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Dec. 7, 2015, 1:26 PM
- Less than two weeks after Chinese and U.S. approval was announced, NXP (NXPI -3.4%) and Freescale (FSL -2.8%) have officially closed their merger, a deal that's one of the chip industry's largest in history and which creates the biggest player in the fragmented microcontroller market.
- As previously announced, NXP is paying $6.25/share in cash + 0.35 shares (current value of $30.60) for each Freescale share. NXP forecasts immediate EPS accretion and $200M/year in 2016 cost synergies, with "a clear path" to $500M/year in synergies.
- NXP and Freescale are off on a day the Nasdaq is down 1%. During a Bloomberg interview, NXP CEO Richard Clemmer promises the post-merger company "can outgrow the semiconductor industry by 50%."
Nov. 30, 2015, 6:49 AM
- NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) has appointed Dan Durn, financial chief of Freescale Semiconductor (NYSE:FSL), its new chief financial officer, effective December 7, 2015.
- Current CFO Peter Kelly will now move on to focus on strategy and M&A as well as oversee the integration with Freescale, before his retirement in 2017.
- Previously: NXP, Freescale gain 4% as China signs off on merger (Nov. 27 2015)
Nov. 27, 2015, 2:08 PM
- NXP Semiconductors (NASDAQ:NXPI) jumped 4.6% in the short session today, and Freescale (NYSE:FSL) gained 4%, after the two won approval from China's Ministry of Commerce to finish their $40B merger -- a last major hurdle to the deal.
- The EU and U.S. FTC had signed off previously. The companies now expect to close Dec. 7, concurrent with the divestment of NXP's RF amplifier unit.
- The two have predicted $500M in eventual annual cost synergies, and have targeted $200M in cost savings in the first year after closing. NXP expects it to be accretive to EPS and free cash flow.
- Previously: NXP +6%, Freescale +5.5%; U.S. clears NXP's RF amplifier unit sale (Nov. 24 2015)
- Previously: NXP rallies following FBR Top Pick call, takes Freescale with it (Nov. 18 2015)
Nov. 24, 2015, 10:35 AM
- The Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) has signed off on the $1.8B sale of NXP's (NASDAQ:NXPI) base station RF amplifier unit to China's JAC Capital.
- The sale, announced in May, is now expected to close on Dec. 7. It's meant to address antitrust concerns about NXP and Freescale's (NYSE:FSL) combined base station amplifier share following their planned merger.
- NXP and Freescale have jumped in response to the news. The companies are still targeting a 2H15 close for the merger; EU regulators approved it in September.
Nov. 18, 2015, 4:16 PM
- Believing order lead times stabilized in October and that a better-than-expected "bounceback" could occur in Q2 and Q3 2016 following a Q4/Q1 inventory correction, FBR's Chris Rolland has replaced Broadcom with NXP (NASDAQ:NXPI) on his firm's Top Pick list.
- Rolland declares the correction, which led NXP to issue soft Q4 guidance (and plunge in response) last month, "healthy and constructive for a new up-cycle." He also thinks markets have "underestimated the beneficial revenue growth impacts of a slowing in the rate of inventory burn in either 2Q16 or 3Q16."
- NXP gradually rallied today to close up 4.5% amid a 1.8% Nasdaq gain. Merger partner Freescale (NYSE:FSL) closed up 3.6%.
Oct. 29, 2015, 12:29 PM
- Down on Monday following Dialog Semi's Q3 report and up yesterday in the wake of Apple's results/guidance, chip stocks are selling off again (SOXX -2.5%) after leading microcontroller vendor NXP (NXPI -18.2%) posted mixed Q3 results and (more importantly) guided for Q4 revenue to be down by a "low to upper-teens" % Q/Q. The Nasdaq is down 0.3%.
- Also: 1) NXP rival and fellow European chipmaker STMicroelectronics (STM -5.8%) slightly missed Q3 revenue estimates and has guided for Q4 revenue to be down 6% (+/- 3.5%) Q/Q. 2) Network processor vendor Cavium (CAVM -5%) issued light Q4 guidance, while blaming a distribution model change at its biggest data center customer. 3) Microcontroller maker Atmel (ATML -2.4%, set to be acquired by Dialog) missed Q3 revenue estimates and guided for Q4 revenue of $266M-$286M, below a $296.1M consensus.
- On the bright side, Apple-dependent Cirrus Logic (CRUS -5.7%) beat FQ2 EPS estimates (revenue was in-line) and provided solid FQ3 guidance, and fellow Apple/Samsung supplier InvenSense (INVN +14.3%) beat FQ2 estimates and issued in-line FQ3 guidance. Cirrus is nonetheless selling off; the earnings call (transcript) was generally upbeat, with management talking up FY16/FY17 growth opportunities related to smart codec and boosted amplifier sales.
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -15.4%) is naturally seeing big losses. Other decliners include RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -3.1%), Avago (AVGO -6%), and Qorvo (QRVO -2.6%), analog/mixed-signal chipmakers Texas Instruments (TXN -3%), ON Semi (ON -5.9%), MagnaChip (MX -6.8%), Fairchild (FCS -4.3%), Maxim (MXIM -3.1%), and IDT (IDTI -5.2%), and smart TV SoC vendor/STMicro rival Sigma Designs (SIGM -3.2%).
- Like NXP, Cirrus, and InvenSense, Skyworks, Avago, Qorvo, TI, and Fairchild are Apple suppliers. Fairchild and Maxim have recently benefited from M&A reports (I, II).
- Both NXP and STMicro reported seeing conditions deteriorate as Q3 progressed. NXP added lower-than-expected chip sell-through led to higher channel inventories, and STMicro stated "lower consumer spending in China is impacting the dynamics of the distribution channel in the region and the industry more globally, particularly in automotive." NXP has added 20M shares to its buyback in an attempt to soften the blow.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Oct. 29, 2015, 9:13 AM| Oct. 29, 2015, 9:13 AM
Oct. 26, 2015, 10:52 AM
- Apple suppliers Qualcomm (QCOM -2.9%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS -10.1%), Skyworks (SWKS -5.1%), Qorvo (QRVO -5%), Avago (AVGO -4.2%), Broadcom (BRCM -2.3%), NXP (NXPI -3.5%), InvenSense (INVN -2.1%), Synaptics (SYNA -4.4%), and Analog Devices (ADI -2.7%) are selling off after iPhone/iPad power management IC supplier Dialog Semi (down 18.8% in Frankfurt) reported 18% Y/Y Q3 revenue growth and guided for annual Q4 growth to be in a range of -1% to +6%. Both the Q3 sales and Q4 guidance missed consensus estimates.
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -2.9%) is also lower. As is Atmel (ATML -8.1%), which is set to merge with Dialog in a cash/stock deal. Atmel was originally due to receive over half its payout in Dialog shares, whose value has fallen considerably since the deal was announced in mid-September.
- Broadcom, set to merge with Avago, reports after the bell. Apple reports tomorrow, and Cirrus, NXP, and InvenSense on Wednesday. With the help of improving demand and ongoing M&A, chip stocks had bounced strongly from their August/September lows in recent weeks.
Oct. 22, 2015, 4:23 PM
- Freescale Semiconductor (NYSE:FSL): Q3 EPS of $0.54 beats by $0.05.
- Revenue of $1.12B (-7.4% Y/Y) misses by $30M.
Oct. 22, 2015, 12:24 PM
- The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3%) has risen above $90 for the first time since July on a day the Nasdaq is up 1.5%. Helping out: Texas Instruments (TXN +10.4%) soundly beat Q3 estimates, reported positive growth for its analog and embedded processing (DSP/microcontroller) units in spite of a customer inventory correction, and (with the help of iPhone content gains) provided mostly above-consensus Q4 guidance.
- Meanwhile, Cypress Semi (up 4.1%) is rallying in spite of posting mixed Q3 results and issuing light Q4 guidance. A new $450M buyback is helping.
- TI/Cypress microcontroller peers NXP (NXPI +4.2%), Freescale (FSL +3.5%), STMicroelectronics (STM +2.5%), and Microchip (MCHP +2.9%) are among the gainers. As are TI analog/mixed-signal peers ON Semi (ON +5%), Intersil (ISIL +3.2%), IDT (IDTI +3.6%), Monolithic (MPWR +3.3%), and Silicon Labs (SLAB +2.6%).
- Other notable gainers include InvenSense (INVN +2.6%), Nvidia (NVDA +3.5%), Cavium (CAVM +4.4%), Knowles (KN +3.6%), and Lattice Semi (LSCC +7%).
- On its earnings call (transcript), TI mentioned automotive chip demand (boosted by growing chip content in various systems) was strong. Industrial sales were roughly flat (better than expected), and personal electronics benefited from "demand from one customer" (likely Apple). Wireless infrastructure fell 30% Y/Y (Chinese weakness), but rose Q/Q.
- Chip stocks also outperformed yesterday after Western Digital announced it's buying SanDisk, Lam Research announced it's buying KLA-Tencor, and CPU core giant ARM (ARMH +2.7%) beat Q3 revenue estimates (EPS slightly missed) with the help of a 20% Y/Y increase in ARM chip shipments to 3.6B, and stated it expects 2015 revenue to be in-line with market expectations.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Oct. 21, 2015, 5:35 PM
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Oct. 14, 2015, 3:10 PM
- Though still well below its May/June highs, the Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +2.9%) has reached its highest levels since August following calendar Q3 results from Intel, Linear Technology, and ASML, and reports SanDisk and Fairchild are in buyout talks with potential suitors (respectively Micron/Western Digital and ON Semi/Infineon). The Nasdaq is down slightly.
- Intel (up 1.5%) beat Q3 estimates and provided in-line Q4 guidance. ASP strength and signs of stabilizing PC demand are overshadowing a full-year guidance cut for Intel's server CPU division, Linear (up 4.6%) posted mixed FQ1 results and issued above-consensus FQ2 guidance.
- Lithography equipment giant ASML (ASML -0.4%) beat Q3 EPS estimates and posted nearly in-line sales, but also guided for Q4 revenue of €1.4B ($1.61B), below a $1.77B consensus. Soft demand from foundry clients is blamed. Credit Suisse and Cowen argue ASML is hurt by a lack of exposure to the 3D NAND flash ramp.
- Aside from Linear and companies associated with the SanDisk/Fairchild reports, chipmakers seeing big gains include NXP (NXPI +4.6%), Freescale (FSL +3.6%), Himax (HIMX +4.2%), Qorvo (QRVO +4.9%), Cypress (CY +6.9%), AppliedMicro (AMCC +4.9%), and Linear/Fairchild peers Semtech (SMTC +4.7%), MangaChip (MX +4.6%), Diodes (DIOD +4%), and Power Integrations (POWI +4.2%). Chip packaging/testing firms ChipMOS (IMOS +3.8%) and Amkor (AMKR +5.9%) are also rallying.
- With much already priced in, chip equipment makers are also doing well, in spite of ASML's guidance, a fresh $400M cut to Intel's 2015 capex budget (to $7.3B), and a Gartner forecast for global wafer fab equipment spend to drop 0.5% in 2015 and 2.5% in 2016 before returning to growth.
- Chip equipment gainers include Lam Research (LRCX +3.6%), KLA-Tencor (KLAC +1.6%), Kulicke & Soffa (KLIC +3.3%), and Teradyne (TER +1.9%). Possibly helping: Intel stated on its earnings call its capex will rise in 2016 from 2015's depressed levels.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Oct. 12, 2015, 10:33 AM
- As part of a resumption of coverage, Morgan Stanley's Craig Hattenbach has started NXP (NXPI +2.5%) with an Overweight rating and $115 target. Merger partner Freescale (FSL +2.3%) is following NXP higher.
- With Freescale on board, Hattenbach expects NXP's revenue growth to top a 6% chip industry CAGR over the next few years, with its core business (includes smart card/electronic ID microcontrollers) growing at twice the rate of peers thanks to "strong leadership in a number of secular growth themes, including rising penetration of mobile payments, transition to chip based payment cards in the US and China and continued digitization of government documents."
- He adds the Freescale deal will cut NXP's Apple dependence and (as expected) deliver major cost synergies. Broader industry challenges are seen presenting risk to Q4 estimates, but Hattenbach thinks NXP "likely protects EPS better than peers in this difficult macro environment."
- The launch comes ahead of NXP's Q3 report. Shares +17% YTD.
Sep. 17, 2015, 1:10 PM
- As expected, the EU has signed off on NXP's (NXPI +0.6%) pending cash/stock merger with Freescale (FSL +0.6%). Shares of both companies have risen slightly in response.
- Regulators note the $1.8B sale of NXP's base station power amplifier unit to China's JAC Capital addresses antitrust concerns related to NXP/Freescale's combined base station amplifier share. The deal will still create a huge player in the microcontroller market - Gartner estimates Freescale and NXP were the market's #2 and #5 players in 2014 - but plenty of competition exists.
Sep. 8, 2015, 3:25 PM
- The Philadelphia Semi Index (SOXX +3.9%) has risen to its highest levels since mid-August on a day the Nasdaq is posting a 2.3% gain.
- Likely helping out: Microchip (MCHP +8.4%), still often seen as an industry bellwether (though its commentary accompanying last fall's warning sparked criticism), has adjusted its FQ2 (calendar Q3) revenue and EPS guidance to $545M-$563M ($554M midpoint) and $0.60-$0.66 from a prior $$532M-$569M ($550.5M midpoint) and $0.58-$0.66. The outlook comes after many chipmakers (Microchip included) offered below-consensus calendar Q3 guidance amid an inventory correction, weak PC demand, and slowing Chinese smartphone growth.
- Microchip's core ops are said to be tracking in-line with prior expectations, and recently-acquired Micrel's above expectations. The 8.6M shares issued in the Micrel deal have been repurchased.
- Also: Various Taiwanese chipmakers and supply chain firms have reported August sales. Chip packaging/testing firms ASE (ASX +5.9%) and Siliconware (SPIL +4.1%) respectively reported sales were up 5.8% and 5.7% M/M, and up 9.5% and down 4.2% Y/Y.
- Big gainers include Microchip peers NXP (NXPI +6.8%), Freescale (FSL +5.8%), Silicon Labs (SLAB +4.4%), and Cypress (CY +4.4%). Others include Avago (AVGO +5.8%), Xilinx (XLNX +5.7%), Cavium (CAVM +5.5%), Analog Devices (ADI +6.3%), Synaptics (SYNA +5.4%), Linear (LLTC +4.6%), Cirrus Logic (CRUS +4.7%), IDT (IDTI +4.6%), Sigma Designs (SIGM +4.9%), and chip equipment maker Axcelis (ACLS +8%).
- SanDisk, ON Semi, and Silicon Motion are benefiting from upgrades/bullish coverage. Apple holds its iPhone event at 1PM ET tomorrow.
- Chip ETFs: SMH, XSD, PSI, SOXL, USD, SOXS, SSG
Aug. 4, 2015, 2:33 PM
- Apple is down 2.6% on strong volume (adding to recent post-earnings declines), and a slew of iPhone/iPad chip suppliers are also seeing major losses today. The Nasdaq is down just 0.3%, while the Philadelphia Semi Index is down 1.5%.
- RF chipmakers Skyworks (SWKS -5.4%), Qorvo (QRVO -3.8%), and Avago (AVGO -3%) are among the decliners, as are audio codec supplier Cirrus Logic (CRUS -5.5%), motion sensor supplier InvenSense (INVN -5.7%), NFC/motion co-processor supplier NXP (NXPI -3.3%), and LCD driver supplier Synaptics (SYNA -3.8%). The selloff has occurred in the absence of major news
- NXP merger partner Freescale (FSL -2.8%) is also off, as is chip packaging/testing firm Amkor (AMKR -4.2%), which has strong iPhone exposure. Earlier today, the EC announced NXP has offered concessions to win regulatory approval for the Freescale deal, which has a review deadline of Sep. 4. NXP has already agreed to sell its base station power amplifier unit for $1.8B to appease regulators.
- InvenSense reports after the close. The other aforementioned names have already posted their calendar Q2 results.
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