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Mon, May. 5, 10:20 AM
- A check of the global banks finds the group pacing market declines in morning action after Friday night's warning on Q2 trading revenue from JPMorgan (JPM -2.2%).
- Nomura's Steven Chubak is first out with lower JPMorgan earnings estimates.
- Jim Cramer sums up sentiment: "This has been a house of pain. You can't own these right now. You just can't."
- Morgan Stanley (MS -1.9%), Goldman Sachs (GS -1.5%), Citigroup (C -1.2%), and Bank of America (BAC -1%), Deutsche Bank (DB -1.2%). Far less trading dependent than the other Too Big Too Fails is Wells Fargo (WFC -0.2%).
- The iShares DJ U.S. Broker-Dealer ETF (IAI -1.2%)
- XLF -0.7%, KBE -0.8%
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, PFI, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, KCE, RWW, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KBWC
Mon, Apr. 28, 11:57 AM
- Financial ETFs are the worst performers today thanks to Bank of America's near 5% dive in the wake of the suspension of its capital return plan. BofA is a top-10 holding of no fewer than 28 of about 880 equity-based ETFs tracked by S&P Capital IQ.
- The Financial Sector SDRP (XLF -0.8%) has 6.35% of its AUM in Bank of America, the Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH -0.4%) has a 5.1% weight, and the iShares U.S. Financials ETF (IYF -0.4%) 4.8%. The SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE -0.9%) has a 1.92% weighting.
- Previously: Black eye: BofA suspends buyback, dividend hike
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, IAI, SEF, IYG, PFI, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, FINU, RWW, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KBE
Fri, Apr. 11, 10:52 AM
- Overall traffic to branches was strong in Q1 despite the brutal winter weather (JPM's CFO notably blamed the weather for having a role in its weak Q), says Wells Fargo (WFC +2%) CFO Tim Sloan on the earnings call (his last as CFO). The refinance boom now a bust, Sloan expects a strong purchase market to drive originations growth in Q2. Also commenting on housing/mortgages, CEO John Stumpf notes the number of those buying homes for cash is up.
- As for acquisitions, management says Wells is in a position to do a big one, but is going to be picky.
- Wells sits alone among the TBTF banks in the green in morning action. XLF -0.5%, KBE -0.35%
- Earnings call presentation
- Previous earnings coverage
Thu, Mar. 27, 7:25 AM
- Both Bernstein and KBW remove Outperform ratings on Citigroup (C) the morning after its capital return plan was rejected by the Fed for "qualitative" reasons. One wonders whether this disappointment wasn't already priced in as Citi has underperformed this year, and for some time been the only one of the major banks trading below book value. Shares are off 5% in premarket action.
- Overall, the bank capital returns announced yesterday are below expectations, says Compass Point's Kevin Barker, but Huntington Bancshares (HBAN) - which boosted the dividend 20% and announced a buyback for about 3% of the float - was better than hoped.
- XLF -0.1% premarket
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAI, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, PFI, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KCE, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KRS, FINZ, KBWC, AIRR
Thu, Mar. 20, 10:54 AM
- Much of the financial sector is lit up bright green, continuing to outperform following yesterday's suggestion by the FOMC and Janet Yellen that rate hikes could come sooner than expected. XLF +1.1%, KBE +1.6%, KRE +1.6%.
- At new 52-week or even multi-year highs are JPMorgan (JPM +2.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.7%), Morgan Stanley (MS +1.4%), and Bank of America (BAC +1.6%).
- Regional lenders: U.S. Bancorp (USB +1%), Huntington (HBAN +1.5%), PNC (PNC +1.3%), BB&T (BBT +1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.8%), First Niagara (FNFG +2.1%).
- Leading among the life insurers are Lincoln National (LNC +1.9%), Protective Life (PL +1.6%), Manulife (MFC +1.2%), and Sun Life (SLF +1.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KBWI, KBWP, KRS, FINZ
Wed, Mar. 19, 3:13 PM
- A check of sectors following the FOMC statement and updated projections suggesting a quickened pace of rate hikes in the future finds the banks and life insurers notably moving higher. Both groups have struggled earning a spread amid ZIRP and are positively levered to higher rates.
- Lenders: Bank of America (BAC +1%), Citigroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM), Regions (RF +1.7%), KeyCorp (KEY +0.9%), SunTrust (STI +0.7%).
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +1%), Prudential (PRU +0.7%), Lincoln National (LNC +1%).
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, FNCL, FINU, RWW, RYF, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, FINZ, KBE, KRE
- Not necessarily positively levered to higher rates are the mortgage REITs (REM -1.6%): Annaly (NLY -1.8%), American Capital (AGNC -1.7%), (MTGE -1.9%), Armour (ARR -1.3%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%) CYS Investments (CYS -3.3%), Capstead (CMO -1.3%), MFA (MFA -1.8%).
- Related ETFs: MORT, MORL
Wed, Mar. 5, 3:42 PM
- Buying the rumor? On a flattish day for the major averages, the Too Big To Fail banks are ignoring a continued slowdown in markets revenue this quarter, and instead partying ahead of what may be the imminent release of the Fed's stress test results (perhaps Friday). About one week later will be CCAR results at which the Fed gives the thumbs up or thumbs down on the banks' capital return plans.
- Word is the tests are tougher this year, but bank capital levels are also improved.
- Leading today is Bank of America (BAC +3%) - now within about one percent of a 4-year high. Others: Morgan Stanley (MS +2.8%), Goldman Sachs (GS +1.8%), Ciitgroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM +1.5%), and Wells Fargo (WFC +0.6%).
- Also subject to the stress tests are a number of regional lenders, not to mention credit card players - they're mixed in today's action.
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAI, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FNCL, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, KRS, FINZ, KBWC
Nov. 8, 2013, 10:41 AM
- Up sharply as interest rates fly higher (the 10-year is up 15 basis points to 2.75%) are the life insurers - all of whom have had their investment returns more than a little constrained by puny yields. IAK +2.4%
- MetLife (MET +5.9%), Prudential (PRU +4.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +6.8%), Hartford (HIG +3.1%).
- Also set to benefit from a steeper yield curve (if we're to believe their models) are the banks, and they're leading the S&P 500 higher. The TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +3.3%), JPMorgan (JPM +3.1%), CItigroup (C +3.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +2.6%). The regionals (KRE +3.4%): Huntington (HBAN +2.6%), Regions (RF +4.2%), PNC (PNC +2.8%), FIfth Third (FITB +3.4%), First Niagara (FNFG +2%), Keycorp (KEY +3.5%), Zions (ZION +4.1%), Comerica (CMA +3.1%).
- The XLF +1.9%.
- FInancial sector ETFs: FAS, XLF, FAZ, UYG, KRE, KBE, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IAT, IAI, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, RWW, FINU, RYF, KRU, KBWR, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, KRS, FINZ, FNCL
Sep. 25, 2013, 9:43 AM
- Speaking at BAML's Banking and Insurance Conference in London, Deutsche Bank (DB -1.6%) co-CEO says the bank expects a "significant" drop in Q3 trading revenue.
- The announcement isn't unexpected, and follows a similar warning from Citigroup over the weekend, numerous other rumblings from investor conferences this month, and Jefferies' already reported ugly (from a trading standpoint) Q3.
- Previous: FICC trading revenue has been slipping for years and should be in analyst models by this point.
- Banks (KRE -0.6%), (KBE -0.4%) again are leading the market decline.
- Financials ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ.
Sep. 23, 2013, 10:23 AM
- The financial sector (XLF -1.2%) leads the market lower following Citigroup's warning about Q3 trading revenues. SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE -1.3%). Not necessarily exposed to trading activity, regional banks are nevertheless not spared, the Regional Banking ETF (KRE -1.3%). The TBTF banks are all off between 2 and 3 percent.
- Related ETFs: XLF, IYF, PFI, VFH, RYF, RWW, FAS, UYG, FAZ, SKF, SEF, IAI, FXO, PSCF, KBWD, KBWB, IYG, FINU, FINZ, KBWB, IAT, KBE, KRE, RKH, QABA, KRU, KRS, KBWR.
Jul. 13, 2012, 2:32 PMJPMorgan (JPM +5.4%) CIO Risk Manager Irvin Goldman has resigned in response to major trading losses and a criminal investigation. Bank stocks continue to shoot higher (XLF +2.4%), as the Street gives a thumbs-up to JPMorgan and Wells Fargo's (WFC +3.1%) Q2 reports (I, II). (more on JPM) | 9 Comments
Oct. 12, 2011, 11:07 AMSocGen recommends overweighting the European banking sector, saying the fears surrounding it are overdone. The firm notes that current valuations are discounting a worst-case scenario, and leave significant upside potential if fears prove excessive. Some of its top picks include: Barclays (BCS +8%), Lloyds (LYG +2.3%), Royal Bank of Scotland (RBS +3.8%) | 2 Comments
Sep. 6, 2011, 1:54 PMKBW weighs in on the FHFA lawsuit filed Friday against the banks, saying it could cost the mortgage-bond issuers nearly $60B. A much smaller settlement is more likely however, because the banks have a strong defense. Bank of America (BAC -3.3%), Citigroup (C -2.5%) and J.P. Morgan Chase (JPM -3.7%). | 1 Comment
Aug. 18, 2011, 10:26 AM
Jun. 28, 2011, 1:36 PM
Jun. 23, 2011, 10:34 AM
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