SA News • Sep. 30, 2013
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Fri, Jan. 24, 8:16 AM
- The iShares Emerging Markets Index ETF (EEM) is off 1.3% in the premarket as investors rush out of emerging currencies. The Turkish lira plunged to a record low today, while Ukraine's hryvnia fell to a four-year low, and South Africa's Rand dove to its weakest since October 2008 following Argentina's decision to devalue the peso and a weak PMI report out of China yesterday.
- “We continue to see the risks surrounding China’s macro trajectory as having a negative impact on EM,” says Morgan Stanley's Rashique Rahman. “As capital costs rise and investment slows, commodity prices should come under pressure, boding poorly for economies linked to China’s old growth model.”
- In Russia, the ruble has declined to an all-time low vs. the euro.
- Of Turkey from Rareview Macro's Neil Azous: "Their net foreign-exchange reserves are dwindling pretty fast. They’re definitely in the danger zone. If you’re a money manager, the responsible action is to take some measures to reduce risk.”
- Emerging market ETFs: EEM, VWO, DEM, EDC, DGS, EDZ, EEMV, EEB, SCHE, EDIV, IEMG, DVYE, EEV, BIK, EWX, BKF, PIE, CEW, ADRE, HILO, EUM, FNI, EET, GMM, PXH, BBRC, EEMS, EELV, FEMS, EEME, EMDD, BICK, EMCR, DBEM, FEM, EWEM, EVAL, JEM, EMLB, EMBB, TLTE, EEHB, EGRW, FNDE, EMSA, EMHD, EMFT, EMDR, QEM, QDEM
- Relevant country ETFs: TUR, EWS, EZA, ARGT, EWSS, FXSG
Dec. 23, 2013, 10:03 AM
- Thai shares (THD, TF, TTF) slide 1.2% in Bangkok as political turmoil intensifies.
- Protestors have taken recently to surrounding Prime Minister Yingluck Shinawatra’s home and are now attempting to disrupt new elections.
- Amid the strife, the baht hit its lowest level in nearly four years — Thai shares have seen foreign outflows "for nearly every session since November," Reuters notes.
- Other Southeast Asian markets are quiet. Shares in Singapore (EWS, EWSS) are up 0.7%.
Nov. 14, 2013, 9:52 AM
- Dovish commentary from Janet Yellen gives Southeast Asian markets a boost, as investors likely believe the continuation of ultra accommodative Fed policy will stem and/or prevent emerging market capital outflows.
- Across the region: SET (THD, TTF, TF) +0.8%, JCI (IDX, IDXJ, EIDO) +1.5%, Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) +0.8%.
- Not participating in the rally are Philippine shares (EPHE), which are up just 0.1% as the country continues to reel from damage inflicted by Typhoon Haiyan.
Nov. 8, 2013, 9:38 AM
- Thai stocks (THD, TF, TTF) fall for a second day as investors nervously eye the senate, which is set to debate a controversial amnesty bill. The SET is off 1.4% in Bangkok.
- Also lower are Philippine shares (EPHE), as the PSEi slides 1.3% to a five-week low.
- Elsewhere: The Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) falls -0.8%.
Oct. 31, 2013, 10:37 AM
- Indonesian shares (IDX, IDXJ, EIDO) fall 1.4% to two-week lows, in a move attributed to underwhelming quarterly earnings. Nevertheless, the JCI closes out the month with a solid gain of nearly 5%.
- Other regional shares are weaker as well, with Singapore (EWS, EWSS) and Malaysia (EWM) off by more than 0.5% — in the absence of an identifiable catalyst, the underperformance is (of course) blamed on U.S. monetary policy being "less dovish than anticipated."
- Meanwhile, Thai shares (THD, TF, TTF) rebound, rising 0.8% after falling 1.7% on Wednesday.
Oct. 17, 2013, 9:18 AM
- Not surprisingly, Southeast Asian shares are moderately stronger on the heels of the debt deal in Washington. Regional stocks are higher across the board, although some markets trimmed gains after the midday break.
- Across the region: Philippines (EPHE) +1.2% as the PSEi hits a four-week high; Indonesia (IDX, IDXJ, EIDO) +0.6%, Singapore (EWS, EWSS), Thailand (THD, TF, TTF) +0.3%, Malaysia (EWM) +0.3%
Oct. 11, 2013, 9:35 AM
- Southeast Asian markets are higher across the board on optimism regarding the U.S. political stalemate.
- Shares in Thailand (THD, TF, TTF), Indonesia (IDX, IDXJ, EIDO), The Philippines (EPHE), Singapore (EWS, EWSS), and Malaysia (EWM) rise 0.4%, 0.75%, 0.8%, 0.3%, and 0.55% respectively.
- Virtually all indices are sitting at multi-week highs.
Oct. 7, 2013, 9:54 AM
- The Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ -0.4%) opened sharply lower (but has since recovered) after LionGold plunged 71% overnight in Singapore amid the deflating of a mini-small-cap bubble. At 4.78% of AUM, LionGold was GDXJ's largest holding at last report.
- The decline had begun on Friday and the exchange suspended trading in LionGold and two other names citing concerns market participants might not be "fully informed." The dive accelerated after trading was re-opened.
- The iShares MSCI Singapore Small-Cap ETF (EWSS -3.8%).
- Thus far there doesn't appear to be much spillover into the blue-chip market (EWS -0.2%) - known mostly for its REITs and other dividend payers.
- Other gold-mining ETFs: GDX, GDXJ, GLDX, PSAU, NUGT, DUST, GGGG, RING.
Sep. 30, 2013, 10:39 AM
- Indonesian shares (EIDO, IDX, IDXJ) are hit with more foreign selling (~$70B), helping to send the JCI 2.4% lower in Jakarta.
- Also stumbling are stocks in Thailand (THD, TF, TTF), the Philippines (EPHE), and Singapore (EWS, EWSS), where shares are off 2.4%, 3%, and 1.3% respectively.
- Vietnamese stocks (VNM) buck the weak regional trend, rising 1.2%.
Sep. 27, 2013, 9:14 AM
- Indonesia sees foreign selling for a fourth session Friday, even as stocks (IDX, IDXJ, EIDO) manage to break a four-day losing streak. Gains were miniscule however, with the JCI up just 0.4%. Foreign investors sold $168M worth of shares for the week, according to Reuters.
- Elsewhere, Thai shares (THD, TF, TTF) tick lower for a second-straight day and have fallen in four out of five sessions on foreign selling totaling $323M.
- Other markets: Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) +0.5%, PSEi (EPHE) -0.4%
Sep. 23, 2013, 10:29 AM
- The Borsa Istanbul (TUR -0.3%) promptly slides 1% (and out of bull market territory) just as JPMorgan upgrades Turkish stocks to Overweight. JPMorgan's call doesn't say much for emerging markets' ability to control their own destiny: "[No taper] doesn’t change the negatives of the too-large current account deficit, and the Central Bank of Turkey’s uncertain monetary policy, but it certainly makes them a lot less important."
- In other emerging market action, Thai shares (another JPMorgan favorite) plunge 3.4%, the largest one-day decline in more than three months. The SET is now below 1,500. ETFs - THD, TF, TTF
- Elsewhere: Philippine shares (EPHE) rally +0.8%, stocks in Singapore (EWS, EWSS) fall -0.7%, and other Southeast Asian markets are fractionally lower.
Sep. 20, 2013, 10:28 AM
- A rather steep last minute decline sends Philippine (EPHE) shares 1.3% lower. As is often the case when no one really knows what happened, the move is being attributed to "profit taking" and "uncertainty."
- Meanwhile, shares in Indonesia (IDX, IDXJ, EIDO) give back some of Thursday's post-Fed gains, falling 1.9% in Jakarta.
- Other regional markets: KLCI (EWM) +0.5%, Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) -0.4%
Sep. 11, 2013, 9:29 AM| Comment!
Sep. 10, 2013, 9:14 AM
- Indonesian stocks (IDX, EIDO, IDXJ) log their biggest gains in nearly two years, rising 4% in Jakarta, a welcome follow-up to Monday's rally for a market that has suffered mightily of late on Fed taper fears and currency woes.
- Elsewhere, Thai shares (THD, TTF, TF) add to Monday's outsized gains, rising 0.6% in Bangkok. The SET is sitting at its highest levels since August 19.
- Other regional action: KLCI (EWM) +1%, Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) +1.2%, PSEi (EPHE) +1.55%, VNIndex (VNM) +0.93%
Sep. 9, 2013, 10:07 AM
- Upbeat export data out of China gives emerging markets in Southeast Asia a lift, as Indonesian (IDX, EIDO, IDXJ) and Thai (THD, TTF, TF) shares lead, up 2.9% and 3.6% respectively in Jakarta and Bangkok.
- Most regional markets are higher: Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) +1.3%, KLCI (EWM) +1.4%, PSEi (EPHE) +0.4%
Sep. 5, 2013, 9:21 AM
- The market "spooked because of the rupiah," one trader in Jakarta says, explaining late selling pressure that sent Indonesian shares (IDX, EIDO) lower by 0.55%. The currency remains under pressure amid Fed and Syria jitters. Indonesia SmallCap ETF: IDXJ
- Elsewhere, Malaysia's central bank keeps its overnight policy rate on hold (3%) as expected, noting that likely upward pressure on prices will be "from a low level and will be mitigated" by a number of factors. The bank also notes that in the Malaysian economy, "domestic demand has continued to support growth amid the weaknesses in external demand." (PR) Last month, data showed the country avoided slipping into a deficit in Q2. KLCI (EWM) +0.25%.
- Across the region: SET (THD, TTF, TF) +0.8%, Ho Chi Minh (VNM) +1.3%, Straits Times (EWS, EWSS) +0.8%.
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