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Dec. 1, 2014, 6:47 PM
- During a talk with Chris Dedicoat, the president of Cisco's (NASDAQ:CSCO) EMEA ops, UBS' Amitabh Passi sensed "increasing confidence and momentum in switching (Nexus 9k, 10g-40g), software-defined networking (ACI), data center, mobility, and edge routing (ASR 9k)."
- Passi has hiked his target by $2.50 to $30.50, and predicts Cisco will narrow its valuation gap relative to large-cap tech peers such as Microsoft and Intel. He admits Russia and Asia remain "challenging" regions for the company, but doesn't expect them to get any worse.
- Cisco's Asia-Pac orders fell 12% Y/Y in FQ1, thanks in part to a 33% drop in Chinese orders. The Nexus 9000 line, which plays a key role in Cisco's ACI/APIC SDN and networking virtualization platform, was an area of strength, with paid customers rising to 900+ from 580 at the end of FQ4.
- Strong ASR 9000 demand is a positive for network processor supplier EZchip (NASDAQ:EZCH). The edge router line saw double-digit order growth in FQ1, even as broader carrier router demand continued falling.
Nov. 26, 2014, 2:52 PM
- Chip stocks are outperforming after Analog Devices (ADI +5.2%) beat FQ4 estimates and offered in-line FQ1 guidance. The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +1.9%) has made new highs.
- Notable gainers include many analog/mixed-signal and telecom IC firms: TXN +3%. LLTC +2.7%. SMTC +3.1%. ISIL +3.3%. SWKS +3.7%. AVGO +2.9%. OVTI +3.2%. FSL +3.1%. EZCH +2.5%. XLNX +2.3%. ALTR +2.1%. MX +4.3%. PMCS +2.7%. BRCM +2%.
- On its CC (transcript), ADI noted its telecom equipment chip sales are holding up well in spite of weak capex, aided by the fact its dollar content for 4G base stations is "at least 20% to 30% better" than for 3G base stations. The company also mentioned its lead times were stable in FQ4.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Nov. 12, 2014, 11:45 AM
- With weak carrier spending continuing to take a toll, EZchip (NASDAQ:EZCH) guided on its Q3 CC (webcast) for Q4 revenue of $22M-$24M, below a $25.3M consensus. The guidance includes nearly two quarters of revenue from Tilera; EZchip doesn't plan to separately break out Tilera's revenue going forward.
- Sales to top customer Cisco (43% of Q3 revenue) fell Q/Q, as the networking giant (reports after the bell) contends with soft carrier orders. Nonetheless, EZchip expects its full-year Cisco sales to be up Y/Y.
- EZchip expects Cisco to use its next-gen NP-5 processor for its existing edge router platforms, and says it could possibly do so for new platforms. Shares plunged a year ago after Cisco unveiled its nPower X1 processor.
- ZTE sales (8% of revenue) fell sharply Q/Q. EZchip expects sales to bounce as ZTE begins using the NP-5. Juniper sales (7% of revenue) are expected to continue declining. Revenue from all other customers (42% of revenue) rose 87% Y/Y, and reached a new record.
- The first design win has been obtained for EZchip's NPS processor line (features more programmability). EZchip claims strong NPS interest from both equipment vendors and data center owners.
- EZchip issued a Q3 warning back on Oct. 6.
Nov. 12, 2014, 8:01 AM
- EZchip Semiconductor (NASDAQ:EZCH): Q3 EPS of $0.28 in-line.
- Revenue of $19.2M (+2.1% Y/Y) misses by $0.84M.
Nov. 11, 2014, 5:30 PM
Oct. 29, 2014, 10:08 AM| Oct. 29, 2014, 10:08 AM
Oct. 27, 2014, 11:46 AM
- Citing the implications of Juniper's Q4 guidance and industry commentary, Chardan Capital's Jay Srivasta has downgraded EZchip (EZCH -2.8%) to Neutral ahead of its Nov. 12 Q3 report, and cut his target by $8 to $22.
- Srivasta notes Juniper stated U.S. carrier spending remains weak, and that demand from enterprises and European carriers is also softening. Juniper also said its "planning assumption" is for growth to resume in 2H15.
- Though admitting Juniper only accounts for 6% of EZchip's revenue, Srivasta thinks Cisco (39% of revenue) and ZTE (20%) could be dealing with similar issues, something that puts EZchip's Q4 consensus estimates at risk.
- Cisco's service provider orders were down 11% Y/Y in the July quarter. Sales of its ASR 9000 edge routers (feature EZchip's network processors) still rose at a double-digit clip.
Oct. 6, 2014, 11:30 AM
- EZchip (EZCH -12.5%), a top supplier of network processors for edge/access routers, now expects Q3 revenue of $19M, below prior guidance of $22M and a $22.6M consensus.
- CEO Eli Fruchter: "We have seen weakness in orders as well as inventory adjustments across most of our key customers that are serving the carrier networking equipment space. We believe this is a temporary slowdown, caused primarily by a weaker carrier spending environment that the market is currently going through." Like others, he's optimistic growth will soon pick up.
- Fruchter's remarks echo those from Cisco (EZchip's top customer), Juniper, Ciena, Finisar, JDS Uniphase, and several other firms. Soft North American wireline capex (led by AT&T) has especially been taking a toll on the industry.
- Several telecom equipment and component/chip suppliers are following EZchip lower. CIEN -2.8%. CAVM -2.8%. OCLR -2.7%. ZHNE -2.7%. CYNI -3.1%. AFOP -2.1%. NPTN -2.4%. OPLK -1.7%.
Aug. 28, 2014, 11:33 AM
- EZchip (NASDAQ:EZCH) has soared over the last 30 minutes of trading. Volume is already over 2x the daily average.
- A rumor that the network processor vendor has cancelled a Roth conference presentation (set for Sep. 3) could be playing a role. Shares have rallied on M&A hopes in the past - a long list of chipmakers have been acquired over the last 9 months.
Aug. 14, 2014, 12:40 PM
- Six firms have hiked their Cisco (CSCO -2.8%) targets after the company beat FQ4 estimates, issued mixed FQ1 guidance, and announced plans to cut another 6K jobs. But that isn't stopping shares from selling off due to worries about weak demand from carriers (orders -11% Y/Y) and emerging markets (orders -9%).
- "Notwithstanding the fact that capex will be fairly weak in [2H14], Cisco's [carrier] order performance in the first calendar half of 2014 demonstrates meaningful share loss in addition to soft carrier spending," says MKM (Neutral).
- Nonetheless, the firm thinks Cisco's total orders will rise at or near a low double-digit % in FQ1 (favorable comps will help). "We still believe it is profitable to own Cisco when orders and revenue growth are accelerating."
- Bulls are focusing on healthy enterprise orders and strong early uptake for the Nexus 9000/ACI SDN and networking virtualization platform. John Chambers mentioned on the CC (transcript) the platform's customer count more than tripled in FQ4 to 580+, and that there are over 60 customers for the related APIC software controller (just launched).
- Several peers and suppliers with strong carrier exposure are selling off. Cisco's numbers follow a soft outlook from JDS Uniphase, and coincide with light guidance from Oclaro. ALU -1.6%. JNPR -1.8%. FN -7.4%. ZHNE -2.1%. EZCH -3.8%.
- Prior Cisco earnings coverage
Aug. 13, 2014, 8:01 AM
- EZchip Semiconductor (NASDAQ:EZCH): Q2 EPS of $0.36 beats by $0.02.
- Revenue of $22.1M (+32.7% Y/Y) beats by $0.06M.
Aug. 12, 2014, 5:30 PM
Jul. 23, 2014, 12:25 PM
- Among the year's best tech performers, chip stocks are selling off (SOXX -1.8%) on an up day for the Nasdaq following weak numbers from FPGA giant Xilinx (XLNX -14.5%).
- Xilinx missed FQ1 revenue estimates by over $18M, and also guided for FQ2 revenue to be well below consensus. The company blamed the FQ1 shortfall on soft defense and wireless sales. BMO and BofA/Merrill have downgraded Xilinx; the former thinks Xilinx's 28nm share might be peaking.
- Xilinx stated on its CC (transcript) the wireless weakness was mostly due to soft 28nm chip sales to Chinese 4G base station vendors; Chinese 4G rollouts have long been viewed as a catalyst for both Xilinx and Altera (ALTR -4.7%). Aerospace/defense sales were hurt by program timing issues.
- Meanwhile, switch/router vendor Juniper offered light Q3 guidance to go with a Q2 beat. The company noted on its CC (transcript) "market dynamics" for U.S. carriers, including M&A activity, are affecting project rollouts.
- Also: Analog/mixed-signal IC vendor Linear (LLTC -4.1%) is selling off in spite of beating FQ4 estimates and guiding in-line (8%-11% Y/Y FQ1 rev. growth vs. 9.1% consensus).
- Notable decliners: FSL -5.3%. IDTI -6.4%. EZCH -3.3%. PMCS -4.3%. LSCC -6.8%. CAVM -4.7%. SMTC -4.1%. ATML -3.2%. TQNT -3.1%. RFMD -2.9%. IRF -2.9%.
- Qualcomm, NXP, TriQuint, and Cirrus Logic report after the bell.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Jul. 1, 2014, 10:03 AM
- EZchip (EZCH +1.6%) is paying $50M up-front, and up to $80M in performance earn-outs, to buy Tilera. The deal is expected to close in Q3.
- Tilera's network processors (NPUs) pack dozens of cores that can be programmed to handle tasks well-suited to parallel processing. The company launched a 72-core NPU (offered through a PCIe card) last year, and has been prepping a chip with over 100 cores.
- Whereas EZchip's NPUs are generally used in edge/access routers within carrier networks, Tilera's are often used in data center networking, security, and video appliances, and also act as co-processors within x86 servers. Tilera's rivals include Intel, Cavium, Broadcom, and Marvell.
- EZchip declares the deal doubles its addressable market to $2B, and adds 100+ customers. The purchase is expected to be slightly dilutive to 2014 EPS, and accretive to 2015 EPS.
- Tilera CEO Devesh Garg will become the head of EZchip's U.S. ops. EZchip predicts pairing its strengths with Tilera's will yield "new multi-core CPUs that uniquely integrate powerful networking capabilities with the highest number of processor cores addressing a wide range of applications and market segments."
Jun. 17, 2014, 9:55 AM
- Feltl has upgraded EZchip (EZCH +3.1%) to Strong Buy, and set a $31 PT.
- The network processor vendor's shares popped last month following a Q1 beat that was fueled by a 31% Y/Y increase in sales to top customer Cisco (boosted by strong ASR 9000 edge router demand), and a 172% increase in sales to #2 customer ZTE.
- SA author Darspal S. Mann recently argued Street estimates for 25% 2014 revenue growth may be conservative, given the potential for EZchip's next-gen NP5 processor (can handle 240Gbps) to start contributing in 2H. Mann notes the NP-5 has an ASP that's 60% higher than that of the prior-gen NP-4.
May 14, 2014, 8:01 AM
- EZchip Semiconductor (EZCH): Q1 EPS of $0.33 beats by $0.01.
- Revenue of $20.3M (+32.7% Y/Y) beats by $0.3M.
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