Fifth Third BancorpNASDAQ
Fifth Third Catches Up To The Pack
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Fifth Third Looks Undervalued, But Not Without Some Reasons
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Stephen Simpson, CFA
Mon, Dec. 5, 12:40 PM
- The FRBNY's William Dudley isn't concerned about the post-election jump in rates at the long end of the curve, and says the Fed is about to start following suit at the short end.
- Even the dovish Charles Evans from the Chicago Fed admits inflation is getting closer to the central bank's target, and the labor market is close to full employment.
- The 10-year Treasury yield had moved as high as 2.45%, but has pulled back to 2.40%, still up 1.5 basis points on the session.
- On the regulatory front, Fed Governor Daniel Tarullo on Friday set himself up as the chief defender of the current bank regulatory regime, but whether his voice will be heard is a different story given the incoming administration, which looks to be staffed with those favoring a far lighter regulatory hand.
- Financial sector stocks today are about doubling the S&P 500's 0.5% advance.
- TBTF banks: Bank of America (BAC +2.3%), Citigroup (C +1.8%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +0.9%), Goldman Sachs (GS +1.7%), Morgan Stanley (MS +0.4%)
- Regional lenders: U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.7%), PNC Financial (PNC +0.4%), KeyCorp (KEY -0.8%), Fifth Third (FITB +0.5%)
- Insurers: MetLife (MET +0.3%), Lincoln National (LNC), AIG (AIG +0.2%)
- Brokerage: Schwab (SCHW +0.9%), E*Trade (ETFC +0.9%)
- Custodial banks: State Street (STT +0.5%), Northern Trust (NTRS +1%)
- Private equity: Blackstone (BX +0.9%), KKR (KKR +1%)
- Asset Management: BlackRock (BLK +0.1%), Franklin Resources (BEN +0.5%), Affiliated Managers (AMG +1.8%)
Fri, Dec. 2, 11:51 AM
- The financial sector is taking a breather from its staggering post-election run, with a post-jobs report dip in rates a good enough excuse for satiated bulls to cash in some chips.
- XLF -1%, KBE -0.7%, KRE -0.7%.
- Individual issues: Bank of America (BAC -1.8%), Morgan Stanley (MS -1.2%), Citigroup (C -1.9%), M&T (MTB -1.1%), Flagstar (FBC -1.7%), Fifth Third (FITB -1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC -1.4%), Prudential (PRU -1.1%), Lincoln National (LNC -1.9%), Schwab (SCHW -2.1%), State Street (STT -1.8%)
- No longer part of the financial sector as far as the GICS classification, REITs are enjoying the respite in rates. IYR +1.6%, VNQ +1.6%
- Realty Income (O +4.1%), Vereit (VER +3%), Omega Healthcare (OHI +3.2%), Welltower (HCN +3.5%), HCP (HCP +2.7%), Universal Health (UHT +4.4%), W.P. Carey (WPC +2%), Lexington Realty (LXP +2.5%), Essex Property (ESS +1.2%), Aimco (AIV +1.5%), General Growth (GGP +2.6%), Brixmor (BRX +1.6%), Federal Realty (FRT +1.8%), Kimco (KIM +1.2%), Public Storage (PSA +1.4%), Life Storage (LSI +1.4%), Boston Properties (BXP +1.2%), Stag Industrial (STAG +2.4%).
Wed, Nov. 30, 11:45 AM
- While the pick of ex-Goldmanite and Hollywood player Steven Mnuchin for Treasury Secretary can hardly be called "draining the swamp," Pantheon's Ian Shepherdson says it should make Wall Street happy.
- In his first public comments after being selected, Mnuchin promised to "kill" swaths of Dodd-Frank.
- Also making Wall Street (and other bankers/insurers/brokers) happy today is another big move higher in interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury yield up 10 basis points to 2.394%.
- The S&P 500 is just marginally higher, but the KBE is ahead 1.9%, and the KRE 2%. XLF +1.35%
- Bank of America (BAC +3.4%), Citigroup (C +1.9%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.5%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.8%), Morgan Stanley (MS +2.1%), Goldman Sachs (GS +3.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +1%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.4%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.2%), Fifth Third (FITB +2.5%), Regions Financial (RF +2.9%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), SunTrust (STI +2%)
- MetLife (MET +2%), AIG (AIG +0.8%), Lincoln National (LNC +1.7%), Prudential (PRU +1.1%), Hartford (HIG +1.3%)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, BTO, IYG, FNCL, SEF, FXO, RYF, FINU, RWW, XLFS, FINZ, JHMF, FAZZ, FNCF
Mon, Nov. 21, 5:01 PM
- Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB) is exercising its remaining warrant to receive 5.65M Class C units of Vantiv Holding (NYSE:VNTV), and it will the exchange those on a one-for-one basis into Class A common stock. Finally Fifth Third will sell 4.8M shares of VNTV in a secondary offering, and Vantiv will repurchase 850K shares.
- After the above, Fifth Third's voting power will be trimmed to 17.9% from 18.3%.
Fri, Nov. 18, 9:06 AM
- Downgraded to Neutral from Buy after the big post-election rally:
- Washington Trust (NASDAQ:WASH), Synovus (NYSE:SNV), LegacyTexas (NASDAQ:LTXB), Kearny Financial (NASDAQ:KRNY), HarborOne (NASDAQ:HONE), Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB), Meridian Bancorp (NASDAQ:EBSB), Clifton Bancorp (NASDAQ:CSBK), Central Pacific (NYSE:CPF), Brookline Bancorp (NASDAQ:BRKL), Popular (NASDAQ:BPOP)
- Downgraded to Sell from Neutral:
- Berkshire Hills (NASDAQ:BHLB), Union Bancshares (NASDAQ:UBSH)
Wed, Nov. 16, 12:33 PM
- “Take profits and selectively reduce exposure,” says Baird's David George, pulling his Outperform rating on Bank of America (BAC -1.9%) after the stock blasted through his $17 price target.
- BofA is higher by nearly 20% since the election, and by more than 60% since late June.
- The rally over the last few sessions alone has priced in higher rates, lower taxes, and more aggressive capital return, he says, and he advises investors to wait and actually see if structural improvement in macro trends actually materializes.
- George also cuts Capital One (COF -2.9%) to Neutral from Outperform, and Fifth Third (FITB -3%) to Underperform from Neutral.
- Previously: Sell-side takes profits on banks (Nov. 16)
Wed, Nov. 16, 7:17 AM
- The SPDR KBW Bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KBE) is now up 18.9% YTD - this after a miserable start to 2016. Since February 11, the fund is higher by 46%. Since July 1, it's up 32%, and since the election 15%.
- With bullish price targets being hit and surpassed across the sector, the downgrades are pouring in.
- Among them, U.S. Bancorp sees its 2nd downgrade in two days. Others: Fifth Third (NASDAQ:FITB), First Republic (NYSE:FRC), Citizens Financial (NYSE:CFG), Capital One (NYSE:COF), Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:ZION), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Webster Financial (NYSE:WBS), NBT Bancorp (NASDAQ:NBTB), Sterling Bancorp (NYSE:STL), First Connecticut (NASDAQ:FBNK), Regions Financial (NYSE:RF)
Mon, Nov. 14, 11:33 AM
- The major averages are stuck in the red, but the XLF is up 2.2% and the KBE +3% as financial sector investors mull a world of higher interest rates and lowered regulation.
- REITs continue to fall, but thanks to this fall's sector reclassification, those names are no longer in the financial indexes.
- Regional banks: Regions Financial (RF +6.9%), New York Community (NYCB +2.9%), KeyCorp (KEY +3.1%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.4%), Fifth Third (FITB +4%), SunTrust (STI +3%), M&T (MTB +3.1%)
- Insurers: MetLife (MET +2.2%), Lincoln (LNC +3.2%), AIG (AIG +2.1%), Hartford (HIG +2.3%), Travelers (TRV +1.4%)
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW +3.6%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2.5%)
- Asset management: Franklin Resources (BEN +3.2%), Och-Ziff (OZM +4.5%), Invesco (IVZ +2.2%), T. Rowe Price (TROW +2.8%), BlackRock (BLK +0.4%)
Thu, Nov. 10, 11:03 AM
- For now, the 10-year Treasury yield is holding onto the huge gain in posted yesterday, up two basis points today to 2.086%. TLT -0.4%, TBT +0.8%. Fed Funds futures have priced in about a 100% chance of a December rate hike.
- The yield curve has shifted both higher and steeper - pure manna for the companies that borrow short and lend long. There's also a new sheriff coming to town, and bank investors are no doubt mulling an eased regulatory regime. KBE +2.45%, KBE +2.4%
- Bank of America (BAC +3.5%), Wells Fargo (WFC +4.5%), JPMorgan (JPM +3.1%). Underperformers among the TBTF players: Citigroup (C +1.1%), Goldman (GS +1.1%)
- Regional banks: Regions (RF +4.2%), PNC Financial (PNC +3.3%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.7%). Online brokers: E*Trade (ETFC +2.9%), Schwab (SCHW +2.8%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2.6%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR +2.7%)
Thu, Oct. 27, 10:51 AM
- Rates are up across the globe again today, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield looking like it's ready for another assault on 2% - up 7 basis points on the session to 1.865%.
- Alongside a sharp move lower in REITs, the utility sector (XLU -0.9%) is facing a rough go of it.
- In the green though is the banking sector - (KBE +0.2%), (KRE +0.4%) - which has been awaiting a real move higher in rates for years. A big move on the long end while short rates hold (for now) is an added boost as it widens the yield curve.
- Bank of America (BAC +0.4%), Citigroup (C +0.4%), JPMorgan (JPM +0.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC +0.5%), PNC Financial (PNC +0.5%), Fifth Third (FITB +0.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.2%), BB& T(BBT +0.7%)
- Other high-yield beneficiaries include: MetLife (MET +0.9%), Lincoln Financial (LNC +1.3%), Schwab (SCHW +0.4%), Voya Financial (VOYA +0.9%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, XLU, UTG, IDU, VPU, UYG, VFH, GUT, BUI, IYF, BTO, FUTY, IYG, FNCL, SEF, RYU, FXO, UPW, RYF, FXU, FINU, RWW, SDP, XLFS, FINZ, FUGAX, JHMF, FAZZ, FNCF, JHMU, UTLF
Thu, Oct. 20, 6:32 AM
Wed, Oct. 19, 5:30 PM
Fri, Oct. 14, 9:42 AM
- JPMorgan and Citigroup both easily topped estimates thanks to a big rebound in previously-in-the-doldrums markets revenue. JPM is higher by 1%, and Citi by 2%. The read-through is pushing Goldman Sachs (GS +3%), Morgan Stanley (MS +2.7%) and Bank of America (BAC +2.4%) all nicely higher.
- Less capital-markets focused, Wells Fargo also beat forecasts, but not as soundly. As usual of late, it's lagging its TBTF peers, up just 0.3%.
- XLF +1.2%, KRE +1.4%, KBE +1.5%.
- Other individual names: Regions Financial (RF +2.5%), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +2.1%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.9%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.5%), SunTrust (STI +1.3%), M&T (MTB +1.7%)
Mon, Oct. 10, 12:36 PM
- Hovde group initiates research on Sterling Bancorp STL +0.8% with an outperform rating and set a PT of $20.00.
- FBR & Co. initiates New York Mortgage Trust NYMT +0.2% with a market perform rating and set a PT of $6.25.
- Oppenheimer Holdings downgrades Ameriprise Financial Services (NYSE:AMP) +0.6% to underweight.
- Nomura downgrades Fifth Third Bancorp FITB -0.02% to Reduce from Neutral and PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC) +0.3% to Neutral from Buy.
- Piper Jaffray downgrades Zions Bancorp (NASDAQ:ZION) +0.6% to Neutral from overweight.
Fri, Oct. 7, 7:54 AM
Wed, Oct. 5, 4:23 PM
- The Equipment Financing Group will now operate as four distinct regions - South, North Central, Midwest, and East. As part of the new organization chart, the bank has appointed a managing director to lead each region (PR doesn't say whether those hired are GE Capital veterans).