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Thu, Aug. 14, 6:46 AM
- Euro-Zone GDP failed to grow in the second quarter following 12 months of weak growth, causing European equity markets to fall and increasing pressure on the ECB to do more to boost growth and inflation.
- Data released this morning by the European Union's statistics office translates into 0.2% growth in annualized terms, down from the first quarter's 0.8% pace.
- The euro zone's three largest economies, which account for two-thirds of the region's €9.6T ($12.8T) GDP, all did not post any growth. German GDP shrank 0.2% from the first quarter and Italy's output fell at a similar pace. The French economy, the bloc's second largest behind Germany, stagnated for a second straight quarter.
- The region's next largest economies, Spain and the Netherlands, posted some growth but not enough to offset their larger peers.
- ETFs: FXE, RSX, VGK, EUO, EWG, FEZ, GREK, EWP, EWI, DFE, RUSL, ERO, RSXJ, IEV, ERUS, RUSS, EWL, HEDJ, EU, EWU, EPV, EUFN, EZU, EWD, NORW, EWQ, EPOL, EIRL, PLND, RBL, EWO, DRR, GXF, FEU, EWN, GUR, EWK, EDEN, FDD, EWGS, FEP, ESR, UPV, EUFX, PGAL, ULE, IFEU, DBGR, ENOR, ADRU, EWUS, EUDG, DXGE, FEEU, GERJ, URR, FGM, EFNL, EURL, FKU, FSZ, DXPS, RUDR, EURZ, DBEU, QDEU, IEUR, FIEU, EUMV, HEWG, SMEZ, QESP, DBUK, QGBR
Mon, Jul. 7, 1:32 PM
Thu, Jun. 5, 7:55 AM
- The Stoxx 50 (FEZ) is up 0.8% after being about flat ahead of the ECB rate decision, at which the central bank cut all three of its benchmark rates, including taking the deposit facility rate into negative territory.
- Italy (EWI) with a 1.3% gain and France (EWQ) ahead 1% lead the way.
- The euro (FXE) tumbles about 40 pips, now off 0.3% on the session and buying $1.3563.
- Europe equity ETFs: RSX, VGK, EWG, FEZ, GREK, EWP, EWI, DFE, RUSL, IEV, RSXJ, EWL, ERUS, EWU, RUSS, EPV, EZU, EWD, HEDJ, NORW, EWQ, EPOL, EIRL, PLND, EWO, RBL, GXF, EWN, FEU, EWK, FDD, EWGS, FEP, EDEN, UPV, EWUS, DBGR, PGAL, ADRU, ENOR, GERJ, DXGE, FEEU, FGM, EURL, FKU, EFNL, EUDG, DXPS, FSZ, EURZ, FIEU, RUDR, DBEU, HEWG, DBUK
- Euro ETFs: FXE, EUO, ERO, DRR, EUFX, ULE, URR
- ECB chief Mario Draghi's press conference begins at 8:30 ET.
Dec. 31, 2012, 11:56 AMMore details on iShares' ETF fee hikes: Going to 0.53% from 0.52% (a 1.9% hike) are its Ireland Capped Investable Market Fund (EIRL), Australia Fund (EWA), Canada Fund (EWC), Hong Kong Fund (EWH), Belgium Capped Fund (EWK), Switzerland Fund (EWL), Malaysia Fund (EWM), Netherlands Investable Market Fund (EWN), Spain Fund (EWP), France Fund (EWQ), Singapore Fund (EWS), United Kingdom Fund (EWU), Mexico Investable Market Fund (EWW) and EMU Fund (EZU). | 2 Comments
Aug. 20, 2012, 9:04 PMMore on the ECB: Mario Draghi appears to have won over at least one Bundesbank member as Jorg Asmussen tells a German newspaper high peripheral bond yields reflect exchange rate risk, thus "our monetary policy (is) achieved only incompletely." It's crucial wording, suggesting he's okay with ECB bond purchases as long as they're couched in saving EMU, not financing Spanish and Italian governments. "We are working on (a) new program and will deal with it (at the next policy meeting)." | 10 Comments
Aug. 20, 2012, 8:39 AMGoldman makes a big call on an EU comeback, recommending going long a basket of European firms with high domestic sales exposure against a short of companies with high U.S. exposure. Jeff Gundlach's May recommendation of long Spain vs. short U.S. is working, EWP outperforming SPY by 400 bps since. | 3 Comments
Aug. 20, 2012, 6:41 AMThe Bundesbank warns (in its monthly report) moves to share "solvency risks" in the eurozone should be decided by governments, not the ECB. The comments follow speculation the ECB is considering intervention to cap spreads between peripheral and German bond yields by buying unlimited amounts of government debt. It's a plan Germany's finance ministry denies any knowledge of but says would be "very problematic." | Comment!
Aug. 19, 2012, 6:52 PMThe ECB is considering capping peripheral bond yields by stepping in to buy the debt when its spread to German paper rises above a certain threshold, reports Der Spiegel. Draghi has complained that monetary policy transmission is broken, i.e., the ECB eases yet financial conditions tighten further in the periphery - this gives him his opening to buy government debt. A decision could come at the bank's September policy meeting. | 17 Comments
Aug. 13, 2012, 11:50 AMHedge funds capitulate, with data suggesting they are covering shorts on European stocks at the fastest rate since the epic bottom of early 2009. Likely priced in on the bear side are faltering economies and shrinking corporate profits. Maybe priced in on the bull side are further supportive official actions. | 3 Comments
May. 18, 2012, 8:26 AMThe ECB is playing a game of chicken - sitting on its hands to play tough with the Club Med states - but (along with the other major central banks) will "step in massively," says HSBC's David Bloom, and set off a powerful rally. Bob Janjuah agrees - "The Fed and the ECB will respond (soon) and trigger a short, sharp rally." | 5 Comments
May. 4, 2012, 11:03 AMPerhaps what's really roiling markets today are weekend elections in France and Greece. Greece looks particularly ugly, with true economic collapse in Athens potentially paving the way for the neo-Nazi Golden Dawn party to take 5-6% of the vote (2009 election: 0.23%). The communists are polling at about the same. "Be very worried," says Credit Suisse. | 13 Comments
May. 3, 2012, 8:51 AM
Apr. 25, 2012, 10:21 AMThe favorite to become France's next president, Francois Hollande says the EU fiscal compact will not be ratified by his country. Markets in Europe are up sharply, with Paris +2.3%. Take your pick: oversold bounce, Apple, Sarkozy to pull an upset, or just maybe the hope for a trashing of austerity policies that are choking much of the EU. | Comment!
Apr. 22, 2012, 6:24 PMStock index futures and the euro reflexively open lower following the French elections. One school of thought on Europe says the EU periphery isn't being punished because markets don't believe the austerity promises, but because they do believe the austerity promises. To the extent Hollande may lean against such policies, perhaps the situation will improve. S&P -0.2%, CAC 40 -0.3%, euro -0.2%. | 6 Comments
Apr. 19, 2012, 10:06 AMGeorge Soros declares all-out war on the Bundesbank, writes Ambrose-Evans Pritchard, telling Le Monde he would "bet against the euro" were he still in the business. The salutary effect of the LTRO has been broken by the Buba's counterattack, Soros argues. Soros famously redoubled his pound shorts in 1992 when he concluded the Germans would not move to support the currency. (Bundesbank's Weidmann's interview here) | 3 Comments
Apr. 13, 2012, 7:01 AM
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