Mon, Sep. 26, 3:26 PM
- A 1.55% decline in Europe amid worries over the financial condition of Deutsche Bank has helped send the U.S. averages lower by 0.85%, and Treasury yields to their slimmest this month. At the short end, traders are cutting bets on the chance of a rate hike at any point in 2016.
- Fading that negative action are the REITs, with the Vanguard REIT Index Fund (NYSEARCA:VNQ) higher by 0.3% and the iShares U.S. Real Estate ETF (NYSEARCA:IYR) up 0.2%. The iShares Mortgage REIT ETF (NYSEARCA:REM) is also up 0.2%.
- Among individual issues: Annaly Capital (NLY +0.8%), American Capital Agency (AGNC +0.7%), Realty Income (O +1.1%), Omega Healthcare (OHI +1%), HCP (HCP +0.8%), Aimco (AIV +1.7%), Simon Property (SPG +0.5%), Kimco (KIM +0.8%), Public Storage (PSA +0.9%), Stag Industrial (STAG +0.5%)
Tue, Sep. 6, 9:15 AM
- Kimco (NYSE:KIM) announces the purchase of the remaining 85% interest in a four-property JV portfolio for a gross price of $170.7M, which includes assumption of $103M in mortgage debt. The portfolio is made up of four shopping centers where the company already has a sizable presence, and further's the corporate goal of cutting back JV exposure.
- The company also has purchased Gaithersburg, MD's Kentlands Market Square, a 251K square-foot, Whole Foods-anchored open-air shopping center, for $95M. The property is currently just 69.1% occupied, thus offering a good deal of upside for a sharp operator.
Thu, Aug. 25, 8:12 AM
- Now at BTIG from Cowen & Co., analyst James Sullivan starts coverage of Physicians Realty Trust (NYSE:DOC) with a Buy rating and $42 price target. Growing the portfolio to nearly $3B following the $130M IPO, management has earned a reputation as solid capital allocators in the medical office space. New deals should remain a core driver of the business, resulting in outsized earnings growth next year.
- STORE Capital (NYSE:STOR) is initiated at Buy with a $35 price target, with Sullivan taking note of the company's combination of the smallest portfolio, differentiated acquisition strategy, and management track record.
- A West Coast focus and management's ability to source new investments should deliver excess returns to investors, says Sullivan, starting Retail Opportunity (NASDAQ:ROIC) with a Buy and $25 price target.
- Kilroy Realty (NYSE:KRC) has upside from the below-market rents in its portfolio and an extension into life science real estate. He starts it at Buy with $80 price target.
- Terreno Realty (NYSE:TRNO), Corporate Office Properties (NYSE:OFC), Macerich (NYSE:MAC), Kimco (NYSE:KIM) remain Buys.
- A Buy at Cowen, Duke Realty (NYSE:DRE) is stared with just a Neutral at BTIG.
- Previously: BTIG launches REIT sector coverage (Aug. 25)
Tue, Aug. 16, 10:59 AM
- The major averages are off just modestly, but the Vanguard REIT Index Fund (NYSEARCA:VNQ) is lower by 1% as FRBNY boss Bill Dudley hit the tape this morning suggesting the possibility of a September rate hike and telling markets they're not being aggressive enough in pricing in Fed monetary tightening.
- Fed Funds futures are currently pointing to about a 50% chance of one rate hike this year, and barely pricing in any Fed moves next year.
- On tap for REITs this month is their move out of the financial sector and into their own separate sector classification.
- A few names today: Kimco (KIM -1.7%), Realty Income (O -2.1%), Omega Healthcare (OHI -1.2%), Medical Properties Trust (MPW -1.2%), W.P. Carey (WPC -1.7%), Aimco (AIV -1.4%), Simon Property (SPG -1.1%), Public Storage (PSA -0.7%), Government Properties (GOV -1%), Boston Properties (BXP -1.2%), Stag Industrial (STAG -1.2%)
- ETFs: VNQ, IYR, DRN, RQI, URE, SCHH, ICF, RWR, SRS
Wed, Jul. 27, 4:28 PM
Tue, Jul. 26, 5:35 PM
- ABCO, ABX, ACGL, AEM, AF, AGNC, AHL, ALEX, ALSN, AMCC, AMGN, ANIK, ARRS, ASGN, AXTI, BKCC, CA, CAKE, CBI, CBT, CDE, CMO, CMPR, CMRE, CNMD, COHR, CRUS, CSGP, CVTI, CW, CYS, DLB, DRE, ECHO, EFX, ELY, EQY, ESRT, ESV, EXR, FB, FBHS, FOE, FORR, GG, GPRO, GRPN, HOLX, HT, IAC, IBKC, INFN, INT, ISBC, KEX, KGC, KIM, KNL, KNX, KONA, KRA, KS, LLNW, LM, LOGI, LPSN, LRCX, MAA, MANT, MAR, MCK, MEOH, MKSI, MMLP, MMSI, MN, MOH, MUR, NATI, NE, NEU, NGD, NOW, NTGR, NTRI, NVDQ, NXPI, O, OCN, OI, ORLY, OTEX, PEIX, PPC, PSA, PXD, QDEL, QEP, QTM, RCII, ROIC, RRTS, SCI, SFLY, SIGI, SPRT, SPSC, SSNC, SU, TER, TILE, TIS, TMK, TMST, TTEK, TTMI, TYL, UNM, VAR, VNDA, VNR, VRTX, WFM, WFT, WIRE, WLL, WRE, WSR, XL, XLNX
Fri, Jul. 15, 10:10 AM
- Wells Fargo ticks off 20 S&P 500 stocks with the most upside potential vs. consensus, and the 20 with the most downside risk vs. consensus.
- The list is compiled by comparing the midpoint of Wells Fargo Securities valuation ranges to consensus fair value estimates, volatility adjusting the percentage difference, and ranking the resulting score.
- Upside: AEE, BEN, CCL, DVA, EIX, ES, EXC, FTR, HUM, INTC, JNJ, LNT, PEG, PNW, SCG, T, WEC, WU, XEL, XOM.
- Downside: ANTM, C, CI, COF, EQT, FOXA, FSLR, GS, KIM, LH, MON, MSI, MYL, NVDA, NWSA, SLG, TIF, TSO, UA, WLTW.
Thu, Jul. 7, 4:20 PM
- Kimco (NYSE:KIM) is at least keeping commercial real estate brokers happy as the company's Q2 transaction activity topped $1B, including the sale of 22 Canadian properties for $474.4M. On the buy side, there was the purchase of the remaining 45% interest in the Oakwood Plaza shopping center and Dania Pointe development project for $299.2M.
- The deals are part of the company plan to concentrate on major U.S. metro markets and eliminate joint ventures.
Thu, Jul. 7, 8:11 AM
- After about a 40% run higher for the stock since Labor Day, Kimco (NYSE:KIM) is cut to Neutral from Buy at Citigroup. The $32 price target (vs. last night's $31.51 close) remains.
Tue, Jul. 5, 1:10 PM
- "The mood among landlords was upbeat, as leasing trends have been strong for well-located stabilized assets as well as the REIT-sponsored redevelopment projects we saw," says Citi's Michael Bilerman after visiting with Equity One (NYSE:EQY), Federal Realty (NYSE:FRT), Kimco (NYSE:KIM), Macerich (NYSE:MAC), Regency Centers (NYSE:REG), and Taubman Centers (NYSE:TCO) over three days last week.
- High barriers to entry have resulted in low supply growth and continued densification of existing assets, he says.
- With competition for assets strong and cap rates low, the primary way for REITs to invest on the West Coast has been through redevelopment of existing assets. In general, he says, REITs have been able to achieve solid returns doing this.
Mon, Jun. 27, 3:20 PM
- There's plenty of green in the REIT space today, with the IYR off just 0.25% (vs. the S&P 500's 2% decline). Helping is the continuing plunge in interest rates, with the 10-year yield at 1.46% within seven basis points of an all-time low.
- Among the gainers are Realty Income (O +1.7%), National Retail Properties (NNN +1%), Senior Housing (SNH +2.2%), Omega Healthcare (OHI +0.9%), AvalonBay (AVB +1.1%), Kimco (KIM +1.3%), Tanger Factory (SKT +1.9%), and Public Storage (PSA +3.8%).
- Lodging REITs, however, are dependent on a steady stream of overseas tourist money, and the dollar's continued surge vs. everything not named the yen promises to crimp foreign visits. Ashford (AHT -6.6%), Sunstone (SHO -4.8%), LaSalle (LHO -4.1%), Pebblebrook (PEB -4.2%), Chesapeake (CHSP -3.3%), Host (HT -6.7%), DiamondRock (DRH -4.8%), Apple (APLE -2.9%), FelCor (FCH -5.4%).
Thu, Jun. 9, 4:08 PM
- Part of Kimco's (NYSE:KIM) "2020 Vision" in which its an owner and operator of a highly concentrated portfolio of open-air shopping centers in major metropolitan U.S. markets, the company announces the sale of interests in a 17-proprety Canadian portfolio to Anthem Properties Group for a total sale price $324M. Kimco's share of the sale was $291.6M.
- The company separately sold interests in two other Candaian shopping centers.
- Kimco now has interests in just nine shopping centers in Canada, and expects to sell those by year-end.
- Source: Press Release
Thu, Jun. 9, 11:52 AM
- The team hosted meetings with 29 companies over two days across six subsectors. Some highlights:
- Lodging: Business travel remains soft and most are operating defensively by grouping up and reducing leverage. NYC is flooded with hotels available for sale which should pressure pricing.
- Apartments: The slowdown in NoCal is concentrated in Soma and San Jose, but expected to be temporary. The NYC slowdown is expected to endure through 2017. Merchant builders in Houston with deliveries in 2017 are in trouble - an opportunity for Camden Property Trust (NYSE:CPT) to pick up assets on the cheap.
- Malls: Concerns over department stores are overblown. Simon Property (NYSE:SPG) expects spreads to top mid-teens in the next five years. Omni-channel retail strategy is growing increasingly important as the WSJ reports 80% of online sales touch brick and mortar in some way.
- CS's Ian Weissman is ranked #1,134 out of #3,990 analysts on TipRanks.com.
- Tickers of interest: HPT, SHO, LHO, PEB, CHSP, INN, RLJ, EQR, AVB, ESS, PPS, UDR, AIV, GGP, BRX, KIM, WRI, MAC
Wed, May 18, 10:42 AM
- Target is the latest major retailer to report a disappointing Q1 and issue weak forward guidance. It's lower by 9% today.
- Those REITs which may rent to the likes of Target or Wal-Mart or Macy's or Nordstrom ... may be starting to sense a trend.
- Simon Property (SPG -1.1%), General Growth (GGP -1.5%), Kimco (KIM -1.6%), PREIT (PEI -1.8%), DDR (DDR -1.7%), CBL (CBL -3.1%), Federal Realty (FRT -1.2%).
- IYR -0.95%
Tue, May 17, 11:02 AM
- Following up on yesterday's story about the divergence between the stock prices of major retailers (down) and those of their landlords (up), Bloomberg's Rani Molla and Shelly Banjo break down the numbers further.
- They find those REITs with a large portion of portfolios concentrated in malls are down 10% Y/Y vs. all REITs, which are higher by 6%. Going further, they find those REITs with exposure to higher-end malls and outlet centers - Simon Property Group (NYSE:SPG) and Tanger Factory (NYSEMKT:SKY) come to mind – have been spared, while those owning older malls have taken the hit. CBL & Associates (NYSE:CBL) and WP Glimcher (NYSE:WPG) are down 40% and 30% this year, respectively.
- It's easy to pick on mall owners, but a broad slowdown at brick-and-mortar stores is ultimately a threat to all retail landlords, as traffic across all types of retail real estate in the U.S. and Canada has fallen as much as 18% Y/Y.
- On the good side is low supply as developers have stopped building, but even that's begun to run its course, they write.
- REITs of interest: O, NNN, GGP, KIM, WRI, MAC, TCO, PEI, SKT, TCO, ROIC, RPAI, IRC, FRT, DDR, WHLR, EQY, KRG, REG
Mon, May 16, 9:39 AM
- The retail sector has made a lot of headlines of late with a series of poor earnings and forward guidance reports ... and the stock prices of retailers have subsequently been marked down.
- It's created a sizable divergence with the stock prices of the landlords who depend on a steady stream of rising rents from those retailers, notes Marketfield Asset Management's Michael Shaoul.
- via Bloomberg
- REITs of interest: O, NNN, SPG, GGP, KIM, WRI, MAC, TCO, PEI, SKT, TCO