Fuji Heavy Industries, Ltd. ADROTCPK - Current
Thu, Dec. 1, 1:24 PM
Wed, Nov. 30, 9:59 AM
- A top Trump advisor says the President-elect will only use the threat of tariffs as a last resort.
- While the development isn't a shocker in the political world, a tariff overhang has lingered over Ford (F +0.3%) and Japanese automakers (OTCPK:NSANY, TM, HMC, OTCPK:MZDAY, OTCPK:SZKMY, OTCPK:FUJHY, OTCPK:MMTOF) since the election.
- Some analysts thinks Trump is likely to face increased pushback on dismantling NAFTA from the business world after he sets up in the Oval Office.
Fri, Nov. 25, 9:46 AM
- U.S. automobile sales are expected to increase 4.2% to a record 1.37M units in November, according to a forecast from Kelley Blue Book. The previous high for the month was 1.32M units.
- This November includes two extra selling days than last year which provides an obvious boost. A high level of promotions around the Black Friday weekend is also seen as a sales driver.
- KBB's forecast by automaker: General Motors (NYSE:GM) +8.6% to 249K, Toyota (NYSE:TM) +2.9% to 195K, Ford (NYSE:F) +0.1% to 187K, Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU) -4.5% to 168K, Honda (NYSE:HMC) +9.1% to 126K, Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) +8.3% to 116K, Hyundai-Kia (OTC:HYMLF) +7.0% to 113K, Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) +15.0% to 53K, Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAY) +5.5% to 47.5K.
- Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA) isn't running up the volume quite yet to make the KBB list, but that is expected to change in 2017.
Tue, Nov. 8, 9:04 AM
- Japanese automakers (OTCPK:NSANY, TM, HMC, OTCPK:MZDAY, OTCPK:SZKMY, OTCPK:FUJHY, OTCPK:MMTOF) are reconsidering strategy in the U.S. after taking in the strong preference by American buyers for SUVs and trucks. The shift in sales mix has contributed to the rising incentive spending needed to clear inventory.
- Top execs at Toyota say the company will have to be "very careful" with the North American market going forward.
- "It’s a peak and we don’t see a potential for further growth," said Nissan co-CEO Hiruto Saikawa.
- Toyota reported earlier today a sharp drop in FQ2 operating profit. Last weekend, news broke that the company may make a serious pure EV commitment.
- The shifting ground in the automobile industry has long-term implications for suppliers as well.
- Related auto parts stocks: ACW, ALSN, ALV, AXL, BWA, CAAS, CPS, DAN, DLPH, DORM, FDML, FENX, GNTX, JCI, LDL, LEA, LKQ, MBLY, MLR, MNRO, MOD, MPAA, MPG, MTOR, PLOW, SMP, SRI, STRT, SUP, STRT, TEN, THRM, TEN, TOWR, UFAB, VC, VOXX, WBC, ZX.
- Previously: Toyota to go 'full-scale' into EVs (Nov. 6)
- Previously: Overnight earnings roundup (Nov. 8)
Tue, Nov. 1, 1:30 PM
Wed, Oct. 26, 12:41 PM
- TrueCar estimates new U.S. vehicles sales will fall 6.6% in October to 1.36M units.
- The forecast doesn't adjust for the two fewer selling days in the period this year. Hurricane Matthew was also a negative factor on sales during the month.
- Rather suddenly, one of the more common words in the automobile sector in relation to sales growth has been "plateau" or variations of the noun. "As retail demand plateaus automakers will be forced to make the critical decision to cut vehicle production or increase incentives,' notes TrueCar analyst Eric Lyman.
- Incentive spending is forecast to increase 16% Y/Y during October.
- TrueCar's sales forecasts by automaker are posted below.
- BMW (OTCPK:BMWYY) -10.7% to 30K units, market share 2.2% vs. 2.1% last month.
- Daimler (OTCPK:DDAIF) +0.1% to 32.5K units, market share 2.4% vs. 2.3% last month.
- FCA (NYSE:FCAU) -11.0% to 175K units, market share 12.9% vs. 13.5% last month.
- Ford (NYSE:F) -9.9% to 192K units, market share 14.1% vs. 14.2% last month.
- General Motors (NYSE:GM) -8.9% to 239.5K units, market share 17.6% vs. 17.4% last month.
- Honda (NYSE:HMC) -2.8% to 128K units, market share 9.4% vs. 9.3% last month.
- Hyundai (OTC:HYMLF) -7.0% to 55.8K units, market share 4.1% vs. 4.6% last month.
- Kia (HYUMLF) -2.1% to 49K units, market share 3.6% vs. 3.4% last month.
- Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY) -2.6% to 113K units, market share 8.3% vs. 8.9% last month.
- Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) +0.7% to 52K units, market share 3.8% vs. 3.8% last month.
- Toyota (NYSE:TM) -1.5% to 201K units, market share 14.8% vs. 13.7% last month.
- Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAY) -16.9% to 43.5K units, 3.2% vs. 3.2% last month.
- Research firms are likely to include Tesla Motors (NASDAQ:TSLA) in their monthly forecasts in the future as the EV automaker scales up with increased production of the Model S, Model X and the Model 3 in due time.
Wed, Oct. 19, 11:35 AM
- The focus on Apple's (AAPL -0.2%) influence in the automobile sector has shifted away from straight manufacturing to ways the tech company could integrate software, information systems, or automated driving capabilities into next-gen models.
- The recent developments with Project Titan also raise the stakes on which automakers strike a significant partnership with Apple if the venture makes it past 2017 (the reported AAPL deadline).
- While many auto industry watchers think major automakers won't convert to the Apple ecosystem across their portfolio, high-end "Applefied" models are seen as a realistic possibility.
- "A luxury automobile with 'Apple Inside'? That could be hit, and a profitable one yet," writes Los Angeles Times columnist Michael Hiltzik.
- SA contributor Bret Kenwell also dug into the Project Titan issue earlier this week.
- Related stocks: GM, FCAU, F, TM, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:BMWYY, OTCPK:DDAIF, TSLA, OTCPK:MZDAY, TSLA, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:FUJHY, RACE, TTM, MBLY.
- Previously: Bloomberg: Apple scales down automotive strategy, plans to build car postponed (Oct. 17)
Mon, Oct. 3, 3:54 PM
- Several major automakers posted lower sales in September in another sign that a peak in demand may have been reached. Ford (NYSE:F), Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (NYSE:FCAU), and Volkswagen (OTCPK:VLKAY) all saw volume drops, while Nissan (OTCPK:NSANY), Toyota (NYSE:TM), and Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) gained some market share during the month.
- Once again, pickup sales were strong in the U.S. Ram pickups stood out with a 29% increase over last year's mark.
- Average transaction prices rose by about 2.5% in September, according to an estimate from Kelley Blue Book.
- The industry could still have a record year if demand is strong in Q4, although some analysts are warning on the impact of the higher level of discounting on profit.
Mon, Oct. 3, 11:19 AM
- Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) unit sales +3.5% to 54,918 units.
- The automaker now has three straight months of +50K U.S. sales, despite a broad slip in demand across the automobile industry.
- Sales by model: Forester +3% to 15,883; Outback +12% to 16,978; Crosstek +11% to 8,261.
- YTD Subaru U.S. sales +4.2% to 446,887 units.
Thu, Sep. 1, 1:12 PM
- Subaru (OTCPK:FUJHY) unit sales +15% to 60,418 units, a record-high level for the month.
- Hitting the 60K mark was an impressive achievement in a down month overall for U.S. auto sales.
- Sales by model: Forester +12% to 19,658 units; Outback +56% to 17,358 units; Crosstek -0.1% to 8,787 units.
- YTD Subaru U.S. sales +4.4% to 391,969 units.
Wed, Aug. 31, 10:26 AM
- U.S. auto sales are expected to show a decline of 2% to 5% for August amid a dialing back of discounting activity, according to the range of forecasts from Kelley Blue Book, Edmunds, J.D. Power, and LMC Automotive. General Motors is poised to report a loss of market share as its plan to cut out fleet sales impacts volume.
- Bloomberg estimates the seasonally adjusted selling rate for the month will be 17.2M, down from 17.9M last month.
- The sales dip isn't necessarily a bottom line drag for the sector due to reduced discounting and the increasing mix of higher-profit SUVs and trucks. But higher profit hasn't lifted automaker stocks this year, with the group having trouble gaining traction and trading with low forward PE multiples (GM 5.5, Ford 6.8, Honda 10.5, Toyota 10.9).
- Auto parts stocks (LEA, TEN, BWA, DAN, MPAA, CPS, DLPH, AXL, TOWR, ACW, FENX, MTOR, THRM, SMP, ALV, MOD, SRI) will be on watch tomorrow when the reports roll in as the sector frequently sees some extra volatility on days U.S. auto sales are disclosed.
- Related stocks: GM, FCAU, F, TM, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:BMWYY, OTCPK:DDAIF, TSLA, OTCPK:MZDAY, TSLA, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:FUJHY, RACE.
Fri, Aug. 12, 12:48 PM
Fri, Aug. 5, 7:46 AM
- A group representing Japanese automakers (OTCPK:NSANY, TM, HMC, OTCPK:MZDAY, OTCPK:SZKMY, OTCPK:FUJHY, OTCPK:MMTOF) has asked Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and his new cabinet to take action on the negative impact of foreign exchange rates.
- The rise of the yen against key currencies has cut deeply into the profit levels of Japanese automakers and forced cost-cutting measures to be adopted as well as capital expenditure cuts.
- The Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association wasn't specific on what manner of yen intervention it expects.
- The automobile industry accounts for ~10% of all jobs in Japan.
- Japan F/X ETFs: FXY, YCS, JYN, YCL.
Tue, Aug. 2, 12:49 PM| Tue, Aug. 2, 12:49 PM | 1 Comment
Tue, Jul. 26, 2:41 PM
- There's almost no chance that the automobile industry won't be a major talking point during the U.S. presidential election campaign which adds a layer of uncertainty for investors in the sector.
- While the ramifications of the Trans-Pacific Partnership and Donald Trump's plan to add tariffs on foreign car makers and auto parts suppliers are already being debated, it's the union workers who may be the target of the most discussion in the next few months with Michigan, Ohio, and Pennsylvania considered critical battleground stocks.
- The United Auto Workers endorsed Hillary Clinton and expects her to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement to help land stronger unions in Mexico, while Trump has taken a more populist route of promising to add tariffs on Ford for cars built in Mexico. He's also hammering home that he will force better trade deals, but is walking a tightrope with some Rust Belt voters after suggesting that local plants should be closed and moved to states with lower wages.
- Most analysts think it's more likely that the $7,500 electric vehicle tax credit will expire if Trump wins the election than if Clinton ascends to the White House. The EPA and some its regulations are also sure to get a hard look.
- Investors are looking for a breakout after the dust settles, with the Detroit Three all trailing the S&P 500 Index return for the year.
- Related stocks: GM, FCAU, F, TM, HMC, OTCPK:NSANY, OTCPK:VLKAY, OTCPK:BMWYY, OTCPK:DDAIF, TSLA, OTCPK:MZDAY, TSLA, OTC:HYMLF, OTCPK:FUJHY.
Sat, Jul. 23, 1:18 PM
- The Japanese government and the European Commission are working together to connect their global positioning systems in a coordinated effort to clear a path for autonomous vehicles.
- By linking Japan's Quasi-Zenith Satellite System and EU's Galileo satellite network the margin of error of the combined system will be improved dramatically.
- The development could be positive for Japanese automakers (OTCPK:NSANY, TM, HMC, OTCPK:MZDAY, OTCPK:SZKMY, OTCPK:FUJHY, OTCPK:MMTOF) and suppliers such as Mitsubishi Electric (OTC:MIELF, OTCPK:MIELY), Hitachi (OTCPK:HTHIF) and NTT Data (OTC:NTTDF).