Michael Kors: Growth Concerns Overblown - 40% Upside
Jeffrey To • 16 Comments
Jeffrey To • 16 Comments
Feb. 5, 2015, 7:22 AM
- Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) announces comparable-store sales increased by 8.6% in FQ3.
- Retail sales +37% to $689.4M during the quarter on new store growth.
- Wholesale sales +24.4% to $573.8M.
- Licensing revenue +8.6% to $51.5M.
- Gross profit rate -30 bps to 60.9%.
- Retail store count +114 Y/Y to 509. Licensed locations 194.
- A notable pullout from the report was the 73% jump in sales from the U.S. e-commerce site (self-hosted) over the retailer's previous outsourced site. If the U.S. e-commerce tally was included in the comp total, Michael Kors would have put up a +10% comp.
- Guidance: FY15 revenue of $1.05B-$1.08B expected vs. $1.15B consensus. EPS of $0.80-$0.92 seen vs. $0.94 consensus.
- Previously: Michael Kors Holdings beats by $0.15, beats on revenue
- KORS -8.6% premarket.
Feb. 5, 2015, 7:01 AM
- Michael Kors Holdings (NYSE:KORS): FQ3 EPS of $1.48 beats by $0.15.
- Revenue of $1.31B (+29.7% Y/Y) beats by $10M.
Feb. 4, 2015, 5:30 PM
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Feb. 4, 2015, 9:47 AM
- An earnings miss and weak guidance issued from Ralph Lauren today appears to be clipping shares prices in the global apparel sector.
- The harsh impact of converting international sales back to U.S. dollars was highlighted today by Ralph Lauren's numbers.
- Lifestyle brands are getting hit the hardest.
- Previously: Polo Ralph Lauren misses by $0.09, misses on revenue
- Previously: Ralph Lauren -6.4% as strong dollar whacks results
- Decliners: PVH Corp. (NYSE:PVH) -4.7%, Sequential Brands (NASDAQ:SQBG) -2.5%, Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) -1.6%, VF Corp (NYSE:VFC) -1.8%, Perry Ellis (NASDAQ:PERY) -0.9%, G-III Apparel (NASDAQ:GIII) -1.4%, Fossil (NASDAQ:FOSL) -3.3%, Vera Bradley (NASDAQ:VRA) -1.0%.
Jan. 23, 2015, 7:03 AM
- Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) announces it will open a flagship store in Tokyo's Ginza district.
- The company has identified Japan as a key market to use as a springboard to stronger growth in Asia.
Jan. 21, 2015, 9:59 AM| Jan. 21, 2015, 9:59 AM | 6 Comments
Jan. 9, 2015, 11:04 AM
- Another tough day for luxury retail stocks as more concerns on pricing trends build up.
- Consulting firm Bain isn't helping sentiment, noting the luxury sector in China showed negative growth (-1%) for the first time in 2014. An ongoing crackdown by Beijing on corruption is in the background.
- Michael Kors (KORS -1.7%), Ralph Lauren (RL -2%), Kate Spade (KATE -3.2%), Fossil (FOSL -1%), Vera Bradley (VRA -2%), and Coach (COH -2.2%) are all under-performing market averages.
- Related stocks: OTCPK:LVMUY, OTC:GUCG, OTCPK:SWGAY, OTCPK:BURBY, EL, RDEN, OTCPK:HESAF, OTCPK:CFRUY, TIF.
- Related ETFs: PEJ.
Jan. 6, 2015, 9:40 AM
- Shares of Michael Kors (KORS -6.6%) turn lower after Oppenheimer downgrades the stock to Neutral from Outperform.
- The investment firm slashed the price target on shares to $79 from $103.
- The dour outlook on Michael Kors is based on a channel check which showed a high level of promotional activity for MK handbags over the last month.
- Sector news: Coach nabs Stuart Weitzman.
Dec. 23, 2014, 2:59 PM
- The strong reads on consumer spending (ICSC, Redbook) bode well for Q4 earnings in the retail sector, note analysts.
- Electronics sellers (BBY, HGG) and the luxury sector (RL, TIF, COH, KORS, KATE, FOSL, VRA) are viewed as being in a good position to see a December boost.
- Companies which eased off on pulling a bulk of their sales forward with Black Friday/Cyber Monday deals are also seen as potential winners with sub-$2 gas resetting some holiday budgets.
- Though e-commerce is expected to dazzle again this holiday season. It's not all fun and games for analysts looking at margins. The extension by Amazon (AMZN -0.1%) of its free shipping offer could be a signal that inventory levels are higher than anticipated and that the growth-at-all-costs mentality at the company is as entrenched as ever, notes Nasdaq Advisory Services.
- The S&P Retail ETF (NYSEARCA:XRT) has doubled up the return of the S&P 500 over the last 3 months, 10.8% vs. 5.1%.
- Previously: Retail trends to watch: Athleisure, P-E buyouts, and new online channels (Dec. 20 2014)
- Related ETFs: XLP, XLY, VDC,VCR, RTH, RETL, FXG, PBJ, IYK, PEJ, FXD, IYC, FDIS, RHS, SCC, FSTA, UCC, PMR, PSL, UGE, RCD, PEZ, PSCC, PSCD, SZK
Dec. 19, 2014, 1:29 PM
- Analysts expect a mixed holiday season for the retail sector in Hong Kong.
- While mass market retail is forecast to hold up with the level of demonstrations in the region moderating, there's some concerns on the luxury sector.
- The corruption crackdown by Beijing and the weak Yen are two potential drags on tourist traffic.
- Consumer confidence on the high end has also been weakening.
- What to watch: The critical Chinese New Year begins in February giving the luxury sector scant time for the environment to improve.
- Luxury sellers in HK: Gucci (OTC:GUCG), Prada, Louis Vuitton (OTCPK:LVMUY), Coach (NYSE:COH), Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL), Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS), Swatch (OTCPK:SWGAY), Burberry (OTCPK:BURBY), and Tiffany (NYSE:TIF).
Dec. 18, 2014, 7:01 AM
- Apparel prices fell 1.1% in the U.S. during November, according to yesterday's CPI report.
- The drop followed a 0.2% slide in apparel prices for October.
- Retail analysts note that a higher mix of e-commerce sales and the lingering promotional haze threaten margin expansion in the sector, despite overall tighter inventory control.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, RL, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, KORS, UA, GIII, SQBG, HBI, SKX, FL, VRA, ICON, NKE, WWW, DECK, CROX, SHOO, BWS, PERY, DXLG, SHLD, BONT, GPS, GES, URBN.
Dec. 12, 2014, 10:17 AM
- The S&P Retail ETF (XRT +0.5%) is out ahead of market averages again on enthusiasm over consumer spending forecasts.
- Today it's apparel/footwear sellers and department store chains with the broad set of gains.
- Gainers: Lululemon (NASDAQ:LULU) +2.7%, Ralph Lauren (NYSE:RL) +1.0%, Under Armour (NYSE:UA) +1.1%, Sequential Brands (NASDAQ:SQBG) +0.7%, Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) +0.5%, Coach (NYSE:COH) +2.3%, Nike (NYSE:NKE) +0.7%, Deckers Outdoor (NYSE:DECK) +1.1%, Macy's (NYSE:M) +2.4%, Sears Holdings (NASDAQ:SHLD) +1.7%, J.C. Penney (NYSE:JCP) +1.5%, Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN) +0.8%.
Dec. 4, 2014, 10:31 AM
- Shares of Destination Maternity (DEST -7.8%) slide after the company misses earnings estimates.
- A frank assessment from the company on a misfire with its assortment to millennial-aged moms-to-be strikes a bit of a chord across the apparel and department store sector.
- Many of the earnings hits and misses this quarter have been tied to on-trend or off-trend assortments. A millennial group which is hard to nail down is becoming a bigger part of that puzzle.
- Apparel stocks: KATE, ANN, LULU, RL, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, KORS, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, RL, ARO, AEO, ANF, WTSL, TLYS, CACH, ZUMZ, PSUN, EXPR, BKE, KORS, UA, GIII, SQBG, HBI, SKX, FL, VRA, ICON, NKE, WWW, DECK, CROX, SHOO, BWS, PERY, DXLG, SHLD, BONT, GPS, GES, URBN, TJX.
Nov. 18, 2014, 10:18 AM
- Piper Jaffray comes up with an eclectic mix as part of its five best retail stock picks for the holiday season.
- Best Buy (NYSE:BBY): A strong electronics lineup this year bodes well for Best Buy. Ultra HD 4K TVs, iPhone 6s, and GoPro products top many wish lists.
- Coty (NYSE:COTY): A focus on color cosmetics sets up Coty for market share gains this holiday season.
- Del Frisco's Restaurant Group (NASDAQ:DFRG): A bounce in consumer and business expense spending should help this high-end dining name, says Piper.
- Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS): The MK brand is as hot as ever. Consumers in a survey by Piper ranked it as the top fashion brand.
- Nordstrom (NYSE:JWN): The department store operator's best in-class e-commerce operation stands out.
Nov. 12, 2014, 10:37 AM
- Select high-end retailers are in rally mode after Fossil (FOSL +7.3%) cruises past Q3 estimates.
- The strong demand that Fossil saw for higher-priced items bodes well for the sector, say analysts.
- Advancers: Movado (NYSE:MOV) +1.1%, Michael Kors (NYSE:KORS) +1.6%, Coach (NYSE:COH) +1.6%, Vera Bradley (NASDAQ:VRA) +1.1%.
Nov. 6, 2014, 1:27 PM
- Apparel seller Ann issued a warning today on the impact of labor uncertainty at West Coast ports as part of its Q4 guidance.
- The retailer expects $8M in extra air freight costs due to product shipment delays.
- There's also been some reports of delays at ports in the Seattle and Tacoma area which account for 16% of container cargo traffic on the West Coast.
- Analysts fret that more companies will resort to air freight to ensure stores are stocked in front of the Black Friday rush.
- Apparel and footwear stocks: SKX, FL, VRA, ICON, NKE, WWW, DECK, CROX, SHOO, BWS, KATE, ANN, PERY, LULU, RL, PVH, VNCE, CRI, UA, HBI, VFC, COLM, KORS, GIL, SQBG, JCP, KSS, DDS, M, JWN, RL.
Michael Kors Holdings Ltd. engages in the design and distribution of sportswear, accessories, footwear and apparel of branded women's apparel and accessories and men's apparel bearing the Michael Kors trade name. The company operates its business through three segments: Retail, Wholesale and... More
Industry: Apparel Stores
Country: Hong Kong
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