Liberty Media Is Trading At A Meaningful Double-Digit Discount To Its NAV
Siddharth Arora • 27 Comments
Siddharth Arora • 27 Comments
Investing With An Edge: Liberty Media
Andrew Walker, CFA • 14 Comments
Andrew Walker, CFA • 14 Comments
Thu, Jul. 21, 3:17 PM
- Ahead of its earnings after the bell, Pandora Media (NYSE:P) has given up a bump fueled by a buyout-offer story, now down 0.7%.
- It had risen as much as 10.3% (to $13.62) following a report that Liberty Media (LMCA -0.1%) had floated a $15/share offer to buy the company and combine it with Sirius XM (SIRI -0.2%).
- Combining the two radio services could benefit from "hidden synergies," says Piper Jaffray's Stan Meyers. Sirius XM could take advantage of a strong ad sales team as it thinks about an ad-supported service, and it could tap a data-rich environment at Pandora to convert some of that company's 100M-plus users into paid customers.
- Meyers has Overweight ratings on both companies and a price target of $5.25 on SIRI (implying 26% upside) and a target of $18 on Pandora (47% upside, and closer to Pandora's feelings of true value around $20/share).
- Liberty Sirius XM Group shares: LSXMA +0.4%; LSXMB +0.4%; LSXMK -0.1%.
Thu, Jul. 21, 12:40 PM
- Pandora Media (NYSE:P) has jumped 3.8% on news that Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) chief Greg Maffei discussed a $15/share offer to buy the streaming radio company in recent months, according to The Wall Street Journal.
- Pandora's board rejected that offer as too low, however, thinking last fall's value of $20/share was more accurate. Shares are up to $12.79 currently on today's news.
- Maffei's offer looked to be a "fishing expedition," one source said, rather than a formal offer.
- People at a private investor meeting in June said Maffei was talking up the benefits of tying up Pandora with Liberty-controlled Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI), saying "you'd have to ask the Pandora board" why there wasn't a deal yet, the WSJ says.
Mon, Apr. 18, 12:45 PM
Fri, Feb. 26, 7:35 AM
Wed, Jan. 6, 6:09 PM
- Gabelli & Co. has put out its "Best Ideas" analyst roll-up for 2016, and in the technology, media, telecom area, it's highlighting a set: CBS, TRCO, TMUS, LMCA and EMC.
- The company's analysts see T-Mobile (TMUS -0.4%) as an attractive acquisition candidate -- “essentially the only way for a domestic or foreign company to enter the U.S. wireless market in a meaningful way" -- and Sergey Dluzhevshiy names Dish Network (DISH -2.3%) or Charter (CHTR -0.5%) as possible suitors.
- Meanwhile, the analysts see "more things that can go right for Tribune Media (NYSE:TRCO) than wrong," and echo Les Moonves' frequent assertions that CBS is "uniquely positioned to compete in a more fragmented and competitive U.S. TV ecosystem.”
- And Gabelli reiterated its Buy rating on EMC (EMC -1%), which it calls the market leader in enterprise storage.
- After hours: DISH +0.4%; CHTR -0.2%; EMC flat.
Nov. 16, 2015, 7:46 AM
- The latest 13F from Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A, BRK.B) shows a new 59.3M share stake in AT&T (NYSE:T), and the GM stake taken up to 50M shares from 41M. At least part, if not all of the T stake is the result of shares received in the DirecTV merger.
- Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) is up to 61.5M shares from about 30M; Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC) 325.6M shares from zero; Suncor (NYSE:SU) 30M shares from 23.3M, John Malone (LMCK, LMCA) a total of about 24M shares from about 13M.
- Buffett trimmed his Wal-Mart (NYSE:WMT) position to 56.2M shares from 58.3M.
- AT&T +1.4% premarket
Nov. 12, 2015, 2:56 PM
- Sirius XM (SIRI -0.6%) says it's hoping to get a renewal from flagship radio host Howard Stern next month when his contract expires, but at least the company knows what it comes down to: money.
- Speaking from the investor day of majority owner Liberty Media (LMCA +1.8%), Sirius chief James Meyer said he's happy with the show's quality and the two sides disagree on just "one thing," the valuation of the new deal. Stern is estimated to get about $80M/year currently.
- Buybacks (currently about $2B worth a year) are the "best use of our capital," Meyer says. "We just haven't found anything that magically fits" in the space where acquisitions are clearly strategic or clearly accretive, he says.
- Earlier, Liberty Media said it would recapitalize into three tracking stocks, one of which will be Liberty Sirius Group to track its 60.7% holding in Sirius XM.
- Previously: Liberty Media to recapitalize into three tracking stock groups (Nov. 12 2015)
Sep. 22, 2015, 6:46 PM
- Global satellite leader Intelsat (I -5.5%) is looking at selling key assets, the Financial Times reports, to pay off a pile of $14B in debt.
- The firm has reportedly hired bankers for the sale that have approached Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) and French rival Eutelsat (OTCPK:ETCMY) to find interest.
- Intelsat has an enterprise value of $15B vs. the $14B in debt. Among its key assets are its Americas media unit, which distributes programming like HBO series around the world, and its government/military unit.
Aug. 4, 2015, 11:41 AM
- Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA) is up 1.2% after Deutsche Bank upgraded it to Buy, pointing out catalysts in the long term and setting a price target of $46.
- That's up from DB's previous target of $43. Shares closed yesterday at $38.04 and are currently trading at $38.50, implying 19.5% upside from here in that target.
- Discount to NAV has widened to 17%, from a year-ago 9%, despite a more focused portfolio, Bryan Kraft notes: "We understand that absent a catalyst, investing capital into a narrowing discount story doesn't seem that compelling. However, we do see catalysts, although they appear to be 1-2 years away."
- "Eventually, we think accretion in Liberty's Sirius ownership from Sirius' repurchase program will drive an elimination of the discount over time."
- Meanwhile, Wunderlich raised its price target to $49. The firm maintains a Buy rating on Liberty Media.
Jul. 9, 2015, 5:29 PM
- There's been little news coming out of secretive Sun Valley -- where media moguls gather at the Allen & Co. conference for "summer camp" and sometimes rearrange billions of dollars with game-changing M&A -- but John Malone today dropped more hints about content consolidation.
- While media distribution companies have more obvious benefits from consolidation, Malone -- who has hands in Liberty Global (NASDAQ:LBTYA), Liberty Media (NASDAQ:LMCA), Liberty Interactive (NASDAQ:QVCA), Charter (NASDAQ:CHTR) and Starz (NASDAQ:STRZA) -- said economies can apply to content too.
- "It's all about global scale," he told CNBC. "If you want to be a meaningful player in most of any of these media communication businesses, you have to think about it."
- And while speculation boils about a tie-up between Malone's Starz (STRZA) and Lions Gate (NYSE:LGF) after the two swapped stock, Malone focused on the educational side: "I'm an engineer; what the hell do I know about content? Trying to understand where these ideas come from, how they get created and produced. The development of stories is really going to be important in this random-access world that Reed Hastings (NASDAQ:NFLX) is driving us into."
- Malone said Netflix changed the game, and that his companies "missed the boat a little bit" on over-the-top offerings.
- Today: NFLX +2.4%; LGF +0.9%; QVCA +0.3%; CHTR +0.2%.
Jun. 2, 2015, 6:46 PM
- Mogul John Malone floated an interesting idea today: Forget Sprint and T-Mobile -- the wireless industry could get its third major alternative to Verizon and AT&T (NYSE:T) with the merger of Charter Communications (CHTR -1.6%) and Time Warner Cable (TWC -0.9%).
- Malone was speaking at his various Liberty companies' annual meetings and noted that in 2012, the cable consortium SpectrumCo got an option to participate in a wireless MVNO service with Verizon (NYSE:VZ) after the wireless firm bought $3.9B in frequencies.
- Charter wasn't in SpectrumCo then, but merger partners TWC and Bright House are. “The concept that Comcast, a greatly enlarged Charter and Cox could together offer a WiFi-optimized connectivity service with a default to a Verizon MVNO is an interesting concept," Malone said.
- He thinks "there's very little dirty underwear" left to be found in a regulatory review of Charter-TWC after the past year's scrutiny.
- Also of interest regarding Charter capex and the dividend: “Everybody's going to say, ‘Oh he’s spending too much capital,’ but I think the end result with be worth it ... To a large degree we’re betting on Tom Rutledge and his team to wake up a sleepy cable company that was treading water in all honesty for a while and trying to satisfy shareholder pressures with buybacks and dividends as opposed to putting the money into having a competitive service offering.”
- Malone company shares today: LMCA -0.1%; LMCB flat; LMCK flat; LTRPA -0.9%; LTRPB +2.2%; QVCA +0.8%; LBRDA +0.1%; OTCQB:LBRDB flat; LBRDK -0.1%.
Nov. 5, 2014, 12:49 PM
May 19, 2014, 7:43 AM
Apr. 3, 2014, 9:49 AM
- Barnes & Noble (BKS -10.2%) plunges at the open after Liberty Media (LMCA -0.1%) says it is selling the majority of its stake in the bookseller.
- LMCA will retain a 10% stake to allow BKS "greater flexibility" to right itself and will give up its right to have two representatives on the BKS board.
- In 2011, LMCA purchased a 17% stake in BKS, which has struggled to compete in a market increasingly dominated by mobile devices and downloadable data.
Mar. 14, 2014, 9:20 AM
Jan. 27, 2014, 5:40 PM
Liberty Media Corp. engages in the business of media, communications and entertainment. The company operates through its subsidiaries, which includes Atlanta National League Baseball Club, Inc. (ANLBC) and TruePosition, Inc. ANLBC owns and operates the Atlanta Braves, a major league baseball... More
Industry: Broadcasting - TV
Country: United States
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