CYS Investments, Inc.
 (CYS)

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  • Wed, Feb. 3, 3:01 PM
    • Today's gains are being led by Arlington Asset (AI +7.3%) (not a REIT, but in the business) after it posted its first quarterly increase in book value in six quarters last night.
    • American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.7%) reported earlier this week, and Nomura's Brock Vandervliet notes three positives from yesterday's earnings call (transcript): 1) More buybacks are coming; 2) Green shoots are apparent in the MBS market; 3) Book value should remain stable from here (it rose a bit in the year's final month, though dipped for the quarter).
    • He does slightly adjust downward his earnings estimates - by a penny in Q1 to $0.54 per share, and by two cents for the full year. He expects the $0.60 dividend is safe through H1, but there is some risk there.
    • Annaly (NLY +0.7%), Two Harbors (TWO +2.9%), CYS (CYS +2.6%), Hatteras (HTS +1.9%), Capstead (CMO +2.2%), Dynex (DX +2.2%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • Previously: Arlington Asset posts Q4 book value gain (Feb. 2)
    • Previously: American Capital Agency higher post-earnings (Feb. 2)
    | Wed, Feb. 3, 3:01 PM | 20 Comments
  • Wed, Jan. 20, 10:44 AM
    • The discounts to book values across the sector have grown to such high levels that one wonders whether it just makes more sense for many of these players to liquidate the portfolios and return the money to the shareholders.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY -4.9%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC -4.6%) are selling at 30% discounts to their most recent book value.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -8.3%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -7%), Hatteras Financial (HTS -5%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -9.5%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -6.4%), AG Mortgage (MITT -7.2%), Anworth (ANH -6.3%), Arlington Asset (AI -8.7%), and Five Oaks (OAKS -8%) are selling at greater than 40% discounts. Two Harbors (TWO -7.5%), CYS Investments (CYS -6.2%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -6%), Capstead (CMO -5.9%), Dynex (DX -7.2%), Western Asset (WMC -8%), Ellington Residential (EARN -7.2%), and Orchid Island (ORC -9.6%) are all nearing 40% discounts.
    • MFA Financial (MFA -6.4%) and Chimera Investment (CIM -8.1%) are both nearing 30% discounts to book.
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Wed, Jan. 20, 10:44 AM | 234 Comments
  • Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is off eight basis points on the session at 2.10%, and now lower by about 20 basis points since the Fed Funds rate got hiked 25 basis points less than a month ago - probably not the best scenario for mREIT earnings going forward.
    • Other income favorites like equity REITs, BDCs, and utilities (XLU -0.8%) are also being aggressively sold today.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -1.8%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.7%), Armour Residential (ARR -2.4%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.9%), Invesco (IVR -2.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -2.3%), Hatteras (HTS -3.2%), Capstead (CMO -3.6%), Western Asset (WMC -2.9%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -3.6%), Dynex (DX -3.1%), Ellington Residential (EARN -3.5%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.2%), PennyMac (PMT -4.9%), FIve Oaks (OAKS -5.7%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM | 24 Comments
  • Wed, Jan. 6, 3:28 PM
    • Trading at roughly a 25% discount to book value, there's plenty of value in the mortgage REIT sector, and now there's a catalyst with the broad-based averages and interest rates both in sharp decline to start the year.
    • The iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) is up 2.2% YTD after declining about 20% in 2015.
    • Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY) and American Capital Agency are each up about 2.5%.
    • Others in the green: Two Harbors (NYSE:TWO), Chimera (NYSE:CIM), CYS Investments (NYSE:CYS), Invesco (NYSE:IVR), New York Mortgage Trust (NASDAQ:NYMT), Hatteras (NYSE:HTS), Capstead (NYSE:CMO), MFA Financial (NYSE:MFA), Western Asset (NYSE:WMC), Anworth (NYSE:ANH).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Wed, Jan. 6, 3:28 PM | 35 Comments
  • Oct. 27, 2015, 3:34 PM
    | Oct. 27, 2015, 3:34 PM | 11 Comments
  • Oct. 5, 2015, 12:36 PM
    • With a wave of Q3 dividend cuts now in the rearview mirror, perhaps investors are looking ahead to what might be stability in payouts. With most of the sector trading at double-digit discounts to book value - and plenty of names selling for more than 20% discounts - even stability should be enough for a reasonable rally into year-end.
    • Leading the way higher is Five Oaks Investment (OAKS +6.4%), while mREIT giants Annaly Capital (NLY +1%) and American Capital Mortgage (AGNC +1.2%) are sector laggards today.
    • Two Harbors (TWO +1.7%), CYS Investments (CYS +2.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +3.5%), Dynex Capital (DX +2.4%), AG Mortgage (MITT +2.6%), Javelin Mortgage (JMI +4%), Armour Residential (ARR +2.9%), Orchid Island (ORC +4.2%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Oct. 5, 2015, 12:36 PM | 22 Comments
  • Sep. 18, 2015, 11:19 AM
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +0.9%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH +0.6%), Apollo Residential (AMTG +0.1%) and ZAIS Financial (ZFC +0.8%) last night added themselves to the smallish list of mortgage REITs maintaining dividends this quarter.
    • Those announcing dividend cuts after the bell were American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -1.2%) and Arlington Asset (AI -0.5%).
    • The sector as a whole continues to move higher following the FOMC yesterday afternoon, but hit particularly hard today is CYS Investment (CYS -3.1%). The move is especially notable as CEO Kevin Grant has been consistently skeptical about fears of higher rates.
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Sep. 18, 2015, 11:19 AM | 31 Comments
  • Sep. 1, 2015, 2:54 PM
    • The financial sector is leading the market lower today, but these sessions often see money flow into REITs. There's no green to be found, but mortgage REITs like Annaly Capital (NLY -0.3%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -0.2%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH -0.2%), Chimera (CIM -0.1%), CYS Investments (CYS -0.1%), Invesco (IVR -0.3%), and Dynex (DX -0.7%) are outperforming by a wide margin.
    • Equity REITs are doing better than the XLF and S&P 500, but still sharply lower: Realty Income (O -1.5%), Omega Healthcare (OHI -2.2%), HCP (HCP -1.2%), Gramercy Property (GPT -1.9%), Equity Residential (EQR -2.4%), Kimco (KIM -2.1%), Simon Property (SPG -2.2%), Public Storage (PSA -1.1%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.1%), Stag Industrial (STAG -1.2%)
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, MORL, REM, MORT, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, LMBS, IARAX
    | Sep. 1, 2015, 2:54 PM | 33 Comments
  • Aug. 21, 2015, 3:30 PM
    • These income favorites often catch a wave of buying when the major averages sell off and yields fall, but the panicky action today is taking down nearly all equities.
    • The iShares DJ U.S. Real Estate ETF (IYR -1.7%) and the iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ETF (REM -1.6%), however, are outperforming the S&P 500's 2.7% decline.
    • Previously: Just a modest rally for Treasurys as stocks crumble (Aug. 21)
    • Leading the mREITs lower is Javelin Mortgage (JMI -5.9%), with SA contributor ColoradoWealthManagementFund noting the company has stopped buying back stock despite its wide discount to book value. The sector as a whole looks like it will continue to have to deal with widening spreads and rising prepayments, and still have a looming rate hike cycle on the horizon.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.8%), Annaly (NLY -1.2%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.8%), Arlington Asset (AI -2.4%), Orchid Island (ORC -2.5%), Dynex (DX -2%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -1.3%).
    • Equity REITs: Realty Income (O -0.7%), Vereit (VER -2.3%), Health Care REIT (HCN -1%), HCP (HCP -1.1%), Gramercy Property (GPT -3.1%), Equity Residential (EQY -1.6%), Simon Property (SPG -0.5%), Kimco (KIM -2.1%), Hospitality Properties (HPT -2.8%), Stag Industrial (STAG -1.4%), American Campus (ACC -1.1%), Public Storage (PSA -1%).
    | Aug. 21, 2015, 3:30 PM | 38 Comments
  • Aug. 11, 2015, 12:59 PM
    • The Fed may be determined to hike rates, but deflationary signals are everywhere, with Beijing the latest government to acknowledge such with its devaluation overnight.
    • Crude oil has taken out a new six-year low, tumbling another 4% to $43.15 per barrel, and copper's 3% decline has brought it to a fresh six-year low. The grains are all down by 2% or more, but gold is marginally higher.
    • The major U.S. averages are down more than 1%, and Europe fell 1.5% today.
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is lower by a full ten basis points to 2.13%.
    • Leading the heavily discounted mREIT sector higher are Annaly Capital (NLY +1.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +1.3%), CYS Investments (CYS +1.2%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +1.6%), Hatteras Financial (HTS +1.3%), Capstead (CMO +1%), Anworth (ANH +1.4%), Dynex Capital (DX +2.6%), and AG Mortgage (MITT +1.6%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • In equity REITs: National Retail (NNN +1.2%), Equity Residential (EQR +1.5%), AvalonBay (AVB +1.2%), General Growth (GGP +1.9%), Kimco (KIM +1.4%), Whitestone REIT (WSR +2.9%), Washington Real Estate (WRE +1.2%), Hospitality Properties (HPT +2.3%), Chamber Street (CSG +1.1%).
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, IARAX
    | Aug. 11, 2015, 12:59 PM | 19 Comments
  • Jul. 28, 2015, 9:52 AM
    • Investors take a least a small hiatus from selling the mortgage REITs after last night's clunker of an earnings report from American Capital Agency (AGNC +2%).
    • Book value fell by 6% during Q2, with higher rates, widening MBS spreads, and faster prepayments making for an ugly combination.
    • The company, however, entered Q3 with its lowest leverage since the financial crisis, giving it the firepower to buy assets on the cheap. At the close yesterday, the stock was selling for a 22% discount to June 30 book value. At some point, the bad news is priced in?
    • The earnings call is set for 11 ET.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY +1.6%), CYS Investments (CYS +0.8%), Western Asset (WMC +1.2%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +0.5%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Jul. 28, 2015, 9:52 AM | 13 Comments
  • Jul. 24, 2015, 3:01 PM
    • Just a 1% decline in the major averages (which are being helped by some high-profile earnings moves) is masking far greater carnage in a number of other sectors, notably healthcare (XLV -2.5%) and energy (XLE -2%).
    • Business development companies and mortgage REITs are being socked again as well, suggesting the worry may go beyond interest rates and to credit in general, especially as commodity prices continue to tumble - to pick one, crude oil at $48.06 per barrel is at its lowest price in about four months.
    • Among BDCs: Hercules Technology Growth (HTGC -4.2%), Triangle Capital (TCAP -3.3%), PennantPark Investment (PNNT -5.4%), Prospect Capital (PSEC -1.4%), Main Street Capital (MAIN -2.8%), TICC Capital (TICC -2.4%), KCAP Financial (KCAP -2.6%), THL Credit (TCRD -2.7%), FS Investment (FSIC -1.8%).
    • Among mREITs: Armour Residential (ARR -3.1%), Two Harbors (TWO -0.9%), CYS Investments (CYS -2%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -1.5%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -1.2%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -2.6%), Arlington Asset (AI -3.7%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -0.9%), Orchid Island (ORC -5.8%).
    • MReit ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • BDC ETFs: BDCL, BDCS, BIZD, FGB
    | Jul. 24, 2015, 3:01 PM | 82 Comments
  • Jul. 23, 2015, 9:19 AM
    • Speaking on the earnings call, CEO Kevin Grant says the big jump in long rates forced mark-to-market losses on the portfolio that exceeded gains on hedges, thus causing the sizable loss (8.6%) in book value for the quarter.
    • The flip side of that would be prepayments, says Grant, and while CPR rose for the quarter, the effect of higher rates should cool that metric going forward. Q2 should be the "high water" mark for prepays for the next couple of quarters, says management.
    • Conference call webcast
    • Lower by 4.6% premarket, CYS is now off about 20% over the past three months, and trading at nearly a 24% discount to June 30 book value.
    • Should the company get more aggressive with buybacks? Grant doesn't want to let the world know when he's in the market buying back stock, but says if the math works, the company will be repurchasing shares. 1.29M were bought back in Q2.
    • Previously: Rough quarter for CYS Investments as long rates jump (July 22)
    • Previously: CYS Investments reports Q2 results (July 22)
    | Jul. 23, 2015, 9:19 AM
  • Jun. 26, 2015, 3:31 PM
    • Equity REITs are mostly being spared any punishment today, but mortgage REITs are hitting multi-year lows across the board as the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbs seven basis points to 2.48%.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -4.7%) hasn't seen a price this low since Alan Greenspan was nearing the end of his rate hike cycle in 2000. American Capital Agency (AGNC -3.7%) is at its lowest price since the bottom of the financial crisis.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2.9%), Two Harbors (TWO -4.5%), Chimera Investment (CIM -4.8%), CYS Investments (CYS -3.7%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -5.4%), Capstead Mortgage (CMO -4.5%), Anworth Mortgage (ANH -4.3%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.3%), Ellington Residential (EARN -5.3%), Orchid Island (ORC -3.9%).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Jun. 26, 2015, 3:31 PM | 128 Comments
  • Jun. 25, 2015, 4:17 PM
    • The XLU underperformed again today, losing 0.7% and bringing its year-to-date decline to more than 12%.
    • Looking at equity REITs, the IYR dipped another 0.95% and VNQ fell 1%. Both are down about 6% in 2015, and roughly 15% since late January. Some individual names: Spirit Realty (SRC -2.8%), Senior Housing (SNH -1.2%), HCP (HCP -1.4%), American Realty Capital (ARCP -3%), Gramercy Property (GPT -2.8%), Duke Realty (DRE -2%).
    • In mortgage REITs, REM lost 0.9% today and is off 7% YTD. Some individual names: American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.2%), Armour (ARR -1%), CYS Investments (CYS -0.9%), Annaly Capital (NLY -0.8%), Invesco Mortgage (IVR -1.2%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -1.1%), PennyMac Mortgage (PMT -2.3%), Western Asset Mortgage (WMC -2.7%).
    • The 10-year Treasury yield gained three basis points to 2.40%.
    • Previously: Sell-side abandoning REITs as rates rise (June 25)
    • ETFs: IYR, VNQ, DRN, URE, RQI, SCHH, ICF, SRS, RWR, RNP, JRS, KBWY, RFI, NRO, DRV, RIT, REK, RIF, FRI, FTY, PSR, DRA, FREL, WREI, IARAX
    | Jun. 25, 2015, 4:17 PM | 74 Comments
  • Jun. 17, 2015, 8:24 AM
    • In the middle of a tough run for the mREIT sector, BAML picks four to downgrade from Neutral to Underperform.
    • The operating backdrop for mREITs remains challenging, says BAML, and higher rates, widening spreads, and increased volatility will continue to pressure shares. A flatter yield curve, says BAML, means potential dividend cuts.
    • American Capital Agency (NASDAQ:AGNC-1.3%, CYS Investments (NYSE:CYS-1.5%, Hatteras Financial (NYSE:HTS-1.1%, Dynex Capital (NYSE:DX-1% premarket
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Jun. 17, 2015, 8:24 AM | 79 Comments
Company Description
CYS Investments Inc is a specialty finance company that invests on a leveraged basis in residential mortgage pass-through securities for achieving consistent risk-adjusted investment income.
Sector: Financial
Country: United States