Concho Resources: Drilling Gushers On Wall Street
Wed, Mar. 9, 7:20 PM
- Oil production in the Permian Basin has been much more resilient in the face of the ~65% drop in oil prices since mid-2014 than other shale regions, and in fact has been climbing steadily while the Eagle Ford and Bakken plays are showing overall declines.
- As of early February, Permian's oil production slightly exceeded 2M bbl/day - up from 1.4M bbl/day at the beginning of 2014 - even though the drilling rig count for the basin fell to 181 from about 550 a year earlier, and EIA data released Monday projects Permian’s output at 2.036M bbl/day while Eagle Ford and Bakken are expected to continue to drop.
- "If you are in an oil-producing related business, the Permian Basin is the place to be in 2016,” says energy consultant Charles Perry.
- Relevant tickers include PXD, OXY, CVX, COP, CXO, APA, DVN, APC, XOM, NBL, CPE, PE, FANG, RSPP, LPI, XEC, EQT
Wed, Feb. 24, 4:39 PM
- Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO): Q4 EPS of -$0.07 misses by $0.11.
- Revenue of $389.2M (-34.5% Y/Y) misses by $136.21M.
- Shares -1.2%.
Tue, Feb. 23, 5:35 PM
- AAOI, ALDW, ALJ, AMSG, ANIK, AR, AWK, AWR, AXTI, BLDP, BWXT, CEMP, CHDN, CLGX, CLI, CLR, CRM, CSGP, CW, CWT, CXO, DAVE, DMRC, DOOR, DPM, DTLK, DYN, ECPG, EPR, EQY, ESV, ETE, ETP, FARO, FLTX, FOE, FRGI, FUEL, GDOT, GMED, GXP, HPQ, HTH, IL, IMAX, INN, KEYW, LB, LGCY, LQ, MMLP, MTDR, NFX, NLY, NSPH, NTES, OAS, PE, PHH, QEP, RATE, RBCN, RGR, RICE, RIG, RIGP, RLJ, RLYP, RSPP, SBY, SN, SPTN, SRC, SUN, SXL, TAL, TCAP, TILE, TNDM, TS, TSLX, TUMI, TXTR, VIPS, WES, WGP, WLL, WPX, WR, WSR, XPO, ZPIN
Wed, Feb. 17, 5:47 PM
- North Dakota's crude oil production fell in December for the first time in three months, down 2.5% to 1,152,280 bbl/day, as oil producers begin to acknowledging the low-price reality rolling over the entire energy industry.
- Only 41 drilling rigs are operating in the state as of Wednesday, the lowest level since July 2009, and North Dakota producers have cut back requests to drill new wells, with only 78 permitted in January compared to 125 in November.
- Bakken shale exposure includes: CLR, HES, WLL, STO, OAS, MRO, EOG, XOM, NOG, CHK, DNR, SM, NFX, OXY, MUR, OXY, COP, SSN, CXO, EOX
Tue, Feb. 16, 5:58 PM
Fri, Feb. 12, 2:37 PM
- Whiting Petroleum (WLL -8.9%) may have received the toughest treatment from Moody's, but the ratings agency downgrades a total of eight of companies as part of a sweeping re-examination of oil and gas producers.
- The ratings affected companies rated Ba, or the first tier of debt Moody’s considers risky enough to be a speculative investment.
- While Moody's cut WLL's debt rating by five notches, SM Energy (SM -1.2%) and WPX Energy (WPX +3.5%) both fell four notches to B2 from Ba1, and cites the likelihood of a "dramatic increase in financial leverage in 2017” with SM's cut.
- QEP Resources (QEP -0.5%) and Energen (EGN -11.6%) fell three notches to B1 from Ba1.
- Unit Corp. (UNT +2%) fell two notches to B2 from Ba3, which Range Resources (RRC +0.7%) and Newfield Exploration (NFX +2.7%) both slipped to Ba3 from Ba1.
- Ratings for Antero Resources (AR +2.7%) and Concho Resources (CXO +2.2%) were confirmed at Ba2 and Ba1, respectively.
Tue, Jan. 19, 9:18 AM
- Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO) announces three deals it says will enhance its position in the Permian Basin, high grade its portfolio and reduce net debt.
- CXO says it will sell ~14K net acres in Loving County, Tex., to Silver Hill Energy Partners II for $290M, buy ~12K net acres near its North Harpoon prospect from an unnamed private operator for cash, stock and a joint venture interest in the acreage, and complete an acreage exchange with Clayton Williams Energy (NYSE:CWEI) to consolidate 21K net acres where CXO does not operate drilling into a concentrated position adjacent to its Big Chief prospect in Reeves County, Tex.
- CXO says the sale will free it from ~$100M in drilling costs through 2016.
Fri, Jan. 15, 3:20 PM
- Nymex crude oil settled -5.7% at $29.42/bbl, its lowest level since November 2003, with concerns that Iran will soon add to the world's glut of crude supplies added to fears about an economic slowdown in China.
- When a decade of trade and banking sanctions against Iran end, perhaps as soon as Monday, the country could lift exports by 500K bbl/day and gradually raise shipments by the same amount again; Iran reportedly has 22 VLCCs floating off its coast, with 13 fully or almost fully loaded.
- Among major energy companies today: XOM -1.8%, CVX -2.2%, RDS.A -5%, BP -5.2%, COP -4.9%, TOT -3.7%, PBR -8.6%, E -4.5%, TOT -3.7%, STO -2.5%, MRO -10.2%, HES -3.6%, OXY -1.8%, DVN -5.8%, APA -4.9%, EOG -3.8%, APC -7.9%, PXD -2.6%, CXO -4.9%.
- ETFs: UNG, USO, OIL, XLE, UGAZ, UCO, DGAZ, UWTI, VDE, ERX, OIH, SCO, XOP, BNO, BOIL, GAZ, DBO, DWTI, ERY, FCG, DIG, GASL, DTO, DUG, KOLD, BGR, USL, XES, IYE, IEO, UNL, IEZ, DNO, FENY, PXE, PXI, PXJ, FIF, DBE, OLO, SZO, NDP, RYE, DCNG, RJN, FXN, OLEM, DDG
Tue, Jan. 5, 2:47 PM
- An eventual upturn in crude oil prices should turn the tide for the E&P sector In 2016, Citi analyst Robert Morris says as he upgrades Anadarko Petroleum (APC -1%), Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ +1%), EOG Resources (EOG +0.8%) and Cimarex Energy (XEC +1.4%) to Buy from Neutral and ups Oasis Petroleum (OAS -3.3%) to Neutral from Sell.
- For the first time in more than a decade, the per share debt-adjusted growth metrics within the E&P sector showed no correlation to the share price performance in 2015, according to Morris; without a further collapse in commodity prices, he sees debt-adjusted growth metrics, along with key debt metrics and the ability to increase production by spending within cash flow, driving relative E&P share performance.
- Morris maintains Buy ratings on Antero Resources (AR -2.4%), Apache (APA -2.3%), Concho Resources (CXO +1%), Memorial Resource Development (MRD -2%), Range Resources (RRC -0.4%) and Whiting Petroleum (WLL -7.1%), but downgrades Hess (HES -0.5%) to Neutral from Buy.
Dec. 16, 2015, 2:31 PM
- Moody's says it is reviewing 29 E&P companies from the U.S. and seven from Canada for a potential downgrade, saying the companies "will be stressed for a longer period with much lower cash flows, difficulty selling assets and limited capital markets access."
- Based on the severity and potential duration of the industry challenges, Moody's expects many companies will be downgraded one notch and others could be lowered by more than one notch.
- Yesterday, the ratings agency cut its oil and gas price assumptions in light of continuing oversupply in the global oil markets and the U.S. natural gas market.
- Among the U.S. companies: APC, AR, APA, XEC, CXO, COP, CLR, DNR, EGN, EOG, EPE, EQT, HES, MRO, MUR, NFG, NFX, NBL, OXY, PXD, QEP, RRC, SM, SWN, UNT, WLL, WPX
- From Canada: BTE, CNQ, OTCQX:COSWF, CVE, ECA, OTCPK:HUSKF, SU
Dec. 9, 2015, 10:36 AM
- Concho Resources (CXO +2.3%) and Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD +4.3%) are named J.P. Morgan's top large-cap picks among E&P companies focused on the Permian Basin, which the firm says is positioned at the low end of the U.S. tight oil cost curve and thus poised to benefit from efficiency and productivity gains.
- CXO boasts a deep inventory of high rate of return locations in the Delaware Basin; given the company's success there, the firm sees the potential for a "positive rate of change" in the Midland Basin.
- Even though PXD has lagged its Permian peers over the past 12-18 months on a weaker capital efficiency metric, the firm expects the company to realize a positive turn in capital efficiency along with differential oil growth to drive outperformance.
- Parsley Energy (PE +4.2%) and Diamondback Energy (FANG +4.4%) are JPM's top small- and mid-cap picks; Cimarex (XEC +1.7%), Energen (EGN +1.8%) and RSP Permian (RSPP +2.6%) are rated Neutral, while Laredo Petroleum (LPI +4.7%) is tagged with an Underweight rating.
Nov. 18, 2015, 6:39 PM
- Small and midsize oil and gas producers are expected to reduce production by ~1% Y/Y in Q4 while cutting capital spending 41% below 2014 levels, according to a new report from RBN Energy.
- "It does not appear that today’s punishingly low crude and gas prices [have] yet to materially discourage oil and gas production in the major shale plays," the report says.
- Among the companies in RBN's small and midsize group are four that cut capital investment estimates during Q3 - Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO), Energen (NYSE:EGN), Sanchez Energy (NYSE:SN) and Cimarex Energy (NYSE:XEC) - one that raised its capital program - SM Energy (NYSE:SM) - as well as one - Continental Resources (NYSE:CLR) - that raised its production guidance.
- The report also evaluates large oil-weighted E&Ps, diversified U.S. gas-weighted E&Ps and Appalachian gas-weighted E&Ps.
Nov. 12, 2015, 5:48 PM
- Clayton Williams Energy (NYSE:CWEI) +8.4% AH following a Bloomberg report that Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO) is seeking to buy the company.
- CWEI has drawn interest from other suitors, according to the report, after saying last month that it had retained Goldman Sachs to help it explore options including a sale.
- CXO is viewed as a strong candidate to win a sale process for CWEI, given its relatively strong share price, which means it can outbid other suitors using its stock as currency, and it could save money by combining overlapping operations it has with CWEI in the Permian Basin.
Nov. 4, 2015, 5:09 PM
- Concho Resources (NYSE:CXO): Q3 EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.09.
- Revenue of $463.5M (-33.8% Y/Y) misses by $95.47M.
Nov. 3, 2015, 5:35 PM
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Oct. 1, 2015, 3:18 PM
- Concho Resources (CXO +0.2%) pokes into positive territory even after its newest share offering, in which it expects to pocket $712M before fees and potentially more if the deal’s underwriting banks exercise options to buy as many as 1.2M more shares.
- CXO launched a 7M-share offering late yesterday, and shortly thereafter boosted the size by 10%, a sign the proposal was met with strong demand.
- CXO, which works prolific oil fields in the Permian Basin that are among the cheapest in the U.S. to drill, has been among the more resilient oil stocks; buyers of a CXO offering in February paid $108.50/share and were down 9.4% through Wednesday’s close, much better than the typical E&P stock.
- Tudor Pickering analysts call CXO’s deal “a buying opportunity for our favorite Permian name" and say the offering is a prudent move to buy drilling acreage at favorable pricing.