Wed, Mar. 18, 2:41 PM
- The Dow and S&P 500 have each turned more than 1% higher following after the Fed cuts its projections for GDP growth, inflation, and the pace of rate hikes, but the country's yield-starved lenders don't join the party.
- The KBE is down 0.5% and the KRE by 0.9%.
- Bank of America (BAC -0.2%), Citigroup (C +0.1%), Regions Financial (RF -1.1%), KeyCorp (KEY -0.9%), First Niagara (FNFG -1.6%), U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.1%), PNC Financial (PNC +0.3%).
- Others gasping for a yield above zero: Schwab (SCHW -1.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +0.1%), Ameritrade (AMTD -0.5%).
- Previously: FOMC drops "patient," but sends dovish signal (March 18)
- Previously: Stocks stage sharp turnaround, yields dive following dovish Fed news (March 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, FINZ, KRS
Thu, Mar. 12, 8:07 AM
- Citi's (NYSE:C) quarterly dividend of $0.05 and $7.8B in buybacks were somewhat better than expected, and Regions Financial's (NYSE:RF) buybacks of $875M was higher than the $625M estimate (Regions also boosted its dividend by 20%).
- KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), and SunTrust (NYSE:STI) were also winners after announcing larger-than-forecast buybacks.
- Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is a "slight disappointment," but some investors had feared an outright rejection of the capital plan, so maybe the resubmission request isn't the worst outcome.
- Previously: Corbat likely keeping his job as Citi cruises through CCAR (March 11)
- Previously: Regions Financial boosts payout by 20% after CCAR approval (March 11)
- Previously: KeyCorp declares $0.075 dividend (March 11)
- Previously: Morgan Stanley intends to declare $0.15 dividend (March 11)
- Previously: SunTrust Banks declares $0.24 dividend (March 11)
- C +3.4%, RF +3.8%, KEY +1.7%, MS +2.7%, STI +2.1%, BAC +0.6% premarket
Wed, Feb. 18, 2:49 PM
- The financial sector had begun to turn around a dismal start to the year as February brought forth a string of hawkish Fed heads suggesting a June rate hike, but the XLF is lower by 0.8% after just-released FOMC minutes suggest markets and the hawks are getting ahead of themselves. KBE -1.7%, KRE -2%
- The TBTFs: BofA (BAC -2.2%), JPMorgan (JPM -1.4%), Wells Fargo (WFC -1.6%), Ciitgroup (C -0.8%)
- The regionals: Regions Financial (RF -1.6%), KeyCorp (KEY -1.6%), PNC Financial (PNC -1.3%), BB&T (BBT -1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB -1.6%), SunTrust (STI -1.7%), First Niagara (FNFG -2.1%), M&T (MTB -1.9%), U.S. Bancorp (USB -1.3%), First Horizon (FHN -2.7%).
- Online brokerage: Schwab (SCHW -2.3%), E*Trade (ETFC -1.7%), Ameritrade (AMTD -1.1%), Interactive Brokers (IBKR -0.9%).
- Previously: FOMC minutes: June rate hike not a slam dunk yet (Feb. 18)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KCE, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWC, FINZ, KRS
Fri, Feb. 6, 9:50 AM
- Financials have been mercilessly pounded in 2015 as hopes for higher interest rates looked like they might be dashed yet again, but today's blowout jobs number - firmly putting a June rate hike on the table - has brought in the dip-buyers.
- The major averages are flat, but the XLF is up 1.4%. The Regional Bank ETF (KRE +2%) and the Bank ETF (KBE +2.1%) are doing even better.
- Among the yield-starved banking names: Bank of America (BAC +3.1%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.6%), Citigroup (C +2%), Regions Financial (RF +4%), KeyCorp (KEY +3%), PNC Financial (PNC +2.9%), SunTrust (STI +2.3%), Zions (ZION +3.6%), Synovus (SNV +2.3%).
- Insurers: MetLife (MET +2%), Prudential (PRU +3.2%), Lincoln National (LNC +4.6%). AIG (AIG +1.5%).
- Trust banks: BNY Mellon (BK +2.7%) State Street (STT +1.9%), Northern Trust (NTRS +2.3%).
- Online brokers (currently getting killed on money-market fee rebates): Schwab (SCHW +4.5%), TD Ameritrade (AMTD +3.5%), E*Trade (ETFC +2.1%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Thu, Jan. 22, 12:35 PM
- Mercilessly sold since the year turned, banks are putting in a rare session of outperformance, helped along by some earnings beats from regional lenders and the return of animal spirits in M&A with RBC's purchase of City National (CYN +18.6%) for $5.4B.
- The XLF +1.4% vs. the S&P's 0.6% gain today, and the regional bank ETF (NYSEARCA:KRE) is higher by 3.1%.
- Among today's reporters putting in big gains are KeyCorp (KEY +5.5%), BB&T (BBT +2.4%), and Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +2.6%), though Flagstar Bancorp (FBC -4.8%) missed estimates.
- Others: Regions Financial (RF +3.9%), PNC Financial (PNC +1.6%), Synovus (SNV +3.2%), M&T Bank (MTB +3%), Hudson City (HCBK +3.1%), First Horizon (FHN +2.7%), and First Republic (FRC +4.9%).
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
- Among the TBTFs, Citigroup (C +2.7%) and Bank of America (BAC +2.5%) are leading the way.
Dec. 5, 2014, 10:06 AM
- Among those counting on higher interest rates to boost profits are banks, insurers, and online brokers, and all are outliers to the upside in today's session after a strong November jobs report has rate hike expectations on the rise. The XLF is up 1%.
- TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +2.1%), Citigroup (C +1.8%), JPMorgan (JPM +2.2%), Wells Fargo (WFC +1.2%)
- Regionals (KRE +1.9%): Regions Financial (RF +2.6%), KeyCorp (KEY +2.3%), Huntington (HBAN +1.5%), BB&T (BBT +1.6%), Zions (ZION +4%)
- Custodials: BNY Mellon (BNY), State Street (STT +1.6%), Northern Trust (NTRS +1.8%)
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +2.1%), Prudential (PRU +2.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +2.3%)
- Online brokers: Schwab (SCHW +3.8%), E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2.7%)
- Previously: Short end of yield curve on the move after jobs number (Dec. 5, 2014)
- Previously: Bonds and dollar higher, gold slumps after strong jobs report (Dec. 5, 2014)
- ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, IAI, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, FNCL, KBWB, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, RWW, KBWR, RYF, KBWP, KBWI, PSCF, FINZ, KRS
Oct. 15, 2014, 9:14 AM
- Core EPS of $0.26 vs. $0.25 in Q313. EPS excludes $0.03 expense related to efficiency initiative and a pension settlement charge
- Book value per share of $11.77 vs. $11.65 in Q2.
- Net interest margin of 2.96% vs. 2.98% in 2Q14.
- Conference call today at 9 ET. Webcast here.
- KEY -3.80% PM
- Previously: KeyCorp EPS in-line, misses on revenue
Sep. 17, 2014, 3:16 PM
- Leading markets higher as the reality of higher interest rates gets nearer is the financial sector (XLF +0.9%). Whether its banks, brokerages, or insurers, a higher benchmark rate for some time has been considered a key bullish catalyst. An especially large move is being seen in the online brokerage names who have been forced to forego money market fees for years thanks to ZIRP: E*Trade (ETFC +3%), Schwab(SCHW +3.2%), Ameritrade (AMTD +2%).
- Morgan Stanley (MS +1.8%), Bank of America (BAC +1.2%), JPMorgan (JPM +0.9%)
- U.S. Bancorp (USB +1.1%), Regions Financial (RF +2%), New York Community Bank (NYCB +0.8%), Huntington Bancshares (HBAN +1.3%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.3%)
- MetLife (MET +0.6%), Voya Financial (VOYA +0.7%).
- Chubb(CB +0.4%), AIG (AIG +1.1%), Hartford (HIG +0.8%)
- Financial sector ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, KRE, VFH, KBE, IYF, KIE, IAT, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, KBWB, FNCL, RKH, QABA, FINU, KRU, KBWR, RWW, KBWP, RYF, KBWI, KRS, FINZ
Mar. 19, 2014, 3:13 PM
- A check of sectors following the FOMC statement and updated projections suggesting a quickened pace of rate hikes in the future finds the banks and life insurers notably moving higher. Both groups have struggled earning a spread amid ZIRP and are positively levered to higher rates.
- Lenders: Bank of America (BAC +1%), Citigroup (C +1%), JPMorgan (JPM), Regions (RF +1.7%), KeyCorp (KEY +0.9%), SunTrust (STI +0.7%).
- Life insurers: MetLife (MET +1%), Prudential (PRU +0.7%), Lincoln National (LNC +1%).
- Related ETFs: XLF, FAS, FAZ, UYG, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, FNCL, FINU, RWW, RYF, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, FINZ, KBE, KRE
- Not necessarily positively levered to higher rates are the mortgage REITs (REM -1.6%): Annaly (NLY -1.8%), American Capital (AGNC -1.7%), (MTGE -1.9%), Armour (ARR -1.3%), Two Harbors (TWO -2%) CYS Investments (CYS -3.3%), Capstead (CMO -1.3%), MFA (MFA -1.8%).
- Related ETFs: MORT, MORL
Jan. 24, 2014, 11:55 AM
- A price target boost at RBC Capital for Buy-rated KeyCorp (KEY -3.9%) to $15 from $13 is of no help to the stock which suffers its 2nd consecutive big decline after earnings on Thursday morning.
- Among the issues (in addition to the broad market selloff) is some concern over a stall in progress on the efficiency ratio which in Q4 rose above the top end of the 60-65% target (earnings presentation slides)
- Acknowledging on the earnings call (transcript) all management has done to get down to this area, Mike Mayo reminds 65% is still a "really lousy" efficiency ratio (competitors are around 60%), and wonders where improvement is going to come from. "Point us in some direction, which business lines? Anything else we can sink our teeth into?"
- There's a "long list" of initiatives, says CFO Don Kimble. Among them is space in the bank's corporate center. Savings there could be $4M-$5M per year, but won't kick in until leases expire in 2015.
- "Strong balance sheet growth isn't necessarily translating into top line revenue growth in this particular environment," says CEO Beth Mooney.
Jan. 8, 2014, 9:54 AM
- Oppenheimer is moving some smaller bank names around this morning, upgrading TCF Financial (TCB +2.3%) to Outperform, and removing its Underperform rating on Comerica (CMA +0.5%).
- At the same time, the team removes its Outperform rating First Midwest Bancorp (FMBI -1.6%) and KeyCorp (KEY -0.3%), cutting both to Perform.
Nov. 8, 2013, 10:41 AM
- Up sharply as interest rates fly higher (the 10-year is up 15 basis points to 2.75%) are the life insurers - all of whom have had their investment returns more than a little constrained by puny yields. IAK +2.4%
- MetLife (MET +5.9%), Prudential (PRU +4.5%), Lincoln National (LNC +6.8%), Hartford (HIG +3.1%).
- Also set to benefit from a steeper yield curve (if we're to believe their models) are the banks, and they're leading the S&P 500 higher. The TBTFs: Bank of America (BAC +3.3%), JPMorgan (JPM +3.1%), CItigroup (C +3.3%), Wells Fargo (WFC +2.6%). The regionals (KRE +3.4%): Huntington (HBAN +2.6%), Regions (RF +4.2%), PNC (PNC +2.8%), FIfth Third (FITB +3.4%), First Niagara (FNFG +2%), Keycorp (KEY +3.5%), Zions (ZION +4.1%), Comerica (CMA +3.1%).
- The XLF +1.9%.
- FInancial sector ETFs: FAS, XLF, FAZ, UYG, KRE, KBE, VFH, IYF, KIE, SEF, IAT, IAI, IYG, IAK, FXO, PFI, KBWB, RKH, QABA, RWW, FINU, RYF, KRU, KBWR, PSCF, KBWP, KBWI, KRS, FINZ, FNCL
Oct. 16, 2013, 8:29 AM
- Net interest income of $584M up 1% Y/Y with net interest margin of 3.11% of 12 basis points.
- Noninterest income of $459M is off 11.3% from a year ago, with much of the decline due to last year's gain associated with the redemption of trust preferred securities. Expenses increased a hair to $716M.
- Commercial loans gained 11.1% Y/Y, home equity loans gains 4%, and other consumer loans rose 1.8%. Total loans grew 5.1%.
- Provision for credit losses fell to $28M to $109M.
- Tier 1 common capital ratio of 11.11% vs. 11.3% a year ago.
- Conference call at 9 ET.
- Q3 results, press release.
- KEY +2% premarket.
Jul. 18, 2013, 12:18 PMKeyCorp (KEY +2.5%) continues to add to gains following an earnings beat this morning. The company has achieved $171M of its goal to eliminate $200M in annualized savings by the end of the year. Net interest income of $586M rose 7.7% Y/Y, though a large chunk of that gain was through branch and credit card portfolio acquisitions. NIM of 3.13% rose 7 bps from a year ago. Noninterest income of $429M fell 6.1% Y/Y. Book value/share of $10.89 gained $0.46 from a year ago. (PR) | Comment!
Jul. 5, 2013, 12:51 PMRegional banks (KRE +2%) are the day's strongest performers - sailing through today's big rise in interest rates the way they cruised through June's increase. Interest rate margins are on the rise, economic growth should help sluggish loan volume, and the idea new bank capital rules will go easier on them than the TBTFs all factor in. Huntington (HBAN +2.9%), Regions (RF +1.8%), BB&T (BBT +1.9%), PNC (PNC +2.2%), Hudson City (HCBK +1.5%), Fifth Third (FITB +1.6%), SunTrust (STI +3.5%), KeyCorp (KEY +3%), Zions (ZION +3.5%), Comerica (CMA +2.7%), Popular (BPOP +1.2%). | Comment!
Jun. 20, 2013, 12:36 PMMostly in the green along with the life insurers today is much of the regional banking sector (KRE +0.5%) as a steeper yield curve is sure to boost their barely visible net interest margins. U.S. Bancorp (USB +0.1%), Huntington (HBAN +2.2%), New York Community (NYCB -0.1%), Regions (RF +0.7%), BB&T (BBT +1.2%), PNC (PNC +0.7%), SunTrust (STI +0.7%), KeyCorp (KEY +1.5%), People's Untied (PBCT +1.3%), Zions (ZION +1.9%), Comerica (CMA +1%). | Comment!
KEY vs. ETF Alternatives
KeyCorp is a bank holding company. The Company through its subsidiaries, provides retail and commercial banking, commercial leasing, investment management, consumer finance and investment banking products and services to its clients.
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