Liberty Media Is Trading At A Meaningful Double-Digit Discount To Its NAV
Siddharth Arora • 27 Comments
Siddharth Arora • 27 Comments
Investing With An Edge: Liberty Media
Andrew Walker, CFA • 14 Comments
Andrew Walker, CFA • 14 Comments
Oct. 21, 2015, 12:19 PM
- Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA), owner of shopping network QVC and online-invitation company Evite, has led a $3.3M funding round through one of its funds for Jifiti, an online gift-giving startup.
- Jifiti had partnered with Evite previously, bolting on a gift-giving option to online invitations.
- The company, which has 20 developers in Israel, hasn't disclosed revenue, though co-founder and CMO Shaul Weisband says it's growing. Retailers pay the company a fee per transaction without adding to a shopper's price.
Oct. 5, 2015, 8:29 PM
- Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) gained 1% today to close at $3.87, its highest point in three weeks.
- Buckingham Research is recommending getting exposure to the company, which it has Buy-rated -- but instead through Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) rather than a direct purchase.
- The vast majority of Liberty's market cap has been tied up in holding a majority stake in Sirius XM (59.4% as of July 24). And while Sirius is market priced, Buckingham says, Liberty Media's at a 17% discount to net asset value.
- Analyst James Ratcliffe has a $4.50 price target on Sirius XM; that implies 16%-plus upside from today's close. He has a $48 target on Liberty Media, which closed today up 1% to $37.55, implying 28% upside.
- Previously FBR had reiterated its Outperform rating on Sirius XM in looking at strong auto sales providing a good funnel. Buckingham agrees, expecting an above-guidance 1.95M net added subscribers for 2015.
Sep. 22, 2015, 6:46 PM
- Global satellite leader Intelsat (I -5.5%) is looking at selling key assets, the Financial Times reports, to pay off a pile of $14B in debt.
- The firm has reportedly hired bankers for the sale that have approached Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) and French rival Eutelsat (OTCPK:ETCMY) to find interest.
- Intelsat has an enterprise value of $15B vs. the $14B in debt. Among its key assets are its Americas media unit, which distributes programming like HBO series around the world, and its government/military unit.
Aug. 5, 2015, 8:22 AM
- Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA): Q2 Net Income of $103M.
- Revenue of $1.22B (+5.2% Y/Y) misses by $20M.
Aug. 4, 2015, 11:41 AM
- Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) is up 1.2% after Deutsche Bank upgraded it to Buy, pointing out catalysts in the long term and setting a price target of $46.
- That's up from DB's previous target of $43. Shares closed yesterday at $38.04 and are currently trading at $38.50, implying 19.5% upside from here in that target.
- Discount to NAV has widened to 17%, from a year-ago 9%, despite a more focused portfolio, Bryan Kraft notes: "We understand that absent a catalyst, investing capital into a narrowing discount story doesn't seem that compelling. However, we do see catalysts, although they appear to be 1-2 years away."
- "Eventually, we think accretion in Liberty's Sirius ownership from Sirius' repurchase program will drive an elimination of the discount over time."
- Meanwhile, Wunderlich raised its price target to $49. The firm maintains a Buy rating on Liberty Media.
Jul. 9, 2015, 5:29 PM
- There's been little news coming out of secretive Sun Valley -- where media moguls gather at the Allen & Co. conference for "summer camp" and sometimes rearrange billions of dollars with game-changing M&A -- but John Malone today dropped more hints about content consolidation.
- While media distribution companies have more obvious benefits from consolidation, Malone -- who has hands in Liberty Global (NASDAQ:LBTYA), Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA), Liberty Interactive (NASDAQ:QVCA), Charter (NASDAQ:CHTR) and Starz (NASDAQ:STRZA) -- said economies can apply to content too.
- "It's all about global scale," he told CNBC. "If you want to be a meaningful player in most of any of these media communication businesses, you have to think about it."
- And while speculation boils about a tie-up between Malone's Starz (STRZA) and Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) after the two swapped stock, Malone focused on the educational side: "I'm an engineer; what the hell do I know about content? Trying to understand where these ideas come from, how they get created and produced. The development of stories is really going to be important in this random-access world that Reed Hastings (NASDAQ:NFLX) is driving us into."
- Malone said Netflix changed the game, and that his companies "missed the boat a little bit" on over-the-top offerings.
- Today: NFLX +2.4%; LGF +0.9%; QVCA +0.3%; CHTR +0.2%.
Jun. 2, 2015, 6:46 PM
- Mogul John Malone floated an interesting idea today: Forget Sprint and T-Mobile -- the wireless industry could get its third major alternative to Verizon and AT&T (NYSE:T) with the merger of Charter Communications (CHTR -1.6%) and Time Warner Cable (TWC -0.9%).
- Malone was speaking at his various Liberty companies' annual meetings and noted that in 2012, the cable consortium SpectrumCo got an option to participate in a wireless MVNO service with Verizon (NYSE:VZ) after the wireless firm bought $3.9B in frequencies.
- Charter wasn't in SpectrumCo then, but merger partners TWC and Bright House are. “The concept that Comcast, a greatly enlarged Charter and Cox could together offer a WiFi-optimized connectivity service with a default to a Verizon MVNO is an interesting concept," Malone said.
- He thinks "there's very little dirty underwear" left to be found in a regulatory review of Charter-TWC after the past year's scrutiny.
- Also of interest regarding Charter capex and the dividend: “Everybody's going to say, ‘Oh he’s spending too much capital,’ but I think the end result with be worth it ... To a large degree we’re betting on Tom Rutledge and his team to wake up a sleepy cable company that was treading water in all honesty for a while and trying to satisfy shareholder pressures with buybacks and dividends as opposed to putting the money into having a competitive service offering.”
- Malone company shares today: LMCA -0.1%; LMCB flat; LMCK flat; LTRPA -0.9%; LTRPB +2.2%; QVCA +0.8%; LBRDA +0.1%; OTCQB:LBRDB flat; LBRDK -0.1%.
May 18, 2015, 4:31 AM
- Discovery Communications (NASDAQ:DISCA) CEO David Zaslav received total compensation of $156M in 2014, making him the highest-paid boss of a U.S.-listed company, excluding the top private-equity firms, an NYT-commissioned survey finds.
- Next on the list is Liberty Global's (NASDAQ:LBTYA) Michael Fries with $112M, while Gregory Maffei earned $74M for heading Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) and Liberty Interactive (NASDAQ:LVNTA). With Charter Communications' (NASDAQ:CHTR) Thomas Rutledge raking in $16M, four CEOs of companies controlled by or heavily associated with media mogul John Malone took home over $350M.
- Still, the Malone boys have nothing on Kenneth Griffin, the founder and CEO of P-E firm Citadel, who earned a mere $1.3B.
May 8, 2015, 4:34 PM
- On a Q1 earnings call today, Liberty Media's (NASDAQ:LMCA) CEO Greg Maffei said any deal that Charter Communications (CHTR; partly owned by Liberty) would make for Time Warner Cable (NYSE:TWC) would be "friendly," in contrast to Charter's early-2014 hostile attempt -- and that many partners are ready to step in if Charter needs more capital.
- "There's a wide range of things we could do there, starting with obviously the $700M of cash on the balance sheet," he said, before mentioning raising equity capital through rights offerings or the partners who would like to invest in such a deal.
- Asked about the dispute over management in the previous bid, Maffei said: "I believe any transaction that goes forward ... would be a friendly transaction, looking for the best of breed in both management teams, and trying to drive an improved experience both for consumers and shareholders."
- Whatever happens, Maffei says Liberty wants to keep its 25% ownership of Charter.
- More at the WSJ
May 8, 2015, 10:47 AM
- Liberty Media's (LMCA -0.4%) Q1 earnings featured a 12% gain in net income based on a 7% increase in revenue due again primarily to Sirius XM earnings -- Liberty holds 57% of Sirius XM with a stake that is 90% of Liberty's market cap -- though the company added that it also sold its position in Barnes & Noble for $27M, and sold another 1.3M Viacom shares for $86M.
- The company bought back 1.9M shares of its LMCK class at an average price of $38.28, for a total cost of $74M.
- Cash and liquid investments stood at $1.25B, up from Q4's $880M, chiefly due to cash from operations at Sirius XM. Total debt was $6.47B, primarily $5.15B in Sirius XM senior notes along with $1B in Liberty cash convertible notes.
- Conference call at 11:30 a.m. ET.
May 8, 2015, 8:29 AM
- Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA): Q1 Net income of $106M.
- Revenue of $1.08B (+6.9% Y/Y) misses by $20M.
Apr. 9, 2015, 9:08 PM
- Don't let recent merger challenges and failures fool you, Michael Wolff argues: "M&A mania" is coming to a media conglomerate near you amid pressure for a new wave of consolidation.
- "Perhaps never before has consolidation been so much the flavor of the month, nor has it seemed so difficult to get a taste," he writes. "The table is set, but nobody's sitting down to eat."
- If Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) fails in its bid for Time Warner Cable (NYSE:TWC), he notes, it just means other cablers will step up to match Comcast's ambition, and Comcast will still look for a way to stay dominant.
- He points to a number of mergers he thinks are easily imaginable: Viacom (NASDAQ:VIA) and FOX? Disney (NYSE:DIS) and Time Warner (NYSE:TWX)? TWC and Charter (NASDAQ:CHTR)? Discovery (NASDAQ:DISCA) and, well, most anyone (Disney, Fox, CBS)?
- Factors encouraging the wave: Media's all about video now, and the pure-play aspect makes merger logic cleaner; distribution and content are separate and now even antagonistic businesses; the growth of over-the-top means not unbundling but re-bundling; and everyone needs scale for negotiation strength in content and ad deals.
- Other key players: John Malone (LMCA, LBTYA, STRZA); Verizon (NYSE:VZ); Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF); Scripps Networks (NYSE:SNI); Netflix (NASDAQ:NFLX); DirecTV (NASDAQ:DTV) and AT&T (NYSE:T); Dish Network (NASDAQ:DISH).
Mar. 17, 2015, 2:39 PM
- Comcast (NASDAQ:CMCSA) keeps up its sports-deal momentum by signing a tech and real estate pact with the Atlanta Braves (NASDAQ:LMCA) that will include wiring the team's new 60-acre stadium complex for networking, as well as a new office for Comcast.
- The project will provide video, voice and high-speed Internet through SunTrust Park, including a ballpark and surrounding buildings holding retail, food service, hotels and residences.
- As part of the muli-year deal, Comcast's name will be on a nine-story tower that will also house 1,000 of its employees.
- Comcast's business-services unit has signed similar deals in the past, most recently with the NFL's Tennessee Titans, as well as the San Francisco 49ers, Denver Broncos and Jacksonville Jaguars; baseball's Oakland A's, Boston Red Sox and Detroit Tigers; and the NBA's Boston Celtics and Atlanta Hawks.
- SunTrust Park is scheduled to open in time for Opening Day in spring 2017.
- Previously: No plans to sell MLB's Braves, Liberty says (Feb. 25 2015)
Mar. 11, 2015, 10:56 PM
- "Using Live Nation (NYSE:LYV) to differentiate Sirius (NASDAQ:SIRI) and using Sirius to promote Live Nation is very logical," says Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) CEO Greg Maffei of the two entertainment companies in which his firm is a major shareholder: 57% of SIRI, 27% of LYV. "But I remain somewhat disappointed that more things haven't happened there." Maffei was speaking to the Deutsche Bank conference.
- Macquarie's Amy Yong agrees: It's not that the satellite radio and concert promotion companies need a merger (which would be complicated by the ownership), but: "If both worked more closely, they can help each other cross promote or market their products/services," she says.
- There may be opportunities for Sirius to broadcast LYV concerts, and for LYV to promote Sirius among its heavy people traffic, but as for tie-ups: "We are the consolidators," says Live Nation's chief Michael Rapino, preferring to focus on his acquisitions. "Geographically, if there was a ticketing company in the right market that we thought could accel our operation versus building, we'd look."
Mar. 9, 2015, 8:04 PM
- Don't be surprised if there's more to John Malone's tie-up with Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF), says Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) CEO Greg Maffei -- but don't count on it either.
- Speaking to Deutsche Bank's Media, Internet & Telecom conference, Maffei hinted that Liberty Chairman Malone joining the Lions Gate board as part of a Starz (NASDAQ:STRZA) stock swap would help both parties get to know each other.
- “You need to have partnerships, you need to do more,” Maffei said. “Whether that ultimately leads to acquisitions ... you need to be able to do more with bigger people.”
- Maffei says HBO's rollout of its streaming service bodes well for Starz, demonstrating how to distribute product in more ways, though "I think we can do it in a way that is in conjunction with our cable, telco, and satellite partners. which is attractive."
- Previously: Starz, Lions Gate deal may presage closer relationship (Feb. 11 2015)
- Previously: Lions Gate adds Liberty's Malone to board in Starz stock-swap deal (Feb. 11 2015)
Mar. 6, 2015, 5:45 AM
- CBS slipped 1.5% yesterday, and Viacom (VIA, VIAB) another 1.2%, as Deutsche Bank's Brian Kraft weighed in on big media in a spate of coverage updates noted at Benzinga. He expects continued profit growth in the sector, particularly with international expansion.
- Kraft actually has a Buy on Viacom with an $83 price target (yesterday's close: $70.37). Though the company is starting layoffs (see TV Land) amid widespread ratings issues, Kraft says investor worries about contract renewals are overdone, and its discounted value is attractive.
- Twenty-First Century Fox (NASDAQ:FOXA) is another buy at a $42 target (yesterday: $34.87), with "best in the sector" three-year prospects for profit growth, as is Time Warner at a $100 target (yesterday: $83.26).
- He started CBS at Hold with a target of $67 (yesterday: $61.55) and Disney at Hold with a target of $105 (yesterday: $105.03), praising both stocks but suggesting they're a bit overdone.
- Also getting a Hold was Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI), and Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) -- whose holdings are now 90% Sirius XM.
Liberty Media Corp. engages in the business of media, communications and entertainment. The company operates through its subsidiaries, which includes Atlanta National League Baseball Club, Inc. (ANLBC) and TruePosition, Inc. ANLBC owns and operates the Atlanta Braves, a major league baseball... More
Industry: Broadcasting - TV
Country: United States
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