Fiat Chrysler Automobiles NVNYSE
Fiat Chrysler: Undervalued Auto OEM With Multiple Catalysts On The Horizon
Paul Goncalves, CFA • 18 Comments
Paul Goncalves, CFA • 18 Comments
Tue, Dec. 6, 7:15 AM
- UBS predicts the era of diesel passengers cars is slowly coming to an end as manufacturers adopt a higher mix of hybrid and electric powertrains.
- The investment firm sees a drop of global diesel market share to 4% in 2025, from a current share of about 13.5%.
- The development is seen as positive for Ford (NYSE:F), General Motors (NYSE:GM), Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Honda (NYSE:HMC), Toyota (NYSE:TM) and Hyundai (OTC:HYMLF). The slide in diesel market share will hurt Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU), BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY), Peugeot (OTCPK:PEUGF, OTCPK:PUGOY), Renault (OTC:RNSDF) and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAY), warns UBS. European oil refinerers could also feel a neagtive impact.
- Source: Bloomberg
- Previously: EVs a long-term wildcard in the oil market (Dec. 3)
Mon, Dec. 5, 9:16 AM
Thu, Dec. 1, 10:07 AM
- Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU) unit sales -14% to 160,827. The drop was sharper than expected and means the automaker lost market share to its Detroit rivals.
- Car sales fell -34% Y/Y to 38,142 units.
- Utility sales dropped 13% to 80,174 units.
- Truck sales rose +12% to 42,511 units.
- YTD FCA 2016 U.S. sales +1% to 2,051,796 units.
Tue, Nov. 29, 11:52 AM
- Elaine Chao is the pick of Donald Trump to be the Secretary of Transportation, according to numerous media outlets.
- Chao served in the cabinets of Bush 41 and Bush 43. Early analysis is that she may be a known quantiy to the Detroit Three (GM, F, FCAU) who worked closely with her on a post-9/11 task force and broadly during the Bush years.
- The big picture: There's been some concern over the impact of the Trump administration for EV sellers such as Tesla Motors (TSLA -1.9%), Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) and Toyota (TM +0.7%) -- although the $7.5K federal tax break is already set to expire when automakers cross over the 200K U.S. EV sale mark. Federal fuel efficiency targets could be rolled back after Trump takes office, although some industry watchers think manufacturers are too far along in their EV, ridesharing and mobility projects to put the genie back in the bottle.
Fri, Nov. 25, 9:46 AM
- U.S. automobile sales are expected to increase 4.2% to a record 1.37M units in November, according to a forecast from Kelley Blue Book. The previous high for the month was 1.32M units.
- This November includes two extra selling days than last year which provides an obvious boost. A high level of promotions around the Black Friday weekend is also seen as a sales driver.
- KBB's forecast by automaker: General Motors (NYSE:GM) +8.6% to 249K, Toyota (NYSE:TM) +2.9% to 195K, Ford (NYSE:F) +0.1% to 187K, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU) -4.5% to 168K, Honda (NYSE:HMC) +9.1% to 126K, Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) +8.3% to 116K, Hyundai-Kia (OTC:HYMLF) +7.0% to 113K, Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) +15.0% to 53K, Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAY) +5.5% to 47.5K.
- Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA) isn't running up the volume quite yet to make the KBB list, but that is expected to change in 2017.
Wed, Nov. 23, 9:58 AM
- Fiat Chrysler (FCAU -0.2%) is cutting prices on its Fiat 500 vehicles by as much as $3,900 and offering dealers financial support, as it scrambles to keep its lineup of small European city cars afloat in a U.S. market drawn to pickup trucks and SUVs.
- The Fiat 500 will be reduced 12% to $14,995 in 2017, down from $16,995, a more comparable price to GM's $13,000 Chevrolet Spark and Ford’s Fiesta, priced at $14,090; the subcompact 2017 Fiat Pop starts at $14,995, also $2K less than the 2016 model.
- The average sales incentive on a Fiat sold in October exceeded $5K, according to Autodata, vs. a $3,500 industry average; also, dealers have 128 days’ of unsold Fiat supply on their lots as of Oct. 31, according to WardsAuto.com, far exceeding industry norms.
Fri, Nov. 18, 10:39 AM
- Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU) and Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) are teaming up to sell cars online, according to Reuters. Consumers will still finalize their car purchases at a dealership.
- The initiative will start off in Italy with the Fiat 500, Fiat Panda and Fiat 500L.
- "The time has arrived to give consumers a new, more efficient and transparent way to choose a new vehicle," says Fiat's top exec in Italy.
- Though the Fiat-Amazon tie-up isn't necessarily groundbreaking, it's still another crack in the dealership model that could have implications down the road.
- Related automobile sector stocks: GM, F, TM, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, TSLA, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:DDAIF, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:BMWYY, TTM, TSLA, AN, KMX, SONC.
- Previously: Amazon launches automotive research portal, Amazon Vehicles (Aug. 25)
Thu, Nov. 17, 9:43 AM
- FCA Group (NYSE:FCAU) car registrations +6.6% to 75,108 units in October, according to the European Automobile Manufacturers Association.
- Overall EU registrations -0.02% Y/Y to 1,104,506 units in October on broad gains on mixed results across nations. Registrations were up 9% in Italy and 4% in Spain, but fell almost 6% in Germany and were down 4% in France. YTD registrations are up 7.2% to 12.348502M.
- FCA Group market share: 6.6% vs. 6.2% a year ago.
- FCA Group YTD registrations +14.5%.
- Results include the Fiat, Jeep, Lancia, Chrysler, Alfa Romeo and other brands.
- EAMA release (.pdf)
Wed, Nov. 16, 9:52 AM
- The Los Angeles Auto Show is off and running this week, with technology companies stealing some of the early headlines.
- Samsung (OTC:SSNLF) got the ball rolling with its huge acquisition of Harman (NYSE:HAR), while Amazon dazzled many by showcasing its connected-car Blue Link technology that uses the AI-heavy Alexa in Hyundai cars.
- Ride sharing platforms are on display, led by BMW's Reach Now program which is a potential Uber (Private:UBER) X competitor.
- Edmunds.com may have sent a bit of shock wave through the auto retailer sector by demonstrating its advanced messaging platform that uses Facebook Messenger to help direct buyers to cars.
- Then there is Olli which is the first self-driving vehicle to use IBM (NYSE:IBM) Watson as its brains.
- There are plenty of new models on display at the Staples Center - including the Alfa Romeo Stelvio, Volkswagen e-Golf, Land Rover Discover, Porsche Panamera and Mazda CX-5. The first look at the Jaguar all-electric I-Pace SUV is one of the more talked about introductions.
- The all-electric Chevy Bolt and Tesla Model X mobile design studio will also be making an appearance in LA. Expect some updates on both as the GM vs. Tesla war starts to get ratcheted up.
- Related automobile sector stocks: GM, F, TM, FCAU, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, TSLA, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:DDAIF, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:BMWYY, TTM, TSLA, AN, KMX, SONC.
Tue, Nov. 15, 3:09 AM
- Rejecting diesel cheating claims, Fiat Chrysler (NYSE:FCAU) and Cummins (NYSE:CMI) said they will fight a class-action lawsuit filed against them on Monday.
- Lawyers representing owners of older 2500 and 3500 Dodge Ram trucks assert the companies "conspired to knowingly deceive consumers and regulators of illegally high levels of diesel emissions in their vehicles."
Mon, Nov. 14, 2:15 PM
- The NHTSA passes a new regulation requiring all new electric and hybrid vehicles to make an audible noise at speeds below 19 mph to help protect blind and visually-impaired pedestrians as well as cyclists.
- Manufacturers have until September 1, 2019, to add the sounds to all new hybrid and EVs.
- Department of Transportation press release
- Related auto stocks: GM, F, TM, FCAU, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, TSLA, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:DDAIF, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:BMWYY, TTM, TSLA.
Mon, Nov. 14, 1:56 PM| Mon, Nov. 14, 1:56 PM | 2 Comments
Mon, Nov. 14, 12:00 PM
Fri, Nov. 11, 2:57 AM
- The United Auto Workers union will work with president-elect Donald Trump to renegotiate the NAFTA, according to President Dennis Williams. While the union opposed Trump's candidacy, it holds that his "position on trade is right on."
- Williams also said he would be open to tariffs on Mexican or Chinese vehicles "as an option," but would have to evaluate the impact on the union overall.
Thu, Nov. 10, 12:10 PM
Wed, Nov. 9, 4:32 AM
- The industry has been betting billions of dollars on globalized production and higher fuel efficiency, but Trump has been talking about moves to effectively reshore jobs to the U.S., while calling climate change into question.
- Related stocks: TM -3.9%, F -1.1%, GM -0.4%, FCAU -0.4%, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:DDAIF, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:BAMXF, TTM