Oct. 18, 2013, 2:28 PM
- Rumors Carl Icahn is set to disclose a stake in First Solar (FSLR +7.9%) have helped shares fly higher. Similar rumors popped up back in April.
- Several solar peers are also doing very well on what's proving a good day for momentum stocks. SPWR +4.9%. SUNE +5%. SCTY +7.5%. DQ +14.3%. CSIQ +4.8%.
- JinkoSolar (JKS +2.7%) is up more moderately after announcing a deal to develop a 120MW Chinese solar plant that will be built over the next three years. Shares jumped yesterday in response to a Credit Suisse upgrade.
- The Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN +1.9%) is now up 152% YTD.
Sep. 25, 2013, 2:45 PM
- U.S. solar trade group SEIA has issued a proposal that aims to remove the anti-dumping tariffs imposed last year by the ITC on Chinese solar module imports, and also put an end to China's threats to issue retaliatory tariffs on U.S. polysilicon imports.
- The SEIA proposes Chinese manufacturers establish a fund to compensate U.S. rivals for losses caused by Chinese state subsidies, and that mechanisms be created to protect U.S. firms from having to deal with a flood of Chinese imports.
- Both Chinese and U.S. solar names seem to be responding well. JASO +8.6%. SOL +8.4%. TSL +8.2%. SUNE +6.3% (previous). JKS +5.9%. SPWR +5.5%. FSLR +4.2%. YGE +5.8%. JKS +5.9%. CSIQ +3.3%.
- China and the EU reached a solar anti-dumping settlement in August.
- Solar ETFs: KWT, TAN.
Sep. 16, 2013, 3:26 PM
- China says it will impose a 6.5% tariff on materials from most U.S. polysilicon suppliers (TAN +1.4%; (KWT +1.5%) beginning Friday, but that's far short of threats it could slap anti-dumping duties of as much as 57%.
- The decision follows a U.S. move last year to impose tariffs on Chinese-made solar cells and after China and the EU settled a dispute in July over the alleged dumping of Chinese-made solar panels in Europe.
- High tariffs on solar-grade polysilicon would have risked hurting Chinese solar manufacturers, which depend on imports of raw materials, by raising their costs.
- Three U.S. suppliers are exempt: U.S.-based MEMC Pasadena (SUNE -2.2%) and two U.S. subsidiaries of Norway's Renewable Energy.
- CSUN +1.4%, CSIQ +1.3%, YGE +0.8%, TSL +0.3%, STP -3%, FSLR +1.4%, SPWR +3.4%, JKS -1.6%, JASO -0.2%, SOL +1.2%.
Sep. 12, 2013, 5:58 PM
- California's legislature takes a major step toward lowering the state's high electricity prices, passing a bill that repeals a law requiring state utilities to sell power at rates that rise sharply the more electricity a customer uses.
- The new bill, which needs Gov. Jerry Brown's signature, also allows regulators to cut some subsidies for solar power (TAN, KWT) while also removing caps on the total amount of power that can come from rooftop panels.
- Pacific Gas & Electric (PCG) supported the bill as "necessary to reduce very high, punitive rates that some of our customers are now paying."
Sep. 12, 2013, 8:16 AM
- Solar panel installations in the U.S. jumped 15% to 832 MW during Q2 as booming business for utility-scale systems helped offset weaker demand for residential and commercial projects, according to a report from GTM Research and the Solar Energy Industries Association.
- The utility-scale solar market soared 42% Q/Q, but the report says utilities in California and other key states have slowed their procurement of power from new solar projects.
- The average installed price of solar systems fell to $3.05/watt from $3.36 in Q1 and $3.43 a year ago, but prices vary greatly state to state and project to project.
- ETFs: TAN +6.6% premarket; KWT.
- Related tickers: JASO, FSLR, JKS, TSL, SOL, STP, LDK, SPWR, CSIQ, YGE, CSUN, SCTY, RSOL, SUNE, HSOL.
Sep. 5, 2013, 1:22 PM
- A day after JPMorgan provided a big lift to Chinese solar stocks, Deutsche is giving a boost to both Chinese and U.S. names.
- Analyst Vishal Shah predicts U.S. solar installation growth will total 6GW-8GW in the 2013-2014 timeframe, and that the market could see "an inflection point" in 2015 ahead of a 2016 tax credit expiration.
- He expects the adoption of new incorporation and leasing structures - a SolarCity (SCTY +4.4%) specialty - to boost growth by lowering financing costs, and views the potential arrival of residential leasing options as another major growth catalyst. In spite of ITC anti-dumping tariffs, Chinese firms are expected to gain share.
- In addition to SolarCity, winners include First Solar (FSLR +4.9%), Canadian Solar (CSIQ +5.1%), Daqo (DQ +11.9%), Suntech (STP +14%), Trina (TSL +4%), Yingli (YGE +5.6%), SunEdison (SUNE +2.4%), and ReneSola (SOL +2.5%). ETFs are also up: TAN +3%. KWT +2.6%.
Jul. 16, 2013, 9:22 AMDo you know what's in your solar ETF? The Guggenheim Solar ETF (TAN) is up 76% YYD, outperforming the Market Vectors Solar ETF (KWT) by 2400 basis points. TAN is more concentrated than KWT - holding 26 stocks vs. 34 - meaning it's probably going to do better in the good times, but the key may be SolarCity (SCTY). The stock's nearly tripled this year and is included in TAN but absent from KWT. One wonders for how long. KWT's periodic review comes at summer's end. | Jul. 16, 2013, 9:22 AM | Comment!
Jul. 7, 2013, 2:46 AMThe clean out in the solar-power sector continued on Friday, with Hawaii-based Hoku (HOKU) and Germany's Conergy filing for for liquidation. Hoku filed for Chapter 7 after being unable to attract the money to complete a $700M polysilicon plant following a plunge in prices for the material, which is used in solar panels, due to oversupply. Conergy was once Europe's largest solar company. | Jul. 7, 2013, 2:46 AM | Comment!
Jul. 1, 2013, 11:07 AMVolatile solar stocks rally (TAN +2.7%) on what's proving a good day for risk assets, as investors decide a weak Chinese manufacturing PMI print was already priced in. JKS +7.5%. SCTY +7.1%. SUNE +6.6%. YGE +4.6%. LDK +6.2%. First Solar (FSLR +4.4%) has announced this morning construction has begun for its 50MW Macho Springs New Mexico solar project, and ReneSola (SOL +6.1%) says it has restrated production at a polysilicon plant (halted in Nov.) following upgrades. ReneSola says the plant now has an annual production capacity of 10K MT, and that it expects to produce 1.8K-2K MT in Q3. | Jul. 1, 2013, 11:07 AM | Comment!
Jun. 11, 2013, 10:40 AMVolatile solar stocks head south (TAN -4%) after LDK Solar (LDK -8.5%) beat Q1 revenue estimates by $7.1M, but missed EPS forecasts $0.25 thanks to a -57% gross margin (-42.7% exc. a $15.1M inventory write-down), and provided somewhat disappointing revenue guidance. JKS -5.5%. TSL -4.9%. JASO -6.2%. DQ -4.8%. SPWR -4.4%. FSLR -4.9%. YGE -5.2%. GTAT -3.6%. FSLR -4.9%. LDK ended Q1 with $174M in cash, $182M in pledged bank deposits, and a whopping $2.6B in debt. (SolarCity) | Jun. 11, 2013, 10:40 AM | Comment!
Jun. 5, 2013, 11:41 AMSolar stocks see a bit of profit-taking after Goldman downgrades JA Solar (JASO -9.3%) and Trina (TSL -6%), and the EU officially announces Chinese module tariffs that will only total 11.8% for now, but could soar as high as 67.9% on Aug. 6 if a settlement isn't reached. Yingli (YGE -5.4%) states its tariff will rise to 37.3% on Aug. 6, which it claims is "the lowest rate" of all Chinese mobile vendors. Trina says its tariff will rise to 51.5%. LDK -5.2%. CSIQ -3.5%. JKS -3.2%. CSUN -4.1%. SOL -4.4%. FSLR -3.4%. CSIQ -3.5% in spite of its solar plant sales. | Jun. 5, 2013, 11:41 AM | Comment!
Jun. 5, 2013, 8:27 AMFrance asks for a meeting of EU member states to establish a common position in the escalating trade dispute with China on the export of Chinese solar panels. Levies are due to take effect tomorrow at an initial rate of 11.8%; EU officials will delay for two months tariffs of as much as 67.9% to allow Chinese manufacturers to negotiate a settlement. (earlier) | Jun. 5, 2013, 8:27 AM | Comment!
May 31, 2013, 4:21 PMFollowing a 270% Y/Y increase in installations in Q1, Japan is set to pass Germany in 2013 as the world's largest solar market in terms of revenue, says IHS iSuppli. The firm expects Japan, which saw huge subsidies arrive last summer, to account for 24% of industry revenue this year, up from 14% in 2012 and 9% in 2011. By contrast, European installations fell 34% Y/Y in Q1, lowering their global share to 40% from 70% a year ago. Canadian Solar (CSIQ) and JA Solar (JASO) both cited growing Japanese sales as a factor behind their Q1 beats (I, II), and SunPower (SPWR) has also been seeing Japanese sales grow. | May 31, 2013, 4:21 PM | 1 Comment
May 28, 2013, 6:41 PMAmerican Electric Power (AEP), Southern Co. (SO) and other utilities that have traditionally burned coal to generate electricity are exploring entering the rooftop-solar business, WSJ reports. They're testing the waters because they're feeling a pinch: Demand for electricity is barely growing in the sluggish economy, and developers of small-scale solar systems are giving customers another option for buying power. | May 28, 2013, 6:41 PM | Comment!
May 28, 2013, 10:33 AM2013's giant solar stock rally continues (TAN +3.9%) as the EU faces a backlash over Chinese tariff proposals, and Canadian Solar (CSIQ +15.2%) soundly beats Q1 estimates with the help of a 470 bps Q/Q increase in gross margin to 9.7%. Though CSIQ's opex would only have fallen 3% Y/Y if not for the reversal of a $30M arbitration award, it still fell 17% Q/Q (exc. one-time events) thanks to 25% Q/Q drop in selling expenses. Also: CSIQ is guiding for module shipments to rise to 380MW-410MW in Q2 from Q1's 340MW, and (like JA Solar) is seeing surging Japanese shipments - they rose 76% Q/Q in Q1, and made up 25% of total shipments. TSL +8.4%. JKS +4.6%. YGE +6.9%. LDK +4.8%. DQ +7%. SCTY +2.5%. | May 28, 2013, 10:33 AM | Comment!
May 28, 2013, 7:15 AMBeijing's efforts at getting the EU to drop a plan to levy duties on Chinese solar panels are "a waste of time," says EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht. "They are not going to impress me by putting pressure on member states," he said, testifying in parliament. Meanwhile, a survey of EU states say they don't support the tariff plan and Chinese solar names are moving. JASO +3.7%, YGE +6.6%, TSL +7% premarket. | May 28, 2013, 7:15 AM | 2 Comments
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