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Yesterday, 11:46 AM
- There's some nervous trading on stocks associated with consumers spending money on their houses. Today's macroeconomic news and stock market decline are cutting into confidence over consumer spending patterns.
- Pier 1 Imports (PIR -7.9%), Mattress Firm (MFRM -3.1%), Tile Shop (TTS -2.9%), Lumber Liquidators (LL -5.8%), Restoration Hardware (RH -3.6%), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY -2.5%), La-Z-Boy (LZB -3%), Kirkland's (KIRK -2.3%), and Williams-Sonoma (WSM -2.5%) are all lower than broad market averages.
- Lowe's (LOW -1.5%) and Home Depot (HD -1.2%) are showing a milder loss.
Wed, Feb. 3, 7:43 AM| Wed, Feb. 3, 7:43 AM
Tue, Feb. 2, 9:00 AM| Tue, Feb. 2, 9:00 AM | 1 Comment
- January monthly performance was: -4.6%
- 52-week performance vs. the S&P 500 is: -1%
- $0.02 in dividends were paid in January
- Top 10 Holdings as of 12/31/2015: Coca-Cola Co (KO): 4.05%, Microsoft Corp (MSFT): 3.61%, Apple Inc (AAPL): 3.27%, Altria Group Inc (MO): 3.17%, AbbVie Inc (ABBV): 2.84%, International Business Machines Corp (IBM): 2.21%, McDonald's Corp (MCD): 2.01%, Intel Corp (INTC): 1.95%, Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO): 1.9%, Home Depot Inc (HD): 1.84%
Fri, Jan. 29, 5:47 PM
- The best-performing U.S. stock over the past 30 years is one that few have heard of: Balchem (NASDAQ:BCPC), a New York-based maker of flavorings, fumigating gases and nutritional additives for animal feed.
- Since the end of 1985, Balchem has gained an average of 26.2%/year - a total gain of 107,099% - vs.10.3% for the S&P 500.
- But with flattening profitability and shares at a lavish 27x earnings, Balchem looks expensive for now, WSJ's Jason Zweig writes.
- Over the past 30 years, 44 U.S. stocks generated cumulative total returns of 10,000% or more; the 10 behind Balchem are HD, AMGN, NKE, UNH, DHR, OTCPK:ATCD, KSU, JKHY, AAPL and MO.
Thu, Jan. 28, 10:07 AM
- A warning from the World Health Organization on the Zika virus spreading rapidly in the Americas is creating a stir.
- "The level of alarm is extremely high," said WHO director general Dr. Margarat Chan.
- The outbreak is of a particular concern in Brazil where the Summer Olympics are due to be held in August. Some airlines (LFL, GOL) could be impacted negatively.
- If Zika spreads closer to the U.S., sales of mosquito-related products could soar at companies such as Spectrum Brands (SPB +1.3%), Home Depot (HD +0.1%), Lowe's (LOW), and S.C. Johnson (similar to how cases of Ebola in the U.S. led to big sales gains at Clorox an Grainger on disinfectants).
Sat, Jan. 23, 2:46 PM
- The economic cost of the blizzard hitting the East Coast could run as high as $850M, according to a forecast from Planalytics.
- The tally includes lost productivity and a lower level of consumer spending over the duration of the storm - even after factoring in the impact of consumers stockpiling from chains such as Home Depot (NYSE:HD), Lowe's (NYSE:LOW), Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT), and Kroger (NYSE:KR).
- The storm is broad enough to impact domestic traffic numbers for restaurant chains (MCD, QSR, WEN, CMG, DENN, DNKN, SBUX) and movie theater operators (RGC, CKEC, CNK, AMC).
- The number of cancelled flights tied to the storm is tracking rapidly toward 10K. U.S. airlines (LUV, AAL, JBLU, UAL, DAL) have become more efficient with managing major storms, but will still take a hit to Q1 revenue.
- Looking ahead: Though harsh U.S. winters have lopped off as much as 1% to 2% from retail sales in the past, the 2015-2016 season still sits comfortably in the historical range used by economists when making their projections.
- Previously: Blizzard rally for HD, LOW, BGG, TTC, ACAT, COLM, and BDE (Jan. 22)
- Previously: Storm alert for Shake Shack and Dunkin' Donuts (Jan. 22)
- Retail ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, IYC, FXD, PEJ, FDIS, RHS, FSTA, SCC, UCC, RCD, PMR, PEZ, UGE, PSL, PSCC, PSCD, SZK, BITE
Fri, Jan. 22, 10:36 AM
- Investors are placing some bets on select winter storm stocks as the East Coast preps for a snow pummeling.
- Home Depot (HD +3%) and Lowe's (LOW +1.9%) continue to pick up steam after solid sessions yesterday.
- Briggs & Stratton (NYSE:BGG) is up 5.2% as investors bet on higher demand for generators and snowblowers. Peer Toro (NYSE:TTC) is 3.6% higher.
- Arctic Cat (NASDAQ:ACAT) is up 13% since mid-Wednesday as snowmobiles enter the conversation again after a mild start to the winter in the U.S.
- Winter apparel sellers Columbia Sportswear (NASDAQ:COLM) and Black Diamond (NASDAQ:BDE) are both up around 4%.
Thu, Jan. 21, 10:34 AM
- Stocks tied to consumers pouring money into their houses are ripping gains today. The rally includes home improvement, home building, and home furnishings stocks.
- Gainers include Profire Energy (PFIE +10.1%), Pier 1 Imports (PIR +3.9%), Lumber Liquidators (LL +3.3%), Home Depot (HD +3.9%), Restoration Hardware (RH +2.7%), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY +1.7%), Haverty Furniture (HVT +1.1%), Beacon Roofing (BECN +2.1%), Lowe's (LOW +2.4%), Kirkland's (KIRK +3%) and Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores (SHOS +1.9%).
Mon, Jan. 4, 9:03 AM| Mon, Jan. 4, 9:03 AM | 2 Comments
- December monthly performance was: -1.18%
- 52-week performance vs. the S&P 500 is: -1%
- $0.10 in dividends were paid in December
- Top 10 Holdings as of 11/30/2015: Exxon Mobil Corporation (XOM): 4.98%, Microsoft Corp (MSFT): 4.49%, Apple Inc (AAPL): 4.18%, Altria Group Inc (MO): 3.37%, McDonald's Corp (MCD): 2.94%, PepsiCo Inc (PEP): 2.93%, Home Depot Inc (HD): 2.4%, Intel Corp (INTC): 2.31%, International Business Machines Corp (IBM): 2.02%, AbbVie Inc (ABBV): 1.96%
Fri, Jan. 1, 4:53 AM
- Dow: NKE +29%; HD +27%; MCD +25%; GE +21%; V +16%.
- S&P 500: NFLX +135%; AMZN +119%; ATVI +90%; NVDA +61%; CVC +54%.
- Nasdaq: NFLX +135%; AMZN +119%; CTRP +104%; ATVI +90%; NVDA +61%.
- Dow: WMT -29%; CAT -28%; AXP -26%; CVX -21%; UTX -18%.
- S&P 500: CHK -77%; CNX -77%; SWN -75%; FCX -71%; FOSL -67%.
- Nasdaq: MU -59%; WDC -47%; STX -47%; VIAB -46%; BBBY -37%.
Dec. 23, 2015, 11:56 AM
- Coca-Cola (KO +0.6%) was added back to the UBS Dividend Rulers portfolio after being swapped out last year.
- The Atlanta company replaces British American Tobacco (BTI +1.8%).
- The UBS Dividend Rulers portfolio has topped broad market averages over the long term, but is down 4.5% YTD this year. UBS expects a return to norm in 2016 as headwinds ease for large-cap dividend payers. Federal Reserve rate increases aren't expected to disrupt the Dividend Rulers portfolio to a large degree.
- Other UBS Dividend Ruler stocks include Home Depot (HD +0.6%), McDonald's (MCD +0.6%), Nordstrom (JWN +1.6%), PepsiCo (PEP +0.8%), and V.F. Corp (VFC +0.5%).
Dec. 8, 2015, 4:37 PM
- Credit Suisse updated its list of favorite consumer discretionary stocks after factoring in consumer spending trends.
- Apparel & Footwear: Acquisitions and a mix shift toward premium products could help lift shares of Hanesbrands (NYSE:HBI), according to the investment firm.
- Autos & Auto Parts: Magna International (NYSE:MGA) is well-positioned due the trend toward "vehicle globalization."
- Gaming & Lodging: Six Flags (NYSE:SIX) has an attractive dividend yield and could see pricing gains.
- Homebuilding & Building Products: Caesarstone (NASDAQ:CSTE) is poised to see “significant" revenue and EBITDA growth over the next several years.
- Media, Cable & Satellite: Time Warner (NYSE:TWX) is called a value pick as the underlying business looks under-appreciated if the valuation of HBO is stripped away.
- Packaged Food: The risk-reward profile on Kellogg Company (NYSE:K) sets it apart from peers.
- Retail, Broadlines & Department Stores: Consistency continues to reign supreme at Costco (NASDAQ:COST).
- Retail, Food & Drug: Comp sales are improving at Dollar General (NYSE:DG). An aggressive share repurchase strategy also provides investors a backstop.
- Retail, Hardlines: Home Depot Inc (NYSE:HD) is tapped to outperform with the right management team in the right business.
- Restaurants: Perhaps the biggest surprise of the bunch, McDonald's (NYSE:MCD) is given the nod by CS. Same-store sales improvement is expected.
Dec. 8, 2015, 11:31 AM
- It's breakout time for some stocks tied to home furnishings and home improvement.
- Mattress Firm (MFRM +3.4%), Williams-Sonoma (WSM +1.4%), Select Comfort (SCSS +1.7%), American Woodmark (AMWD +2.7%), Bassett Furniture (BSET +0.1%), Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY +0.3%), and Kirkland's (KIRK +0.7%), Restoration Hardware (RH +1.1%) are all comfortably ahead of market averages.
- Home Depot (HD +0.1%) and Lowe's (LOW +0.9%)are also putting in modest gains.
Dec. 8, 2015, 7:49 AM
- Home Depot (NYSE:HD) announces new financial targets ahead of a presentation today at its Investor Day meeting.
- The company says it will aim for sales of $101B in FY18 and an operating margin of 14.5%. The return on invested capital is seen at 35%.
- Previous guidance for FY15 is reaffirmed by management.
- During the presentation later today, Home Depot will address the new growth areas it will target.
- Home Depot Investor Day webcast
Dec. 3, 2015, 1:06 PM
- Moody's forecasts retail sales will improve 4% to 5% during the first half of 2016.
- Sub-sectors expected to see strong earnings growth include home improvement (HD, LOW), auto parts (AN, ORLY, AAP, PBY), and supermarkets (KR, SVU, WMK, SFS).
- Improvement is seen for the restaurant and apparel sub-sectors, although margin gains will be challenging to bring home.
- E-commerce will continue to outperform broad retail, says Moody's.
- Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC, XRT, VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, IYC, FXD, PEJ, FDIS, RHS, FSTA, SCC, UCC, RCD, PMR, PEZ, UGE, PSL, PSCC, PSCD, SZK, BITE
Dec. 2, 2015, 12:52 PM
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