Guess?: Buy The Optimism Or Sell The Results?
Guess?: Q1 Hurts Short-Term, Long-Term Bull Cases
Fri, Sep. 9, 9:27 AM
- A survey from William Blair indicates that teenagers and young adults have increased their visits to malls this year to reverse a multi-year trend.
- In what may come as a surprise, teens ranked malls above movie theaters, restaurants, and sports clubs/extracurriculars as their most popular place to meet.
- Despite the depressed levels of overall sales this year for mall retailers, the read on teens could be a possible indicator that the mall model will evolve and survive, instead of disappear.
- "While overall mall traffic remains challenging, our survey this year noted a material increase in the number of respondents who indicated they are visiting malls more often than last year, perhaps suggesting that malls’ efforts to increase relevancy (through more experiential brands and the addition of attractive entertainment and dining options) are beginning to bear fruit," says Bernstein analyst Sharon Zackfia.
- Mall retailers: AEO, ANF, ASNA, BKE, BOOT, CATO, CBK, CHS, CTRN, DSW, EXPR, FRAN, GCO, GES, GPS, LB, NWY, PLCE, SCVL, SMRT, SSI, TLYS, URBN, LULU.
Fri, Sep. 2, 9:05 AM
Tue, Aug. 30, 12:53 PM
- A warning from Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF -20.6%) on second-half comparable sales is resonating across the jittery apparel store sector, along with weak reports from DSW (DSW -10.3%) and Christopher & Banks (CBK -19.7%).
- Ascena Retail Group (ASNA -6.6%), Stage Stores (SSI -5.1%), Guess (GES -3.8%), Chico's FAS (CHS -3%), and Francesca's (FRAN -2.8%) are all notably lower after the gloomy sector updates.
- Previously: Abercrombie & Fitch falls hard after weak outlook (Aug. 30)
- Previously: Sales fall short at Christopher & Banks (Aug. 30)
- Previously: DSW sets in-line profit guidance (Aug. 30)
Thu, Aug. 25, 12:45 PM
Thu, Aug. 25, 9:16 AM
Thu, Aug. 25, 7:38 AM
- Guess (NYSE:GES) pops in early trading after surprising on the bottom line. The results were strong enough to prompt a reset from a pair of investment firms.
- B. Riley upgrades Guess to a Buy rating from Neutral after digesting the Q2 results.
- Telsey Advisory Group boosts its price target to $17.
- Guess reported that operating margin during the quarter decreased 190 basis points to 2.9%, but analysts expected an even sharper drop. The retailer raised full-year guidance for EPS to $0.79-$0.92 vs. $0.48-$0.68 prior.
- Previously: Guess beats by $0.07, misses on revenue (Aug. 24)
- Shares of Guess are up 18.86% premarket to $17.71.
Wed, Aug. 24, 5:38 PM
Wed, Aug. 24, 4:19 PM
Tue, Aug. 23, 5:35 PM
Tue, Aug. 16, 10:26 AM
- The RetailMeNot Promotions Index will measure the average retail promotions level from the top 500 U.S. retailers across 19 different categories.
- The broad promotion index currently reads 32.58% which RetailMeNot calls a "moderate" level.
- Tracking of the RetailMeNot data could be of particular interest in the apparel store sector (GPS, LB, AEO, ANF, CHS, PLCE, DSW, DXLG, FRAN, BKE, SSI, DEST, NWY, CTRN, GES, TLRD, SMRT.
- Retail ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, RCD, PMR, JHMC).
- Source: Press Release
Thu, Aug. 11, 9:59 AM
- The retail sector is racking up sizable gains after Macy's set the table with a major store closing announcement (15% of full-line stores).
- Earnings beats at Macy's and Kohl's, along with a surprise upgrade on American Eagle Outfitters (AEO +4.6%) are also helping to boost sentiment.
- Notable gainers include Guess (GES +4.3%), Dillard's (DDS +5.8%), Ascena Retail Group (ASNA +4.6%), Stage Stores (SSI +7.7%), Sears Holdings (SHLD +4.6%), Gap (GPS +3.5%), Abercombie & Fitch (ANF +3.2%), Barnes & Noble (BKS +3.2%), Urban Outfitters (URBN +1.3%), Francesca's (FRAN +2.5%), DSW (DSW +3.5%), Pier 1 Imports (PIR +4%), and Finish Line (FINL +2.4%).
- The S&P 500 Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is up 2.1% on the day off the chain store buzz.
- Retail ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, IYC, FDIS, SCC, RCD, UCC, PMR, JHMC, CNDF
Wed, Aug. 10, 9:58 AM
- Results from Fossil (FOSL +5.3%) and Ralph Lauren (RL +8.2%) that came in ahead of some beat-down expectations are helping to provide a lift to other names in the apparel sector. The rally is focused primarily on higher-end sellers.
- Cost streamlining helped to cut into weak tourism and F/X trends.
- Notable gainers include Hanesbrands (HBI +3.6%), PVH Corp (PVH +1%), Luxottica (LUX +1.9%), Kohl's (KSS +2.3%), VF Corp (VFC +1.2%), Guess (GES +1.2%), G-III Apparel (GIII +1.7%), Gildan Activewear (GIL +0.8%), and Vera Bradley (VRA +1.5%).
Tue, Jul. 19, 10:03 AM
- Shares of Guess (GES -5.9%) are lower after Piper Jaffray expresses concerns on the retailer.
- The investment firm sees bumps in the road for Guess in the near term, including U.S. traffic trends and managing a "bloated" level of inventory.
- PJ lowers Guess to Underweight and tags its with a price target of $12 which stands below the 52-week low of $13.89.
Thu, Jun. 9, 12:23 PM
- Retail stocks are broadly lower after a weak earnings report from Restoration Hardware (RH -21.2%) set a gloomy tone. The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) is 1.91% lower on the day.
- Williams-Sonoma (WSM -4.8%) and Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY -3.7%) are down sharply after the RH guidance dud.
- Mall chain and department store stocks are also seeing some anxious trading as investors continue to bet on discounters and variety stores which target budget shoppers.
- Notable decliners include Ascena Retail (ASNA -5.4%), Guess (GES -3.2%), Nordtrom (JWN -3.1%), Urban Outfitters (URBN -2.6%), Cato (CATO -2.6%), DSW (DSW -2.6%), and Gap (GPS -2%).
- Target (NYSE:TGT) is down 1.6% after a rough annual meeting where there was much more attention paid to the company's transgender bathroom policy than execs probably desired.
- Retail ETFs: XLY, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXD, FDIS, RCD, PMR, JHMC, CNDF
Wed, May 25, 4:19 PM
Tue, May 24, 5:35 PM