iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Energy Sector Capped Index ETFNASDAQ
Sun, Mar. 20, 9:05 AM
- In a note Friday, Michelle Meyer, U.S. economist at BofAML, says it's not likely a wave of oil bankruptcies would lead the U.S. economy into recession:
- ""It is important to note that if defaults rise due to non-macro events – which means without being triggered by a recession – there seems to be somewhat limited feedback into the economy."
- Meyer says high-yield bond defaults could hit 6% this year. Still... "If we assume the companies who default are average size, this would mean that 600K workers are vulnerable. However, many bankruptcies result in restructuring rather than the demise of the company, suggesting a portion of the workforce would likely be retained. For argument’s sake, let’s say half of the workers in companies going through bankruptcy proceedings become unemployed over the course of a year. This would result in 25K job cuts a month. As we have seen in the energy sector, a lot of these layoffs may already be happening so the incremental layoffs would presumably be less than 25K per month. This is clearly just illustrative and assumes that bankruptcies are narrow and do not spread to the broader economy."
- Further, Meyer is not seeing signs that oil-sector fears are leading to a broader tightening in credit markets: "While it is still early, there is little evidence of bank credit tightening thus far. "
- ETFs: USO, OIL, UCO, UWTI, SCO, BNO, DWTI, DBO, DTO, USL, FRAK, IXC, DNO, IPW, OLO, SZO, GNAT, SZC, OLEM, FILL, IOIL, YLCO, EMEY
Oct. 2, 2015, 4:32 AM
- Emerging markets are on track to suffer their first annual net outflow since 1988, the Institute of International Finance predicts.
- Foreign inflows are set to halve to $548B this year and outflows are expected to come in at $540B. With local outflows accelerating, net flows will turn negative.
- The flight from emerging markets "has been driven primarily by internal factors, basically reflecting a sustained slowdown in EM growth and amplified by rising uncertainty about China’s economy and policies," the IIF says.
- EMs have also been hit by the commodities rout, to which many are exposed. Weak currencies and political turmoil in countries such as Brazil and Turkey are increasing the risks.
- While those risks remain high, there is little incentive for investors to return to EMs.
- ETFs: EWZ, BRF, BRZU, BZF, EWZS, BRXX, BRAQ, BZQ, BRAZ, BRAF, UBR, DBBR, FBZ, TUR, EMB, PCY, TEI, EDF, ELD, ECON, EDD, EMLC, TKF, GHI, VWOB, CEW, EMD, EDI, MSD, EMHY, HYEM, EMIF, SBW, PXR, FEO, EMQQ, LEMB, EMAG, EMCG, EBND, AYT, PGD, PFEM, JEM, EMEY, EMSH, EMDI, BCHP, FEMB
Jun. 3, 2014, 2:22 PM
- Meeting the world’s energy supply needs by 2035 will require more than $48T of investment, with more than half needed to compensate for declining output at mature oil and gas fields and the rest on finding new supplies to meet rising demand, the IEA says in a new report.
- North American shale output is forecast to tail off from the middle of next decade, restoring the importance of supplies from the Middle East and OPEC.
- Europe could face an energy shortfall if power companies and oil producers fail to invest ~$2.2T through 2035 to replace aging electricity infrastructure and meet regulatory goals to reduce carbon emissions, according to the agency, which advises industrialized nations on energy policy.
- ETFs: XLE, ERX, KOL, VDE, OIH, ERY, FCG, XOP, DIG, GASL, DUG, FRAK, IYE, IEO, IXC, GASX, PXE, IPW, PXJ, FENY, RYE, FXN, GNAT, DDG, FILL, EMEY
Sep. 10, 2013, 10:26 AM
- The funds being closed make up just 4% of total assets under management, despite representing half of EGShares product line.
- Affected funds include: AGEM, FGEM, GGEM, HGEM, IGEM, LGEM, OGEM, QGEM, TGEM, UGEM, VGEM, EMT.
- Competing funds: EEM, VWO, EMFN, IPS, IRY, AXID, EMMT, EMEY, AXIT, AXTE, DBU, EMDI, ECON, JUNR