Thu, Nov. 5, 12:47 PM
- Fortinet (FTNT -4.2%), Barracuda (CUDA -3.9%), Vasco (VDSI -1.9%), Proofpoint (PFPT -4.6%), and KEYW (KEYW -6.3%) have joined the ranks of enterprise security tech firms selling off in the wake of FireEye's Q3 revenue/billings miss, soft Q4 sales guidance, and full-year billings guidance cut.
- Other decliners include Palo Alto Networks, CyberArk, and Rapid7. FireEye itself is down 23%.
- Also: PC/mobile security software firm AVG is down 17.7% after missing Q3 estimates and providing light Q4 guidance. Symantec is up slightly following an FQ2 EPS beat.
- The PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK -3.1%) has fallen below $27. CyberArk reports after the bell.
- Update: FBR's Daniel Ives is defending the group. "Importantly, we note that nearly every major cybersecurity player (Check Point, Imperva, Proofpoint, Palo Alto, Fortinet) recently has delivered strong results across the board with a healthy outlook ... We continue to strongly believe that FireEye's issues are much more company-specific as DeWalt & Co. are dealing with a plethora of execution/product headaches in the field, which are major overhangs on the FireEye story heading into 2016. We continue to see white-hot cybersecurity spending, which we view as a 30%+ growth area in a 2%–3% overall IT landscape as the threat landscape escalates. We would be strong buyers of the cybersecurity basket, with PANW, PFPT, and CHKP front and center."
Fri, Oct. 23, 9:14 AM
Thu, Oct. 22, 5:56 PM
- Though Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) beat Q3 estimates, it has guided in its earnings slides (.pdf) for Q4 revenue of $293M-$298M (+32% Y/Y at the midpoint) and EPS of $0.18-$0.19 vs. a consensus of $295.4M and $0.21. Expectations were high following July's strong results/guidance.
- Q3 billings totaled totaled $299.6M, +41% Y/Y, above revenue of $260.1M, and above guidance of $285M-$295M. Full-year billings guidance has been slightly upped to $1.215B-$1.22B (+36% at the midpoint) from $1.2B-$1.21B. At the midpoint, Q4 billings guidance of $364M-$369M implies a slowdown in growth to 30%.
- Billings growth led Q3 free cash flow to total $51.7M (well above net income of $24.1M), and the deferred revenue balance to rise 41% Y/Y to $706.9M.
- Fortinet has fallen to $37.95 after hours. Rival Palo Alto Networks (NYSE:PANW), which is also dealing with high expectations, is down 3.3%. FireEye (NASDAQ:FEYE) is down 2%, and CyberArk (NASDAQ:CYBR) down 1.8%.
- Fortinet's Q3 results, PR
Wed, Oct. 21, 12:34 PM
- Several security tech plays, including ones that were tech sector darlings earlier this year as a torrent of hacking incidents led corporate cybersecurity spend to jump, are selling off on a quiet day for equities.
- Major decliners include Palo Alto Networks (PANW -4%), FireEye (FEYE -4.9%), Fortinet (FTNT -4.3%), CyberArk (CYBR -4.8%), Imperva (IMPV -5.3%), Proofpoint (PFPT -3.9%), Qualys (QLYS -2.8%), and Rapid7 (RPD -6.8%).
- No major news has arrived to trigger a selloff. Meanwhile, hacking-related stories have continued producing ink in recent weeks. Notable ones: China is reportedly continuing hacking attacks on U.S. firms in spite of a pact that banned government spying on companies; authorities are probing a potential Russian hack of Dow Jones; and ISIS has reportedly tried (without much success) to hack the U.S. electrical grid.
- The PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK -1.6%) is down 24% from a June peak of $33.91. YTD, it's only down modestly.
- Proofpoint reports earnings after the close, and Fortinet tomorrow afternoon. Qualys reports on Nov. 2, FireEye on Nov. 4,, CyberArk on Nov. 5,, and Rapid7 on Nov. 12,
- Update: One potential culprit: Server virtualization software leader VMware is cratering due to its soft Q4/2016 guidance (partly blamed on cloud adoption). A smattering of other high-beta enterprise tech names are also selling off.
Thu, Aug. 6, 3:56 PM
- Security tech names are among the big decliners (HACK -2.7%) on a day the Nasdaq is off 1.6%. Various other high-beta tech names are also hard-hit.
- Major decliners include Palo Alto Networks (PANW -8.1%), Fortinet (FTNT -4.5%), AVG (AVG -8.1%), Proofpoint (PFPT -4.1%), and newly-public incident-detection/threat-response software firm Rapid7 (RPD -5.7%). Qualys is down 13.5% today after filing its Q2 10-Q.
- Rapid7 is now down 25% from its July 17 opening trade of $26.75, albeit still up 25% from its $16 IPO price. AVG is adding to the 2.5% decline seen yesterday after the company posted a slight Q2 EPS beat, hiked full-year revenue guidance by $10M to $420M-$440M, and reiterated EPS guidance of $1.80-$1.90.
- An afternoon report that the Pentagon has been the victim of a "sophisticated cyberattack" launched by Russia hasn't done much to lift the group. NBC News reports the attack "relied on some kind of automated system that rapidly gathered massive amounts of data and within a minute distributed all the information to thousands of accounts on the Internet." Officials believe it to be "the work of a state actor."
Thu, Jul. 23, 11:27 AM
- As was the case 3 months ago, security tech plays are up strongly (HACK +3.6%) after Fortinet (FTNT +12%) beat estimates, reported strong billings, and delivered above-consensus top-line guidance. The Nasdaq is up 0.3%.
- In addition to FireEye, Palo Alto Networks, and CyberArk (previously covered), gainers include Barracuda Networks (CUDA +6.4%), KEYW Holding (KEYW +4.5%), Symantec (SYMC +1.9%), Imperva (IMPV +7.6%), Proofpoint (PFPT +3.6%), Vasco (VDSI +4.5%), AVG (AVG +3.1%), and Qualys (QLYS +5.7%). AVG is benefiting a bullish JPMorgan coverage launch; Proofpoint reports after the close.
- JPMorgan's Sterling Auty has upgraded Fortinet to Overweight, and a slew of firms have hiked their targets. Auty argues Fortinet's numbers suggest its efforts to grow its high-end presence (aided by major sales investments in recent years), and forecasts free cash flow will rise 43% this year.
- On Fortinet's earnings call (transcript), CFO Drew Del Matto mentioned $100K+ deals rose 53% Y/Y and $1M+ deal 133% (compares with 40% total billings growth). He also mentioned the company's high-end FortiGate UTM/next-gen firewall appliances made up 45% of billings (a new high), and that U.S. enterprise sales (benefiting from strong cybersecurity spend) rose 90%. Major deals were struck with "two of the most recognizable technology brands in the world," as well as two large i-banks.
Thu, Jul. 23, 9:15 AM
Wed, Jul. 22, 5:41 PM
Wed, Jul. 22, 5:17 PM
- Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) has followed up on its Q2 beat by guiding in its earnings slides (.pdf) for 2015 revenue of $1B-$1.01B and EPS of $0.51-$0.52. The latter (pressured by heavy spending) is only in-line with a $0.51 consensus, but the former is soundly above a $943M consensus.
- Likewise, Q3 guidance is for revenue of $255M-$260M and EPS of $0.12 vs. a consensus of $235.3M and $0.14.
- Q2 billings totaled $297.2M, +40% Y/Y, above guidance of $263M-$268M and well above revenue of $239.8M (+30%). Q3 billings guidance (possibly conservative, given Fortinet's history) is at $285M-$295M (+36%), and full-year guidance at $1.2B-$1.21B (+34%). Billings growth led the deferred revenue balance to rise 37% Y/Y to $657.6M.
- Shares have jumped to $46.50 AH. Security tech peers are also up: FireEye (NASDAQ:FEYE) +2.5%, Palo Alto Networks (NYSE:PANW) +1.4%, CyberArk (NASDAQ:CYBR) +1.7%. Check Point provided strong numbers earlier today.
- Fortinet's Q2 results, PR
Thu, Jul. 9, 2:26 PM
- Security tech plays are outperforming amid a 0.4% gain for the Nasdaq. The rally comes a day after the NYSE suffered a lengthy outage, United Airlines grounded flights, and the WSJ's site briefly went down.
- All three incidents have been blamed on tech issues rather than attacks/breaches, but questions linger. FBI director James Comey: "We do not see any indication of a cyber breach or cyber attack ... But again, in my business, you don't love coincidences." Ex-White House cybersecurity advisor Richard Clarke: "Right now, anybody who says they know for sure what happened before the forensic work has been done is kidding themselves."
- Also: In a bit of good PR/convenient timing for the group, representatives from the PureFunds Cyber Security ETF (HACK +1.6%) rang the NYSE's opening bell today. The NYSE says the event was booked months in advance.
- Standouts include CyberArk (CYBR +4%), FireEye (FEYE +2.7%), KEYW Holding (KEYW +5%), Fortinet (FTNT +2.4%), Check Point (CHKP +2.6%), Imperva (IMPV +2.9%), Zix (ZIXI +2.8%), Proofpoint (PFPT +2.7%), and Vasco (VDSI +2.5%). Barracuda (CUDA +2%) reports after the bell.
Mon, Jul. 6, 10:01 AM
- Cowen's Gregg Moskowitz has downgraded unified threat management (UTM) appliance leader Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) to Underperform, and set a $37 target. Simultaneously, he has upgraded rival/next-gen firewall leader Palo Alto Networks (PANW +0.8%) to Outperform, and hiked his target by $30 to $205.
- Moskowitz on Fortinet: "The security market remains strong, and the co.'s recent execution has unquestionably been very good. However, we believe tougher compares, an increasingly competitive environment, and challenges truly penetrating the enterprise could make it difficult for FTNT to meet or exceed investor expectations over the next 12-18 months."
- Moskowitz on Palo Alto: " Following 1) our recent checks that indicate continued strong momentum, 2) a higher level of optimism in upside to our CY15-16 [estimates]., and 3) the build-out of preliminary CY17 numbers that, in our view, actually makes valuation look inexpensive relative to growth, we believe the shares have more room to run."
- Citi and Baird downgraded Fortinet on June 24, with the latter stating security resellers "tell us they prefer Palo Alto to Fortinet as a long-term, strategic partner." At the same time, Baird admitted Fortinet's UTM appliances (aided by their use of custom ASICs) have "a clear advantage" in high-throughput applications such as HFT.
Wed, Jun. 24, 5:49 PM
- In addition to a downgrade to Neutral from Baird's Jayson Noland, Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) saw Citi's Walter Pritchard made a similar ratings cut today. Like Noland, Pritchard hiked his target (by $3 to $44) while downgrading.
- Pritchard expects share gains to remain a driver for Fortinet, but expects them to be on "less of an upward trajectory" than for other security tech plays such as Palo Alto Networks and Proofpoint. "FTNT has gained nearly 200bp of share a year over five years, but this pace of gains has slowed somewhat in the last two years ... model ~125bps of share gains per year in core firewall/UTM [hardware] through 2019."
- He adds attach rates for Fortinet's value-added subscriptions are already high, and that the subscriptions are an "all or nothing" decision for buyers. "Thus, while on paper there is room to gain from attach, we view it as more linked to sale of product than incremental success with attach on installed base."
- Noland is a little more upbeat, predicting Fortinet's fundamentals will remain strong, that checks "have remained consistent and mostly positive," and that major sales/marketing investments are paying off. "The company has a clear advantage in applications requiring high throughput (e.g., HFT) which is a function of custom silicon versus a competitive landscape reliant on merchant silicon."
- At the same time, he states security resellers "tell us they prefer Palo Alto (NYSE:PANW) to Fortinet as a long-term, strategic partner." Noland also observes Fortinet's U.S. growth has skewed heavily towards enterprise sales (+70% Y/Y in Q1), and that SMB and service provider sales (roughly flat) have been softer.
- Fortinet closed down 3.5%, and Palo Alto down 1.5%. Other cybersecurity plays also sold off on a day the Nasdaq fell 0.7%.
Wed, Jun. 24, 8:38 AM
- In what appears to be a valuation call, Baird has downgraded Fortinet (NASDAQ:FTNT) to Neutral, while hiking its target by $6 to $46.
- The unified threat management appliance vendor has fallen to $42.00 premarket. Shares have more than doubled from their late-2013/early-2014 lows. They trade for 6.8x the midpoint of Fortinet's 2015 billings guidance (possibly conservative, given past guidance hikes).
- Last week: Oppenheimer hikes Fortinet target, reports strong checks
Tue, Jun. 16, 3:44 PM
- Oppenheimer's Shaul Eyal (Outperform rating): "We are raising our PT to $46 from $39, nudging our 2Q revenue estimate higher following mid-Q checks suggesting (yet again) FTNT's business is tracking ahead of guidance."
- He adds his bullish stance on the UTM appliance leader's sales is based on growing $500K+ Q2 contract wins, strong telecom sales, ongoing high-end appliance traction, and strong demand across all geographies.
- Shares have made new highs, and (thanks to both good earnings news and strong investor interest in nearly anything cybersecurity-related) are up 39% YTD.
Fri, Jun. 5, 12:56 PM
- The PureFunds ISE Cyber Security ETF (HACK +2.2%) has made fresh highs after government officials disclosed a hack of the federal Office of Personnel Management (OPM) that resulted in the personal records of as many as 4M current and former federal workers being stolen. The Chinese hackers who carried out for a recent attack on health insurance firms Anthem and Premera Blue Cross are believed to be responsible.
- In addition to FireEye, Palo Alto Networks, and CyberArk (previously covered), gainers include Imperva (IMPV +3.7%), KEYW Holding (KEYW +7.5%), Fortinet (FTNT +2.3%), Proofpoint (PFPT +4.3%), Vasco (VDSI +3%), and Identiv (INVE +2.8%). Fortinet, Proofpoint, and Imperva have made new highs. The Nasdaq is close to breakeven.
- The group also rallied on Wednesday, a day after the IRS promised to upgrade its security systems during Senate hearings about a recent breach. Proofpoint is a day removed from announcing a refresh (version 3.0) of its threat-response/intelligence software platform. New features include better cloud-based threat intelligence tools and security alert integration for 3rd-party software tools.
Wed, May 27, 9:37 AM
- Fortinet (FTNT -1.4%) is acquiring Meru Networks (MERU +16%), a provider of enterprise Wi-Fi access points, controllers, and management software, for $44M in cash, or $1.63/share. The price represents a 17% premium to Meru's Tuesday close, and is equal to just 0.54x Meru's 2015 sales consensus of $81.3M.
- Fortinet, which already offers Wi-Fi access points and integrated Wi-Fi/security appliances, declares the deal "expands its opportunity to uniquely address the $5B global enterprise Wi-Fi market with integrated and intelligent secure wireless solutions." It also notes Meru's product line includes cloud/virtual Wi-Fi controllers (eliminates the need for dedicated hardware), and SDN-capable management and provisioning software.
- The deal is expected to close in Q3. Meru has been struggling to deal with competition from larger rivals such as Cisco and HP/Aruba Networks. The company announced a strategic review in January.
- Separately, Fortinet has launched FortiGuard Mobile, a subscription service that aims to protect phones/tablets from cyber threats, and which integrates with Fortinet's mainstay ForiGate unified threat management (UTM) appliances. Palo Alto Networks recently partnered with VMware to offer its own mobile security solutions.
Fortinet Inc is provider of network security solutions that are designed to address the fundamental problems of an increasingly bandwidth-intensive network environment and a more sophisticated information technology threat landscape.
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