Invesco Mortgage Capital Inc. (IVR) - NYSE
  • Tue, Jan. 19, 11:43 AM
    • The best thing that can be said about the market reaction today, is that New Residential (NRZ -0.6%) isn't down as much as the other mortgage-related names (REM -1.8%) which continue to be mercilessly pounded.
    • PennyMac (PMT -4.5%), Ocwen (OCN -3.7%), Walter Investment (WAC -4.8%), Stonegate (SGM -3.4%), Armour (ARR -3.5%), Invesco (IVR -2.4%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -4.1%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -3.1%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.4%), Five Oaks (OAKS -6.7%), American Capital (MTGE -2%), Two Harbors (TWO -2.2%), Chimera (CIM -3.4%).
    • Citi's Michael Kaye - who rates NRZ a Buy - says the repurchase plan makes sense given the stock trades at just 0.84x book and yields 18%. Depending on how the buyback is funded, it could add up to a couple of hundred basis points of accretion. It also sends a signal to the markets about management's belief in the stock's value. Management gave little detail on a timetable.
    • Previously: New Residential steps in with $200M repurchase plan (Jan. 19)
    | Tue, Jan. 19, 11:43 AM | 49 Comments
  • Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM
    • The 10-year Treasury yield is off eight basis points on the session at 2.10%, and now lower by about 20 basis points since the Fed Funds rate got hiked 25 basis points less than a month ago - probably not the best scenario for mREIT earnings going forward.
    • Other income favorites like equity REITs, BDCs, and utilities (XLU -0.8%) are also being aggressively sold today.
    • Annaly Capital (NLY -1.8%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.7%), Armour Residential (ARR -2.4%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%), CYS Investments (CYS -1.9%), Invesco (IVR -2.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -2.3%), Hatteras (HTS -3.2%), Capstead (CMO -3.6%), Western Asset (WMC -2.9%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -3.6%), Dynex (DX -3.1%), Ellington Residential (EARN -3.5%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.2%), PennyMac (PMT -4.9%), FIve Oaks (OAKS -5.7%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Tue, Jan. 12, 3:17 PM | 24 Comments
  • Wed, Jan. 6, 3:28 PM
    • Trading at roughly a 25% discount to book value, there's plenty of value in the mortgage REIT sector, and now there's a catalyst with the broad-based averages and interest rates both in sharp decline to start the year.
    • The iShares FTSE NAREIT Mortgage REIT ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) is up 2.2% YTD after declining about 20% in 2015.
    • Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY) and American Capital Agency are each up about 2.5%.
    • Others in the green: Two Harbors (NYSE:TWO), Chimera (NYSE:CIM), CYS Investments (NYSE:CYS), Invesco (NYSE:IVR), New York Mortgage Trust (NASDAQ:NYMT), Hatteras (NYSE:HTS), Capstead (NYSE:CMO), MFA Financial (NYSE:MFA), Western Asset (NYSE:WMC), Anworth (NYSE:ANH).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Wed, Jan. 6, 3:28 PM | 35 Comments
  • Dec. 23, 2015, 12:48 PM
    • A check of discounts/premiums to book for many of the names in the mortgage REIT sector finds discounts have mostly widened significantly over the past year.
    • Among the notable items: Just two names sold at premiums to book a year ago. New York Mortgage (NASDAQ:NYMT) trust at 11.6% and Capstead Mortgage (NYSE:CMO) at 1.3%. While book value has barely budged at NYMT over the past year, the price investors are willing to pay has - it now trades at a 17.6% discount. Capstead has shed about 5% of its book value, but now trades at a 22.66% discount.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NYSE:NLY) and American Capital Agency (NASDAQ:AGNC) still trade at sizable discounts to book, with AGNC's widening to 20.65% from 12.7% a year ago.
    • Chimera Investment (NYSE:CIM) trades at just a 4.12% discount to book - that's less than its 4.9% discount a year ago. Book value however, slid 12.7% over the last 52 weeks.
    • Others covered: ARR, TWO, IVR, CYS, HTS, MTGE, AMTG, ANH, MITT, DX, WMC, MFA, EARN, AI, CHMI, ORC, OAKS, ZFC
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Dec. 23, 2015, 12:48 PM | 21 Comments
  • Dec. 16, 2015, 2:24 PM
    • The about left-for-dead mortgage REIT sector (REM +2.4%) has been enjoying a big Fed rate hike day, and has added to gains since the news officially came down at 2 ET.
    • Credit-exposed names are leading the way higher: Chimera Investment (CIM +5.7%), Invesco (IVR +2.4%), New York Mortgage (NYMT +2.1%), Western Asset (WMC +5.6%), Anworth (ANH +2.7%), Arlington Asset (AI +4.7%), AG Mortgage (MITT +4.2%), Orchid Island (ORC +5%). MFA Financial (MFA +3.4%)
    • Others: Annaly (NLY +2.1%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.8%), CYS Investments, Capstead (CMO +1.6%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    • Previously: Fed projections: 1.4% Fed Funds by the end of 2016 (Dec. 16)
    • Previously: Fed officially puts an end to ZIRP (Dec. 16)
    | Dec. 16, 2015, 2:24 PM | 35 Comments
  • Dec. 15, 2015, 4:22 PM
    • Invesco Mortgage Capital (NYSE:IVR) declares $0.40/share quarterly dividend, in line with previous.
    • Forward yield 12.88%
    • Payable Jan. 26; for shareholders of record Dec. 28; ex-div Dec. 23.
    | Dec. 15, 2015, 4:22 PM | 1 Comment
  • Dec. 14, 2015, 11:32 AM
    • Before it was fears about interest rates - first, with long yields too low and thus slimming margins, and then the Fed's promise to hike short rates (and slimming margins even more). Now we can toss credit worries into the mix, and the action's plenty panicky there - junk bonds are off sharply again today and two more funds have been forced to gate withdrawals and/or liquidate.
    • Once pure-play agency REITs like Annaly Capital (NLY -2%) and American Capital Mortgage (AGNC -1.7%) now have some credit exposure.
    • Others are more credit-exposed: Chimera Investment (CIM -3.5%), Invesco (IVR -2.7%), American Capital Mortgage (MTGE -2.8%), MFA Financial (MFA -2.8%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -4.7%), Western Asset (WMC -3.6%), Anworth (ANH -2.9%), Arlington Asset (AI -3.6%), Javelin (JMI -4.8%), Orchid Island (ORC -7.4%), Five Oaks (OAKS -12.3%)
    • Just to pick a few out, Annaly Capital sells at a 24.4% discount to Sept. 30 book value; American Capital Agency sells at a 26.3% discount; Invesco at a 30% discount; MFA Fnancial at 15.4% discount; New York Mortgage at a 25% discount (this sold at a premium to book as recently as early fall).
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Dec. 14, 2015, 11:32 AM | 65 Comments
  • Dec. 11, 2015, 3:52 PM
    • The sector often goes green on days when the major averages sell off, but not today, WIth the S&P 500 down 2% and the 10-year Treasury yield lower by 10 basis points to 2.13%, the mREIT sector (REM -2%) is lit up bright red.
    • Sector giants Annaly Capital (NLY -1.6%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC -1.2%) are among the best performers.
    • Armour Residential (ARR -2.1%), Invesco (IVR -3.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -1.9%), Western Asset (WMC -3.6%), Apollo Residential (AMTG -4.2%), Dynex (DX -2.8%), Arlington Asset (AI -3.7%), Ellington Residential (EARN -2.9%), Five Oaks (OAKS -6.7%)
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Dec. 11, 2015, 3:52 PM | 41 Comments
  • Nov. 3, 2015, 4:36 PM
    • Q3 core earnings of $0.40 per share vs. $0.41 in Q2. Dividend is $0.40.
    • Book value per share of $17.66 down from $18.62 a quarter earlier. Today's close of $12.23 is a whopping 30.7% discount to book.
    • Deducting the change in book value from the divided yields a negative economic return for the quarter of $0.56 per share, or 3% for the quarter.
    • 3.7M shares repurchased during quarter for $50M.
    • Agency MBS allocation is cut another 300 basis points to 35%; commercial credit is upped to 34% from 30% (closed a $34M CRE loan during quarter); residential credit of 31% vs. 32%.
    • Earnings call tomorrow at 9 ET
    • Previously: Invesco Mortgage Capital misses by $0.02, beats on net interest income (Nov. 3)
    • IVR flat after hours
    | Nov. 3, 2015, 4:36 PM | 2 Comments
  • Nov. 3, 2015, 4:32 PM
    • Invesco Mortgage Capital (NYSE:IVR): Q3 EPS of $0.40 misses by $0.02.
    • Net interest income of $92.2M (-7.0% Y/Y) beats by $10.26M.
    | Nov. 3, 2015, 4:32 PM
  • Nov. 2, 2015, 5:35 PM
  • Oct. 27, 2015, 3:34 PM
    | Oct. 27, 2015, 3:34 PM | 11 Comments
  • Sep. 28, 2015, 12:24 PM
    • It's a big ex-dividend day for the mortgage REIT sector, but the stocks of payers like Ellington Residential (EARN -6.2%), Arlington Asset (AI -10.4%), Western Asset (WMC -4.9%), Two Harbors (TWO -5.7%), Chimera Investment (CIM -7.3%), New York Mortgage (NYMT -6.9%), American Capital Agency (AGNC -3.2%), and Annaly Capital (NLY -4.8%),  are down far more than their payout amounts.
    • The above declines include the dividends being paid, so are higher than actual.
    • Others like Armour Residential (ARR -2.9%), Javelin Mortgage (JMI -4.2%), Five Oaks (OAKS -5.9%), AG Mortgage (MITT -3.4%), and Invesco (IVR -4.2%) are just down.
    • The decline comes as another Fed head all but promises a rate hike this year, and the 10-year Treasury yield falls back six basis points to 2.10%. Thirty-day Fed Fund futures are pricing in just less than a 50% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike in 2015.
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Sep. 28, 2015, 12:24 PM | 77 Comments
  • Sep. 17, 2015, 2:31 PM
    | Sep. 17, 2015, 2:31 PM | 50 Comments
  • Sep. 15, 2015, 4:15 PM
    • Invesco Mortgage Capital (NYSE:IVR) declares $0.40/share quarterly dividend, -11.1% decrease from prior dividend of $0.45.
    • Forward yield 11.98%
    • Payable Oct. 27; for shareholders of record Sept. 28; ex-div Sept. 24.
    | Sep. 15, 2015, 4:15 PM | 2 Comments
  • Sep. 8, 2015, 11:28 AM
    • "[Mortgage REITs] have almost never been as cheap as they are right now," says Nomura's Brock Vandervilet, who recommended buys in Annaly Capital (NLY +0.5%) and American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.4%) a bit less than a month ago.
    • Barron's Current Yield
    • They're cheap for a reason, and companies which borrow short, lend long, and toss in a healthy amount of leverage can be expected to struggle when funding costs rise faster than the yield on the assets they hold (also known as a flattening yield curve), and most expect a rate hike if not this month, then soon after. The question at hand is whether the flatter yield curve has been priced in (or more than priced in), and discounts to book value north of 20% for at least some in the sector suggests it has.
    • “It is going to take forever and a day for rates to rise, which is going to give these companies plenty of time to reposition,” says Vandervilet.
    • KBW likes Annaly, American Capital, and CYS Investments (CYS +0.5%), and Chimera (CIM +0.8%) as having the most upside if somehow there is no rate increase or in a "slow, but steady" rate-hike scenario.
    • Wunderlich's Merrill Ross would add Invesco (IVR +0.4%) to that group as being attractive despite the headwinds.
    • ETFs: MORL, REM, MORT, LMBS
    | Sep. 8, 2015, 11:28 AM | 46 Comments
Company Description
Invesco Mortgage Capital, Inc. is a real estate investment trust. The company acquires, finances and manages residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities and mortgage loans. It seeks to provide attractive risk-adjusted returns to its shareholders, primarily through dividends and... More
Sector: Financial
Industry: Mortgage Investment
Country: United States