts.
Thu, Jan. 28, 2:53 PM
- Though the Nasdaq is up 0.8%, enterprise cloud software firms Salesforce (CRM -2.7%), Workday (WDAY -3.8%), Demandware (DWRE -4.5%), Veeva (VEEV -3.5%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -3.3%), Marketo (MKTO -4.4%), Actua (ACTA -2.4%), HubSpot (HUBS -6.2%), and Zendesk (ZEN -2.7%) are lower after cloud IT service management (ITSM) software leader ServiceNow (NOW -16.5%) posted a Q4 billings miss to go with revenue/EPS beats and issued light 2016 sales guidance.
- On ServiceNow's earnings call (transcript), CFO Michael Scarpelli attributed the billings shortfall to a ~$5M forecasting error. Regardless, Mizuho and MKM have responded to the Q4 report by downgrading to Neutral. Mizuho: "We find two [billings] misses in one year concerning." The firm is also worried about a premium valuation, missed quotas by sales reps, and a "large customer's preference to cut payment terms in half."
- MKM is less concerned about the billings miss, and calls Q4 results solid. But the firm is worried about macro pressures, and thinks ServiceNow's track record of major op. margin guidance beats is "unlikely to be sustained given decelerating billings and the current macroeconomic environment."
Wed, Jan. 13, 10:22 AM
- Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +3.2%) upgraded to Outperform from Market Perform at FBR Capital with a $42 price target, based on recent checks with partners. (Source: Briefing.com)
- FBR Capital argues Cornerstone “closed 2015 out nicely” with a “solid” 2016 pipeline in place.
- The firm also praised the company’s “improved execution, a large market opportunity, solid demand, ramping interest for newer products, and more reasonable expectations.”
Wed, Jan. 6, 1:46 PM
- Barclays' Raimo Lenschow has downgraded firewall/security software firm Check Point (CHKP -1.9%), cloud talent management software firm Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -2.7%), and data warehousing hardware/software provider Teradata (TDC -3.8%) to Underweight. Cloud HR/financials software vendor Workday (WDAY -3.6%) and e-commerce software/services provider Demandware (DWRE -2.9%) have been cut to Equal Weight.
- Cloud HR software firm Paycom (PAYC -1%), on the other hand, has been upgraded to Overweight on a belief consensus estimates are too low. Meanwhile, BofA/Merrill has launched coverage on Demandware at Buy.
- Regarding Check Point, Lenschow says he prefer security tech firms that are gaining share - his top three ideas are Palo Alto Networks, Imprivata, and Rapid7. He sees security IT spend rising 7% in both 2016 and 2017, a rate on par with 2015's.
- Regarding Cornerstone, Lenschow is worried about slowing top-line growth, a lack of profits, and growing competition. Regarding Workday, he's concerned about competition from SAP/Oracle, a high valuation, and the relatively limited impact of its financials offerings on sales growth.
- The downgraded names are underperforming amid a 1.1% Nasdaq drop.
Nov. 6, 2015, 11:51 AM
- While Cornerstone OnDemand (NASDAQ:CSOD) missed Q3 estimates, it guided on its earnings call (webcast) for Q4 revenue of $96.7M-$98.2M, in-line with a $97.5M consensus. Full-year EPS guidance of -$0.35 is below a -$0.33 consensus, but full-year op. cash flow guidance of $43M has been maintained.
- Perhaps getting more attention: The cloud talent management software firm expects 2016 revenue growth to be "largely consistent" with 2015 growth. The midpoint of Cornerstone's 2015 revenue guidance implies 29% growth, while the 2016 consensus is for 27% growth.
- Top-line performance: Recent sales pressures are blamed on forex and service delivery timings. Bookings rose 26% Y/Y in Q3 to $103.7M, a slowdown from Q2's 30% growth but still well above revenue of $87.3M (+28%). Clients rose by ~100 Q/Q to 2,400+, and end-users by 1.7M to 22.2M. The deferred revenue balance rose 34% to $206M.
- Financials: Gross margin (non-GAAP) was 73%, up from Q2's 70% and flat Y/Y. GAAP operating expenses rose 32% Y/Y to $77.1M, with $53.3M spent on sales/marketing, $10.5M on R&D, and $13.2M on G&A. Cornerstone ended Q3 with $214M in cash, and $231M in convertible debt.
- Q3 results, PR
Aug. 5, 2015, 9:49 AM
- Stephens has upgraded Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +2%) to Overweight ahead of Thursday afternoon's Q2 report.
- The upgrade comes 6 days after Needham reported positive checks for the talent management software market, and hiked its Q2 Cornerstone billings estimtate in response. The firm also talked up the potential of new Life Sciences features and Cornerstone's recently-launched recruiting analytics platform, and stated it's now more confident in the company's ability to post 25%+ full-year billings growth.
- Update: More details here. Stephens cites encouraging talks with "industry partcipants," and thinks Cornerstone is seeing "outsized success" in the Life Sciences vertical.
May 19, 2015, 6:54 PM
- As part of a change in analyst coverage for cloud software stocks, Needham's Scott Berg has launched coverage on Workday (NYSE:WDAY) and HealthStream (NASDAQ:HSTM) at Buy, upgraded Cornerstone OnDemand (NASDAQ:CSOD) to Strong Buy, and upgraded Ultimate Software (NASDAQ:ULTI) to Buy after the close. Though their product lines differ, all 4 companies have exposure to the cloud HR/talent management space.
- Berg on Workday: "[W]e believe WDAY has the combination that growth investors seek: large market, well positioned product versus industry megatrends, and a financial model that yields significant revenue visibility ... Although we believe the company's current valuation assumes almost flawless near-term sales execution to further expand its valuation multiples, we believe its execution within a HCM market exhibiting high demand creates a positive risk/reward scenario..." The remarks come ahead of Workday's May 26 FQ1 report.
- Berg on HealthStream: "We believe HealthStream uniquely benefits from two significant mega-trends; 1) the strong secular adoption rates within the Talent Management Enterprise Software subsector, and also 2) an environment that is increasingly regulated, requiring its products’ end users to evaluate competencies and train employees on a more frequent basis." The cloud healthcare software firm is a month removed from posting a Q1 beat.
- WDAY +0.7% AH to $91.28. CSOD +1.9% to $32.44. ULTI +1.2% to $170.29. HealthStream hasn't yet moved AH.
May 19, 2015, 5:40 PM
May 6, 2015, 7:10 PM
- In addition to beating Q1 revenue estimates (while missing on EPS), Cornerstone OnDemand (NASDAQ:CSOD) has guided on its CC (webcast) for 2015 revenue of $337.5M-$341.5M, up from prior guidance of $336M-$341M and mostly above a $337.9M consensus. EPS guidance of -$0.30 is slightly below a -$0.29 consensus.
- The cloud talent management software vendor's Q1 bookings totaled $63.5M, +28% Y/Y but trailing revenue of $74.4M (seasonality played a role). The deferred revenue balance rose 38% to $180.9M.
- GAAP operating expenses rose 27% Y/Y to $67M, a much slower pace than Q4's 42%. The customer base rose by ~100 Q/Q to over 2,200, and end-users by ~1M to over 19.1M.
- Shares have risen to $31.25 AH. Cornerstone says it plans to show off analytics tools and a cloud app platform (PaaS) solution (presumably for apps that integrate with Cornerstone's) at its May 11-13 Convergence conference.
- Q1 results, PR
Apr. 29, 2015, 3:02 PM
- After following markets lower most of today, enterprise cloud software vendors have jumped thanks to a Bloomberg report stating cloud CRM software giant Salesforce ($51B market cap) has been approached by a potential buyer, and is working with bankers to field offers.
- Gainers include Workday (WDAY +6%), ServiceNow (NOW +4.3%), NetSuite (N +4.3%), Marketo (MKTO +2.7%), Zendesk (ZEN +1.2%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD +1.6%), Castlight (CSLT +2.4%), and Jive Software (JIVE +1.5%).
- Though the cloud software market has seen plenty of M&A activity, a Salesforce deal would easily be its largest. Workday ($17.5B market cap) is the second-largest enterprise cloud pure-play. ServiceNow ($11.6B) is #3.
Apr. 1, 2015, 3:14 PM
- With the Nasdaq down 0.8%, only a handful of tech companies are posting big gains. Notable gainers include search toolbar/mobile ad provider Perion (PERI +4.2%) , low-end Android OEM InfoSonics (IFON +7.1%), and Chinese mobile app developer Sungy Mobile (GOMO +8.2%).
- Notable decliners include local reviews leader Yelp (YELP -4.6%), cloud IT service management software vendor ServiceNow (NOW -4.5%), cloud talent management software vendor Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -4%), enterprise cloud storage/file-sharing platform Box (BOX -5.5%), software analytics tool provider New Relic (NEWR -5.9%), online family care marketplace marketplace Care.com (CRCM -5%), and e-commerce software provider Demandware (DWRE -4.9%).
- Perion announced this morning it has added Mike Vorhaus, president of consulting firm Magid Advisors, to its board. ServiceNow has announced its Q1 report will arrive on April 16. Yelp, which has been volatile in recent weeks, is now just slightly over $3 above a 52-week low of $42.10. Care.com is less than $1 away from a post-IPO low of $6.50.
- Previously covered: Solar stocks, cybersecurity stocks, Axcelis, GoDaddy, ON Semi, Voltari
Feb. 12, 2015, 12:51 AM
- Though Cornerstone OnDemand (NASDAQ:CSOD) beat Q4 revenue estimates and posted in-line EPS, it guided on its CC (transcript) for Q1 revenue of $72M-$73M (below a $76.4M consensus), and full-year revenue of $336M-$341M and EPS of -$0.29 (below a consensus of $341.6M and -$0.14).
- The cloud talent management software insists a strong dollar is the main culprit. CEO Adam Miller: "[T]he guidance is solely reflecting the FX hit, otherwise it’s exactly where the Street was, I think from next year perspective ... our pipeline is much stronger at the beginning of this year for strategic accounts than it was a year ago, and we’re feeling good about our ability to compete at the end of the market with the largest best-known companies in the world."
- Q4 bookings totaled $115.2M, +35% Y/Y and soundly exceeding revenue of $76.4M. For the whole of 2014, bookings rose 36% to $316.1M. That helped the deferred revenue balance rise 38% to $191.3M.
- 197 clients were added in Q4, raising the total base to over 2,100. GAAP operating expenses rose 42% Y/Y to $67M.
- Shares fell 6.7% in AH trading to $33.50.
- Q4 results, PR
Jan. 30, 2015, 11:54 AM
- Salesforce (CRM -2.2%), ServiceNow (NOW -2.2%), Paylocity (PCTY -5.8%), Castlight (CSLT -4.1%), Cornerstone OnDemand (CSOD -3.6%), InContact (SAAS -2.2%), and Zendesk (ZEN -2.1%) are selling off after cloud ERP/HR/e-commerce software vendor NetSuite (N -11.7%) offered light Q1 and 2015 sales guidance to go with a Q4 beat. The Nasdaq is down 0.4%.
- As one would expect, NetSuite states forex has much to do with its guidance. On the CC (transcript), CFO Ronald Gill noted "the weighted average value of the foreign currencies in which we recognize international revenue has fallen more than 8% against the dollar." However, it's worth noting only 27% of NetSuite's Q4 revenue was international.
- NetSuite's Q4 numbers were solid: Subscription/support revenue grew 34%, and billings rose 34% to $201M (well above revenue of $157.9M). 54 customers were added for NetSuite's SuiteCommerce e-commerce software platform - CEO Zach Nelson humbly observes that was more than 3x the 17 customer adds rival Demandware (DWRE -1.6%) reported for Q3 (a seasonally weaker quarter).
- ServiceNow, the top player in the cloud IT service desk software market, provided above-consensus guidance on Wednesday.
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